GWS predicts 2015 premiership success

By Andrew Silverman / Roar Rookie

Here’s something to make you giggle. Graeme ‘Gubby’ Allan, Greater Western Sydney football manager, has predicted the AFL’s newest franchise will win a premiership by 2015.

That’s right, after entering the competition in 2012, the ultimate measure of success may be only three years away.

“That’s the plan – whether it happens, I can tell you I’m very confident now,” he told The Footy Show.

Cmon Gubby, it’s time to wake from your obvious slumber and get a grip on reality.

The most staggering part of his bold claim is that GWS haven’t played a game yet. Well, not a real one. They have certainly played a number of practice matches against seasoned AFL footballers and been belted to within an inch of their life.

But to win a flag, apart from a bit of luck, you need an experienced and talented playing list along with a club administration of the same quality. Premierships rarely, if ever, come when one is lacking. Now either Allan knows something we don’t know or he’s gone stark raving mad.

Either way, predictions of premierships before officially entering the competition is ludicrous and leaves you open for exorbitant amounts of ridicule.

GWS are in the midst of an armchair ride not afforded to any other club in history other than the Gold Coast and still, until this season is over, we won’t be fully aware of any dealings or discussions with soon to be uncontracted players.

But if you pick up the paper on any given day you will most certainly read ad nauseum, about Tom Scully and Callan Ward. Scully will be a star but he isn’t yet. Ward is a good, honest player but hardly one of the game’s greats and certainly not worth anywhere near the ridiculous sums of money being bandied around for his services.

But despite the boredom and monotony of the Scully and Ward future, there is no doubt there are other high profile players in the sights of GWS and they may just sign a host of big names but premiership success is still never guaranteed – even Allan knows that.

Allan is an experienced football manager at both Collingwood and Brisbane, tasting premiership success at both clubs creating an incredibly over inflated opinion of himself or just someone with a highly compromised and distorted view of the real world.

“I’ve been involved in premierships at two clubs and I think I know how to (build) a premiership list.”

It sounds to me like he’s trying to convince himself.

With such a wealth of experience it might just pay for him to look at the history of several established AFL clubs just to understand what a difficult task winning a flag is. After well over 100 attempts, St Kilda and the Western Bulldogs have one flag a piece. The Dockers too are yet to taste success since their inception in 1995.

Even if GWS have agreements in place to sign some high profile players at season’s end, it’s going to take a lot longer than a few years to win a flag.

There is also a view in Sydney that the appointment of Kevin Sheedy will be the masterstroke that provides early success. Sure he may be more experienced than any other available coach but his recent coaching record at Essendon is average to say the least. His last three years saw woeful recruiting decisions along with finishes of 13th, 15th and 12th. That’s hardly flag worthy.

GWS, as with the Suns, have been given huge amounts of money and draft picks to ensure success as early as possible but there is one thing that Graeme Allan and others seem to be forgetting.

There are 16 established AFL clubs just waiting to have a crack at GWS from next year and concessions aside, it’s not going to be as easy as he thinks.

The Crowd Says:

2011-07-11T13:02:32+00:00

The Cattery

Roar Guru


GWS has announced the signing of three rookies on international scholarships: http://www.worldfootynews.com/article.php/20110710181236318 the three are from Nauru, PNG and NZ.

2011-07-11T02:24:23+00:00

The Cattery

Roar Guru


GWS doing a skills session at Blacktown, incl three international scholarship holders: http://yfrog.com/kggz8nj

2011-07-09T09:17:11+00:00

The Cattery

Roar Guru


Mintern20 says: Great day at the home of the @GWS_Giants - great crowd support, GIANTS beat Lions, Izzy kicks 4 AND 70 new foundation members! #orangearmy

2011-07-09T08:27:25+00:00

The Cattery

Roar Guru


GWS has just recorded a strong win over the Lions reserves, Izzy got 4 goals: http://www.gwsgiants.com.au/young-guns-secure-giant-victory.html

2011-07-05T17:31:35+00:00

JVGO

Guest


You say Sydney people have complained about it, then say so you are going to give us even more? Does that make sense? Why? To torture us? Do you hate us that much? Do you like burning money? You don't have anything better to do? Nothing about the AFL makes sense. But with supporters like Uncle Bob, Republican, Clipper, and Redb and all their madcap opinions....what could you expect? Sing along everyone, 'Rule Demetriou, the AFL rules the waves...'

2011-07-05T12:12:09+00:00

The_Wookie

Roar Guru


AFL teams cannot survive in areas of low turnout and support. You can run a rugby club on the smell of an oily rag and a few poker machines, if the recent media is anything to go by, but your average AFL club has more staff, more infrastructure requirements, and more revenue required t support it than would be available in the NT, Tasmania or even the ACT at the present time. 15k is less than half the current AFL average crowd, and is about all that the NT/ACT grounds can take. These areas are perenially doomed to have a couple of matches a year for a long time to come.

2011-07-05T12:07:57+00:00

The_Wookie

Roar Guru


Sydney people have often complained about AFL advertising in various media forms. I doubt you've seen a tenth of the hype that will begin in Sydney media next year. The AFL has been woeful in its promotion of the code in Sydney before GWS - to the point that the Swans complained about it a couple of years ago when bugger all people showed up to ANZ for a match. That will be history next year.

2011-07-05T06:29:17+00:00

GrecoRoman

Guest


Baseball is not that popular, but in some ways it has its niche as a bat-ball sport simply because club cricket was too time intensive (standing around for several hours on a Saturday and Sunday). Basketball is an indoor sport, and an Olympic sport with worldwide appeal. League was about paying players for broken time and there was a call for it (depending on which side of history you sit). The point I'm trying to make though Jackson is that AR is just another code of football. There are already 4 pro RL teams and a host of amateur ones for 4 different codes. You can't just then 'market' the club as a 'gimmick' and expect success. This is the perception - that it's not about building a club in the Western Suburbs, but a gimicky 'franchise' that's about generating dollars in terms of media rights. People also don't like being aggressively sold to.

