Wallaby babies to go out with the bathwater?

By AlsBoyce / Roar Guru

Ok. The massive demolition in Auckland in Bledisloe 2 has all and sundry on the western side of the ditch in a huge lather. Hopeless team, hopeless players, hopeless coach. Please pick one or many of the above.

But are the Wallabies as bad as they appeared to be last week?

I don’t see how they were good enough to nearly win the week before against the All Blacks, and they have to be drastically reformatted and refitted for the next match.

They won seven in a row before that, the most recent being the 3-0 win over France in June. France were decried as being a team of poor quality, but I doubt that was true. More likely, the Wallabies were pretty good in Tests one and three, and whatever happened in Test number two resulted in a dour, gritty win with no tries to either side.

The backline was very good the first the third Tests, with Nic White, Bernard Foley, Matt Toomua and Tevita Kuridrani playing nine, 10, 12 and 13, with a back three of Adam Ashley-Cooper, Israel Folau and Nick Cummins.

Kurtley Beale came on fairly early in the second half as the x-factor, and that went well too. Since then Ewen McKenzie has made big changes by starting Beale and benching Foley, and moving Ashley-Cooper to 13 and benching Kuridrani. Of the two changes made, Ashley-Cooper’s Super Rugby finals form demanded his move to 13, so that seemed, and still seems, logical. Dropping Foley, as we have seen, was an obvious mistake.

After the two Bledisloe Tests, it’s pretty clear that Nick Phipps adds some extra impetus at the rucks, in protecting the ball where needed, providing a running threat and excellent service to the ball runners, plus his defence. It also seems that Toomua may be too one-dimensional to play 12, and may not create anything in attack.

Beale went well there for the Waratahs, but his defence is always in question, and certainly looked poor in the last Test. Kuridrani should be at 12 instead. He is bigger than Toomua, a stronger physical defender and can get over the gain line in attack. Choosing Kuridrani at 12 is no more of a risk than using Toomua, and probably would be an improvement.

So, Phipps, Foley and Kuridrani could well be the lowest risk options for nine, 10 and 12, while also offering the possibility of something significantly more in attack. The x-factor could still be used at the 50 minute mark.

But what of the Waratahs experiment? By using Beale at 12 from the start, the Wallabies send the message that they are going to play their game, and are not trying to second-guess the opposition. If the coach has the confidence to trust his players to execute through their joy of playing the game, then the message the players take is confidence. Confidence delivers attitude. Attitude delivers aggression. Aggression delivers offensive defence and good ball.

So, some back line changes could be made, but without real risk. No bathwater drainage there.

But, in the end, it’s forwards that win matches, so why was McKenzie taking large risks with back line selections as his main strategy? One can only assume that he thought the forwards in Bledisloe 2 were his best option. They went well in Bledisloe 1, with aggression and offensive defence. So, He can be excused for thinking they would go well in Bledisloe 2 as well.

However, with the All Blacks bringing their “A” game to Bledisloe 2, as requested by McKenzie, the Wallaby forwards showed no lifted aggression levels to match them, and worse, started falling off tackles and allowing the All Blacks easy metres and quality ball.

At the very least a bit of rotation of some front pack might be a way forward. Ben McCalman and Matt Hodgson have shown real toughness for the Force at the breakdown and in defence. Higginbothom has shown some technical flaws, but is worth a shot as well. Will Skelton could start. James Horwill is tough, but seems to do too little – a fitness problem maybe?

So, for the forwards, more players could be used more often in a rotational way, enabling the fresh players to lead in breakdown aggression and offensive defence. No bathwater issues here, either, but trying a few new things.

The players are not deserving of wholesale sacking, but something needs to be done to address the failure last week. Fresh players rotating in the forwards might be one fix. The other, however, is the mental preparation of the players.

As a team the players have to have confidence in their teammates and the coach and his strategy. The captain needs to be able to pull the team together and get them to regroup and defy diversity and hang in there. Hooper will learn from last week, because there was never a hint of a regroup until the match was well gone.

