North Melbourne to cause finals upsets

By Alfred Chan / Expert

No team is going into this year’s finals series with more momentum than North Melbourne. The Kangaroos look to be the only team in recent years capable of winning the flag from outside the top four.

Emphatically defeating Collingwood on Saturday night by 30 points, the Kangaroos outplayed the Magpies across all areas of the ground. The final margin was somewhat flattering towards the Magpies, who were kept in the game by the individual effort of Dayne Beams.

The Kangaroos are the form team of the competition with nine wins from their past 10 outings. A narrow two-point loss came in Round 15 when the West Coast Eagles came from behind to snatch victory in the dying stages.

Of their recent wins, the Kangaroos have gathered the quality scalps of Adelaide, St Kilda, Carlton, Richmond, Essendon and Collingwood.

The reality check hit Kangaroos coach Brad Scott and his men after a pummeling at the hands of Hawthorn in Round 10 when they went down by 115 points. On that day, the Kangaroos back line allowed Lance Franklin to kick 13 goals, four more than the entire North Melbourne team.

“We’ve had some performances that have been far from satisfactory but not one like that where we’ve been completely obliterated in all areas,” said Scott after the Round 10 demolition.

“Our challenge now is what we’re going to do about that and we’ve got two weeks to sort it out because our season’s not over.”

In the first 10 rounds, the Kangaroos had managed just four wins but since echoing his words, Scott has completely turned this team around to prove they can go toe-to-toe with the superpowers of the competition.

Since that lowly day, the Kangaroos now sit sixth on the ladder and could be much higher had it not been for some narrow losses. This season, the Kangaroos have lost by exactly two points on three occasions. Essendon (Round 1), Port Adelaide (Round 8) and West Coast (Round 15) all scored narrow two point wins.

With 52 points on the premiership ladder, 12 behind Sydney who sit at the top, winning those three games would have North Melbourne sitting second on the ladder.

It will be pleasing for Brad Scott that it is his youngsters who have lifted the Kangaroos as of late. Brent Harvey no longer has to shoulder the majority of the midfield load and it relishing in his role playing as an outside midfielder.

At 33 years of age, the lesser workload has invigorated him and he will probably play on for another season after asking serious questions at the end of 2011.

The Kangaroos midfield brigade of high draft picks triumphed the mighty Collingwood midfield on Saturday night. Ben Cunnington (24 touches, 11 tackles, five clearances), Jack Ziebell (22 touches, four clearances) and Ryan Bastinac (25 touches) were all instrumental in winning the midfield battle.

Midfield pressure has been a key focus of Scott, who was renowned for pressuring the opposition in his playing days. Andrew Swallow leads the competition with 145 tackles.

In defence, the same backline which gave up 13 goals to Franklin completely shut out premiership duo Travis Cloke and Chris Dawes. Scott Thompson did not give Cloke any freedom on the lead and Scott McMahon embarrassed Dawes, making 11 spoils.

Between Cloke and Dawes, they took only two marks inside 50 and did not kick any goals. The Kangaroos defence did this in the absence of centre half back Nathan Grima, who missed with a hamstring complaint.

In their past ten games, the Kangaroos defence has given up on average just 82.4 points per game. This season only Sydney (70.6), Hawthorn (78.4), Fremantle (78.6) and Collingwood (82.2) boast a defence that has given up less than the Kangaroos since their mid-season resurgence.

Up forward, Drew Petrie is right in the thick of the Coleman Medal race with 55 goals after Round 21, five behind the leader. Although it does not look likely he will take out the individual award, he has found form due to the addition of Robbie Tarrant and Lachie Hansen into the forward line. With less attention, Petrie is frequently found one-on-one. He is fourth in the competition for contested marks.

Hansen and Tarrant have shown they can take contested marks against the competitions best defenders and Hansen’s move up forward is a luxury due to the vast improvement of North Melbourne’s defence. Although nothing shows in the statistics, Hansen played one of the best games of his career on Saturday night against the Magpies.

Since Round 10 when his team was “completely obliterated in all areas”, Scott has drastically turned the Kangaroos around to be a serious threat come September.

Scott spoke more glowingly of his players after defeating the Magpies.

“I think you probably would have put me in the asylum after the Round 10 game if I was saying we were going to win nine out of 10 and definitely play finals,” said Scott.

“We’ve been trying to coach the players to be adaptable and adapt to whatever the opposition throw at us and I think again today we were four goals down at the start of the game and the players adapted to that pressure really well.”

