2015 Memsie Stakes: Preview and tips

By Cameron Rose / Expert

The first Group 1 race of the year is upon us, and the Memsie Stakes (Caulfield, 1400m, WFA) has attracted a field of evenness and depth but is lacking in star power that previous editions may have had.

It’s not really a field that screams Group 1 weight-for-age racing, highlighted by the fact that Boban is the clear market-elect, despite being a horse than only has one win and one placing in his last 11 starts.

Boban holds favouritism off the back of a strong Queensland winter, where he won the Doomben 10,000 first-up over 1350 metres, the first time trainer Chris Waller had resumed him over seven furlongs instead of six.

His best has always been competitive at the elite level, but he has often failed to produce it. Perhaps the secret to consistent success has been unlocked. From a good barrier, he should take up a position just worse than midfield, or perhaps better, and Glyn Schofield, who has partnered the horse to so much success, will be looking to unleash that dazzling sprint late.

Volkstock’n’Barrell was the horse backed in early markets, down from healthy double figure odds to second favourite. We saw his class in the autumn, taking out the Rosehill Guineas, and he’s yet to run a bad race in his career.

Blake Shinn might get caught in a sticky situation jumping from barrier 11 or 12, but if he can get the horse into a nice position, he might be the one they all have to beat. Connections have indicated he’ll get back, but pushing forward from the gate might be the winning move.

Hi World is the most lightly raced horse in the field, and will likely vie with Entirely Platinum for the lead or take a sit just behind him from an inside gate.

Hi World put together a string of B-grade wins in the Sydney wet over autumn, but obviously has to find another level now, graduating to WFA racing as a four-year-old.

The Hawkes camp is making the right noises about Entirely Platinum, and he’s usually at his best early in a campaign. He split Dissident and Mourinho in the Orr Stakes at this track and distance when first-up back in February, and that run would likely have him in the mix here.

Stratum Star caught the eye first up, chewing up the ground from a clear last to only finish a couple of lengths behind Setinum in the Regal Roller. He’s a consistent galloper that maps well if they go forward from the middle barrier. He gives the impression that he might just be ready for this sort of challenge.

Setinum accelerated well to put away that Regal Roller field, and has obviously improved into his four-year-old year. He’s only had nine starts, so is still untapped and looks well over the odds at around $41, especially compared to Stratum Star at the $10 mark.

Weary races in Melbourne for the first time, and can be a bit hit or miss, but will enjoy a little bit of moisture in the ground. He’s been Group 1 placed a few times since coming to Australia, but doesn’t win out of turn. He’ll go right back from barrier 16, and have to pass a lot of good horses to win.

Rising Romance is a good mare and can pull out a big fresh run first up. She can make her presence felt running on from a midfield position as she aims toward the bigger races.

There are a few veterans in the race that must be kept an eye on.

Happy Trails ran second behind Sincero in 2012, but these days usually runs into a midfield finishing position, and we can expect more of the same in his fourth crack at the Memsie.

Temple of Boom will be camped just behind the speed, and will give his usual honest account before finding at least one or two a bit too classy for him.

Smokin’ Joey maintained his enigmatic relationship with punters in the PB Lawrence Stakes, finishing last as favourite after having won the Bletchingly in barn-storming fashion. He’s always a threat, usually when you least expect it.

Sertorius appeals as a sneaky place chance at bigger odds, with a strong first-up record in good races. His short autumn campaign showed he still had the zest for racing after a disappointing spring.

Petrology looks to be outgraded at this point in his career, but can run into the top six. Magicool will need to make the progression to WFA racing after an autumn where he won a few races, culminating in the Queensland Derby. He’s a watch runner.

Dandino and Prince of Penzance will need further, but connections will be hoping for them to be hitting the line strongly.

Selections
1. Volkstok’n’Barrell
2. Entirely Platinum
3. Stratum Star
4. Rising Romance

Three-year-old racing in Melbourne and Sydney takes place with the McNeil Stakes and Run to the Rose respectively, and we can expect both Golden Rose and Caulfield Guineas markets to be shaped by both races.

The Mick Price pair of Prince of Brooklyn and Ready for Victory are sharing most of the attention down south, while it’s Japonisme, Exosphere and Press Statement north of the Murray.

Prince of Brooklyn might just be the best of these, and could go all the way to take out a big race this spring.

The Crowd Says:

2015-08-28T13:29:24+00:00

pat malone

Guest


should have stayed a group 2

2015-08-28T09:49:48+00:00

andrew

Guest


cam. you are a bit harsh. its a cracking race. we dont have that many good ones. shame fawkner was scr due to barrier. i reckon you will look on this race in 12mth time and say 'wow, what a field'. 2yrs ago atlantic jewel beat fiorente and i think its a dundeel ran too. last year, dissident wasnt a star going into the race, but became one. im itching to get there and will be there for race 1 (i have no time for late comers). but must say, cant recall going to race in 12 degree weather too often. glad the members bar is staying open until the end of the nth v dogs game too. as for my tips danestroem in the first. real time in the 3rd. the rich enuff / bounding quin is easier to pick than the winner and will pay better. charmed harmony the lay of the day. griante in the 7th. no firm view in the feature, but ive been on hi world all last autumn so will stick. agree he won the B-grade races last autumn, but they were his stepping stone and the making of him. over in adelaide, stokes will win race 1 and 5. wales looks a good bet in the 6th. but real messi is the best of the day in the last for DK Weir.

2015-08-28T06:59:14+00:00

Don

Roar Rookie


And none of those from the ground shots of the horses' legs and hooves mid race like 7's Spring Carnival did last year. What a stupid concept.

2015-08-28T00:47:52+00:00

Scuba

Guest


Unfortunately given the "talent" announced this week Cam I suspect it will be more like the usual FTA TV racing coverage and less like TVN.

AUTHOR

2015-08-28T00:22:47+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


Any international first-up horse just has to go in the quaddie these days. They win too often not too.

AUTHOR

2015-08-28T00:21:57+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


I loved TVN, so as close as they can get to that, I'll be happy with. The less fluff the better. Let's see.

2015-08-28T00:07:53+00:00

Scuba

Guest


Have to think more about the Memsie, but looking forward to the appearance of Bold Sniper in the last. Much less fanfare than the Queen's previous Australian runner (no doubt because of the rather more low-key training partnership), but placings behind Contributer and Farraaj in the UK are good enough for him to be competitive at double figure odds even if not fully wound up.

2015-08-28T00:04:01+00:00

Scuba

Guest


Every time McAvaney calls a horse or jockey "special" have a shot. Then you won't care about the coverage after race 2.

2015-08-27T21:50:59+00:00

Jason Cave

Guest


Don't forget this Memsie Stakes meeting marks the debut for the new Channel 7/Racing Victoria TV network. How will it go after the TVN debacle? -- Comment from The Roar's iPhone app.

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