NFL-bound Mariota set to break the Heisman mould

By Sam Rigney / Expert

It is a sport that allocates an overabundance of individual awards, but winning the Heisman Trophy is universally considered to be the greatest honour in college football.

The other major accolades – the Walter Camp Award, Maxwell Award, the AP Player of the Year Award and the Archie Griffin Award – each have similar criteria to identify the “most outstanding”, “best” or “most valuable” collegiate player in the country.

But Marcus Mariota, the Oregon junior quarterback who claimed the Heisman on Sunday (AEST), can rightfully claim to be the best college football player of 2014.

The best description of the award is that: “it is awarded annually to the most outstanding player in the country whose performance best exhibits the pursuits of excellence with integrity. Winners epitsomise great ability combined with diligence, perseverance and hard work.”

Those are great qualities, but nowhere does it say the Heisman Trophy winner has the skills to make an excellent player in the NFL.

The winners, at least recently, are generally dual-threat quarterbacks on undefeated or one loss teams who are constantly in the national spotlight.

Recently guys like Johnny Manziel, Tim Tebow, Cam Newton and Robert Griffin III have been enshrined into one of college football’s most exclusive clubs.

Occasionally a pocket-passer or ground and pound running back with eye-catching production sneaks through.

But winning the Heisman does not guarantee a successful conversion to the NFL.

There is no such thing as the Heisman Curse; it is just that the parameters of what makes a Heisman winner don’t necessarily correlate to the pro game.

In a national competition where the box score regularly registers more than 100 points, the NCAA’s best are gauged by how many yards they accrue – through the air and on the ground – and how many touchdowns they account for.

In the NFL the best quarterbacks win the most games, in college football it is the best athletes. And, unfortunately, after four years of collegiate football often the best athletes, those who win awards like the Heisman, are not best prepared for the NFL.

The league is full of high-powered offenses engineered to move the ball and put up points.

The skill players are merely pieces in those schemes and their development as potential professional athletes can sometimes be hampered.

In the modern game, a successful college quarterback must have more than one string to his bow.

If the play breaks down they need to be able to scramble, keep the play alive and do what it takes to keep the offense on the field.

At the most, a player has four years of eligibility to win and be recognised as someone who should be drafted into the NFL.

The focus of a NCAA coaching staff is not on creating NFL ready players – although it can often be a welcome byproduct – it is on moulding its players into the best college football team.

So when college football’s best do declare for the draft, more often than not, at least over the past decade, they are in for a tough initiation.

Let’s go through the list of winners chronologically starting in 2004 with USC’s Matt Leinart, the left-handed quarterback whose career never really gained traction at Arizona, Houston and finally Oakland.

Leinart played 33 games with three teams and finished with a 57.1 per cent completion rate, 4,065 yards, 15 touchdowns and 21 interceptions.

Leinart’s teammate Reggie Bush (2005) became the first player to forfeit the award in 2010 after the NCAA ruled he had received improper benefits during his time at USC. Does he count as a Heisman Trophy winner? Not anymore. But for the sake of argument – Bush has won a Super Bowl and made an All-Pro team as a punt returner but is on his third team in seven years and has only two 1,000 yard seasons to his name.

Bush has played 113 games with New Orleans, Miami and Detroit and so far has 5,385 rushing yards and 34 rushing touchdowns. He also has 3,413 receiving yards, 18 receiving touchdowns and four punt returns TDs.

Troy Smith (2006) was in his fifth-year at Ohio State when he threw 30 touchdowns and only six picks to claim the highest percentage of first place Heisman votes in the history of the award. He had somehow successfully transitioned from running quarterback to accurate pocket-passer but his draft stock fell considerably after a 41-14 loss to the Florida Gators in the BCS National Championship game.

Considered undersized by the majority of GMs, Smith was taken in the fifth round by the Ravens in 2007. He should have started for Baltimore in 2008, but got sick in the pre-season and a third stringer by the name of Joe Flacco got the start.

The rest is history and Smith was last sighted riding the bench for the Montreal Alouettes. Smith’s NFL career ended after four seasons and two teams. He played in 20 games and had a 51.7 per cent completion rate, 1,734 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions.

After that came one of the best examples of a dual-threat quarterback who was always going to struggle to crossover to the NFL.

Following three tumultuous seasons where he found it difficult to complete passes consistently and adapt to a pro-style offense, Tim Tebow (2007) is now 27, out of the league and working as a college football analyst. Tebow played in 35 games for two teams and finished with a 47.9 per cent completion rating. He had 2,422 yards, 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He also had 12 rushing touchdowns.

Sam Bradford (2008) was another highly touted quarterback who won the Heisman and then went first overall in the NFL draft. Bradford has suffered several unfortunate and untimely injuries during his five seasons in the league, but the fact remains the Rams have not made the playoffs with Bradford under centre.

The Oklahoma product has played in 49 games over four years and has a 58.6 per cent completion rate, 11,065 yards, 59 touchdowns and 38 interceptions.

