So who’s the NRL premiership favourite now?

By Ryan O'Connell / Expert

There’s nothing quite like nominating the NRL premiership favourite in April.

The grand final isn’t until October, and we still have the draining, season-altering State of Origin series to get through. That’s before we even factor in any number of serious injuries, suspensions, or losses of form.

It’s actually quite silly to even be talking about who the eventual premier will be in 2015. However, I’ve never been confused with someone sensible, so let’s get silly and list the 2015 NRL premiership favourites.

Now, I’m no bookie, so I won’t be taking any actual bets, but if I was, these are the odds I would offer Roarers for every single team in the competition:

Rabbitohs: $5
Until someone knocks them out of the finals – or the Bunnies fail to even make the eight – they remain the team to beat, and rightfully so. They obviously have some injury concerns, most noticeably with their halfback Adam Reynolds out for an extended period of time, but they still have enough depth and experience to be considered the top team, even allowing for their current losing streak.

Cowboys: $7
That cold start seems like a very long time ago for North Queensland. After dropping their first three games of the year, the Cowboys have won five in a row, and claimed some impressive scalps along the way.

Johnathan Thurston is the form player in the competition, and his dominating displays are rightfully stirring up ‘Joey versus JT’ debates again. This team can unquestionably win it all, but when the finals arrive, will their biggest opposition instead be the referees? Paranoia? Winning in Sydney? Time will tell.

Storm: $7
The bad news for Melbourne? Two of their three losses this year have come at the hands of the team on the bottom of the ladder. The good news? I don’t think the Storm will have to face Manly in the finals.

The representative period will test their depth, but if Melbourne can stay healthy and fresh at the business end of the season, I wouldn’t mind having some cash on them to win the premiership.

Bulldogs: $10
My pre-season tip haven’t been super impressive so far this season. Suspensions and injuries have certainly taken their toll, but to think they are the only concerns for the Dogs would be extremely short-sighted.

Question marks remain over the creativity of Trent Hodkinson and Josh Reynolds, and the team has looked poor when attacking the opponent’s tryline. Yet when they have their full complement of players, the Dogs will still be a tough ‘out’ come finals time.

Roosters: $11
The Chooks started the season well, but have looked a little flat over the last few weeks. I can’t quite put my finger on it – and neither can Trent Robinson, apparently – but the boys from Bondi appear a little bit off the pace.

One of the biggest concerns is the halves pairing of James Maloney and Mitchell Pearce. Though both have had their moments, for the most part, they’ve been well below par. I still think this team is a legitimate premiership hope, but they’re dropping down the rankings. Rapidly.

Dragons: $12
The Dragons have been exceptional in defence. They work as a team, and they’re tough, structured and resilient. You can definitely win premierships defending the way they have. However, you also need to put points on the board, and that’s where I thought the Dragons would struggle the most.

Fear not though, for their attack is starting to come on as well now. In particular, it’s been great to witness Benji Marshall’s maturity. I’m not sure you can be a sleeper when you’ve won six in a row, and you’re only paying a measly $12, but that’s what I call the Big Red V at present.

Broncos: $13
Brisbane are a tough team to put a price on. They’ve played some great football this season, and have a number of in-form players. Sam Thaiday has responded to Wayne Bennett’s benching of him in the best possible way, and in the halves, Anthony Milford and Ben Hunt offer something exciting and different in attack.

Apart from their opening match, they’ve hardly put a foot wrong, but can we really see them lifting the trophy come season’s end?

Panthers: $18
Penrith have been besieged by injuries this season, and despite their fantastic run last year, they still weren’t a premiership favourite to begin with.

As with every other team, there is a long way to go in the season for the Panthers, but they’d have to be pretty long odds to win now, with $18 perhaps not long enough.

Warriors: $25
I’m surprised any Warriors fans have any hair left. Always considered a team that is hot and cold, how is this for a statistic: since 2012, the Warriors have lost 18 games when leading at the half. If that doesn’t make you want to pull your hair out, nothing will.

