The Roar
The Roar

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru

Joined November 2009

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Recruitment & List Analyst at Wests Tigers since 2019, previously Performance Analytics Consultant - Melbourne Storm (4 years)...WARNING! I don't get splinters when I sit down, and if you disagree with my view that's OK, just keep talking to me.

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Hi Scott,
I am keen to see if the “6 again” rule is adopted internationally.
While on the subject of changes, if PVL brings in a Player Draft, then it should be extended to include Super League. That would be great for the game globally.

The six-again rule is here to stay, and so are the Eels

This heading is what is called “Sensationalism”.
And is 100% untrue!
What is true is that Izzy is world-class, but sadly if he did sign at any Sydney NRL club they would likely lose a big chunk of the members who like a drink and or are gay. Mmmm, that’s a lot.

Could Folau have ended up at the Tigers?

I just wanna say we kick off in 3 weeks and still do not have a draw.
HULLO!…….anyone home?

"There's a contract in place": V'landys hoses down Nine speculation

Bryce, as I said it is a great pub debate.
You clearly are a Joey fan with some selective hand-picked points and a JT fan could write a similar pitch for him.
There is no right or wrong, just be grateful they both gave us the delight to witness live.

Is Johnathan Thurston really better than Andrew Johns?

Rellum,
You need to lay down and have a rest mate.

Is Johnathan Thurston really better than Andrew Johns?

Adrian,
This has been a great pub banter, (that is when we can get in).
One thing is certain, certainly based on my Rating Value Model and hours of video analysis and analysing their analytics – Joey and JT are the two best and most influential players I have studied.
I long held the view that Joey was #1, then JT gave me my greatest thrill in the game by kicking that winning field goal to defeat the Broncos in the Golden Point Grand Final and then with one arm hanging limp he cased Laurie Daley’s sacking by kicking the winning goal from the sideline.
He was just so tenacious and never gave up. I think in the end, he wore Joey down in a photo, but what a privilege to be able to see them both play.
There is no one at their level playing today, or should I say May 28.

Is Johnathan Thurston really better than Andrew Johns?

With Ch 9 holding RL to ransome it seems we could have at least had the draw confirmed for Round 3.
We have a start date of May 28 which is psychology important for both players, clubs and fans to aim for, adding the actual teams they would play in that round would have been easy to do and would have increased the excitement build up and assisted teams in game prep.
The draw is already done so just make it official for round 3 would have increased more certainty.
It is disappointing that with only one month to go till kick-off Ch 9 and T20 is delaying the draw.
Ch 9 does not have a monopoly of FTA and T20 is not a genuine competitor to NRL in Australia.
What’s the problem?

NRL to decide season length on Friday

Jimmy people tend to listen to you when you don’t dictate.
I have the daily hospitalisations and new cases which is a direct indicator of what the future looks like. When it says very little (zero to 5) over a 4 week period and a 0.05% rate I am optimistic.
Jimmy, I have no problems with you stating your opinion mate, but please don’t advise me on the subject of data.

NRL broadcasters agree on May 28 restart

I would have no problems shaking hand with anyone now, that is how strong I believe in the recent data.
btw, 94% of deaths are linked to secondary diseases. If you do not have another disease and have fresh air and regular sunlight, data suggests you will be ok.

NRL broadcasters agree on May 28 restart

Jimmy,
I analyse data for a living and have done for some time inputting into multi million$ decisions. When a graph trends from a LOT to virtually zero over several 5 days moving averages it is telling you that we will be back to near normal in a month. That is a fact, nothing to do with medicine.
Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases is the key player on the USA task Force and like PVL’s original expert, and the WHO, they did not read the data correctly.
WHO was guided by China who influenced the world, but the quality of the data is all heading in the right direction now.

NRL broadcasters agree on May 28 restart

Hi Scott
NRL hater Peter FitzSimons bagged Commish Chair Peter V’landys today for re-starting the competition on May 28. Gee what a surprise!
With the lack of footy analytics for me to study in recent months, I put together a CORVID-19 model, and while monitoring global trends, my focus was on Australia and NZ.
Most administrations initially received poor advice from their Pandemic experts (remember WHO?).
You do not have to be an epidemiologist to understand how to analyse a data chart.
PVL will be very conscious that he has almost 5 weeks for the NRL to be a showcase to world sport (wow, how good) and within the NRL he has available to him some brilliant Data Scientists who no doubt will be advising him what I have been seeing for the last few weeks.
* New cases and hospitalizations are between zero and not many in every state and in NZ.
The daily data fully supports May 28 in my model and well done to PVL.
If we waited for the thumbs up from Peter Fitzsimons, our game would be in the same state as his beloved Rugby Union, and so would the economy.

