The Roar
The Roar

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru

Joined November 2009

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Recruitment & List Analyst at Wests Tigers since 2019, previously Performance Analytics Consultant - Melbourne Storm (4 years)...WARNING! I don't get splinters when I sit down, and if you disagree with my view that's OK, just keep talking to me.

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Tom the Storm had packed stands in year 1 and won the GF in year 2

Why over 1500 games worth of NRL experience could be forced to retire

KK there is no short cut to knowledge; like most things, it requires hard work and being prepared to put in the long hours analysing countless video from start to finish as opposed to just highlights and then the specific analytics that goes with them.
Many of these guys on Podcasts are brilliant analysts in their own right and without this medium they would remain unknown and invisible.

Ten NRL SuperCoach podcasts to sink your ears into

Tom,
If we learnt anything from SuperLeague it was emotion is greater than logic.
Sydney has grown enormously in 100 years and clearly having the Roosters and the Rabbitohs so close is strategically dumb but despite John Ribot’s vision it was never going to fly.
Your vision of having just one team to cover the Bulldogs, Wests Tigers, the Eels and the Panthers is crazy.
Good banter though.

What would the NRL look like if we hit the reset button?

I actually wrote this one week ago, but know that we don’t have any footy, it will be interesting to listen to what the Podcasts come up with.
Fifth and Last is out tonight

Ten NRL SuperCoach podcasts to sink your ears into

Rugby,
Does Corey have his own Podcast? If so, what is it called? Corey is employed by the Broncos which makes it difficult to be 100% objective.

Ten NRL SuperCoach podcasts to sink your ears into

Explain the logic?
The situation is so bad we MUST suspend crowds next week. Got it!
OK so why allow crowds today and Sunday?
Everyone is safe this week but not next week apparently.
Yeah right!
This is black and white; either it’s safe or it’s not, and if it’s is deemed not safe then stop all crowds over 500 immediately.

NRL to lock fans out from Round 2 after coronavirus grips nation

Hey Thomas, I have listened to and read from dooms dayers like yourself about the Storm forever.
I had a cuppa with Storm Footy boss Frank Ponissi at Geelong Grammar during the club’s pre-season in 2015 when I was set to join the Talent Identification and Recruitment team.
I mentioned to Frank that every member of the media in Sydney had written the Storm off after the previous season’s 6th position.
“It doesn’t have to be that way”, I said to Frank, who did not hesitate to nod his head in agreement.
That year the Storm went on the finish 4th.
Since then the Storm has gone on win the Minor Premiership three of the next four years and were runners up on the other occasion with the highlight the 2017 Grand Final win.
Every year the Storm had been written off.
Last Tuesday Matt Tripp was made the club’s new Chairman. Anyone that has had anything to do with Matt or has studied his illustrious Business Resume will know that everything he does is all about winning and being the best.
Be a brave man to underestimate them again, especially with Craig Bellamy as Coach.

Will 2020 finally be the end of the Melbourne Storm dynasty?

Hi AJ,
Here’s my beef!
We have the same NEWS journos regurgitated from breakfast radio to writing in the Telegraph and then on 360. If you happen to listen, read and watch all of that media then you will get the exact same stories repeated.
E.g. Bulldog will break a scoop on 365 and then the same scoop will appear in print the next day word for word. That’s lazy journalism and a turn off for consumers.
This is why game thinkers like Coops are attractive as he is a point of difference.
We are secure in the world of Podcasts now and most of them are produced by RL unknowns and the content is refreshing.

What should we expect from Fox League?

Hi Scott,
I have written similar articles to this and I know from first-hand experience that you will never get 100% buy-in from your readers and are always open to a hammering to nothing. That said Scott, you have made some glaring stuff-ups that I will remind you of as the season progresses.
* You do not have Luciano Leilua, Zane Musgrove and Billy Walters in your 17.
All three players are genuine NRL class and maybe higher; they all have a substantial upside that Madge Maguire is an expert at improving.
Enjoy the season!

The Roar’s 2020 NRL preview series: The bottom two

If the Rabbitohs can convince young Joseph Suaalii to stay in RL then this time next year the champion schoolboy will be putting his hand up for Latrell’s #1 jersey, and it will be hard to deny him.
The ONLY thing stopping Latrell from being a great fullback will be fitness. I have studied him closely since he was a teenager playing FB and even then he struggled to make many runs, but when he decided to demand the ball and put his foot down you can bet that a try resulted, he was that good.
Most top class FBs will make over 15 runs a game, but Latrell will be lucky to get into double digits, especially if he still looks three months pregnant come Round 1.
When Latrell played centre for the Roosters, he would score a try every 10 runs. No other player came close to him with a 1/10 strike rate. Playing fullback he will make more than his normal eight runs a game and he will have more space, but he will not have the genius of Luke Keary passing to him so much.
Despite the potbelly, he makes my team any day.