On their day, the Woe Woes are talented enough to beat anyone, but sadly, it’s too rarely ‘their’ day, and it’s difficult to realistically see them winning the comp.

Tigers: $28
They’re young, they’re talented, and they’re not scared of anyone in the NRL. However, they’re still far too inconsistent – with too many mental lapses – to be a serious premiership contender.

$28 is probably juicy enough for Will Sinclair to have a flutter, and I’ll happily take his money, because the Tiges aren’t hoisting the Telstra Premiership trophy this year.

Sharks: $32
Call me crazy, but if the Sharks get everyone healthy, and can find some type of consistent attacking strategy once in their opponent’s half, they could be a real dark horse.

They have plenty of experienced players, and if they find some rhythm in the second half of the year, they could be a nice little bet. Or you can just stick with thinking I’ve got rocks in my head, as it’s probably a lot closer to the truth.

Eels: $38
Just far too inconsistent, and with a strange roster of players. They’ve had their moments this year, but it would be the shock of the century (hyperbole alert!) if Parramatta were still playing in October, let along winning the competition.

Knights: $40
Remember when Newcastle were premiership favourites? No, me either. But I do remember when they were undefeated and on top of the ladder. Incredibly, it was only four weeks ago. Since then, the Knights have gone into a tailspin and lost four in a row.

Who is the real Knights team? The first four weeks? Or the last four weeks? I’m wagering on the latter.

Titans: $42
Despite an inauspicious start to the season, with the club shrouded in off-field drug dramas, the Titans somehow find themselves in the top eight, and riding a three-game winning streak. And to be fair, they’ve actually played some very good football, which is an acknowledgment of their mental toughness and tenacity. They’ll have to be content with those accolades though, instead of any winner’s jewellery.

Raiders: $50
I’ve written before that “credit where credit is due”, and it’s due in Canberra, because the Raiders have looked very good for the last four or five weeks. They appear to building something solid in the nation’s capital. That optimism will have to be all they hold onto though, because dreams of a 2015 title are just that: dreams.

Sea Eagles: $75
Their wins over Melbourne aside, it’s been a bleak season for Manly, languishing on the bottom of the ladder, and resigned to losing their two gun halves next season.

The hashtag #anyonebutManly hasn’t been seen anywhere on Twitter, because when it comes to season 2015, the premiership contenders could more realistically be: #everyonebutManly

The Crowd Says:

2015-05-07T22:40:58+00:00

El Greco

Guest


If Inglis is playing injured, and I'm absolutely sure that's true given he went lame during the controversial Bulldogs game and played at 5/8 during that game because of his injury, he should not have been picked in the Anzac test and shouldn't be selected for Maroons. That way he can heal up and put in a best effort for the Rabbitohs.

2015-05-07T04:38:57+00:00

Angus

Guest


Great article Ryan...Storm will be on track again before, during and after SOO series as they have more depth this year...cheers mate.

2015-04-29T12:30:48+00:00

Rick Karaitiana

Guest


Good comment Angus the 2 losses to Manly were controversial, and its good they fly under the radar, as for finalists they have a long way to go, its an open field at this stage anyone has a chance, Origin will sort the ladder out, it would be a brave man to pick 8 finalists let alone the grand final winner.

2015-04-29T10:07:13+00:00

Elmono

Guest


The Bunnies didn't have a great first half of the year last year either, so unfortunatly they might come good. At some stage this season both Broncos and Cowboys will go through the doldrums, just hope it is not late August/September. I am really surprised people are speaking so highly of the Roosters. They had a shaky finals series last year and have not shown a lot of evidence they will be any better this year.

2015-04-29T09:54:54+00:00

Elmono

Guest


The Bunnies didn't have a great first half of the year last year either, so unfortunatly they might come good. At some stage this season both Broncos and Cowboys will go through the doldrums, just hope it is not late August/September

AUTHOR

2015-04-29T09:01:00+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


Um . . . http://www.theroar.com.au/2015/04/21/melbourne-storming-2015-nrl-premiership/

AUTHOR

2015-04-29T08:59:51+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


If the final was in Sydney, no one from Sydney would go? Come again?!