Alabama running back Mark Ingram won the award in 2009 and was drafted in the first round by the Saints in 2011. New Orleans probably isn’t the ideal place for a power back to land and it has taken Ingram until this season to breakout as an every-down back. He has more carries, yards, touchdowns and first downs in 2014 than any other year of his NFL career.

Cam Newton (2010) has all the physical traits, the speed and athleticism but has shown only flashes of unsustained greatness so far in Carolina.

He won a host of college awards in 2010 and was drafted number one overall the following year. But Newton has taken the Panthers to the playoffs only once – behind a great defense in 2013 – when they were knocked out by the 49ers in the divisional round.

So far through his four years with the Panthers, Newton has started in 60 games and thrown for 14,111 yards, 80 touchdowns and 53 interceptions. His career completion rate percentage is a decent 59.5 per cent.

Robert Griffin III was incredible during his first season in Washington, but he has since regressed, been benched twice by two different coaches and is on the outs with the Redskins. RGIII’s figures through three seasons and 34 games look impressive. He has a 63.6 per cent completion rate, 7,305 yards, 38 touchdowns and 20 interceptions.

The jury is still out on Johnny Football (2012), who made his first start in Cleveland on the weekend, and Jameis Winston (2013) is still playing for Florida State.

In 2014, a deserved winner has ascended the throne.

There are those who may detract from Mariota’s achievement and site the dearth of competitive offensive weapons in 2014. The man who entered 2014 as the leading contender for the majority of individual awards, Ohio State senior quarterback Braxton Miller, suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in August.

Manziel has moved on to the professional ranks. Meanwhile, Winston’s image took a hit, his statistics were considerably down and the Heisman Trust were unlikely to name a back-to-back winner anyway. But I would argue that in 2014 Mariota has been just as good, if not better, than Winston was in 2013 and Manziel in 2012.

In terms of numbers, Mariota has 52 total touchdowns this season. Manziel had 47 and Winston 44 in their respective Heisman Trophy-winning seasons.

Mariota has taken care of the ball and has only two interceptions; Winston had 10 and Manziel nine. Mariota also had a slightly better pass completion percentage and passer rating than the others. In 2014, Mariota completed 68 per cent of his passes and threw 38 touchdowns and just two interceptions. He also ran for 669 yards and 14 touchdowns.

The Ducks have only one loss this season, finished the regular season ranked second overall and could be competing for a national championship, if they can slip past Winston and Florida State in the Rose Bowl semi-final on New Year’s Day.

Those are the numbers. But his mechanics, athleticism and intangibles are even more impressive. It is these qualities that will mean he breaks the Heisman mould and enjoys long-term success in the NFL.

Mariota has all the physical traits that NFL teams look for in a quarterback. He is tall, has explosive speed, good acceleration, great mobility, excellent arm strength and can make all of the throws.

He stands tall in the pocket, is good at protecting the football and makes good decisions. He is also good on boot-legs and can throw will rolling out of the pocket. Oregon’s spread-offense means Mariota rarely takes snaps under centre or drops back, but his intelligence and work ethic means he will be able to learn and adapt to a pro-style offense once he is drafted.

He is also quiet, softly spoken and unlikely to provide any off-field dramas. He is basically Andrew Luck, except he runs a 4.48 40-yard dash.

But the best trait he has is that despite his speed, Mariota has the size, awareness, arm strength and poise to be a genuine pocket-passer. This means he won’t be diving or sliding for first downs and risking injury. Whoever drafts Mariota first overall should show him game tape of Aaron Rodgers scrambling for first downs – and not RGIII.

Provided he decides to leave Oregon after his junior season, Mariota should go number one overall in the 2015 draft and enjoy a long career in the professional ranks. If he stays, his professional success will only be delayed a year.

Winning the Heisman Trophy is the greatest individual honour in college football. Winning the Heisman and then becoming a star in the NFL is much more difficult – and way more impressive.

The Crowd Says:

2014-12-16T23:06:40+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


“He is basically Andrew Luck, except he runs a 4.48 40-yard dash.” No he isn’t. He isn’t even in the discussion with Luck, this is just poor click bait right? I’ve only watched a few ducks games but those combined with reading a lot of scouting reports on him tell me he is far less accurate, doesn’t have the same feel for the game and he can scramble out of trouble rather than simply adjusting in the pocket which means he throws without his feet set when he doesn’t have to. As others have said he operates in a simplified offence that gives him easy reads, he lacks touch on a lot of throws and is going to have a solid learning curve to be a starter in the NFL. He is a quality prospect but suggesting he’s basically Andrew Luck – the highest rated QB prospect since Elway – is ridiculous.

