The Roar
The Roar

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Rugby lover and Wallabies fan, but late to the game, becoming a real fan 5 or so years ago when in my mid thirties . From Perth, living in France.

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I dunno. Those stats at the end of teams’ historical wins %s. Are they a better indicator? Does it make any difference whether Ireland did or didn’t beat NZ anytime not within the last 3 years or at a stretch, 7 years? Beyond that it’s totally different teams, different players, different coaches. Seems closer to superstition, where Brendon’s is analytic, closer to scientific

The only stats I trust when it comes to the upcoming Test series

https://www.rugbycology.com/home

On here i can’t get beyond the welcome page (though i am in transit on my phone, no wifi) Is there some enable pop-ups or something i need to do ? Or is it still in progress? (I tried clicking on ‘this play’, ‘previous play’, ‘nextplay’)

Kicking, why bother?: The Rugbycology data that explains when Test teams should punt the ball and how they should counter

Great stuff. There were one or two points where i wasn’t 100% sure i followed the differentiations you were making, but that may well be on me. I’d love to see your breakdown of last year’s Lions-Boks series on this note. (And i note the absence of the Boks from the above article) Off to look up Rugbycology jusy now. Look forward to more on here too

Kicking, why bother?: The Rugbycology data that explains when Test teams should punt the ball and how they should counter

Need some mongrel and grit among our taller guys. Not that they shouldn’t have brought in Marika, Quade and Samu, but Skelton and Arnold (and Brendon PA too) would be so handy. God bless the Giteau law. We should at least relax it for World Cups, i reckon

Rugby News: Eddie hounded over Kerevi 'conflict' and predicts Rennie tactic, HJH blow, Smith on Farrell alliance

Hard to argue with much there. But you are missing a 23rd man, would that be Petaia? I wrote an article a few years back where i named a 24th!

'Work ethic, aggression and aerial battles': Using Dave Rennie's statements to predict his first Test team selection

Big takes do come easy when you’ve only got a vague idea what you’re talking about 😊 😛

ANALYSIS: Key match ups and strategy, plus who will win and why, for July's three massive rugby Test series

Good point. Toomy’s post are usually 80% very worthwhile and then 20% of???!!

ANALYSIS: Key match ups and strategy, plus who will win and why, for July's three massive rugby Test series

What a blessed/lucky/spoilt lot we are. Feels that way since it’s been what, 4 years since we had three big tours going on.

I won’t be surprised if Wales do put up a fair fight against the Boks, as they did against France, but probably they’ll wear down as each second half plays out.

The other two series are fascinating.
Might be close, but I could equally see either team winning the series pretty handily and convincingly in the Oz v England games, either could run away with it.

NZ v Ireland will be a test of Farrell’s coaching and Ireland’s discipline and mental toughness i think. They’ll be better prepared and coached and will corner the ABs in their defensive half but the Kiwis will fire big shots time and time again, make 5 minutes of hard work look less valuable than 10 seconds of brilliance. I hope Ireland win, put them in the RWC cup picture and force NZ into a rethink, cause they’re not looking likely for next year at this rate.

ANALYSIS: Key match ups and strategy, plus who will win and why, for July's three massive rugby Test series

And taking out Matt Giteau, in the 2015 RWC i think it was… He’s not as clean as you want to think but unlike Lavanini is he is tough and a very good player, not just an opportunistic bully

Coach’s Corner special: what will England bring to the party in July?

Kaino too. Alot of power there

'Heartache after heartache': The 10 rival players All Black fans feared the most

Who would you pick? I think Goodhue is their/your best centre generally, but i don’t know if he’s what is needed or not. I like the idea of playing Beauden Barrett at 12 too. Just the pace, would be something else.

Rugby News: 'Flair's one thing, ridiculous is another' - Wallaby great lauds Rennie impact, wants calm Quade, 'mongrel' locks

Has had a few injuries and hasn’t fully found his feet, but it’s exactly like DR said: He’s got massive potential and can probably get there quicker in the camp. I don’t even see a hint of hypocrisy or BS in how it’s playing out…

Suli's secret weapon: The man who got Wallabies' World Cup wannabe back on track after post-NRL 'struggles'

Penaud is just a much better player than May, in my opinion. The number of errors May makes. If he were one of our own we’d be all over him every week. Penaud is world class

England tour squad confirmed: Jones names eight new caps including Aussie-raised bolter as injuries hit hard

“One of the worst coaches the Wallabies have had” but “I’m not saying he’s a bad coach”
You actually aren’t sitting on the fence, Hooter, you’re just trying to say you are!!

Rugby News: Skelton sent off in 132-year first, Cheika backs Petaia as No.15, ABs legends' anger at RA's 'crap' call

Marchant is not a bad ball carrier/running power guy. They seemed to look to Steward for a bit of that too

England tour squad confirmed: Jones names eight new caps including Aussie-raised bolter as injuries hit hard

Vunipolas back in for their first test in a while will/would be interesting. I worry about our line-out competing against Itoje, Lawes, Hill and a much better hooker than any we have.

Farrell’s reinclusion and to what extent is intriguing. Will they go back to a more mechanical, clinical style around him?

But there were moments in that Barabarians game where Smith was making something out of nothing. And just letting Cokaisinaga run loose.

How Eddie tries to use those different gears/setups will be really nteresting

England tour squad confirmed: Jones names eight new caps including Aussie-raised bolter as injuries hit hard

Rusty, you have the ‘bomb squad’ starting and the usual starting front row at 16-18. Is that just your preference, or have you heard somewhere that Jacques is going to switch their roles?

Analysing the 2022 Boks squad

Yeah, might well be the case. But if they do partner with Oz, NZ and the pacific islands longer term they could look at having fuller access to the best players without paying a premium to bring them in each time. Would help them prestige, quality and access to talent-wise longer term I would think. Huge long term, big picture potential But they aren’t the beggars here, you’re right. I do wonder if OZ and NZ rugby heads in the past have maybe condescended to them a bit.

Are Rugby Australia bluffing?

Was thinking earlier in the week too that getting Japan involved again has got to be the way to go. Obviously they deserve to be respected and involved as equal partners though.

Are Rugby Australia bluffing?

Just might be that it’s a rhetorical question. No?

'I don't know why he is not an international player': Galthie weighs in on Skelton's Wallabies snub

You don’t think he might go Petaia at 14? A steadier hand like Kellaway or in some respects, Wright at 23.

Reece Hodge included in Australia A rugby squad picked for Pacific Nations Cup

Definitely, Peter.

Reece Hodge included in Australia A rugby squad picked for Pacific Nations Cup

I’ve been catching up on Brumbies games and have been really impressed with Muirhead. Seems smarter and stronger in contact. Why don’t you rate him?

Reece Hodge included in Australia A rugby squad picked for Pacific Nations Cup

Am i the only one who noticed or at least is whining about the tackled Blues player playing the ball while lying on the ground immediately after too? And that wasn’t called either. Really poor. They might as well have got that Scottish guy – Davidson or something – to do it

How the Brumbies lost their semi-final ‘State of Origin’ against the Blues

He’s very strong-bodied and good at finishing in tight spaces. I’d pick a better allround player for now, but keep working with him. Like the big Pone, there’s a lot for Dave to work with/away at

ANALYSIS: Rennie names a strong squad that's purpose built to defuse England's main attacking threat

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