2011-07-04T12:24:48+00:00

JVGO

Guest


AFL has been live into Sydney homes since the 1970's Uncle Bob. That's 40 years already. Swans have been here 30 years. (Wow, it's like taking a walk on the wild side on an AFL thread, Uncle Bob, Republican, Redb..)That means Sydney has had 4 codes of football for over thirty years. All of them professional for the last 15 years. Melbourne has had 4 professional codes for 1 year. But Sydney is wide open for an AFL conversion so that we will end up finally just like Melbourne...land of the AFL dinosaurs. I can totally see your logic.

2011-07-04T12:15:57+00:00

NF

Guest


'I will be surprised if AFL is not the dominant footballing code in the north by then. If not, throw more teams and money at it until the whole joint is swamped.' You think by shoving more teams would mean the people up north would instantly fall in love in well you dead wrong even more laughable to suggest AFL will be number 1 up north you can't change enriched culture. AFL is number one in southern states while NRL is number 1 up north and it will stay that way unless you can state evidence otherwise. Plonking teams here and there in QLD/NSW won't work at all.

2011-07-04T12:02:49+00:00

Uncle Bob

Guest


We keep hearing about the problems in Sydney. Why do people stay? There are jobs in other parts. Been there numerous times. Just do not see what the big deal is. Les Murray lives there, so maybe there is something. Maybe the Hungarian club. I suppose if you like the ladies you would be in paradise with little competition. Still, it is a big sacrifice to go there.

2011-07-04T11:58:15+00:00

Uncle Bob

Guest


It's possible what you say. The big difference with AFL compared to the A-League and NRL is that all Giants and Swans matches will be beamed live into every NSW residents home on free to air tele. That is 100 percent of tv homes get these games. Not 20 percent as you get with Foxtel/Austar. Give it 20 to 30 years then let us talk. I will be surprised if AFL is not the dominant footballing code in the north by then. If not, throw more teams and money at it until the whole joint is swamped. Never forget, NRL and union has been there for 120 odd years and struggles for attendances and to be a clear cut dominant code. It is wide open in Sydney.

2011-07-04T11:47:53+00:00

Uncle Bob

Guest


Well, if the AFL players get what they want from the next CBA. They will make it very attractive for young athletes to jump to the big bucks of AFL footy. The poker machine money which bankrolls NRL looks to be running out of public favour.

2011-07-04T07:19:08+00:00

GrecoRoman

Guest


Geographically you might say Parramatta is the 'hub' of Western Sydney, but it is rather spread out and the transport infrastructure here is near 3rd world standard (probably reflecting the 3rd world standards of corruption in local government in Sydney and NSW).

2011-07-04T07:13:29+00:00

Jaceman

Guest


NRL thrives on controversy and so GWS have taken the same path (I hope) but I cant agree they have targeted the Hills district. If they were based in Campbelltown people would accuse them of being focussed on SW Sydney.. There is no such thing as a hub of western Sydney as many people have suggested so the Olympic site at Rouse Hill, a compliant council and a growth area of 500K people in the next 20 years seems a good place to start. The melbourne Storm won in 1999 because they closed down the Rams, Reds and Mariners and the best players (and Lazarus form News Ltd Broncos) got together a great Storm team. Thats not possible in the AFL so they are hardly being arrogant by getting young players to build a team...

2011-07-03T11:47:24+00:00

Paul

Guest


It has taken some clubs like the Bulldogs and St Kilda a long time to get close to winning a flag. Not sure GWS can win one so quickly.

2011-07-03T06:28:13+00:00

AC

Guest


2015 NAH - with all the concessions the AFL is giving them they will win next year. I heard they are going to be alout to get 8 points fotr a goal and three for a behinf to even it up.

2011-07-03T05:16:33+00:00

Republican

Guest


Perhaps a 'top end' side then, that represented the NT, FNQ and even PNG? Fixtures can easily be scheduled at night to counter the heat factor. Footy seasons start prematurely anyway these days, so athletes are already exposed to heat even in the south as a result. I don't believe there exists any tyranny of distance in this day and age. WA is certainly a long haul from anywhere on the Eastern seaboard yet that has never been seen as a deterrent to placing elite brands in Perth. They already have Soccer, Union and of course AFL represented there and League is currently toying with the idea of going West as well. As much as I would love to see the nations capital rewarded for it's historic footy pedigree, I don't think it will happen sadly. We will be expected to be sated with the left overs that come our way, expediently bestowed upon us by the codes governing body, GWS the latest token offering. Tassie of course, should have been afforded membership of the nations most esteemed footy league long before now.

2011-07-03T02:36:29+00:00

woodsman

Guest


I agree, NT should (eventually) get a team. However it faces even more challenge in its logistics than Tassie with a divided and small population. Do you play home games in Darwin or Alice? Share? Even for attendances at Traeger Park for show-games featuring AFL teams they have pulled reasonable base crowds there, over the 15K mark, however many of these people came from the communities around, and the city itself remains challenged by the influx of people from outlying areas during these times - it might not support games being more regular. Darwin as the standard home ground then obviously further faces the challenge of weather extremes and maintaining a 'playable' surface for much of the year. Unfortunately the NT will thus come well after Tassie and Canberra to get its own team, and probably after even FNQ and WA3.

2011-07-03T02:22:21+00:00

woodsman

Guest


Not sure if you've got that right with the Rebels GR. They certainly have more general support than the Storm around Melbourne, mostly thanks expats from the UK, but 'crying out for a franchise' is a little ambitious a call.

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