The coach’s selection of Beale was a risk that may have undermined team confidence. They sing from the same songbook, saying that they were “well prepared” and “confident”. But they didn’t play like that. They looked dispirited from the start, notwithstanding that it was the binning of Rob Simmons that was the killer blow. Somehow McKenzie has to get a buy-in to his selections and game plan that shows on the field, so that means Foley at 10.

McKenzie has issues in the man-management area and it is an area he urgently needs to fix. The example of the continual rejection of Benn Robinson is a problem for the team and certainly for the coach, I think, because it sends a bad message to players.

Robinson is obviously the next best to Slipper at loosehead prop. The team doesn’t need petty behaviour from a coach who must have some personal issues with the player. McKenzie needs to kiss and make up. His initiative. His responsibility.

So, Wallaby supporters can leave the bathwater in, but they still have to hope that they won’t have to drain away the coach by the end of the Rugby Championship.

The Crowd Says:

2014-09-02T03:01:49+00:00

Chivas

Guest


"And if you don’t understand that how opposition looks depends heavily on how the forwards are fronting up, then you don’t understand rugby." I was explaining to you that perhaps I do know something about rugby. But maybe you are right and I know nothing, or maybe you are so full of your own inflated self importance that you think that counts for nothing, in which case any further communication with you is pointless for both of us. "Painted myself into a corner." That is another of your assumptions based on your own imagination. Please be aware your opinion is yours and you are entitled to it. I am not part of your debating team and nor do you have a monopoly on what I think or don't think. I have not changed my mind, that the course of the game was altered more as a result of Phipps taking the field than it was changed as a result of there being nothing left to play for. It is perfectly reasonable to disagree. It is not reasonable to make personal comments because someone doesn't agree with you. So making ludicrous and incorrect statements to back up your claims like that I rely on statistics. is rather weak, especially when I have never quoted any. You were suggesting Phipps made an impact because of his organisational skills not because of the state of the game. But if you are suggesting that the state of the game had an impact on whether or not Phipps was effective, then its a mute point, because that is all I was saying. Anyway, be as you will. I won't be replying to this any further or with you. Hope you can do me the same courtesy. Cheers.

2014-09-01T22:43:51+00:00

Mike

Guest


Oh spare me your wounded dignity, Chivas. You have boxed yourself into an impossible corner and are now just trying to talk your way out of it. 30 years experience at anything doesn't give you the right to shrug off stubbornness. Your argument that the Wallabies only scored tries around the 60th minute due to the All Blacks switching off is unsustainable. You attempt to support it by citing a luatua try right at the death – that is an absurd argument for two reasons: Firstly, tries against the Wallabies have very little to do with Phipps' performance – the impact of a half back on the forwards is primarily in the attack, and that was my assertion which you dispute – that Phipps had an impact on the Wallabies in attack. Secondly, it was the 80th minute for heavens sake. What part of "20 minutes later" do you not understand? Why are you ignoring the All Blacks tries which occurred just before the Wallaby tries, or the All Blacks attacking raids which occurred just after it? That brings me back to the main point: Actually watch the game, not the stats. The All Blacks looked good in attack both before and after the two Wallaby tries. The difference was that the Wallaby forwards finally looked like they were co-ordinated in the attack, whereas they didn't before. "In addition, when the game is so far gone, the true impact players would have made had it happened earlier is virtually impossible to ascertain." Who suggested otherwise? I am referring to the impact Phipps had when he came on, not some hypothetical 40 minutes before. I have never suggested he is a world beater – I have simply taken issue with your assertion that he had NO impact, because the Wallabies tries were solely due to the ABs losing interest. "The way the AB’s moved up field and Luatua scored at will didn’t show a change in the commitment or organisation levels of the Wallabies." What an irrelevant comment! Even if that had occurred at the 60th minute, it wouldn't be relevant to Phipps' abilities to organise the attack (you know, the thing that is different from defence). But at the 80th minute, it proves nothing about anything.

2014-08-31T10:07:27+00:00

Chivas

Guest


Ok Mike. You are right I don't understand rugby. And no the AB's didn't explain that to me. 30 years playing rugby to NPC level and following it for a lot longer taught me how teams button off. It isn't really something new. In addition, when the game is so far gone, the true impact players would have made had it happened earlier is virtually impossible to ascertain. In fact IMHO the Wallabies we're overpowered through the forwards and that Phipps would have made no difference to that. The way the AB's moved up field and Luatua scored at will didn't show a change in the commitment or organisation levels of the Wallabies. As such it is impossible to make the assertions that you are making, no matter how loudly you proclaim it as if they were facts. That is my point, but if you can read something into it, then good for you.

