If Laurie Daley's under the pump tonight, how about Australia's Super Rugby coaches?

By David Lord / Expert

The pundits reckon Laurie Daley will be sacked if NSW don’t win Origin 3 tonight, but the five Australian Super Rugby coaches aren’t too crash hot either.

Tonight at ANZ Stadium, Daley will be coaching his 12th Origin game, with his track record standing at one series success in 2014, but just four wins from 11 games.

Those stats just don’t stack up.

NSW has scored a mere 118 points to Queensland’s 201, and 19 tries to 32, which is why Blues power-brokers have Geoff Toovey and Ivan Cleary ready to take over.

In short, Daley must win tonight to survive.

But depending on the power-brokers, even though the very popular and highly respected coach has a year to go on his contract, a win still mightn’t save him.

But the five Australian Super Rugby coaches have been even worse against the New Zealand franchises this season.

In the 24 games so far, Australian franchises have lost 20, won three, and drawn one.

Surprisingly, the lowly Reds have the best result, beating the Highlanders 28-27, and the 25-all draw with the Blues.

The Brumbies beat the Hurricanes 52-10 in the opening round, and the Waratahs beat the Chiefs 45-25, but the Rebels and the Force have both lost all five games

The Australians have scored 444 points to 825, and crossed for 54 tries to 116 – one-way traffic.

Individually, the Waratahs have been the best performed in four games, with the Blues to play at Eden Park on Friday night. So far the Tahs have scored 98 points to 112, points differential of minus 14, with 14 tries to 16.

The Brumbies have scored 114 points to 161, points differential of minus 47, with 14 tries to 21.

The Reds – 77 points to 169, points differential of minus 92, crossing for nine tries to 24.

The Force – 68 points to 163, points differential of minus 95, with five tries to 24.

The Rebels are worst performed – 87 points to 220, points differential of minus 133, with 12 tries to 31.

Little wonder four of the Kiwi franchises look likely to make the final eight.

The Crusaders are the best-performed with 212 points to just 74, points differential of plus 138, scoring 29 tries to 10.

Next the Chiefs, with 212 points to 98, points differential of plus 114, scoring 32 tries to 12.

Then the Highlanders with 139 points to 87, points differential of plus 52, scoring 17 tries to ten.

The Hurricanes with 144 points to 102, points differential of plus 42, scoring 21 tries to 12.

The Blues have the Waratahs to play, so in their four games, the Blues have scored 118 points to 83, points differential of plus 35, with 17 tries to ten.

On those stats, even though the All Blacks have lost Richie McCaw with a world record 148 caps, Dan Carter with 112, Ma’a Nonu (103), Conrad Smith (94), and Kevan Mealamu (132) from their World Cup winning side – 589 caps in total – the men in black should have little trouble with gold this season.

The Crowd Says:

2016-07-13T20:12:35+00:00

harry

Guest


KW The golden age of aus rugby was 14 years ago the game has changed so much since then its like chalk and cheese. I cant see them winning the bledisloe cup in the next 5 years at least

2016-07-13T11:04:46+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Have to say, my immediate thought on reading the headline was to wonder whether Michael Foley was relaxing in an armchair somewhere and thinking "Suffer in your jocks"... :)

2016-07-13T07:47:59+00:00

KW

Guest


Have to agree with BEN, David..where have you been hiding. Didn't you pick the Bumboys and the Tahs to win...oh dear. What about a piece on Falaou and how hopeless he is running back, his defence is flaky and he is seriously lacking in rugby nous when it comes to playing better teams. Yes, he is a great open field runner and does wonderful trys through a gap but his all round game is a far cry from where it should be, either at Centre or FB.

2016-07-13T04:34:27+00:00

Kiwi in Europe

Guest


Finishing top spot avoids a 1/4 final clash with a NZ team. Would rather play the SA wild card team than the Hurricanes or Highlanders even if it is at home.

2016-07-13T01:46:45+00:00

BBA

Guest


Agreed, it will come down to whether he can attract and get the players needed to take the Warratahs to the next level. The one problem with a foreign coach is whether he will have the mana to have players want to play for him. Coaching is so many things, for example one of the things that helped the Chiefs in the past was that I think they won the battle for players when all else might be even wanting to play for a team Coached by Rennie and Smith as it was perceived that they might make them better players and increase their worth.

2016-07-13T01:32:38+00:00

BBA

Guest


I think the Lions team management consider making the final to be more important and have chosen a strategy to best implement it. Whilst I probably would have had an each way bet and rested half the team against the Kings and half against the Jaguars it is definitely a valid tactic. Even if the Lions lose they still end in second place, fitter and fresher with perhaps a better chance to progress, plus they can still host the final if the Kiwi team that claims top spot loses, which could be a possibility seeing they may play another NZ teams in the semi where home ground advantage may not be worth as much.

2016-07-13T01:15:53+00:00

Kashmir Pete

Roar Guru


Concur with all Buk's comments. Thanks David!

2016-07-13T00:52:48+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Lordy, agree with you regarding all the Super Rugby coaches bar Daryl Gibson, they got off to an ordinary start but are now the best team in the Conference ( not saying a lot right now ) but will unfortunately miss the semi finals because of that ordinary start. Gibbo has given some youngsters a run which is great. I think he has done a pretty solid job.

