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The Roar

Rugby101

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Joined May 2014

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In that case its Petaia, followed by JoC. Either would be better than the other alternatives.

Wallabies (lineout) rising: Rugby World Cup quarter-final hope against England

Yes could be ok. Certainly could be a lot worse!

Wallabies (lineout) rising: Rugby World Cup quarter-final hope against England

Did I miss where the results are posted?

VOTE: Wallabies DIY Rugby World Cup player ratings vs Georgia

I’d go with:
9) White
10) CLL
11) Koroibete
12) To’omua
13) Kuridrani
14) Hodge
15) DHP
Bench: Genia, O’Connor (6/2 split)

Just their best performance of 2019: the Wallabies' simple quarter-final assignment

Agree Peter. For this weekend I’d go with To’omua and Kuridrani in the Centers.

Just their best performance of 2019: the Wallabies' simple quarter-final assignment

Congratulations Wales. Better prepared, better executed. We lost before we took the field. I enjoyed this article Nick, thank you. Neither strategy, nor tactics, seem to be Cheika’s strong suits. And thank you for the response to my comment on your previous article, I understand what you say, and agree, but we don’t seem to be making the most of our supposed threats out wide. No matter your walk of life, we can all learn from Sun Tzu.

Why selection cost the Wallabies their Rugby World Cup game against Wales

Nic, an appreciation worthy of Sun Tzu. I think most of us can see where you are coming from in your comments, but then I believe you ‘fail’ to understand ‘your own side’ (that being Australia in this case). Can you explain why we need an additional ‘threat’ out wide (with a wide-running Loose Forward), with the other players we have available? And this is not a dogmatic comment from me! Flexibility in attack is critical, but if you can’t secure quick access when you have the ball, or delay the use by the opposition, what do you gain by more wide attacking options when good options already exist?
What does this wide-running Loose Forward bring that Kerevi, Kuridrani or O’Connor don’t? Noting how starved Kuridrani (a large and I would say threatening body) was in his last start, could we have not made more use of him in this scenario? And surely O’Connor offers more speed, guile and passing ability? Also, what do we lose in either securing ‘our’ ball to use to our advantage, or by ‘denying’ (slowing) the ball to the opposition advantage by lessening our ruck presence?
Attack:
Secure your own ball
Speed of delivery of own ball
Multiple options for attack
Flexibility in switching attack
Tactical kicking
Finishing ability
Defence:
Delay oppositions use of ball
Speed of defence
Flexibility in reacting to threats

Samoan selection Sudoku for Michael Cheika ahead of the Rugby World Cup

I think it important that every player in our First XV should get at least one week off during the RWC, for both a physical and mental rest. That means you need 3 Hookers, 5 Props, 5 Locks, 3 Halfbacks and 3 5/8s. It looks like Cheika will take TPN as the third Hooker, which I think is a bad idea as the third Hooker is the one you want to start against Georgia and Uruguay and play the whole game if possible, to give your first and second choice Hookers a rest. I’d take BPA or Ulese instead. Likewise, your fifth Prop should run on against these teams as well and hopefully play 65 minutes or more. I’d rather Robertson than Kepu in this case. My Locks for these games would be Simmons and LSL. In the Backs, these are the games where Powell and Foley start.
Hookers: Tolu Latu, Folau Fainga’a, Brandon Paenga-Amosa/Jordan Ulese.
Props: James Slipper, Allan Alaalatoa, Taniela Tupou, Scott Sio, Tom Robertson.
Other forwards: Izack Rodda, Rory Arnold, Adam Coleman, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Rob Simmons, Luke Jones, Isi Naisarani, David Pocock, Michael Hooper, Lachlan McCaffrey/Pete Samu.

Halfbacks: Will Genia, Nic White, Joe Powell.
Stand-offs: Christian Lealiifano, Bernard Foley.
Other backs: Matt To’omua, Samu Kerevi, Tom Banks, Reece Hodge, Kurtley Beale, James O’Connor, Jordan Petaia, Koreibete.

VOTE: Pick your Wallabies squad for the 2019 Rugby World Cup

ah, ok. I thought it was Jones for the Rebels. Thanks.

