Super Rugby Expert tips: Round 6

By Brett McKay / Expert

The experts might finally be getting the hang of this tipping thing, with five of us managing 5/7 or better, and with noted tipping extraordinaire Tristan Rayner bringing home the money in a big way to catch the pack.

Tristan’s 7 points topped the charts for the round, and is a new competition high score. Biltong, Elisha and I managed a not-too-shabby 6 points, then Spiro with 5 points. Someone has to prop up the leaderboard each round, and last week it was Scott and Paddy.

Therefore, Tristo will have the honour this week, with the pressure well and truly on to see if consistency is something he has in him.

Here are the tips for Super Rugby Round 6…

Tristan Rayner
Tips: Hurricanes, Waratahs, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs (powerplay), Lions, Sharks.

Explain yourself: The problem with being an expert tipper is I can’t read anyone else’s previews. Fair dinkum – do Roarers know we’re meant to get this in at about midday on Wednesday? My word.

[Brett’s note: It’s actually midday Thursday, but I might remind someone at this point of their ‘tip early’ mantra from last year…]

Now, the problems are the Highlanders v Canes, Lions v Reds and Bulls v Sharks – everything else seems to be straightforward enough. I’ll have to go grudgingly with the Lions here, while the other two you could argue either way. I’m taking the Sharks, given they’re undefeated, while the Canes should have too many points in them.

Chiefs get the powerplay; I steered clear of the Waratahs, given the Rebels seem to make themselves huge for this clash.

Biltongbek
Tips: Highlanders, Waratahs (PP), Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs, Reds, Sharks.

Explain yourself: The Sharks versus Bulls is the most difficult to pick this week, a coin toss. The Reds’ attack will be too good for the Lions and Boshoff will have to kick 30 points to beat the Reds.

The Chiefs will find their first touring game tougher than expected, but their defence has been insane thus far. Stormers are in a bad shape; Brumbies will be organised, and too good. Highlanders and Hurricanes is a coin toss. Who knows?

Waratahs should be too good at home for the Rebels, and Cheetahs will have to show a lot of improvement to win.

Powerplay is on the Waratahs. If they lose this one, I might as well give up tipping.

Elisha Pearce
Tips: Hurricanes, Waratahs, Blues, Brumbies (PP), Chiefs, Reds, Sharks.

Explain yourself: I found this week hard, because I know picking this many away teams is a recipe for disaster. I’ve spent about three hours trying to convince myself to pick someone else instead of one of the Hurricanes, Chiefs, Reds, and Sharks.

The Great White Sharks and Chiefs seem safest there. But the Reds were about as good as you could be visiting the Shark Tank last week. I’ll go with the Hurricanes on the road because the Highlanders were atrocious last week, although this is my least confident away pick.

The Rebels haven’t been the same since Selectiongate; the Waratahs should do the business there. Brumbies are going to do the Stormers in on the third leg of their trip. My Blues pick is because they’re a boom-bust team, and this week might be the boom week. And I can’t make myself pick a fifth away team in the Cheetahs.

To top off my mess of a round, I’m not giving my powerplay to The Great White Sharks. I’m a little wary of South African derbies still, Brumbies get it.

Brett McKay
Tips: Highlanders, Waratahs (PP), Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs, Lions, Sharks.

Explain yourself: It is a tough round, no doubt, and there are a number of tips I’m nervous about. So I’ll get the easy ones out of the way.

Waratahs will be too classy against the Rebels. If Israel Folau can slalom-ski through a well-drilled defence like the Brumbies, he’ll have a field day with the Rebels. Brumbies likewise should have too much for the Stormers. And I can’t see the Sharks having much trouble with the Bulls.

The difficult ones? Well the Highlanders being at home tips the coin off its edge, but this will be a close one. The Blues have a rough trip coming back from the Republic, but I have grave concerns about the Cheetahs. It could easily be another 12-try thriller, too. The Force at home will be a danger game for the Chiefs, with a few key backs out, but the Champions have a knack of eking out unlikely wins.

The Reds losing Ben Daley and Chris Feauai-Sautia will test their depth, and Marnitz Boshoff just isn’t missing from the tee.

Waratahs get the powerplay. Actually, ‘Izzy’ nearly gets it on his own.

Spiro Zavos
Tips: Hurricanes, Waratahs, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs, Reds, Sharks (PP).