2014-12-15T21:56:05+00:00

Joe

Guest


Your missing the point & its obvious your understanding of college vs NFL defensive schemes is extremely limited Did you ever watch Russell Wilson at NCST? They ran a more pro style offense while he was there under coachTom O'Brien & was at least somewhat acclimated to nuances of a pro style offense.The same can be said when Wilson played the year at Wisconsin.He wasnt strictly a QB in a dumbed down spread-run/option offense coming into the NFL The rest of these guys,& that includes Marriota, come from basic systems that aren't CLOSE in terms of complexity that are required for an NFL QB I'm not saying Marriota dosent have the physical skills to play QB in the NFL Almost all the guys i mentioned have the physical skills but they don't have the mental skills because they've NEVER been exposed to an NFL playbook And that's why you see these guys look like a deer in headlights because they are forced to play in a completely foreign system against BETTER athletes with a shorter amount of time to make decisions .It adds up to what we're seeing more & more.Flashy college QBs coming in from basic systems that don't have the mental aspect of their games even remotely up to par with their physical ability

2014-12-15T12:46:36+00:00

Tigranes

Guest


Sam would he be the first Polynesian quarterback in the NFL

2014-12-15T12:44:57+00:00

Steve

Guest


I'm with Mitch, the biggest challenge for Mariota will be not throwing to his first read all the time, which will be a major adjustment for him in moving to the NFL. Hard to know if he'll 'break the mould' until he gets there.

AUTHOR

2014-12-15T11:40:14+00:00

Sam Rigney

Expert


So why can't Mariota do what Wilson has done? No one knows where he is going to be drafted. Let's say he goes to Arizona, Cincinnati, Philadelphia etc in two years, those teams typically have good running games and a good defense. He is a better athlete than Wilson - taller, better arm and has very similar work ethic and intelligence. I'm talking about Mariota having the skills to play in a pro-style offense, stay in the pocket and only occasionally take off and run for a first down not play in the pistol or the read offense or scramble around back there like some of those guys you've mentioned. That is why he is going to break the mould because he is not going to be a guy who looks at one receiver then attempts to sprint for a first down.

AUTHOR

2014-12-15T11:33:51+00:00

Sam Rigney

Expert


Personally I hope he goes to the Eagles and runs Chip Kelly's offense with McCoy and Sproles etc. Would be exciting to watch.

AUTHOR

2014-12-15T11:33:02+00:00

Sam Rigney

Expert


Yep Polynesian. You're right traditionally Polynesian players have been linebackers and offensive and defensive line, but plenty of talent in those countries that could be put to use in college football and the NFL.

2014-12-15T05:32:22+00:00

Joe

Guest


Your summary of Marriota is FAR different from what I've seen of his skillset translating into the NFL Surely you must be figuring out the past 5 years or so of college QBs coming in to the NFL from predominantly run/option offenses simply aren't panning out in the pros & Marriota is another QB from a simplified QB friendly run/option system at Oregon Its two completely DIFFERENT games Run through some guys over past 5 seasons who've come from those systems & haven't lived up to their billing in NFL EJ Manuel.Colin Kapernick is regressing as defenses figured him out.Cam Newton is so-so.Geno Smith. Jake Locker. Manziel will be the exact same thing.A bust.RG3.Christian Ponder,hes a bust. Thats just a handful of guys but they all looked great playing in run/option spread systems in college That system is next to worthless in the NFL. The defenses are far too smart & way too fast to be fooled by simplistic offensive systems over the course of time It can work in spurts but you have to be a predominantly pocket passer to survive & thrive Russell Wilson has done it but he always was smarter than most even way back at NCST. And he also has a kick ass running game behind him & arguably the best defense in the NFL since maybe the Pats Super Bowl team in 2005 so Wilson isn't being asked to carry the team, just manage it & avoid turnovers & negative plays

2014-12-15T05:16:58+00:00

Terrosilops

Guest


Hopefully someone like the Rams trades up for him... because the 2-11 teams are hopeless.

2014-12-15T03:32:33+00:00

Mitch Sabine

Roar Rookie


still gotta see if he can go through his reads while dropping back. at the moment he takes 99 per cent of snaps from the gun or pistol, and as we saw with RGIII, trying to taper a college offense to the pro-game just doesn't work long term. I think he's going to be an absolute gun though. much faster than cam, much more physical than rgIII and way more accurate than both.

2014-12-15T03:29:08+00:00

Tigranes

Guest


Sam, could you confirm if this guys is Pacific Islander?? Whilst there are increasing numbers of Polynesians running around in the NFL, they generally seem to be largely on the line of scrimmage...personally I reckon there are heaps of guys in NZ, Samoa and Tonga who would have made the NFL if they had been brought up playing American football.

2014-12-14T23:47:54+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Sam, It is very hard to know if Mariota will break the mould and succeed in the NFL. He generally operates in the spread formation in Oregons high tempo offence. I hope he does as so many Heisman winning QB's have floundered in the NFL. I think Winston despite his issues off the field could break the mould and be successful. He generally operates in the pocket and is a fierce competitor. If he can get his head right he could turn out a better pro QB than Mariota.

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