AFL Power Rankings: Round 16

By Michael DiFabrizio / Expert

We wouldn’t be saying anything new by declaring it’s tight at the top this AFL season, but here goes anyway: there ain’t much breathing space up there.

Adelaide, who have been in the top two of these rankings for the past six weeks, are playing the competition’s best football right now. North Melbourne seem to be the weakest of the top eight sides after five losses in six starts.

In between, little separates.

This weekend we had the GWS Giants stumbling to Collingwood while Geelong confirmed they were in something of a funk. The Western Bulldogs survived a challenge from the Western Bulldogs.

Some question marks were thrown up.

Meanwhile, Hawthorn have won six in a row and their most recent, against Port Adelaide on Thursday, was the pick of the bunch. You only have to look to 2015 to see how the Hawks can turn things up a notch with the bye out the way.

These rankings don’t yet have the Hawks in a commanding position, but that may well happen sooner rather than later if the weekend was any guide.

Certainly, any team that seizes their opportunities from here out should be rewarded. The spots between third and seventh are probably as tight as they’ve been all season, meaning poor showings will be costly.

Bring on the run home.


No change // Ladder: 3rd (11W, 4L)
Plenty of wraps on Daniel Talia after yesterday’s game and rightly so after hurting Carlton the other way. Rory Laird had an impressive 35 disposals at 89 per cent efficiency.

+3 // Ladder: 2nd (11W, 4L)
That the Swans won by 38 points despite having nine fewer inside 50s speaks volumes about the impact of Dane Rampe’s performance against Geelong. Took five intercept marks and had 23 touches at 91 per cent efficiency to lead an impressive defence. Overall, a strong win in enemy territory.

+3 // Ladder: 5th (10W, 5L)
Finally ticked the ‘win against top eight’ box, albeit at home and against North Melbourne. It will be five weeks before we see the Eagles against another top eight side, though their final three games should be interesting (GWS away, Hawthorn home, Adelaide away).

-2 // Ladder: 7th (10W, 5L)
A slip-up from the Giants was bound to happen. Their run home just seemed too straightforward, the path to a home final too safe, for everything to go to plan. It was a complacency loss. Stephen Coniglio had 30 diposals, but at 53 per cent. Josh Kelly had 23 at 48 per cent. Lachie Whitfield had 22 at 55 per cent. Only Dylan Shiel had more than 20 touches at a decent clip (77 per cent).

-1 // Ladder: 4th (11W, 4L)
The Dogs got into a pickle against Richmond, but the likes of Marcus Bontempelli and Jake Stringer proved the difference. The Bont is having a top season for a 20 year-old.

+1 // Ladder: 1st (12W, 3L)
Impressive performance against Port Adelaide and you sense the Hawks are starting to click. A funny comment perhaps for a team that’s won six in a row, but this was more significant than thrashing Essendon or eking out a win against Gold Coast. Now we can’t wait for the blockbuster against Sydney on Thursday night.

-4 // Ladder: 6th (10W, 5L)
Patrick Dangerfield burst out of the blocks with 18 first-quarter disposals, but the warning sign was there when not even that effort gave the Cats the lead at the first break. The Swans were too good and the Cats still have some figuring out to do.

No change // Ladder: 9th (7W, 8L)
The Power didn’t embarrass themselves in the loss to Hawthorn and Robbie Gray had a huge influence. Interesting fixture this week when they play North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium on Saturday.

+2 // Ladder: 11th (7W, 8L)
Travis Cloke was back with his four-goal, 12-mark, 20-disposal performance. Should be good for the confidence. The entire club will be taking confidence from the win over GWS, a superb outcome after being down four goals at quarter time.

-1 // Ladder: 8th (10W, 5L)
Despite Todd Goldstein dominating a Naitanui-less West Coast in the ruck, the Eagles scored six more goals from stoppages than the Roos. A couple of injury concerns, particularly Mason Wood’s knee, rubbed salt into the wound.

-1 // Ladder: 10th (7W, 8L)
The Demons showed Dockers fans what a young team heading in the other direction looks like. Who will get the last laugh though? Jesse Hogan had his eighth haul of three or more goals from 15 starts this season.

+3 // Ladder: 13th (6W, 9L)
Promising performance against a good team in the Dogs. A couple of blokes by the names of Jason Castagna and Oleg Markov looked alright. Some signs for the future.

No change // Ladder: 14th (6W, 9L)
The Blues are in the middle of a tough patch in the fixture, with West Coast, Sydney and Hawthorn to come in the next three weeks. So it’s fair to say the run home won’t be about getting the wins, it will be about glimpses at the future.

-2 // Ladder: 12th (7W, 8L)
Pushed to the very end by Essendon, we’re again left to question what the real St Kilda looks like. Or, maybe, we got closer to an answer. Nonetheless, a massive game from Jack Steven – 41 disposals, 22 contested, 12 clearances, 12 tackles and a desperately needed late goal. Lock in the three votes.

-1 // Ladder: 15th (5W, 10L)
The Suns got the win against Brisbane in what was in some ways an evening to forget. Potentially serious injuries to Gary Ablett and Michael Rischitelli aren’t what fans would’ve wanted. Same goes for letting the Lions back into the contest. Peter Wright a positive.

No change // Ladder: 16th (3W, 12L)
A poor first half showing against Melbourne by the Dockers before saving some face in the second half, albeit playing a team coming off a six-day break in Darwin.

No change // Ladder: 17th (1W, 14L)
A competitive showing at the Q-Clash, but here are the real positives: third-gamer Eric Hipwood kicked four goals, fourth-gamer Rhys Mathieson had 24 disposals, fifth-gamer Jarrad Jansen kicked two goals.