Explain yourself: I am still taking a hammering and probably reducing the strike rate of the team. But I am taking the positive teams as far as possible and hoping this strategy pays off this round and into the later rounds.

The complications here are some of my victories depend on sides winning away from home, which is difficult in this tournament. In addition, the Blues have to come back from South Africa, which is hard on them with the Cheetahs being in Australia and New Zealand for the past month.

My powerplay is on the Sharks, even though they are playing in the Bull-pit at Pretoria.

Scott Allen

Tips: Highlanders, Waratahs, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs (PP), Reds, Sharks.

Explain yourself: A few close calls for me this week where the result could go either way and previous results may not mean too much – Reds to beat Lions, Brumbies to beat Stormers, Blues to beat Cheetahs, and Highlanders to beat Hurricanes (although I was tempted to select a draw for this last match).

It won’t surprise me if I only get 2/4 or worse from those matches.

The Sharks are in good form and will beat the Bulls comfortably. The Waratahs played pretty well against the Brumbies and while the Rebels were competitive against the Crusaders, I can’t see them getting over the Waratahs.

There are many of us who’ve lost points by tipping against the Force this season and I’ve been impressed with their performances over the last two weeks. But it would have to be the biggest upset of the season so far if they can beat the Chiefs. I’ve tipped the Chiefs and used my powerplay in this match too.

Paddy Effeney
Tips: Highlanders, Waratahs, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs (PP), Reds, Sharks.

Explain yourself: I’m the definitive undulating tipper. I got absolutely no love last week, and am hoping Lady Luck draws me into her warm embrace this week.

The Sharks are surely the only banker in this competition, though with the Bulls at home you’re always going to have that little thought in the back of your head that an upset is on the cards. My Reds simply have to beat the Lions. They weren’t good enough for the Sharks, but a week of acclimatising to Republic conditions should help.

I’m hoping the Chiefs travel well, and the Stormers’ road trip runs out of gas against the Brumbies. The Highlanders-Hurricanes is an absolute doozy, so I threw darts at pictures of Cobus Grobelaar for a while before picking the home side. The Waratahs have to bounce back against the Rebels, and the Blues must surely, finally win one game.

The Chiefs are my powerplay this week.

[Brett’s note: What on earth has former Lions flanker Cobus Grobelaar done to deserve such treatment?]

 The summary 

Round 6 Scott Allen Biltongbek Patrick Effeney Brett McKay Elisha Pearce Tristan Rayner Spiro Zavos
Overall 20 23 22 22 23 20 21
Last week 4 6 4 6 6 7 5
HIG v HUR Highlanders Highlanders Highlanders Highlanders Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes
WAR v REB Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs
BLU v CHE Blues Blues Blues Blues Blues Blues Blues
BRU v STO Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies Brumbies
FOR v CHI Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
LIO v RED Reds Reds Reds Lions Reds Lions Reds
BUL v SHA Sharks Sharks Sharks Sharks Sharks Sharks Sharks
POWERPLAY Chiefs Waratahs Chiefs Waratahs Brumbies Chiefs Sharks
Crusaders BYE

The Crowd Says:

2014-03-21T06:32:16+00:00

Crazy Horse

Guest


Nick Cummins

2014-03-21T06:18:54+00:00

Crazy Horse

Guest


Exactly Bison. Brett my comment was "We’re delighted all these so called experts have tipped against us again. The Chiefs are obviously favourites but an upset is more than possible. I might have to see what odds are being offered." Meaning that I expect the Chiefs to win but won't be surprised if it gores the other way. Particularly if you are all tipping against the Force Which seems to help them. :-)

2014-03-21T06:16:07+00:00


Aaron Smith. ;)

2014-03-21T06:13:00+00:00

Chivas

Guest


Yeah sweating on Reds losing so Force remain ahead of them on the points table. That serves two purposes. One, it puts to bed suggestions that the Force aren't deserving of respect and are merely there for others bemusement. Secondly, because it will rattle FOS's unshakeable faith in the reds team awesomeness :-). You can only blame the coach, refs and Tahs so far. But if the reds do win, I hope they play really solid smart rugby, especially the tight five. I hope the loosies are able to assist in the breakdown and slow the ball to limit the Lions from foot ball. And I would also love to see Genia asking questions and Quade kicking superbly. The only downside is all the reds comments talking themselves up and how great they are. More difficult to do that if they are behind the Force on points to date. So yeah, sweating on the reds losing.... mostly for FOS's sake. I think seeing his team lose a few is humbling and good for him :-).