Latrell Mitchell's journey to becoming a great fullback must start tomorrow

The Indigenous team are very lucky to have Laurie Daley as their coach; I have not met a better bloke in our sport. I told him that his team should have played in the Perth Nines.
On the anthem thing. Surely someone can do a re-write and modify the lyrics to suit everyone. After all, our current anthem is sick compared to NZ, the USA and France.
Let’s just produce a new one altogether!
Moving forward when we have an International event there are no winners when 100% of the team are not chiming in.

The importance of the Indigenous All Stars

What I learnt at the Nines!
* The footy was great and should be retained every year.
* As predicted some amazing talent unearthed, albeit to the public.
* Perth has close to ZERO interest in anything but AFL
* Most fans had no idea who was actually on the field playing
* A print out of players names and numbers should have been distributed freely
* No coffee on the ground anywhere
* Taxi’s non-exitent getting home.

Exhuming the NRL Nines: Flogging a dead horse no-one wants

Hi Tim,
I normally agree with your comments, but you are out of touch here.
Not sure who you mingle with, but everyone I know in RL can’t wait to watch the nines.
There is a big percentage of NRL players and excitingly a heap of highly promising players trying to impress.
Tim, players get injured at training and during the trials, it cannot be helped.
Relax and enjoy with an open mind.

Exhuming the NRL Nines: Flogging a dead horse no-one wants

Hey Jimmy,
Nice thought mate but in reality, you have to examine America first and how they think.
Their sporting world starts in NY and ends in LA. They even have a world series which is not global.
I wish AFL luck, it will be a waste of money.

The NRL can’t stand idle while the AFL takes America

Hi Tim,
The key to Arrow leaving the Titans and joining Souths is the Storm.
The Titans have signed big Tino from the Storm for 2021 and the Titans would need him to turn up 12 months early so Arrow can go.
The only way that will happen is for Souths to compensate the Storm.
Unlikely.

Arrow will be at Redfern in 2020 when the Bunnies make the Titans a decent offer

Hi Snoop,
If I make a comment I will always be able to support it with compelling data. Please advise where you think I am wrong? fyi, I watch 30 games a week.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Rob,
With respect, you don’t know what you are talking about mate.
Firstly, you are never going to win the argument comparing Thurston with Cronk.
Cronk played on the right side at the Storm and Roosters and the majority of tries were on the left in both teams. Cronk was right next to Proctor for most of his best years at the Storm and he was NOT a try scorer and neither was Will Chambers who played right Centre.
JT could play on both sides just as well. He was a freak!

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Rob,
I would love to be your bookie.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Max,
I could not have said it better myself Max, well said.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

The word “best” is open to many interpretations. I welcome anyone’s comments as everyone is entitled to their own mindshare. My comments were clearly defined what I meant by “best” and I set the parameters. With so many players to squeeze into just ten, it is impossible for all to agree.
Added bonus in a player like leadership and great communication skills are highly valuable, but there is no analytic for it.
Jonathan Thurston actually had all of those attributes, but it was his skill with the ball that made him number one.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Adam, Randy, Bezza,
I have already said that Coops is a worthy top 10 player. Just because I have others in front of him based on the criteria explained is ok. Thats what the Roar is.
Let me show you some data for the last 12 months that is reflective of the decade. Coops greatest value is his leadership and that is not in this data.:
If we look at key half data Coops did not hit any benchmark last year, while Keary and Cherry-Evans hit everyone incl:
ALL RUNS LINBRKASS TRY ASS TA+TRY SUPPORT FORCEDROP RUN METS
This pattern is consistent in previous years. I will say again Coops did not set the world on fire in his last few years at the Storm and he is not in the Roosters top 3 players, probably more. I can expand but I would rather discuss the positives that Coops brings to a team, which is immense. You have a different top 10 to me which is fine and expected. There is no right or wrong, but I can support my output from input.
It has stood me in good stead for many years.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Randy, Adam,
You are talking to a huge CC fan, I have already mentioned that in detail. This is nothing to do with personal feelings.
I don’t have space here to detail why Keary has been superior over Cronk in the last 6 years and that is not a blight on Coops. Keary is the most valuable player at the Roosters IMO and Cronk would also have Teddy and Latrell in front of him.
Again, space is an issue, but if all players were on the open market over the last 10 years, I would doubt that few, if any, would command a higher bid than Ponga.
There is a reason for that.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Randy,
You have picked 7 out of 9 Queenslanders.
Yes, I have developed my own program and refine it each year, but the power of the algorithm is only valuable if you combine it with video analysis, and of course the all-important “cuppa test”. This process spits out an accurate assessment of a player’s value % to the Salary Cap.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

Duncan,
Injuries and suspensions have a big influence on all games and by the time this GF came around the Storm were shot ducks. They lost their QF to the Warriors at home which killed them for injuries. Very difficult to win without the break in the modern era.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s

40,
Madge can speak for himself, but like you, I have seen what he did when he went to Wigan and then what he did when he went to the Rabbitohs. When you start work at 4am every morning and know what you are doing, you tend to get a lot of luck and it would be a brave man to bet against him getting the trifecta.

JT is by far the best NRL player of the 2010s