Despite everything, Bahrain will be worth watching

By Michael Lamonato / Expert

Say what you will about the current state of Formula One, but this sport has always loved a bit of internal drama.

Political drama has always been and will always be part of the spectacle – the glamour, the wealth, and the power of Formula One are forever its drawcards.

So it is that the sport gets a sort of perverse pleasure from – and let’s not beat around the bush – stupid stuff happening. Qualifying has been a prime example: painful to watch, yet it has excited the news cycle like little else.

And the dirty business of the politics that brought us to this sorry moment? It makes for fantastic storytelling.

So it was that I found myself sitting down yesterday telling a colleague of mine just how big a mess Formula One is when he stopped and sighed.

“Sometimes it’s good just to get excited about Formula One,” he mused. “People want to sit down and watch what is still a great spectacle, not worry about who’s voting against who behind the scenes.”

He’s not wrong.

It is an indictment on the sport that there is so much back-room politicking, and it’s doubly so that Formula One puts itself in a position whereby this bleeds into the on-track action.

But come Sunday 22 drivers still grid up and, on the evidence of the Australian Grand Prix, put on a brilliant show.

The cars are still the fastest you’ll find, the technology is cutting-edge, and the drivers are the cream of their generational crop and at the peak of their game. Formula One remains the pinnacle of motorsport, and it’s breathtaking to watch in full stride.

And it promises to do so in 2016. Formula One’s (racing) future, at least as far as this season is concerned, is looking rosy, so while we ride upon this wave of unexpected optimism, here’s why you should be up at 1am AEST (breathe) on Monday morning to watch the Bahrain Grand Prix.

Mercedes and Ferrari are close
Let’s start with the obvious. Mercedes versus Ferrari is shaping up to be a real duel. Even if Mercedes remains marginally faster, the difference is small enough for a clever Ferrari to take advantage.

Sebastian Vettel was temporarily able to control the Australian Grand Prix before a blatantly incorrect tyre choice undid all his good work, but both Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton, after following and being followed by Ferraris, suggested that the red cars are race contenders.

Even the form guide bodes well – in 2015 the Australian Grand Prix was Ferrari’s least competitive and Bahrain was one of the closer run affairs of the year.

Pirelli’s free tyre choice rules will be key. Ferrari has favoured the medium compound while Mercedes is taking more softs. Does Ferrari believe the Bahrain climate can counteract its tyre warm-up issues? Or does Mercedes think its pace on the softs will be enough to counteract degradation? The unknowns are tantalising.

Haas is a good news story
“This is a win for us!” Romain Grosjean shouted when he crossed the finishing line in sixth, confirming to his new Haas team that it had scored points on debut.

If there’s one thing Formula One needs above all else it’s new winners, and while Haas didn’t win anything, Grosjean’s proclamation that eight points is as good as victory will do nicely.

Not since 2002 has an all-new team scored points on debut, so it’s easy to understand why Formula One is excited to have Gene Haas on board. Though his method of buying as many Ferrari parts as is legal may not be everyone’s cup of tea – certainly not if you’re a current independent constructor – the just-add-water approach is delivering for the sport, for the fights in the midfield, and for Grosjean as a driver who has come dangerously close to being overlooked.

The team aims to and realistically can be a regular point scorer. With Grosjean leading and with the known quick quantity of Esteban Gutierrez in the second car, this Anglo-American team is guaranteed to intrigue as we watch it grow into what may one day be considered an Formula One stalwart.

Drivers are fighting for seats
We’re just a single round into the season but already the hallmark whispers of the silly season have begun.

We all know that Kimi Räikkönen’s contract with Ferrari expires at the end of the year and, barring a sudden upturn in form, the Finn is likely to be shown the door (again) to make room for a driver who might enable the team to match Mercedes’s constructors championship points haul.

The only question is: who?

Daniel Ricciardo, Grosjean and Valtteri Bottas are the hot tips, while Max Verstappen is a candidate for a Red Bull Racing promotion as an intermediate step to Italy – meaning increasing swathes of the midfield are racing not just for points, but also for contracts.

Was Verstappen’s race-long tirade and decision to pit himself without call the signs of a young man dealing with the burden of expectation – or brimming with arrogant confidence of a deal already done?

How will Daniil Kvyat respond to being perpetually reported as the man to take the next Red Bull bullet for the good of the driver academy?