2016-07-13T00:43:54+00:00

Pinetree

Guest


Highlander - You would think that the home final would be important as well as quarters and semi but I guess that is their call, I'm certainly happy about it. ben - you would of thought that the game vs the kings last week was the time to rest players like the Highlanders did the week before that. The Lions had other opportunities to rest their players in the other Kings game and the Sunwolves. Tactically weak option IMO, but time will tell, and if they win it was the right choice.

2016-07-13T00:41:25+00:00

Buk

Guest


David, I enjoy your articles, and appreciate the time you put into putting stats together etc. For example, interesting that the Rebels are the worst performed against NZ sides, given at one stage they were challenging for the top 2 australian places. I also enjoy your sometimes very opinionated comments, particularly when they greatly diverge from mine. At times you're about as PC as a bull elephant on steroids, but that makes for a refreshing change. But above all, you put up with so much stick and disrespect, and still come out every week with a new article. That takes guts and commitment. Keep on being you, David, you add something of value to the Roar, and thanks for your articles, which I enjoy reading. Also the various moves & work you did years ago in helping to bring rugby out of the amateur arena, and break the power of monopolists whose ethos was something belonging to the Dark Ages and feudal systems, rank very highly in my book. Those efforts have resulted in many players from the wrong side of the tracks having a career choice and being able to make significant contributions towards their extended families welfare, that under the amateur system would never have happened.

2016-07-13T00:41:14+00:00

Lostintokyo

Guest


On the coaching front, it's the same old problem. Coaches get nervous of their career prospects so inevitably become conservative, playing not to lose rather than playing to win syndrome. And more conservative tactics leads to more losses and it spirals from there. When the going gets tough the tough don't always get going. Quite the opposite.

2016-07-13T00:25:04+00:00

ben

Guest


I heard the sth african radio commentator commenting on the lions squad on radiosport. He said that the boks in the team are extremly fatigued and last year the same trip resulted in a lot of players getting the flu and unable to train so they wanted to avoid that.

2016-07-13T00:23:45+00:00

Highlander

Guest


No matter the outcome they will get a home quarter and semi, maybe because they have won away against some good sides this year they re confident if need be for an away final, better rest the team now is the approach I guess - still very interesting call

2016-07-13T00:05:11+00:00

Pinetree

Guest


Interesting Highlander,i seems like a odd choice to make considering the importance of winning to seal top spot. I can only recall final round resting to that extreme in 2 cases, the Stormers last year and the Waratahs in 2002? my memory. Both those teams couldn't rise above or below their table rankings, It ended up backfiring both times as the Tahs and Stormers both lost convincingly the following week on their home turf in the playoffs. It gives me some confidence that either the Chiefs or Crusades can top the table, but a strange decision to take to rest 15 Lions players. Maybe they hope to save on the travel from Argentina and back, but this could backfire big time!

2016-07-12T23:53:31+00:00

nmpcart

Guest


Gibson is at least introducing new talent into the Tahs, needs to do a bit more of that probably. Force and Reds have already gone out looking for new coaches, Brumbies - Larkham's untouchable there which doesn't help the team, Rebels - can a different coach really change anything there? How much of it is the coach's game plan? I don't understand why highly experienced players can't change the game plan on the field when clearly it is not working - see the Brumbies against the Blues - at what point did they think that their limited approach was going to beat the Blues the way they were performing? Prior to the game sure, it would have sounded good but once the tries started pouring in, time for Moore to say 'let's do something different and use our Wallaby laden backline'.

2016-07-12T23:44:34+00:00

Markus

Guest


40% of Australian Super Rugby coaches already sacked. Not sure how much more under the pump they can be.

2016-07-12T23:18:30+00:00

Highlander

Guest


have you seen the team the Lions have picked - 15 rested

2016-07-12T22:53:51+00:00

Faith

Guest


After reading and following the Roar rugby side of things one can't help comparing experts and internalising their styles somewhat. I look forward to Brett and Spiro’s amazing analyses. Nicholas Bishop has taken over where Scott Allen left off by gathering amazing detailed evidence to provide some amazing insights. All these experts are countered by the standard David Lord piece which in a perverse way brings out the comic relief not least because of the disparaging comments that come with it. Invariably, the Lord piece (at least in rugby) feels derived from the most basic of press releases from what has just happened i.e last weekend’s results etc to do a rehash of information that all keen Roar followers know anyway, then plunks some kind of click-bait header followed by one sentence paragraphs pretending at brevity. And at the end a cute conclusion that pretends to be plucked from all this to provide, only Lord knows, some insight that he thinks unique. Laughable, really. But to be fair, different strokes for different folks … keep on bringing it, Lord ...

2016-07-12T21:28:50+00:00

Kane

Guest


Try pickandgo.info. Can sift through all that information in about ten minutes. Alternatively just glance at the Super Rugby table and the 2016 test results. Heck maybe even the rankings. that should be enough to "conclusively prove Australian rugby is way behind New Zealand rugby in 2016"

2016-07-12T21:26:03+00:00

ben

Guest


Could have told you that without the stats. I was waiting for your article on the games over the weekend esp the tahs.

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