Australia brought themselves close to another series in South Africa after bowling the hosts out in their first innings in Cape Town and will look to pile on the agony on the penultimate day of this final Test. Follow the action live from 7.00 pm AEDT.
It’s not too difficult to see the difference between these two teams – their bowling attacks.
Before the start of the series, the two bowling line-ups were deemed to be on an even keel, with off-spinner Nathan Lyon expected to give Australia the edge.
Almost three Test matches on, the South African spinners have out-bowled Lyon and yet the Proteas’ bowling unit is a distant second in the series.
Apart from that Dale Steyn spell in the second innings in Port Elizabeth, the South African bowlers have struggled to find their mojo in this series and struggled to make inroads.
Steyn’s injury on the first day only added to their problems.
Going into the fourth day, however, South Africa will have far greater worries than their bowling.
One way or the other, they can expect to chase a score of anywhere upward of 400 and, more vitally, they will be left with copious amounts of overs to keep out the Aussie bowling.
At stumps on the third day, Australia had garnered a 207-run lead in the first innings, decided not to enforce the follow-on and chipped in a further 27 runs to that score.
Where that has left South Africa is not the place most teams want to be in a deciding Test match.
With a clear forecast over the next two days, South Africa will do well to not repeat the mistakes of the third day of the game.
While aggressive batting isn’t too bad an option, there needs to be a method in madness. Hanging out the bat against the swinging deliveries outside the off stump isn’t the best way forward.
Interestingly, while the South African bowlers failed to extract reverse swing in the first innings, the likes of Ryan Harris, James Pattinson and even Shane Watson were successful in that very endeavour.
There’s a good chance then, that the Australian bowlers will repeat that showing going into the fourth and the fifth days of the game, and how the South African top-order bats will be a huge deciding factor.
Australia’s task with the bat is simple.
Bat around 45-50 overs and score around 225 runs, setting the opposition a target of 430 or so. In turn, they can get themselves about 130 overs to try and bowl South Africa and win the series.
So what escape routes do South Africa have?
One, they can hope Daley Steyn gets fit tomorrow and triggers what he did in Port Elizabeth, sending Australia crashing for anywhere between 125 and 150.
A target of 350 is much more achievable, and could push into the making the game more exciting for the neutral – although on current batting form on a deteriorating pitch, it may not be the easiest chase. Still, it affords the South Africans a chance.
The other option South Africa have is to try and dry up the runs. So while the wickets may not come at the start, by pushing the run-rate back, they can force Australia into batting longer into the day and in turn have much less time to bat in the final innings.
Still, the way they capitulated on the third day in less than 83 overs, they will need the Faf du Plessis circa Adelaide November 2012 many times over to help them save the game against bowling of this pedigree.
Join me for this fourth day of the third Test. Follow the live score of this game from 7.30 pm AEDT and post your comments below.
Ronan O'Connell
Expert
Haha yeah it gets a bit like that. Maybe take Geoff's advice ;)
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
While there were sections of play today that did not make for very exciting viewing, in the context of the game, South Africa seemed to have done well to bring out their A-game (Adelaide-game). I am quite sure they are going to play in a manner not too different from this tomorrow as well and something tells me they aren't going to go down without a fight. De Villiers is still there, Faf is yet to come in, so is JP Duminy, with Vernon, Morkel and Steyn to follow. All of them can hold the bat, barring, to an extent Abbott, who has come in as a night watchman. If he can survive the first hour of play tomorrow, wouldn't that be a huge boost for the Saffers? Australia will need to dish out more of the same. Patinson and Watson will get the reverse back into the batsman, while I will be interested in seeing Smith get a longish spell. Expecting Lyon to bowl from over the stumps could well be similar to expecting South Africa to go for this target, but there were a few balls towards the end he got to bounce. An intriguing day's play tomorrow then. Will be back with you as usual, for the last time in this Test series. Ciao!
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
And that, will be that. De Villiers has played out the last three balls of the over, which turns out to be the last one. South Africa are 4/71 in 41.
Tom from Perth
Guest
AB protecting the night watchman...
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Oh wow, Abbott gets a single! Three balls into the Johnson over, he's been able to push it to the off side and has brought de Villiers back on strike. 4/71 in the 41st
Tom from Perth
Guest
Now that is mean captaincy hahah
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
So Pattinson's out of the attack and Johnson will now have a bowl at Abbott. Depending on how quickly he bowls this, we may or may not have another over. 4/70 in 40.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Couple of runs for de Villiers keeps him on strike, tucked away to the leg-side. 4/70 in the 40th
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
He looked to be struggling with his knee.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Nathan Lyon comes in now. Round the stumps again. No change there.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Well bowled by Pattinson and equally well played by Abbott in that over. Maiden from Pattinson again, his sixth. 4/68 in 39
Tom from Perth
Guest
Bring Harris on next over? Saw Lyon warming up earlier, but I don't think he should be used while it's reversing.
Beauty of a geek brains of a bimbo(atgm)
Guest
Abbott must be distraught knowing the team think he's a worse batter than Duminy. I don't see it either.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Johnson's been safely negotiated by de Villiers. A maiden there. 4/68 in 38, 11 minutes remaining.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Johnson will continue, his sixth in this spell. I wonder when was the last time he bowled six in a spell in Test match cricket?
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
The first innings that Abbott batted was the first time I saw him bat and I wasn't convinced he's a number nine. Steyn and Morkel are better bats than him. Probably it was a case of nerves, playing his first game after such a long time... ...will be interesting to see how he goes tonight. And then, if he survives, tomorrow again.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Night watchman time now, Kyle Abbott comes out. That's heart-break, a not-out pair of Amla and de Villiers overnight would have been so, so good for their confidence going into the final day. Now, it's become exponentially tougher.
Tom from Perth
Guest
Bloody hell Patto can bowl some gems
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
Gone! Given! LBW! And Amla has asked for a review. That's out. Nowhere close to the bat, hitting in line with the stumps and going on to crash into the middle stump and that's going to be a HUGE wicket. Late in the day and Amla's got to walk. Pattinson was getting a bit of shape there, and he's sent back Amla with one that's pegged back in massively from outside the off stump. That looked to be reverse swing too.
Suneer Chowdhary
Roar Guru
About 22 minutes away from the close and Pattinson continuing. We may see an over or two of spin, which could allow us six more overs from here on.