Has Valtteri Bottas’s opportunity to impress Ferrari come and gone after two lukewarm seasons again Felipe Massa?

Before long you can see and feel the drivers race with the air of someone occupied by something else. Some thrive – Ricciardo’s Toro Rosso performances are a good example – while others wilt.

But these are just three non-political reasons to watch Formula One this weekend, and the race itself will be its own chapter in the story of 2016 – until qualifying goes wrong again and we’re back to talking about the bad stuff next week.

Easy come, easy go.

Follow @MichaelLamonato on Twitter throughout the #BahrainGP weekend.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2016-04-05T15:13:46+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


The weather makes it a bit weird. China is also very front-limited, which puts it out there too. We'll wait and see.

2016-04-04T07:04:05+00:00

anon

Guest


"Kimi had a great showing and hopefully it’s a sign of the gap to the Mercedes reducing every so slightly as each race passes. Ricciardo is keeping his consistency up with a fourth place finish and Haas fought to a brilliant fifth place finish. Nearly everything you mentioned came true!" Hamilton was down in 7th place at the start with some damage to his car that was costing him 8-tenths of a second per lap. Yet he didn't finish too far behind Raikkonen. So there's been no gap reduction. Mercedes hold a massive advantage over the field. At least as much as last season.

2016-04-03T18:21:34+00:00

Connor Bennett

Editor


You know, I read this article and I thought... Yeah, he's probably right about a few things but I can just tune in for a bit of qualifying maybe and check the race results the next day. But lo and behold there I was, sitting up keen as a bean from 1am (AEST) watching and following all the action, as I always have. It's funny how the sport just keeps drawing you in no matter what. Kimi had a great showing and hopefully it's a sign of the gap to the Mercedes reducing every so slightly as each race passes. Ricciardo is keeping his consistency up with a fourth place finish and Haas fought to a brilliant fifth place finish. Nearly everything you mentioned came true!!

2016-04-03T14:49:44+00:00

anon

Guest


Malaysia generally is/was representative. Australia is unique and so in Bahrain in a way being so rear-limited.

AUTHOR

2016-04-02T13:10:21+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


Don't count Ferrari out, the pace is (mostly) there. It seems like the Ferrari power unit has a reliability issue (there was a suspicion after testing this was the case) and the team is nursing them until they've solved it with whenever the next upgrade arrives. Renault will come good by next year, and the team's targeting 2018 for consistent wins. In Magnussen and Palmer they have very capable and quick drivers. I look forward to seeing that team develop this season. McLaren is the big question mark. The question now is how much progress can be made in-season.

AUTHOR

2016-04-02T13:06:42+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


We'll see! None of the opening flyaway rounds are very representative in any case — Australia, Bahrain and Malaysia were all very different to each other last year, and different to the season overall — so there's still plenty of settling in the gird regardless of the result. Ferrari was fastest in FP3 by half a second, for example, but it'd be surprising if that result carried over into qualifying. But answering that question will be fun!

2016-04-02T07:25:39+00:00

Simoc

Guest


And we're back to the Oz GP qualifying format. Turns out the teams don't have the authority they thought they had. It was the F1 teams management that made the spectacle poor in Q3 , Australia. Lets hope the likes of Ferrari and Red Bull can improve their organisational skills this time. It was a bad mistake by Alonso in Australia and it may be time for him to end his career after 2016. If Maldonado had been as clumsy he would be facing a ban. He's gone thankfully but a younger Alonso wouldn't make such an error knowing the consequences could well be fatal. Who knows what 2017 will bring! Ferrari don't have the pace that we were promised. McLaren may pass them and others to. If McLaren find the speed will they hang onto the two old timers. Hopefully Renault find speed and a fast driver. But 2016 looks like a repeat of the last two years of Mercedes domination.

2016-04-02T04:34:00+00:00

anon

Guest


It's a night race so temperatures should be similar to the coolish P1. You have hitched your wagons to the long run pace argument and have the old 'low temperature' excuse should it not pan out in the race. :)

AUTHOR

2016-04-02T04:28:14+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


Although on long-run pace on the soft tyre (the only comparable statistic at the moment), there was only a few tenths in it — though Ferrari must be concerned temperatures are remaining so low given its selection of medium tyres and its tyre warm-up problems.

2016-04-01T18:35:53+00:00

anon

Guest


Mercedes looking menacingly quick in practice! Like I predicted!

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