Roar Guru
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Which players are most deserving of a Test call-up?
At halftime of the 2022 NBA All Star game, they formally celebrated the greatest 75 players (there was actually 76 due to a tie…
Being a weird numbers guy, the first-ever Olympic mixed medley relay taking place on Saturday has sparked my curiosity. As such, I wanted to…
It’s draft day! The speculation will soon be over, but just before we find out who is going where, it is time for a…
Moneyball was a movie based on the Oakland Athletics’ Major League Baseball team’s success in building a team of undervalued talent through purely statistical…
After posting an astonishing crowd of 80,883 the MCG plays host once again as the Melbourne Stars look to claim their third straight win…
Day result: Australia needs seven wickets to win the Test at the Gabba on the final day, after rain halted their steady progress through…
Finals football has arrived as the Cronulla Sharks’ quest to win their first ever premiership begins against the out-of-form reigning premiers the South Sydney…
Match result: Manly ended Cronulla's hopes of a top four finish and put a black mark on their premiership aspirations with a 2-point in…
Match Result: A dominant performance from Robbie Farah has left the Wests Tigers management red-faced as he lifted them to a 50-16 win over…
Match Result: The Gold Coast Titans may have saved themselves the dishonour of winning the wooden spoon after a 28-12 win over the Canberra…
The New Zealand Warriors welcome back Sam Tomkins as they seek their third straight victory against an out of sorts Newcastle Knights team at…
![[VIDEO] New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights Highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Manu-Vatuvei-415x285.jpg)
The Canberra Raiders are seeking their fourth straight victory as they face another side exceeding expectations in 2015, the St George Illawarra Dragons in…
![[VIDEO] St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/JarrodCroker-415x285.jpg)
The returning Semi Radrada will be hoping to turn around the fortunes of the Parramatta Eels as they host the third-placed Melbourne Storm at…
![[VIDEO] Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Semi-Radradra-415x285.jpg)
Leichhardt Oval will play host to its first fixture of 2015 as the old Tigers vs Raiders rivalry of yesteryear takes shapes at the…
![[VIDEO] Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/James-Tedesco-415x285.jpg)
The Canberra Raiders are seeking their first home victory of the season as they welcome the Melbourne Storm to GIO Stadium. Join The Roar…
![[VIDEO] Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/raiders-415x285.jpg)
Blake Ferguson will play against his former club for the first time as the Sydney Roosters take on their former premiership winning coach Ricky…
![[VIDEO] Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/JakeFriend-415x285.jpg)
Greg Bird, Dave Taylor and Beau Falloon return as the Gold Coast Titans look for their first win of the season against the undefeated…
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The young Canberra Raiders are looking to make it two from two as they welcome the New Zealand Warriors to GIO Stadium. Join The…
![[VIDEO] Canberra Raiders vs New Zealand Warriors highlights: NRL scores, blog](https://cdn4.theroar.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Wighton-Jack-415x285.jpg)
An intriguing rematch of last year’s preliminary final awaits as the Penrith Panthers seek to take revenge for their 2014 exit at the hands…
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I’d say Pocock is the only one with a very strong case. He was immense in 2011 (his game against SA in QF was one of the best individual games I’ve seen) and was named in team of the tournament in 2015 as a number 8.
The Roar's Greatest Wallabies Rugby World Cup XV Poll closes TONIGHT!
Tough not being able to pick both Campese and Roff. Pocock made team of the tournament in 2015 as number 8 so think he should’ve been allowed to be picked there. My real team: 1 – Daly 2 – Kearns 3 – McKenzie 4 – Giffin 5 – Eales 6 – Ofahengaue 7 – Smith 8 – Pocock 9 – Farr-Jones 10 – Larkham 11 – Campese 12 – Horan 13 – Mortlock 14 – Roff 15 – Burke
The Roar's Greatest Wallabies Rugby World Cup XV Poll closes TONIGHT!
He had less than 30 dismissals surprisingly. Probably because he hasn’t kept much since 2019. Yeah good points about prodigies and conditions. I could’ve done so but would take a bit longer to work out the difference between stats in England and outside. Thought I’d keep it simple and consistent for now.
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
Great point. The Aus Selectors always seem to love picking players before they’re ready. Voges and Hussey are great examples. Marcus Harris is probably one that was picked too early so now everyone thinks he’s a failure. Whereas the numbers say he’s a better batsman now then the times when he played test cricket in his 20’s. The selectors new favourite Lance Morris simply because of his pace being ahead of Michael Neser is another example of them favouring the youth over record.
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
Peirson actually just sneaks ahead of Carey on D/M lol but it’s very close. Carey batting drops to 37.42 with 3.54 D/M = 49.56. Peirson remains on 36.28, 3.79 D/M = 49.90. Lyon remains ahead of all the spinners still so the rest is correct.
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
Very surprised they’ve only selected 4 quicks. They had 6 in the 2019 squad.
