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Newcastle Jets
1
Match Complete
Melbourne City FC
0
| N. Boogaard |  | 86' | ||
| 81' | | B. Garuccio | ||
| V. Yuel |  | 40' | ||
| 38' | | S. Jamieson |
| 16 | Shots | 11 | ||
| 4 | On Target | 4 | ||
| 10 | Fouls | 11 | ||
| 10 | Corners | 4 | ||
| 3 | Offsides | 2 | ||
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 | ||
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 2 |
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The Newcastle Jets will be welcoming Melbourne City in a big match for both sides as they look to play themselves into the top six at McDonald Jones Stadium. Join The Roar for live scores and a blog of the match, with the first ball rolling at 4:05pm (AEDT).
Newcastle have shaken off a rocky start to the season by taking four points from their last six games, but they still sit bottom of the A-League ladder, level on points with Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory, despite having played two games more.
Despite this, fans have been praising Newcastle’s performances this season, and there are statistics to back this up. Newcastle have scored six goals this season and conceded nine, but their expected goals across the season are 10.5 and their xG conceded is 7.4.
This essentially means that Newcastle should have roughly between ten and 11 goals scored this season (compared to their actual six) and between seven and eight conceded (compared to nine).
If we are to judge teams on their games using just xG and form a table, Newcastle remarkably sit first. If Newcastle were to have scored and conceded what was expected, this clash would essentially be top (Newcastle) versus mid-low table (Melbourne City).
While the underlying numbers look good for Newcastle, they may likely continue to consistently under-perform their expected goals as they lack a clinical striker, while their defence has been shaky.
For example, Roy O’Donovan’s xG for the season is 3.47, compared to the two he’s scored.
But overall, we can expect more wins from Newcastle this season and a game against an out-of-form Melbourne City may be the perfect place to start.
Looking at Melbourne City from an expected goals point of view, they have the same expected points as actual points (six). Their xG is six while their goals scored is four, though.
City are going through a dip in form. After opening their season with two wins from three, they have fallen off with losses to Perth Glory and the Central Coast Mariners in their past two games.
Under Patrick Kisnorbo, Melbourne City have played the same brand of football as they did under Erick Mombaerts. Their wingers have stayed high and wide when building from deep, one of the fullbacks have often come inside into midfield while their two central midfielders continue to look to push into the wide channels to create overloads on the wings.
However, City have looked sloppy at times in possession – particularly in the first 20 minutes when they would knock the ball up the field instead of keeping calm and retaining possession.
Discipline issues have got to them. They’ve picked up three red cards in just five games, which was the downfall against Adelaide United and the Mariners, who both found their winning goals against ten men.
Prediction
For these reasons, Newcastle will cash in on their xG and leave McDonald Jones Stadium with a 2-1 win.
For live scores and commentary of the match, make sure to tune into The Roar from 4:05pm (AEDT).
Kick-off: 4:05pm (AEDT)
Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
TV: Fox Sports
Live stream: Kayo Sports, Foxtel Now, Foxtel Go, MyFootball Live app
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