Anti-LeBron bias must not cloud NBA MVP judgement

By mushi / Roar Guru

I was reading Ryan O’Connell’s very well-written and thought out article regarding his MVP picks I thought I would address just one issue.

That is, if Durant wins the MVP we shouldn’t saddle the win with discussions around bias against LeBron.

I agree that it would be unfortunate. Durant has been sensational this season, is vital to the success of one of the best teams in the league and continues to grow as a player.

But the most unfortunate part would be because it would more than likely be true.

If at the end of this regular season we had an auction where you bid on each player’s on court performance for that 66 game span and you were guaranteed exactly that performance for another 66 games – LeBron’s season clears with the highest price.

Members of the media have already publicly stated that they will take into account last year’s finals – i.e. they will ignore the voting criteria.

Many have also said in the ‘I have a friend’ kind of way that certain voters (probably themselves) aren’t going to give first place votes to LeBron post ‘the decision’.

If this is the case, then any close run race between LeBron and Durant is already tainted.

Let me be clear on two things. First, I appreciate LeBron as a player but hate the narcissism of ‘the decision’. Second, this isn’t a knock on Durant, for starters I am a Thunder fan and think he’s an amazing player.

He’s got the thunder into the position of favourites in the west and on track for a 47-win season. Make no mistake, he is the biggest reason they are in this position.

But when you line-up their on court contributions it doesn’t even really make sense to have the discussion?

For starters, Miami are also on track for 47 wins, but while Durant has had the services of Westbrook and Harden for close to 4000 minutes this year LeBron has only had Wade for around 1,500, and many of those at less than full strength.

Sure he also has Chris Bosh, but he’s been playing worse this season than Serge Ibaka before factoring their defence (Amnesty International’s question to ‘Free Chris Bosh’ is a discussion for another time).

I don’t really believe in the ‘MVP equals wins/quality of teammates’ argument as it forgets that coaching and system actually play a big part in delivering wins (see: the difference in 2011 Chicago and 2012 Chicago with and without their MVP, Derrick Rose) but just figured we head off that argument at the pass as rubbish.

The only area on the basketball court that Durant has been better than LeBron this season (or any other season) is putting the ball in the basket himself, and on this he is marginally better.

Lebron still has to be considered the better all around offensive player by virtue of essentially running the offense and creating opportunities for his teammates while turning the ball over less than Durant and grabbing more balls of the offensive glass.

But then you get to the knock down drag out number one reason. Defence. While LeBron and Durant are in the same conversation as offensive players they are worlds apart on the other end of the floor.

It is actually one of the big things overlooked when discussing crunch time is how effectively LeBron plays on defence versus the more purely offense-based superstars that he is compared to.

For those that haven’t seen the two defend comparing on paper is hard due to the less recorded nature but synergy sports and +/- measures try to put give us at least a water colour forgery of the real picture.

Last year Synergy (who record every possession and break it down) said LeBron was apparently the second most effective one-on-one defender in the league, this year, with Dwight Howard mentally checking out, he’s reportedly moved into number one.

Durant, for all his improvement as a defender, has not moved into the league leaders in this conversation yet.

But it isn’t just his one on one defence, as teams have stopped trying to go one out against LeBron, his growth as a team defender has his team allow 3.5 points per 100 possessions more when he sits, while Durant’s Thunder manage to throw the shackles on the opponent for 3.1 points less when subbing Durant for a more capable defender.

I don’t see how when looking at their body of work how there is any discussion who has been the best player this year during the regular season when one in marginally better offensively and a whole world apart defensively?

There are only four reasons you can give Durant the MVP at this point:

– Not understanding that basketball isn’t just shooting there is defence, rebounding, ball security and passing involved,

– That the finals last year are part of this year’s regular season,

– Durant is a better story as a first time MVP or,

– The most likely one, just flat out disliking what LeBron did with in the decision enough to destroy the credibility of the award.

The Crowd Says:

2012-04-20T06:15:38+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


LeBron's reputation of choking is based around his non-appearance vs Boston in his last season with Cleveland, his horrible performance in last year's NBA finals, and the All-Star game this year (which is the most ridiculous). The perception conveniently overlooks his 48 Special versus Detroit in the 2007 playoffs, his clutch three versus the Magic in the 2009 playoffs, and his majorly clutch performance against the Bulls in last years playoffs. And countless other examples. The criticism he copped this year for passing up the game winning shot to Udonis Haslem versus Utah was crazy. It was the right basketball play. Period. All in all, it's LeBron's NBA Finals appearance last year which sticks in most people's minds. Unfortunately, whilst it may be perception, until he changes it, it's also the reality. Fairly or unfairly. (And if you want to talk about unfair, LeBron scored the last 19 points in a row to beat the Nets the other day - then everyone says 'It was just the Nets'. The guy can't win.) Durant, on the other hand, looks confident in the clutch, and has performed, to the best of my memory in the clutch. And, as such, has that reputation. LeBron should win the MVP, but I don't think it will be a major upset if he doesn't.

2012-04-20T05:21:49+00:00

Mushi

Guest


It is a funny thing the clutch perception though. According to stats cube lebron's ts% is just a fraction higher than Durants in the clutch which is Durants typical edge area over the rest of the league. Also I saw recently a team by team +/- for late in the game and lebron's teams all ranked very highly. But of course we remember that Dallas series (but not the Boston one from two round prior where he eviscerated the celtics in crunch time) Again defence probably has something to do with it.

2012-04-20T02:33:03+00:00

Blazza

Guest


The NBA is all about popularity. I expect Lebron to win it over Durant as do most fans and experts. Many people including one Skip Bayless thinks Lebron doesn't deserve it because of who he plays with. Mind you Skip has a vendetta against Lebron big time. The best NBA story will be Durant winning the MVP award. The big up for grabs in the awards stakes are the coach of the year and Defensive player of the year.Frank Vogel is my coach of the year for the 3 seed Indiana Pacers. And my DPOY is Tyson Chandler.

2012-04-19T23:50:59+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


Hey Mushi, Great article, mate. I will say that I also think intangibles should form a part of deserving the NBA MVP award, and some of the most important intangibles when discussing Durant are his leadership and ability in the clutch. Both of these are ares that I believe he shades LeBron James. Don't get me wrong, as you know, I believe LeBron James should win the MVP. But I don't think it will be as big a travesty as you do, should Durant win it. Another intangible is fostering chemistry in your team. Durant's ability to co-exist with Russell Westbrook has been phenomenal this year. It's shown maturity and awareness. Meanwhile, two years on, LeBron and Wade still are not 100% comfortable with each other, and Miami approach the playoffs with serious issues remaining alive and well.

2012-04-19T22:39:21+00:00

stam

Roar Rookie


Great article, I agree with your thoughts and also believe that if Lebron doesn't win MVP then it's simply become a popularity contest, there really is no valid reason for him not to win. Having said that I would love to see rondo come runner up (I'm obviously a huge rondo fan and don't actually expect it to happen, but I'll put him down as finals MVP!)

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