Bledisloe blowout overshadowed Wallabies' subtle improvements

Trying to guess Cheika’s team selection is always fraught with danger, but I’ll give it ago again. Before hearing of Arnold’s injury I was thinking, like Rhys (and maybe others), that Cheika will go with a 6/2 split. Here’s why.
Assumptions:
1. Pocock will be selected on the bench.
2. There are only 2 lineout callers in last week’s 23, Rodda and Jones.
3. The Selection Panel will want at least 2 lineout callers in the 23.
4. The Selection Panel will want at least 3 genuine lineout targets on the field.
But now, if Arnold is out, I can see Cheika going with this:
Rodda, Coleman and Jones starting, with LSL and Pocock on the Bench. This will allow a 5/3 split which I feel is best against NZ.

Bledisloe blowout overshadowed Wallabies' subtle improvements

Very good article Peter. Well thought out and argued. Horses, and game plan, for courses! Particularly like your Back 3, always think it’s a good idea to have at least 2 of the Back 3 Fullback capable, and you have all 3. Just hope JOC still has some pace.

White and Toomua have experience together, so that would normally go in their favour.

Agree we need a strong LO, but I think 3 first rate jumpers is enough, which you have. I would not be too concerned with the LO ability of 7 and 8, if your 4,5 and 6 are good.
I got some figures ready for an article, highlighting who is and isn’t utilised as a LO target.

Following from Fox Stats – games/takes/steals:
Arnold 14/67/4
Coleman 10/37/2
LSL 15/44/0
Jones 14/39/9
Simmons 15/41/4
Rodda 14/28/10
Naisarani 13/8/2
Dempsey 9/5/0
Hooper 14/0/1

So your lineup provides for a good offensive and defensive LO. Part of me likes starting with LSL at 6, but I can see the value in your approach.

My Wallabies team to take on the Springboks

Thanks Nobody. Always important to acknowledge one’s errors. Happy to acknowledge mine. Never-the-less a good stat to have. Cheers

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

PeterK, I suggest you review Robbie Dean’s comments during the Rebels game against the Sunwolves. He highlighted a number of DHP’s positive attributes (and this was about him in general, not just that game), amongst them his speed ‘when it was needed’, and ‘he was able to move to another gear’ or words to that effect. He also talked about DHP’s ability to get his arms free after the talk to distribute. It’s possible you’re a little closed minded on this one …

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

” CLL has earn’t his spot”? Do you mean QC? Nic White has signed with RA, just not allocated to a Super team yet.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Thanks Ralph. Yes absolutely stats don’t show the whole picture. That is why for the past three weeks I tried to capture the highs and lows of the key 10s and 15s. What was above or below the expected level of Test players at Super level. For example, CLL does little that is extraordinary but also makes very few bad plays, and he is the central playmaker.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Yes I’ve heard that but never seen it. I did an article on a RWC 31 and didn’t have him in because thought he is solely a 12. If he can also cover 13, given his form, what he brings and combination with Cooper (if selected), he should definitely be in!

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

I clearly remember in one of the games I reviewed Horan stating how important it was for Beale to get into First Receiver to give Foley a rest, ‘because there’s a lot to do at 10 (or words to that effect).

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

I think most people feel this is right (Meakes like Kerevi, Hunt like To’omua) from watching them, and the stats tend to back this up.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

“That was part of my domino effect that I forgot to spell out. That selecting Foley makes the patterns and personnel dependent on having BOTH Foley and Beale available and in form because they are not interchangeable with other players.”
My analysis certainly supports this view.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Yes Meakes does, and part of the reason Hodge didn’t displace him is because of the less glamorous but important work he does. And has good combination with QC.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Ouch! What about CLL?

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Thanks Nobody. Yes stats don’t tell the whole story, and can be used to prove anything. Yes your suggestion for missed tackles per hundred is an easier read.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Thanks PeterK. Yes that is what I think is the best Backline. I’m not sure if it’s you (apologies if not) or James, but don’t have a lot of love for DHP. Although he had a poor game last weekend I think he is our best all round Fullback. So I’d be happy with him at 15, although that means Hodge on the bench (but I want him in the 15 is possible). At this stage of his Wallaby career I agree with Banks on the Wing.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: The final insult

Cream is not the only thing that floats to the top!

The Wrap: The Super Rugby cream rises to the top

Yes off the bench for confidence I can understand. Yes White to give Genia some time on the bench is a good idea. No doubt To’omua, Kerevi, Kuridrani would be good defensively. It’s a pity Petaia isn’t 12 months further along, as he already offers a lot. Could still make the RWC. But I think Cheika and Wessels have had a chat about Hodge and that’s why he’s getting more time at 13.

To play-make or distribute, that is the question: Part deux