NRL broadcasters agree on May 28 restart

max
You are delusional mate. Who said I read NewsCorp tabloids, and if I did who said I believe it?
If you must know, I actually read US tabloids, and I don’t believe most of that either.

Fittler blames clubs for NRL woes, not Greenberg

Freddie was a genius at counting numbers of the opposition on each side of the field, he rarely got it wrong but when it comes to spreadsheets he should take note of the great man Clint Eastwood: “a man’s gotta know his limitations”.

Fittler blames clubs for NRL woes, not Greenberg

Daddy,
The Commish and also club land have some brilliant business minds and many of them didn’t like a struggling CEO telling them how to run their business when he was spending 500k a day.
I get that, it would not go down well with me either.
$3.2m on a Bunker that 3 guys at Moore park could achieve the exact same results for no cost. Dont start me.

Fittler blames clubs for NRL woes, not Greenberg

Laine,
With the greatest respect to Freddie, God blessed him with an amazing gift so he was able to become a pro footballer from school and then walk into a cushy media gig. He has a brilliant footy brain but I would doubt he could spell MBA. ie He is not qualified to vilify clubs about P&Ls.
The facts are clear that he was a key reason why the Bulldogs are in big trouble today, and you can size it up any way you like but 500k a day to run the NRL is criminal.
That said, several long term Commish members watch and did nothing for a long time.

Fittler blames clubs for NRL woes, not Greenberg

There are 2 ex TV station CEO’s would make my shortlist. Either would be outstanding and a real coup for the game.

As Todd Greenberg exits, what will happen next for the NRL?

AJ
A high profile corporate exec told me yesterday how embarrassed he was for the game that some of the well-known rugby league names were suggested for the NRL CEO. “Are they kidding”, he said.
Like most things, you tend to get what you pay for and the game has a golden chance to recruit an outstanding CEO. What many don’t get is if he/she cost $5m and they boost growth and the bottom line then they will turn out to be cheap.
It is the most important decision PVL and the Commish will make; like when we recruit a key on field general for a team, it makes or breaks you.

As Todd Greenberg exits, what will happen next for the NRL?

Placepunter
The simple answer is the NRL cannot give out any details until they negotiate the broadcast details and the composition of the competition.
The Broadcasters cash will determine what happens, but having a date to aim at is a positive move, regardless if we make it.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Mick,
If they can start may 28 then they should be able to get to at least Round 22 without changing the original draw. That would be the best outcome.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Big Daddy,
What do I have to do to get you back in the Wests Tigers fold?

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Joe,
Fitness has never been a problem you know that.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Placepunter,
The fact is, he was originally thinking Sept 1., but the new cases graph has dipped much faster than expected so with new data you are able to make new decisions. Similar to what is happening now in the US.
Prez Trump is 100% correct that the cure could be worse than the virus. If the economy does not open asap when it is safe to do so, then we will have no economy and it will take 5 to 10 years to recover costing tens of thousands of lives.
It is great to have something to aim for.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Hi Joe,
if the covid-19 trending keeps going down then May 28 is realistic. I can’t see any reason to alter the rules which will make you happy Joe as your Storm boys are super fit.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Paul,
You are wrong to blame a coach for playing within the rules. If you have a beef then take it out with the rule-makers.
Bellamy does not coach his players wrestling any more than any other top coach; he may well be guilty of doing better.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’

Placepunter,
Just because we have a date that does not mean we will actually start then, but it has given the clubs surety and importantly something to aim for instead of looking at walls all-day. We can always put the date back, but based on the trending of new cases May 28 is looking good. I love the glass half full attitude.
As for the AFL show of “humility,” you will find that they have been working overtime with governments to ensure the borders will be open to them for an early start also.
That’s not a guess.

Craig Bellamy is right - settle down with the ‘innovations’