2014-03-21T06:12:37+00:00

Crazy Horse

Guest


Exactly.

AUTHOR

2014-03-21T05:49:28+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Righto then, for the prize of humble bragging rights and a mention in next week tipping round-up, who's got a first try-scorer certainty in Round 6? It's hard to go past Ben Smith in the first game of the weekend for mine. Freakish ability to find the line, and early, more often than not... So let's have them, a first try somewhere over the weekend - and....... go..

AUTHOR

2014-03-21T05:46:31+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Couldn't resist the $6.50 on offer?

2014-03-21T05:46:09+00:00

redbull

Guest


Yeah FOS, I would just tip the Reds each week, no matter what. Then probably the Cheetahs and Blues and whoever was playing the Tahs and Brumbies. I'd tip the Chiefs though just to try and get one win. So best I don't do tipping.

2014-03-21T05:41:03+00:00

Common Sense

Guest


The Stormers need a win, I wouldn't bet against them to win in Canberra.

2014-03-21T05:22:18+00:00

Combesy

Roar Guru


Brett ive put a sneaky bet on rebels upsetting this match. but tipped the tahs. Guess you could say im covering all bases

2014-03-21T05:13:45+00:00

felix

Guest


It would be a miracle if any SA team won in Aus,ref will be blowing 1 team off the park there as usual & it aint the Brumbies,remember last years when SA teams toured Aus,I was actually glad Bryan would be heading to France knowing there was no chance an SA team would be reffed fairly over there.

2014-03-21T05:08:51+00:00

felix

Guest


It would be a miracle if any SA team won in Aus,ref will be blowing 1 team & it aint the Brumbies.

2014-03-21T04:50:13+00:00

Blue

Guest


Clan, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs, Lions, Bulls Lions to outmuslce Reds pack and kick five gajillion penalties. Bulls always get up for the Sharks who must be starting to believe their own hype.

2014-03-21T04:06:11+00:00

formeropenside

Guest


I'm certainly hoping for one. But I cant bet on sport, or even do tipping comps. It breaks my heart to choose a particular result that I dont actually want to happen.

AUTHOR

2014-03-21T03:48:48+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


You're on your own picking the Rebels, as far as I've heard Daz. Anyone else sweating on an upset this round?

2014-03-21T03:35:53+00:00

Daz

Guest


Highlanders, Blues, Brumbies, Chiefs, Reds and Sharks. Power play on the Chiefs. Highly motivated Rebels to sit the Tahs on their ass and instigate more soul searching. But it was a coin toss.

AUTHOR

2014-03-21T03:33:40+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


I love the logic of aggrieved tipsters, Bison! 11:05am: "..all these so called experts have tipped against us again" 11:26am: "The Chiefs should win..." FROM THE SAME PERSON!!! :D I mean, seriously, you can't bake more delicious irony...

AUTHOR

2014-03-21T03:30:29+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


"I’m picking Reds by not much 1+" Reds by one point or more?!?! How very bold, Chivas! :lol:

2014-03-21T03:23:52+00:00

Chivas

Guest


Brumbies to beat the Stormers. Thought the Brumbies played to their game plan very well last week. They lost a little shape in the second half, but had done enough to win. If they continue to refine on this form, they should go the distance. Good to see Tomane back in the fold. While a shame about the players missing, I think now is the perfect time to expose some others. It won't be a walk over, but the Stormers are away and I think will struggle against the home ground advantage. Looking forward to a cracker game. Brumbies by 2 Reds versus Lions. A coin toss. Reds have looked better each outing without winning much. Lions at Ellis park where the boot plays a massive part. I'm picking Reds by not much 1+ Hurricanes over Highlanders, because I can't back a South Island team over a North Island one. Blues to beat Cheetahs, because they need to. Tahs to smash the Rebels, because I want then to. Oh and Higgs to smash Dennis for the same reason, even though they are a both a bit too ladylike for me. Sharks and Bulls. That is a hard one for me. I would sooner refer to Biltongs pick. A part of me would like to see Sharks stay on their roll and momentum is certainly on their side. But the Bulls are still a very tough side and I can't see them being knocked about in the physical contest. But really, I have no idea, so I'm leaving this blank. Oh and I think the Crusaders should win the bye :-)

2014-03-21T03:08:02+00:00

Batdown

Guest


Yep, I remember that game RedB. Running rugby at its best??? Or worst??? Flip a coin

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