2014-08-31T09:32:25+00:00

Mike

Guest


“Ok they Phipps turned the team around.” You know perfectly well I didn’t say that. My point was that the whole pack looked better and more co-ordinated with a half back giving them direction and steady supply. “It just happened to coincide with the fact there was nothing left to play for.” Errr right, so there comes a certain stage, a certain score, when All Blacks have “nothing to play for”. Is that what you are saying? That’s a rather extraordinary suggestion – do any All Blacks actually agree with it? “Wonder what happened in the end when Lyatua strolled over.” How is that in any way inconsistent with my point? “If you think the Wallaby tries were well worked against stuff opposition then we were definitely watching something different.” And if you don’t understand that how opposition looks depends heavily on how the forwards are fronting up, then you don’t understand rugby. “The Wallaby forwards better harden the fk up before next week or they will be getting that déjà vue feeling and just start looking to make it through the RC with only their hardcore supporters intact.” Thanks for the statement of the obvious. However, I doubt that your last point is correct: Wallabies went down by 27 points and 21 points to the ABs in the Deans years and crowds continued to turn up for games afterwards.

2014-08-31T05:16:58+00:00

AndyS

Guest


I didn't say they played the same, I said they played to the same strategy - play down the other end and contest the breakdown. The execution of that strategy differs significantly, as highlighted by that match. The Wallabies kicked 8 times, 6 to touch and the other two uncontested. Essentially all they were doing were clearing their lines and moving their defensive line up, but it turned the ball over. Fine if you are then getting or creating turnovers, but poor execution of the strategy when you aren't. By comparison the ABs kicked 21 times, most also to clear their lines. But only four went to touch, three of them in the last 10 minutes when they were just running the game out. Of the other 17 kicks, fourteen were contested. Of those, they got the ball back 10 times. On top of their contest at the breakdown, that is very successful execution and pretty poor defensive work by the Wallabies.

AUTHOR

2014-08-30T23:17:29+00:00

AlsBoyce

Roar Guru


IMO you are probably right, but persisting with McKenzie rests on the hope that he can show some humilty and some smarts, and earn some respect. Communication skills, man-management, etc, mean he has a lot to do to get up to speed. We have to hope he can at this point in the coach cycle probably.

AUTHOR

2014-08-30T23:13:26+00:00

AlsBoyce

Roar Guru


Carter was touted as a star of the future after France 1 in June, and Simmons is a gun in the lineout in both takes and calls. I think Simmons is improving, but he really needs to lift his general game. He is still 25. He has time to do it. Carter will make the transition as well IMO, but not there yet. So we suffer in comparison to Whitelock and Retallick. Starting Skelton, and getting a strong 1st 40 out of him has to be the way to go because of his aggressive defence and strength in the rucks and mauls. Scrums don't go backwards with him there. Higgenbothom does a Dave Dennis for the Rebels and makes a lot of line-out takes. Mowen worked well doing that for the Wallabies. A bit of rotation with Higgers at 6 and McCalman at 8 to start as well gives a different look and more aggression IMO. Interestingly, IMO the Wallabies miss the strong captaincy of Mowen. Hooper has a steep learning curve to get up. No hint of a captain's gee-up getting any traction for getting any regrouping going in Bled 2. He's got he brains and attitude, though. He has to learn fast.

2014-08-30T22:59:05+00:00

krasnoff of noosa

Guest


‘The coach’s selection of Beale was a risk that may have undermined team confidence’. There’s no MAY HAVE about it. McKenzie’s selection DID undermine confidence which finally fractured the forwards, who in the first game displayed parity in Bledisloe I. My concern is: In the aftermath of a drubbing we do a ‘snow job’ of cosmetic repairs for the confrontation with the Boks when all along the coach has demonstrated, first, his lack of perception by selecting the wrong back-line and then, second persisting with this so-called ‘x factor’ player who not only isn’t a fly-half, but who needs to be compensated in the side because he CAN”T TACKLE! This means only one thing: the coach (who is instrumental in losing us the Bledisloe for 2014) is NOT up to the task and should be replaced for lack of competence. But of course this doesn’t happen in this limp-wristed society of ours, so suck it up and play your stupid word games. The Wallabies will NEVER be world champions until some tough, smart people take over.

