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The Roar

Tim Miller

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Joined October 2016

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I love cricket so much I once had a dream I was timed out. It was the worst nightmare I've ever had. I also support the Western Bulldogs, which, much like dressing like clowns on the street and scaring people, was weird and depressing for a very long time, briefly became amazing in late 2016 and then swiftly went back to being weird and depressing. I also occasionally tweet about things at @timejmiller.

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OK you’ve got me there Rowdy – changed it to read ‘of the 2000s instead’.

Every grand final of the 2000s, ranked first to 24th: Which classic is 'the most underrated decider in footy history'?

I’d half forgotten about Travis Cloke’s first half that day – holy hell was he a destroyer of worlds in the early 2010s.

Every grand final of the 2000s, ranked first to 24th: Which classic is 'the most underrated decider in footy history'?

“Typical Vic-centric approach”

*has non-Victorian grand final wins as the literal top two*

Every grand final of the 2000s, ranked first to 24th: Which classic is 'the most underrated decider in footy history'?

I feel like the Lions really SHOULD win next week – I’ll certainly be tipping them.

But is it wrong that I still don’t really trust them despite getting to the last two?

Finals Fix: One quarter from hell couldn't keep the Lions out of the big dance - but another might just cost them the flag

Even in finals though, 11 goals isn’t that many and nor is 19 shots, right?

Also not sure Sydney being ‘one of the better defensive teams in the comp’ holds weight given only two finalists in GWS and Port conceded more H&A points.

Why every team will win their AFL semi final... and why they'll lose

Yeah that’s fair – more a reflection on the star power of Brisbane than a dig at McCluggage!

Surely most people would have the three biggest stars at Brisbane as Andrews down back, Neale in the middle and Cameron up forward though?

Should the Blues be... favourites? Five burning questions ahead of AFL semi finals

This wasn’t a go at Wilkie at all – he’s been superb all year. It was more a reflection on how using him on Greene effectively nullified him as an intercepting weapon – just four intercept possies for the game is a long way down on what he usually provides, and for me was a huge reason why the Saints conceded the amount of points they did.

Finals Fix: Ross Lyon made two fatal mistakes with the Saints' defence - and they paid the ultimate price

He can’t. The point I’m trying to make is that his electing to jump is the same as choosing to bump (which was also a point of conjecture a decade ago that we’ve grown to accept now) – once you leave the ground you’re in a dangerous position and any injury sustained is on you.

Who am I kidding, though – there’s no way I’m ever going to convince the supporter of a team that their player should be banned! Let’s just see what the MRO has to say about it and call it even, eh?

Finals Fix: Manic Magpies expose Dees' massive flaw - but here's why they should have to win it all without Maynard

It was a smother that knocked out a bloke, Peter.

Yes, for 120 years the fact it’s a footy act has allowed stuff like this to happen, but the game has changed where the consequences are serious enough to warrant a closer look.

Will it get him banned? With the way the MRO operates these days, I’ve honestly got no idea.

Finals Fix: Manic Magpies expose Dees' massive flaw - but here's why they should have to win it all without Maynard

AFL Rising Star Power Rankings: Every nominee rated from 1-24 - is it Sheezel's to lose in the best crop of young guns ever?

Yeah that’s fair. I’ll say this about headlines: the goal is to try and get people interested enough to read it. Sometimes that might mean a bit of hyperbole but with so much content around you’ve sort of got to buy into it a bit to stand out.

Footy Fix: If you're not terrified about your team facing the Hawks yet... you should be

Build of Kouta and the brain of Hird. I’m buying all the stocks.

Footy Fix: If you're not terrified about your team facing the Hawks yet... you should be

Oh yeah, the Pies will be fine. Daicos injury is a bad one but one more win locks up the minor premiership and gives them a flagging Port in the first week. Imagine adding him to a prelim final line-up…

Footy Fix: If you're not terrified about your team facing the Hawks yet... you should be

More of an expert than me at this point 😂

Six Points: Port's concussion farce, an all time MCG classic, and a day of upsets flips the season on its head

Hi Peter, can I add this comment to my CV? 😂 😊

Footy Fix: ANOTHER Magpie magic act sinks the Power - here's how Collingwood pulled off their greatest heist yet

Love what Cuningham and Fogarty have put together in particular as pressure smalls over the last four weeks. No coincidence that the lift has come with these two recalled.

