Our World Cup fate will be a difficult one to navigate

By Andrew Rupolo / Roar Rookie

Tomorrow morning at around 3am, much of the world’s population will clamour around televisions to witness the laying of next year’s FIFA World Cup foundation in the form of the group stage draw.

Luckily enough, Australia will ‘dance’ (as Ange Postecoglou eloquently stated) at the World Cup for an unprecedented third straight time.

Given Australia’s changing of the guard, this tournament will be an extremely difficult one to navigate.

An array of questions will be answered but, regardless of who we draw, there are certain groups which would give Australia some respite from a logistical perspective.

I would love to see Australia face the traditional giants of football, in particularly Brazil on home turf, pass-masters Spain in their prime or old rivals England.

Each match-up would provide a global spotlight on the national team and reciprocal exposure of the A-League to hundreds of millions worldwide, trusting Ange selects some local lads.

This hype should hopefully make our boys more formidable foes than our ranking suggests.

Being nestled in Pot 3 ensures we are drawn against an intercontinental seeded nation from Pot 1 (Brazil, Spain, Argentina, Germany, Colombia, Switzerland, Belgium, Uruguay), an intercontinental unseeded nation from Pot 3 (Algeria, Cameroon, Cote d,Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Chile, Ecuador or randomly drawn unseeded European nation) and an unseeded European nation from Pot 4 (Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, England, France, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia).

Our three group games will harness our total focus in preparing for the tournament, as others will be aspiring for greater heights.

Hence, where and when we play these games is crucial to our chances of success.

Brazil is South America’s largest country. As such, the vast majority of teams will be subject to travelling long distances to play their group matches in various corners of the country.

The organisation of group games throws up the chance of playing matches in the tropically hot and humid north, relatively temperate centre and cooler south over the space of ten days.

Travel usually wouldn’t play such a major role in the performance of teams at World Cups as momentum seems to carry national setups, however this dense period of multiple acclimatisations threatens to stunt many team’s ability to perform at the highest level consistently, not just Australia’s.

Being a Pot 3 nation, the groups we will therefore want to avoid are D, E and F.

(All groups follow the pattern of facing team 4 followed by team 1 [seeded], then team 2.)

D: Starting in Amazonian Manaus then a 2600km journey and quick turnaround to play in drastically cooler Sao Paulo, four days later finishing 500km north in more temperate Belo Horizonte.

An epic journey in distance and climate, one that would test any team.

E: Commencing way below in much colder Porto Alegre, 2200km four day turnaround playing in scorching Salvador followed by a trip to the Maracana in Rio 1100km away to wrap it up.

An arrangement that ensures each of Brazil’s climatic bases reached in a short period.

F: Begins in Curitiba but moves north to Belo Horizonte and Salvador on subsequent match days.

The move from altitude to tropical conditions, although relatively shorter in distance of 1800km, would pose a great physical challenge over ten days.

The best possible groups for Australia are A and B.

A: An opener in Natal is succeeded by a match against the hosts in Fortaleza with an extra day to prepare for the final game in coastal Recife.

Comparatively shorter travelling times are complimented by consistent, however tropical conditions in the north east pocket.

B: Kickoff in the humid Pantanal city of Cuiaba followed by a short flight south east to Rio to face our seeded opponent at the Maracana with an extra day to prepare for our final match in nearby Sao Paulo.

Conditions vary slightly but the stability of our final two matches provides a sound platform.

A round of 16 showdown against the hosts would loom if the Socceroos were to qualify.

The Socceroos have already done our nation proud to reach the tournament. The reality is that the organisation of group matches across Brazil over a short space of time could make for a bumpy ride for our boys in Green in Gold.

Time to tango!

The Crowd Says:

2013-12-06T15:48:40+00:00

Michael Bovell

Roar Rookie


Still an interesting read Andrew! And I really enjoyed your discussion of the various cities / climates... something I've never given much thought to in the past but since reading this article I've researched the host cities a lot more and even looked closer at previous cities where Australia has played World Cup matches!

AUTHOR

2013-12-06T13:22:58+00:00

Andrew Rupolo

Roar Rookie


My bad gents. This is my second article ever. I've realised i need to verify my sources 100% before posting anything. Anyway if we are team 3 in said groups the above applies but thanks the same.

2013-12-06T12:15:19+00:00

Lags

Guest


Bang on. Just because we are in pot 3 doesn't mean we enter the group (say group D) in position D3. Or atleast it didn't in the 2010 draw. once they pulled the team, they were then assigned spot 2,3, or 4. Just like you said Bovell.

2013-12-06T11:39:26+00:00

Scott

Guest


I've been reading the same thing. Does anyone else on here have more info on this. Will australia be A3 to H3 or a random number. Trying to get a jump on the bookings

2013-12-06T05:36:56+00:00

clipper

Guest


Kyle - the odds are that Australia won't get out of the group stage, so I would rather us play Brazil than Algeria (as the author states). Imagine the interest that would create - huge exposure world wide. Ask any club that has managed to make it to the main draw of the FA cup if they want to play a 3rd division side or a team like Man U / Chelsea, and you can bet what their answer would be.

2013-12-06T02:40:52+00:00

Kyle Stewart

Roar Pro


Group A should be avoided I don't want Brazil I just pray to the gods we get Algeria or the swiss

2013-12-06T02:13:28+00:00

Michael Bovell

Roar Rookie


I keep reading that the positions in the group (say for Group C... positions C1, C2, C3 and C4) will be based on teams being from Pot 1, Pot 2, Pot 3 or Pot 4. From what I've read from FIFA... however... plus from previous draws, I understand that apart from the seeded team filling the number 1 spot, each of the other 3 teams will be DRAWN into a position 2, 3 or 4. In previous additions a team was drawn into a Group, and then a second ball was drawn to determine the position within the group. Therefore the order that we play teams (seed first, Euro team first or African/S.American team first) will be random!

2013-12-06T01:03:04+00:00

AZ_RBB

Guest


same here. no hesitation in setting the alarm for 3am.

2013-12-06T00:39:20+00:00

NikNSW

Guest


But still very excited for the draw

2013-12-06T00:13:25+00:00

Roops94

Guest


I wouldnt mind Australia getting drawn with France, but australia is ranked lowest so it will be interesting to see how our performance plays out

2013-12-05T20:16:03+00:00

nickoldschool

Roar Guru


Thanks for all these climate details Andrew! Just for the experience itself, a game in Manaus would be unique. PS: ;samba' may be more appropriate than tango ;)

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