AUTHOR

2014-08-30T22:57:27+00:00

AlsBoyce

Roar Guru


Agree totally about White not going into the rucks to defend the ball when he has to. Why wouldn't you do that? Phipps gets in there and saves what he can. That's a major pllus for him. Also agree about the box kick - unless it is a relieving touch-finder from close to your own line, it is always a negative tactic. It can work if it is absolutely pinpoint and a gun aerial-skills winger gets there to contest and wins the take. That hardly ever happens. And the charge-down risk, as you said, is often way too high for some halfbacks to even attempt it. Genia is very easily charged down, and White is about 50-50. Some halfbacks don't get charged down. It's a skill. But the box kick is still mostly a negative.

2014-08-30T21:56:18+00:00

firstxv

Guest


I think the biggest single difference if there us one us Aarons Smiths speed of both delivery and pass. Past AB sides could have done a lot better out wide if tgeyd had a 9 like Smith. Easily the best 9 in the game now.

2014-08-30T21:54:37+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


Chivas, Confrontation from a bunch of Grammar boys? ........ Oh no, they must of been from AGS (Auckland Grammar School), not MAGS (Mount Albert Grammar School) - we from MAGS were all little angels (though some more angelic than others!).... we were much more behaved (yeah sure!) On the rugby field MAGS greatest opponents in those days were AGS, Kings College, interprovincial it was always Christchurch Boys High and Wanganui College. It has changed dramatically since then, but a change for the better, rugby in NZ is every boys/mans game - they way it should be after all, it 'is the game they play in heaven!'.

2014-08-30T21:52:06+00:00

firstxv

Guest


It takes time to get the game plan going after having been without matches. Although the ABs focus on the basics they operate at a very high level of skill. It simply takes time to gel. Some of if may be working out the opposition, probing for the weaknesses but against the same opponents the ABs generally get stronger with familiarity of both their own game and the opponents. For Eden park the two wingers were relative no names in terms of the top echelon. Same with England...Ashton and marble possibly the worst two defensively around. Getting the ball wide was the mission against both and with both sides unsure about who their best midfield is, the ABs, with assistance from the AB pack, were able to dominate that area.And like chess, you dominate the midfield you dominate the game.

2014-08-30T14:43:43+00:00

Beef

Guest


Wallabies aren't all that bad. They just don't know what hit them until the 81st minute. Wallabies will improve this week, so will the boks.

2014-08-30T14:27:30+00:00

Ball'n'all

Guest


How long have you been reading these forums? There was equal amounts of wailing and gnashing of teeth last year when he with the knowledge of how to beat the ab's kept that knowledge to himself, just like this year.

2014-08-30T14:22:34+00:00

Ball'n'all

Guest


AB's are developing a rep as 'slow starters' in 3 match tours. Could it be that Hansen needs that first game to inspect the opposition's defensive pattern and by the second game the AB's tactics have been adjusted to take advantage of any identified weaknesses in that team's particular implementation of the rush defence?

2014-08-30T14:13:32+00:00

Paul from melbourne

Guest


So funny

2014-08-30T14:11:08+00:00

Ball'n'all

Guest


More than the whole EOYT, the game against Eng looms as one of massive importance as a marker for RWC progress. If the Wallabies top pool a (beat eng and wales), they have a relatively easy run to the final.

