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Rugby4Cast

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Joined February 2019

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Rugby4Cast is a website that aims to provide a slightly more statistical and fact based approach to journalism. We have also built our very own machine learning algorithm that predicts rugby results for all leagues and events around the world. Please feel free to ask any questions, point out any corrections or get in contact with any suggestions. We'd love to hear from you!

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Agreed! We use a combination of Elo and a bunch of other metrics in a machine learning algorithm. It comes out roughly the same, but we found we could generally eke out a few more percentage points. Would be interested to chat about your calibration techniques though, always keen to learn. Ping me a mail through the website if you want to have a talk!

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 4 wrap, Round 5 preview

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Super Rugby: The super stats Round 4 wrap, Round 5 preview

This was our worst week yet!

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

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Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

This could be the case but unlikely to be this time round. We do take into account the matches in between and current form. At this moment in time the projected semifinalists are NZ, Ireland, England and Wales. Could all change between now and then though!

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

Absolutely right. I actually prefer to look at the predictions not fully as predictions, but more as a metric to describe the relative strength of the two sides over the past few years. Obviously if a team has put in lots of internal development and is improving, this will not be factored into the algorithm and it will get them wrong (it will start correcting for this relatively quickly though). However, i find even in these circumstances it is quite interesting as you can quantify just how far they are outperforming the expectation and their previous form.

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

At the moment, put simply, we don’t. However were working on incorporating squad selection into the algorithm so that this does affect the predictions. Just haven’t quite got it tweaked properly yet!

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

Will try and get them up earlier in future, sure thing. However if you check out our website all the raw data stuff is up there early doors!

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview

Sure we can try do this for you. However if you dont see it up and running before then head on over the www.rugby4cast.com where we have them up and running before Thursday including other competitions such as six nations, pro14 etc. Also post on our Facebook page Rugby4Cast

Super Rugby: The super stats Round 2 wrap, Round 3 preview