AUTHOR

2015-04-29T08:59:04+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


The Dogs might be better if their 7 went down! (Just kidding, just kidding!

AUTHOR

2015-04-29T08:58:13+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


I just don't think Fergy has the ball-playing ability of SBW, and that's what the Chooks are missing most, for mine.

AUTHOR

2015-04-29T08:54:57+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


James Graham is the team's real halfback. They'll be better when he's back. He won't solve their fifth tackle issues, but he'll improve general play attacking.

2015-04-29T08:54:47+00:00

Angus

Guest


Hmmmmmmmm....now I know why Melbourne Storm is flying under the radar....no-one has heard of them....at all. Typical NSW banter talking up NSW teams. Surprises me that the Cowboys rated a mention at all in the comments...BUT no support for Melbourne!!!. Very early days and the way the table is looking there ARE NO clear runaway favorites to win the Premiership....Manly have as good a chance of winning at this stage it's that close!!!!

2015-04-29T08:49:30+00:00

PNG Bronco fan#88

Guest


92, 93, 97, 98, 00, 06, wait for it...2015!!!

2015-04-29T03:40:47+00:00

Patrick Effeney

Editor


BRONCOS!

2015-04-29T01:38:42+00:00

Brendan

Guest


I wouldnt expect the dogs to improve that much when their halves of manufacturing any points. The Morris boys are really carrying the teams attack

2015-04-28T22:52:14+00:00

Dufeyz

Guest


Nobody is talking about the Panthers - and that's fine. With Soward Wallace, Taylor all coming back from injury shortly we should be in a very good spot after origin. Dugan looks like the blues #1, mansour is out injured so he won't be selected in origin either. (Besides, Gennings has been better). No team has attacked better than the Panthers in the last 40 minutes in Bathurst. Also, don't forget that it is the year of the goat. I'm surprised we're not $2 favourites to win the comp.

2015-04-28T19:43:06+00:00

FrozenNorth

Guest


Ditto every team in the comp. Sterlo goes on about this too but i still CANNOT FATHOM why back lines stand so damned flat. No one HITS the line at pace, it's absolutely ridiculous.

2015-04-28T11:27:15+00:00

bigbaz

Roar Guru


It's 05 all over again, Tigers / Cows GF.

2015-04-28T10:50:32+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


So true about Bellamy. Finds the right players to fit in and Finucane and Koroibete have been in great form as has Blake Green and all slotted into the starting lineup. Finucane was a bench player for Dogs and Koroibete was in reserve grade. Finucane is developing nicely into the type of typical Storm 13...not the biggest or fastest but tough as nails and workhorse in defence...Dallas Johnson, Todd Lowrie types. Koroibete is a handy replacement as Storm have lost both their starting wings from last year in Waqa and O'Neil. I was hoping Duffy would make a comeback this year as he would be a great kick target. That being said Fonua is doing pretty well at the moment. The true gauge as always for the Storm will be after Origin but hopefully with the strong depth they will be able to grab a few wins during Origin.

2015-04-28T10:48:42+00:00

Grand Armee

Guest


I'd still like to see us give MM more of the ball. While we are winning games, it overshadows that we need to work out who does what, and when? It appears JT gets first preference to take the ball, but Coote and Morgan are balancing being the number 2. I like the way Greeny has encouraged Morgo to keep running as that is the best part of his game (and it replaces Lui, who on his day, had a strong individual running game).

2015-04-28T10:29:56+00:00

Benny

Guest


I think you'll find that Ferguson is actually SBW's replacement in many ways. Roosters were much better when Fergo was playing and he is the X factor that SBW was. Also, Moa is not in good form so he is not worth his value at the moment. Evans and Taukeaho are also playing extremely well. Souths won't be the team to beat at the end of the season. They don't have Burgess, or Auva, or Teo. They're not the same team as last year. The roosters were pretty much last year and they still couldn't do it despite winning 6 straight going into the finals. It's just too hard unless all the circumstances match up perfectly, which they don't for souths

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