Over the course of the season, I’ve been taking stats for every NRL game played. For my NRL finals preview series, I will present the stats that matter for each and every game.
Head to Head 2015: Storm 1 Roosters 1
Round 7: Storm 17 defeated Roosters 16 at AAMI Park
Round 12: Roosters 24 defeated Storm 2 at Allianz Stadium
Roosters Tries Scored: 100 (2nd)
Storm Tries Scored: 82 (5th)
Roosters Try Conversion: 79/100 – 79% (1st)
Storm Try Conversion: 62/82 (2nd)
Roosters Tackle Breaks: 755 (1st)
Storm Tackle Breaks: 530 (8th)
Roosters Metres gained: 1550m per game (1st)
Storm metres gained: 1399m per game (7th)
Roosters Offloads: 258 (3rd)
Storm Offloads: 208 (6th)
Roosters Tries Conceded: 53 (1st)
Storm Tries Conceded: 62 (2nd)
Roosters Penalties For: 158 (2nd)
Storm Penalties for: 155 (3rd)
Storm Dummy Half Runs: 382 (1st)
Roosters Dummy Half Runs: 199 (8th)
Average in top 8 (350)
Storm Errors: 231 (Lowest in Top 8)
Roosters Errors: 292 (Highest in top 8)
Storm Kicks in Play: 508 (1st)
Roosters Kick in Play: 487 (4th)
0-20 mins
Roosters
Tries scored: 24
Tries Conceded: 11
Storm
Tries scored: 23
Tries Conceded: 13
21-40 mins
Roosters
Tries scored: 30
Tries Conceded: 16
Storm
Tries scored: 18
Tries Conceded: 17
41-60 mins
Roosters
Tries scored: 20
Tries Conceded: 12
Storm
Tries scored: 23
Tries Conceded: 12
61-80 mins
Roosters
Tries scored 26
Tries Conceded 15
Storm
Tries scored 18
Tries Conceded 18
| TEAM | PLAYED | WON | LOST | PERCENTAGE |
| Roosters | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% |
| Storm | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% |
RECORDS IN CLOSE MATCHES (6 POINTS OR LESS)
| TEAM | PLAYED | WON | LOST | PERCENTAGE |
| Roosters | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42% |
| Storm | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% |
Roosters:
– In 5/6 losses opponents have gained more metres than Roosters
– In last 13 weeks, no team has been able to achieve more runs metres than the Roosters
– In 5/6 losses, Roosters have had less than 50% possession
– Each of the five outside backs have run over 2000 metres (only team to do so)
– Conceded only one try in the first 20 minutes in the last 8 weeks
Storm:
– Opposition scores 3 tries or more, Storm have lost on each occasions
– Last four losses – each of them have been by 14 points or more
– Conceded only 5 tries in last four weeks
pete bloor
Guest
Sorry that shouldn't say "effect" rather "align".
pete bloor
Guest
Thanks Muz. Aaron I'm not sure rugby league people do remember that well, clearly there are a few that can't remember basic math
Muzz
Guest
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
Aaron Fraser
Guest
A coin doesn't remember. Players, coaches, and referees do.
pete bloor
Guest
Do you have any correlation on how these stats effect winning margin?
pete bloor
Guest
Yes but they are discrete events with the outcome not altered by the previous. The probability of a win now doesn't change just because you have had improbable results in the past If I toss a fairly weighted coin and it comes up heads 7 times in a row will and then I say before the 8th toss what odds will you give me that it comes up heads again unless you are foolish you wouldn't give me better than even money right as it is still a 50/50 proposition on that 8th toss.
Benny
Guest
Ah but you can to a certain point! It's just where that point is.
ScottWoodward.me
Roar Guru
Yanker You make a good point and I have always been perplexed why the NRL do not make every stat available to the public FREE, after all it is a form of promoting, it gets an incremental section interested. Just as perplexing is that all of the stats from all of the competitions incl. U20s, NSW and Q Cups are not only freely available but available in real time. Hey its 2015. If you look at the amateurish web sites that the NSW RL and the QRL have then you will understand why stats are not a priority. As the the Holden Cup, well, it is non existent. Crank, in answer to your Question: You have to pay for it. Information = intelligence and fans will embrace the game if they are given more intell - FREE! One day, one day.
Patrick Effeney
Editor
I think Gav takes them himself CY. Hard to find!
Samtwocan
Guest
I think it was made out to occur a lot more than it actually did last year also .
gavjoshi
Roar Guru
Thanks Scott - Just checked my stats system - and clearly a blunder in the query run Storm are 12 8 4 67% - Thanks
Sleiman Azizi
Roar Guru
Can't win them all.
Crank Yanker
Guest
Just curious, where do you guys find these stats? I'd live to find some really in depth ones like they have in the NFL and NBA. Decoy runs by forwards, win percentages at certain grounds, percentage of quick the the balls registered by forwards, how many times on average the ball is kicked out of play per team. Stuff like that.
Benny
Guest
How?
ScottWoodward.me
Roar Guru
Gav, Good work mate but you have the Storm record v the Top 8 team incorrect. It should be:: RECORDS AGAINST TOP 8 TEAMS TEAM PLAYED WON LOST PERCENTAGE Roosters 13 7 6 54% Storm 12 8 4 67% You had the Storm at Storm 12 5 7 42%
Jamieson Murphy
Roar Guru
Great stuff mate! So if the Roosters (the best attacking team in the comp) score more than three tries the Storm are done right?
Muzz
Guest
I remember walking into the old Sports Ground dressing sheds back in 75 and the players were drinking KB and smoking cigarettes. Things do change Renegade.
Dan
Guest
I have a feeling it might be field-related. The drainage at Allianz is nowhere near as good as ANZ Stadium and they seem to really struggle on a greasy track.
Joe
Roar Rookie
Storm have an abysmal record at Allianz. Don't know whether its the wind directions or stadium turf but they seem to struggle to play there, the forwards are sluggish and Cronks kicking game goes way off. That is one stat that might be relevant.
Dan
Guest
Correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't the Roosters 24-2 victory was played a few nights after Origin 1, with all of Melbourne's key players (Slater, Smith, Cronk, Chambers) backing up? The Storm have a far stronger side this year than they have had for the past few finals campaigns, especially in the forwards. This should be a bloody excellent game.