Ashes squad announced: Marsh gets surprise recall, Warner avoids axe but two openers picked as cover, Morris out
He’s back bowling in IPL now. Hardie is very unlucky though – 43 with the bat and 29 with the ball in first class cricket
Ashes squad announced: Marsh gets surprise recall, Warner avoids axe but two openers picked as cover, Morris out
Can you give the top 10 or 15 batsmen and bowlers without the 25% weighting for test performances? Batsmen: 1. Labuschagne 2. Green 3. Smith 4. Pucovski 5. Khawaja 6. Wade 7. Head 8. Harris 9. S. Marsh 10. Hardie 11. Maddinson 12. Handscomb 13. Henriques 14. Bancroft 15. Webster 16. Renshaw 17. Warner 18. Whiteman 19. Carey. So Warner takes a huge fall. Bowling: 1. Neser 2. Cummins 3. Boland 4. Paris 5. Hazlewood 6. Tremain 7. Siddle 8. Steketee 9. Sutherland 10. Bird 11. Morris 12. Pattinson 13. Bartlett 14. Copeland 15. Abbott 16. Conway 17. Worrall 18. Starc. So Starc takes a huge fall. Pretty disgraceful that Neser has missed out on the real ashes squad
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
Neser robbed
Ashes squad announced: Marsh gets surprise recall, Warner avoids axe but two openers picked as cover, Morris out
Very well put!
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
That’s a good point but then test players also have to have difficult series in India, England etc. I found 25% to be the sweet spot to keep continuity in the team.
Ashes Moneyball: What would the Australian squad look like if it was selected on stats alone
What more does Hughes have to do? In the last 4 years he has scored 1186 runs at an average of 69.76 and strike rate of 90.74 in the Marsh One Day Cup. As good as he is in tests, Labuschagne has not shown to be an effective ODI player (average of 32.16, strike rate of 84.54 from 27 matches) – his overall list A record is not much better. Since Head has relished being an opener, Hughes should be given a go at the number 4 spot if runs in this format mean anything. Agar, Inglis, Abbott, Stoinis also lucky to make the squad. Kuhnemann, Bancroft, Tye unlucky.
Warner returning to India: Selectors go back to the past in veteran-heavy Australian ODI squad
Close to what I had. Only 0.31 difference. Chalmers might be a bit fatigued (‘only’ swam 47.54 in the heat last night) so this could be our best team. Happy they’ve started with Kaylee and Zac
'Weird numbers guy' predicts outcome of Saturday's first ever Olympic mixed medley relay
Fair point, I will play around with it at 30 and 35% and see if any results change.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
Good point Brett, and that was the exact reason I didn’t pick a Captain. Couldn’t see anyone in the 11 that really stood out as an exceptional leader. You want the captain to be a clear choice in the 11 too, and the only non-bowler that applies to is Khawaja.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
Wade was mostly let down by his past performances with the bat for Australia. Yep, fair point, I certainly don’t have the data to pull off such a sophisticated analysis. I just used it for a bit of attention to show that I was purely picking players based on the formula rather than any sort of subjectivity.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
Correct, only went with shield stats, which don’t favour Renshaw this season, but he certainly had a great County stint last season. After the Sri Lanka series, I will look at incorporating County stats, as it will be a strong indicator of how they perform in English conditions. I thought about separating openers from middle order, but simply picked the top 5 due to the fact Harris and Khawaja opened together in the last test.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
Wow, big call. If he goes well, looks like I will have to lower my minimum requirements on matches.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
Lack of matches for Pucovski. He only played 1 in 16-17, 3 in 17-18 and 2 in 18-19, meaning he has only played 1.9 Weighted Average Matches (Well short of the 5 required). His Weighted Average is a phenomenal 75.73 (Second only to Smith). If he proves his great start is no fluke, and plays each shield match he should be in the top 5 batsman next season.
Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only
11 overs
Stars cruising to victory here, as Maxwell and Wright both move into the 30s.
MS 2/83
42 from 54 needed.
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes highlights: Big Bash League scores, blog
7 overs
Tait back into the attack to bowl to Maxwell – should be exciting. Goes for a few runs, but no boundaries, as the Stars look back in control now.
MS 2/45
80 from 78 needed.
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes highlights: Big Bash League scores, blog
6 overs
Maxwell and Wright both take Rainbird to the fence via a cover drive and leg-side nudge respectively.
MS 2/38
87 from 84 needed
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes highlights: Big Bash League scores, blog
5 overs
Maxwell the new man in, as Wright takes a single to calm things down.
MS 2/28
97 from 90 needed
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes highlights: Big Bash League scores, blog
WICKET
Now Pietersen is gone! He tells Channel Ten that he doesn’t want to chat until he is settled in, but he won’t get that chance. Wright smashes rose for four and six. He then played a cut and went to run but changed his mind, Pietersen ended up at the same end and will have to go.
Pietersen Run Out 1 (1)
MS 2/27
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes highlights: Big Bash League scores, blog
Fiji get robbed by refereeing every World Cup. Same thing happened in the opening game of 2015 RWC against England.
'Officiating killed us': Fiji fury over 'grotesque' refereeing as Semi Radradra fumble lets Wales off hook