No change // Ladder: 18th (1W, 14L)
The Bombers gave it a fair shake against St Kilda. While coaches will tell you they aren’t satisfied with noble losses, it seems like a reasonable thing to be happy with for this team.

The Crowd Says:

2016-07-14T05:38:03+00:00

Not a guru but...

Guest


Unsure how Geelong were beaten at home against a top side and dropped 4 spots whilst GWS were beaten at home against a lowly opponent and dropped just 2. How GWS stayed in the top 4 almost the whole year is also baffling. I do sense a bias towards the NSW teams here.

2016-07-13T01:29:40+00:00

Karl

Guest


Yeah - not that impressive beating an injury ravaged North on your home deck. When they beat a top 8 side on the road is when I'll sit up and take notice. They've got nothing on Sydney, Adelaide, Hawthorn etc.

2016-07-11T17:14:22+00:00

New York Hawk

Guest


WCE's position is beyond comprehension.

2016-07-11T11:34:24+00:00

Sammy

Guest


@anon adelaide do not have enough midfield class and Adelaide's defence is ordinary????. I only need to refer you to a poster above who has listed the opposition last 1/4rs against adelaide over thelast 5 weeks. I think you are on your own with those comments

2016-07-11T09:18:40+00:00

Peppsy

Roar Guru


Could you possibly include a number for how far each team is behind the team infront of them? E.g 6. Hawthorn (61) +1 // Ladder... This would clear up a lot of the confusion

2016-07-11T08:47:52+00:00

big four sticks

Guest


K.B says Geelong are gone and that our Dusty will win the Brownlow. Trout says we can still make the eight. Great effort by the Tigers in their pre-season for the 2017 flag.

AUTHOR

2016-07-11T08:19:43+00:00

Michael DiFabrizio

Expert


I'm confused? I have two of those sides above West Coast?

AUTHOR

2016-07-11T08:18:45+00:00

Michael DiFabrizio

Expert


Peppsy, not all +1s are created equal. West Coast had a few teams above them drop a bit, so they got a bit lucky on the way up. It's fair to say both teams improved their standing by a similar amount.

2016-07-11T08:03:04+00:00

Peppsy

Roar Guru


So you're telling me that Hawthorn can beat the team 8th in these rankings away and go up only 1, but West Coast can beat the team in 9th at home and go up 3?

2016-07-11T07:50:43+00:00

Kavvy

Guest


I think Michael is now contractually obligated to overrate WCE when the opportunity arises. This comments section blow$ up whenever he doe$.

2016-07-11T07:22:51+00:00

anon

Guest


I wrote off Hawthorn weeks ago, but they have to be top 4 now even though they only beat Port. They still had to go interstate, and they dismantled their opposition. They are flawed, I don't believe the lack of contested possession is part of a greater plan. The stats say they can't win the premiership, but they might be the one's left standing. West Coast still hasn't beaten anyone of note, so I don't understand how they can be in the top 4. GWS might have cost themselves a top 4 with that loss. My top 8 is now: Sydney - what more can they do Adelaide - what more can they do, but I think they don't have enough midfield class and their defence is ordinary. Hawthorn - flawed version of the Hawks, and any other year wouldn't be in the conversation. GWS - I think they're the best list of players, best all round team, best midfield, but seems like they're believing the hype already. Looks like they need to learn a few more lessons. Geelong Bulldogs West Coast North Melbourne

2016-07-11T06:41:01+00:00

Lamby

Roar Rookie


Yes, but I am saying that the Hawks don't actually deserve their top of the ladder :-) With the teams they have just played they should have a much higher % and much higher defensive and offensive ratings. The annoying thing is that the other teams are not as good as in the last few years, so the Hawks might just sneak this premiership as well :-(

2016-07-11T05:24:04+00:00

Pope Paul VII

Guest


Surely Colliewobbles are number 1 this week?

2016-07-11T05:04:35+00:00

Pete

Guest


Cats at 7th is fine. If Eagles were ranked no higher than 6 I wouldn't query. The mystery is the Eagles at 3rd. There are 4 teams ranked below them that have much better records against other teams in the eight. So one has shaky recent form, but what about the other three ? Eagles are given too much credit for belting lowly teams.

2016-07-11T04:50:04+00:00

andyl12

Guest


Hawks and Swans this week could well decide who finishes top, with Adelaide being the only other contender IMO. GWS are doing what young sides do in July and August (Ie. Suffer a form slump) and likely to blow a couple more "easy" games before the season's out. Geelong leaving too much to too few and need to change this unless they want to be out of Top-4 contention by the end of July.

2016-07-11T04:48:51+00:00

JohnDee

Guest


I see no issue with where the Cats currently are. Lost two in a row, one to a lowly ranked Saints and one convincingly at their so called "fortress" to a fellow contender. They're not exactly in the best form at the moment, which is what Power Rankings are all about!

2016-07-11T04:38:36+00:00

Wilson

Roar Guru


I think it will be a good game and will give us the wooden spoon winner for the year. I think that Lions can get over ESS but it will be a close one I think

2016-07-11T04:35:40+00:00

Buzzard

Guest


Cats have been beaten by Blues Saints and Pies?? , maybe that's why they are ranked so low. .Dropping those games against 11 th 12 th and 14th is inexcusable, and those losses wlll come back to bite them on the bum I reckon...

2016-07-11T04:15:38+00:00

Pete

Guest


Cats 6 wins against teams in eight, Hawks 4 wins, Giants 4 wins, Dogs 3 wins. West Coast with one win at home against the eighth placed Roos. It's a strange ranking system you have there Michael.

2016-07-11T04:14:43+00:00

I hate pies

Guest


Which of Adelaide, Sydney or Hawthorn do they have better form than? Assuming a neutral venue, which of these three would you back them to beat? I know I'd expect all three to beat them by 5 goals.

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