Six Points: Defending Josh Rachele, the Blues' unsung hero, and why the Dogs would be mad to sack Bevo

I wrote last week that North will be fine and stick by that. They gutted the list before time in 2016 by getting rid of Boomer Harvey and co. which set them back for a long time, and they’ve had one properly failed rebuild with the David Noble tenure.

LDU’s properly close to being a top-20 player – just needs a clean run with injuries in my view – and Sheezel/Wardlaw are only going to get better.

They might be 2013 Melbourne now, but the Dees built pretty solidly after that. It’s going to be a long haul but no one’s bad forever.

Six Points: Defending Josh Rachele, the Blues' unsung hero, and why the Dogs would be mad to sack Bevo

There’s pros and cons to both, but my view is the travel factor isn’t as big an issue as it’s purported to be. Victorian teams get to sleep in their own beds etc. when they play Geelong in Geelong and still no one wins down there.

For me home ground advantage is more to do with a) knowing the ground/state and tailoring a game plan to it (i.e. GMHBA is thin, the SCG is small, warmer conditions in Perth/Brisbane), and b) having a hugely one-sided crowd, which has a demonstrable impact on umpiring decisions (noise of affirmation) and maybe even gives a second wind to the home team’s players.

Melbourne don’t get that when they play, say, Carlton at the MCG, but West Coast do when they play anyone at home (and are somewhat good).

For me that outweighs the travel issue considerably, but can acknowledge the argument the other way.

Six Points: Defending Josh Rachele, the Blues' unsung hero, and why the Dogs would be mad to sack Bevo

Also doesn’t help that success in 2021 got the Dogs raided for talent a bit. That year guys like Patrick Lipinski and Lewis Young were constantly banging down the door but only getting semi-regular games. Both’d be locks in the best 22 now.

Six Points: Defending Josh Rachele, the Blues' unsung hero, and why the Dogs would be mad to sack Bevo

Thanks for the kind words, Skip!

Footy Fix: Seven minutes, four goals, all heart - how Melbourne pulled off 2023's biggest heist

I can’t have this argument that says the solution is jumbling around the entire batting order for Warner to make way – particularly as, across the WTC final and the start of the Ashes, Green has averaged below 20 with the bat and 45 with the ball.

If the best solution is to dump Warner and open with someone who has NEVER opened in first-class cricket, be it Green or Labuschagne, then that’s no solution at all IMO.

COMMENT: Australia left it too late to fix Warner problem - we're stuck with him for the series

“Warner was dropped by a sitter on 20”.

You could make that argument of Mitch Marsh at Headingley too, yet there are still people adamant he should bat at 5 and Head open in place of Warner.

I would also argue it’s disingenuous to say the pitch at Lord’s was a ‘road’ for Warner – the first morning that ball was moving around corners and he batted extremely well.

COMMENT: Australia left it too late to fix Warner problem - we're stuck with him for the series

Warner made a 60 literally one Test ago – he had a shocker at Headingley but I wouldn’t say he’s going ‘terribly’ for an opener in English conditions.

I’m a big fan of Renshaw and the time to pick him was at the end of the home summer, or failing that the tour of India when Warner got injured and there was a vacancy at the top of the order.

In any case, it’s Harris who got picked as the backup batter in the squad – you couldn’t possibly have Renshaw vault over him on the basis of no first-class cricket since the tour started.

COMMENT: Australia left it too late to fix Warner problem - we're stuck with him for the series

I don’t think the Warner problem has been particularly big until the last 12 months or so. Was injured and a key absence for the start of the 2020/21 India series and we had 0 replacements for him (Matt Wade opened in a couple Tests), then made a hundred and a 90 to start the 21/22 Ashes.

Really only when he was poor in Sri Lanka and then ordinary again to start last summer against the Windies/South Africa is when it became clear there was an issue.

Still far too slow a reaction from the selectors in any case.

COMMENT: Australia left it too late to fix Warner problem - we're stuck with him for the series

Thanks to everyone who flagged the issue with the tipping competition. A temporary fix has been put in place – if you head to this page – https://www.theroar.com.au/tipping/?comp=16 – and where it says ‘Select a Round’ go manually to Round 16, you’ll be able to enter tips there. Apologies for the inconvenience, should be smooth sailing for the rest of the season.

The Roar's AFL expert tips and predictions Round 16: Huzzah, the byes are done!

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