2014-08-30T13:19:47+00:00

Chivas

Guest


Thanks RT. It is always nice to share real stories and I love reading them so thanks for sharing. Just for the record I thought you were a top bloke before you said you went to Grammar :-). I even got into a physical confrontation with a bunch of grammar boys during and after a game of touch. But as you say, those were different days :-)

2014-08-30T12:35:55+00:00

Chivas

Guest


Staah, there is no way the Wallabies or SA's get up offside. They are not cheats or cynical. That is the domain of the AB's. What I do suggest is you go back about 20 odd years to when Wayne Smith took over the AB's. Watch the evolution of the AB's backline play from then until now. In the early days we were getting canes, for exactly the reason you point out. We weren't protecting the ball or showing it enough respect. The AB's were going backwards with the odd game here and there where they owned it. It was by no means the only thing that was going on at the time. Smith was also old school and if there was ever someone who respects the black jersey and expects others to maintain those same high standards it is Wayne. I felt saddened the day he handed in his badge. His family comes from just outside Puraruru and that is where he went to school. Consequently while CantabriansChiefs rightly feel they own him, so does Waikato :-). When he was called back into the coaching team that Genry put together, I was rapt for the simple fact we would see the project he started. So returning to my original point. This has not been something built over a year or two. What happens is if the opposition fails to commit your forwards and you can contain them with just a couple, it means you can run your loose forwards in the backs. Take a look at the Bok when they were on fire and the Bulls won the SR title. This is exactly what they did. They over ran the aaB's in line. Every time they took it up they got to the as line and recycled it. Did it again. Normally if the Bok get to within 10m of your line they will bulldoze there way over, so you have to bash them back. That is easier said than done. The idea is don't let them get close as they don't normally have the speed and ability across the 15 to do it the length of the paddock. The AB's don't have the grunt, but they have the speed and stamina. What you would have found is if the Wallabies committed the AB forwards and could play it tight with a hard running second five and forwards that could recycle the ball, the dynamic would have been quite different. The AB's would have been forced in and would have then been forced into getting it down the edges before giving the backs a shot. The difference is subtle but it is there.the AB's biggest strength is there ability to adapt to what is in front of them. It is also what makes players like Conrad, McCaw and Read among others so invaluable IMO. Something else which I find remarkably funny is how quiet Prince, Jameswn and others have been after writing lead up articles suggesting these guys contribute nothing and are overhyped. So yes Stash I did not see something new being played out on Saturday. I saw a team that has played together for the best part of a decade and know how to play depending on the circumstances. For the record I don't see this AB team as invincible, I just think if a team wants to test them, they should focus on bringing their A game rather than worrying if the AB's are bringing theirs. On Saturday they put the AB's under no pressure. They stood by and watched them run in 4 tries to zip. They never once put the AB forwards under any sort of pressure. And thanks for taking my earlier jibes in good humour :-).

2014-08-30T09:19:52+00:00

Rugby Tragic

Guest


Hi Chivas, I know, and knew your comment was made, in jest as I also know from your posts, you are a very passionate rugby individual. Thanks for responding. My participation in the code today is purely for the enjoyment of one who has appreciated what the code has bought to me me as 'non active' player now. It has in fact, other than my family exploits been my greatest source of enjoyment, over the past 21 years for reasons I will not go into here. All I will say is that I will continue to enjoy the code "and the All Blacks" for as long as I am able. To put things in perspective I was a nominee In 1960 for the Victor Ludorum at Mount Albert Grammer won that year by a John Mowlem, the then head prefect and captain of the 1st 15, who I idolised. The Victor Ludorum was awarded to the best sportsperson in the school as I recall. To see Mowlem and his fellow 1st 15 ers running up and down the slops of the raised playing grounds carrying in a fireman's like lift was mind boggling. Mr Eugene (?) Cheriton was the rugby coach of the 1st 15 supported by Mr York who chastised me for passing the ball of the ground once (something I still remember after more than 50 years!) and Murray Nain was the Head Master. Whats this got to do with rugby?..... absolutely nothing... but as with posting here from time to time, it allows me to indulge in my past. Back to the topic, I also am not a Cooper fan because he does not adhere to what I believed was the mould of how a No 10 should play and I am talking about an era which included the likes of Max Herewini, Sid Going etc. Maybe I was/am jealous of the talent QC shows or what that Carlos Spencer showed but I was bought up in the structure of rugby generally, a game that in NZ, anyone could play. I played my first game at a ground Western Springs, I never had boots, I wore sandshoes and spent more time on the deck than standing. Times have changed but my passion for the game hasn't and I still do not believe in the X Factor!!...

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