North Melbourne are now assured a finals birth and with winnable games against Fremantle at Etihad Stadium and GWS at Skoda Stadium to finish the regular season, the Kangaroos are realistically going to finish sixth on the ladder with a home final, but with favourable results can finish as high as third or fourth.

After finishing ninth for the past two seasons, the Kangaroos will play finals for the first time since 2008.

In the most even season we have had in recent years, the Kangaroos are the form team of the competition and look capable of going all the way from outside the top four.

The Crowd Says:

2012-08-21T13:17:22+00:00

pope paul v11

Guest


fair enough, game on , as they say

2012-08-21T07:33:25+00:00

SpearTackle

Roar Rookie


Podsiadly is just returning to fitness and Nathan Vardy had his first game in the VFL this week. Vardy will replace Josh Walker as the 3rd Tall/back up ruckman. They're more than well positioned in terms of forward set up and Hawkins loves September. They should be second favorites for the flag behind Hawthorn.

2012-08-21T07:14:09+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Guest


Deep Thinker, I've thrown rationality out the door so am not thinking at all. Do Geelong have a couple of tallies to assist Hawkins, multiple talls being the flavour of month?

2012-08-21T06:44:15+00:00

Deep Thinker

Guest


They are doing well and could foreseeably cause a shock or two, but assuming the ladder stays the same, I don't think they will beat an in form Geelong (who are a good bet to go all the way). I think the argument that you can't win from outside the top 4 is overrated - the main reason teams don't often win from outside the top 4 is that there is usually a gulf in class from positions 1-4, compared to 5-8. This year, that gulf in class is not apparent - particularly that North and Geelong are in red hot form. I wouldn't be surprised if West Coast or Collingwood go all the way from 5th position. Apart from home ground advantage against teams lower in the ladder, being in the top 4 is only really an advantage if you win the first game, and even then, the week off has done teams no favours in the prelim. As for North specifically, I would say that Lonergan, Taylor, Enright, Josh Hunt and Scarlett are more than capable of containing North’s big forwards, and an in form Geelong is looking very dangerous with lots of September knowhow. I don’t think North will have an answer to Hawkins - at the end of the day, finals games tend not to be shootouts so North will need to maintain the defensive pressure they maintained against Collingwood for 4 straight games, and more importantly, at the clutch in close games. That is not their strength.

2012-08-21T05:58:16+00:00

Golfer

Guest


Good read. North gets little coverage in the big fish Victorian media. Its good to see that they are pushing for more prime time games and I think they will get them. It wasn't that long ago that the North Melbourne board were in turmoil and look how far they've come. Just about every other club will be ruling the fact they passed up of both Brad and then Chris Scott. Kangas can beat Geelong in week one of the finals and then send Adelaide packing. This smells a bit like Hawthorn in 2008.

AUTHOR

2012-08-21T02:16:54+00:00

Alfred Chan

Expert


Good point there Brendan. This is one of the great things about this season. Geelong will go into that elimination final as favorites but as a Geelong supporter, I would not be surprised if North pulled off the upset. They did beat Geelong in round 3.

2012-08-21T01:36:47+00:00

brendan

Guest


North are going well but if your going to annoint them as the only team outside the top four with a chance to win it you are disregarding Geelong, there likely first week opponent.If Geelong win there next two games at home over Bulldogs and Swans they will have won six of seven with the defeat being a goal to West Coast in Perth.That formline is as good as anyones particularly given many players such as Varcoe are coming back after not playing all year.

2012-08-20T23:19:37+00:00

Jay

Guest


Not sure if they can go all the way, but as a North Melb supporter this is a really exciting time. Not just that I think they'll take a couple of finals scalps, but I think the style of footy they are playing sets them up for the years to come. I also think the style of footy they are playing is appreciated by all footy fans and will bode well for increasing membership and supporter base. Whatever happens it's a really enjoyable ride at the moment.

2012-08-20T22:48:20+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Guest


Come along way from 4 and 6 in round 10. I am too biased to be analytical but they are running hot and have got plenty of form and depth in all areas, as you pointed out Alf, which is a great thing. Their most likely opponent would be Geelong ( unless WSC drop both games and percentage and that. ) should be a fine old time in the Scott family. Still gotta down Freo and GWS ( no seriously ) and keep the juggernaut rolling. Can go all the way.

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