It's the white collar Swans vs blue collar Bulldogs for AFL's grandest prize

By Glenn Mitchell / Expert

In 2005, the Sydney Swans ended the longest premiership drought in the history of the VFL/AFL. Their four-point win over West Coast brought to a close a 72-year run without a flag.

On Saturday, the Western Bulldogs will be hoping to snap the longest current premiership drought of the existing 18 clubs.

Footscray’s only triumph was in 1954. Its last grand final appearance was in 1961.

In recent times, the Sydney Swans have known all about grand finals. This Saturday will be their third in the past five seasons.

It will also be their fifth appearance on the big stage in the last dozen years. Only Hawthorn can boast a similar record.

Bulldogs fans will be hoping this year is the start of a similar golden period.

The Bulldogs got close to a grand final berth between 2008-10 with three consecutive preliminary final losses.

This weekend they finally get their shot under second-year coach, Luke Beveridge, who was named Coach of the Year for the second consecutive year.

The appointment of Beveridge, who replaced Brendan McCarthy, has proved to be a masterstroke.

In his maiden season at the helm he took the club to sixth on the ladder before a heartbreaking seven-point loss to Adelaide in an elimination final.

Despite the improvement last season there were plenty of naysayers in the pre-season predicted a slide for the Bulldogs this year.

In terms of ladder position after the home-and-away season the club finished one spot lower despite notching up 15 wins, one more than last year.

Getting to that point was a significant achievement given the long list of injuries the club suffered, headlined in Round 3 when skipper Robert Murphy suffered a season-ending knee injury.

At one point pretty much the entire first-pick backline was sidelined and in the run home Mitch Wallis, Marcus Adams and Jack Redpath all saw their season end prematurely.

The fact that the Bulldogs, largely bereft of key tall defenders, had the third lowest points against is testament to the coaching prowess of Beveridge.

Much has been said in the lead-up to this weekend about the advantages Sydney has reaped from the AFL’s COLA (Cost of Living Allowance) and the Academy zones.

COLA no doubt played a part in securing the talents of Lance Franklin and Kurt Tippett, while young gun Isaac Heeney and 2016 Rising Star Callum Mills came to the club through the academy system.

For the Bulldogs there have been no such advantages.

In the four seasons prior to Beveridge’s arrival at Whitten Oval the club finished 14th, 15th, 15th and 10th.

Since 2010 the Bulldogs have assembled a grand final squad with the aid of very few high draft selections.

Just three have come inside the top-16 – Jake Stringer and Jack McRae at picks five and six in 2012 and the outrageously talented Marcus Bontompelli at pick four in 2013.

The cornerstone of the Beveridge game plan has been ‘fast footy’.

There was no better illustration of that than the 47-point dismantling of the Eagles at Domain Stadium on the opening Thursday of the final series.

The swift ball movement cut a swathe through the normally redoubtable West Coast defence.

Allied to the run and stun style has been a ferocity at the contest. In Week 2 of the finals the win over Hawthorn continued to generate self-belief.

That would have been amplified last week by overcoming a 13-point deficit in the final quarter against GWS.

The Bulldogs have had 14 players average 20 or more disposals this season, indicating how the workload has been spread.

Of those 14, Murphy and Wallis are definite non-starters on Saturday while Koby Stevens is a doubtful selection.

Sydney has had seven players average over 20 disposals this season – Dan Hannebery (31), Josh Kennedy (31), Tom Mitchell (28), Luke Parker (27), Jake Lloyd (25), Kieren Jack (23) and Jarrad McVeigh (21), who is not a guaranteed starter on Saturday.

While the Swans have more gilt edged midfielders, the Bulldogs have a solid core of blue collar workers with Bontompelli the clear standout.

And then there is Buddy. While he only kicked two goals last week against Geelong, Franklin’s attack on the footy and ability to crash through defenders was one of the driving forces behind the Swans’ seven goal to one opening term.

In terms of goal kicking he has had a relatively lean finals series with six goals from three finals. He is, of course, an ever present threat.

The Swans are the number one side for inside-50s this season and they showed in the opening term against the Cats that when they get on a roll they can do real damage on the scoreboard.

Sydney’s midfield is ranked number two in clearances with the Bulldogs at number three.

The Bulldogs have to prevent the Swans from getting clean ball at stoppages forward of the centreline if they are to help nullify the Buddy effect.

The Bulldogs have to prevent Sydney from starting like they did against Adelaide and Geelong in their last two finals. They led the Crows by 25 points at quarter-time and the Cats by 39 points the first change.

It is crucial that the Bulldogs are not overawed by the occasion and stuck in the blocks otherwise the game could be out of reach at the first break.

The Bulldogs can take heart from their last two encounters with the Swans, which resulted in four-point wins each time, 83-79 and 77-73.

Both games were played at the SCG. It is often said that the Bulldogs are a several goal better side at Etihad but their recent record at the MCG is solid with five wins from their past seven games.

Since its victory in the 2012 grand final, Sydney has won nine of its past 14 games at the MCG, including four of its past five.

This season’s finale shapes as an intriguing affair.

Sentiment rests with the Western Bulldogs as the majority of non-Sydney fans will be cheering them on.

Across the board, the Swans have the more talented side but matches are not always won on talent alone.

The Bulldogs will be fortified by the fact that they sit one win away from club immortality.

For me, the head says Sydney albeit narrowly. However, the heart is with the Bulldogs.

The Crowd Says:

2016-09-30T20:54:19+00:00

Rod

Guest


Blue collar is a romantic myth. It's a nod to a romantic memory of VFL history. I mean it wasn't so long ago (2005) that the Swans were likened to Cortinas compared to the better teams that were likened to Mercedes and similar. Blue collar footballers and clubs don't exist. If you're club's not corporate it will fail. If your players aren't professional they will fail. Everyone in the AFL is white collar.

2016-09-30T20:06:37+00:00

Mark

Guest


Growing up in Sydney and playing juniors I got the sense that it was private school kids turning to Australian Rules. This was 15-20 years ago. The real challenge is to get those who would automatically play league to come to the good side. Oh god, did I just justify GWS existing? I feel so dirty all of a sudden.

2016-09-30T19:59:34+00:00

Mark

Guest


SMFC is 3 years older than FFC. Checkmate.

2016-09-30T14:12:05+00:00

david graham

Guest


Heeney white collar - sorry I have had to pick myself up of the floor! Heeney comes from a poor rural area in NSW - the Hunter region - and his parents have had to battle like mad just to make ends meet. When he was a child he experienced genuine hardship. I imagine he has sent a lot of money to his parents to help them out. White collar. Lazy observation mate.

2016-09-30T14:11:32+00:00

Maggie

Guest


You are very good at condescending put-downs Glenn. Your original words in the article above were "guilt-edged". (I don't remember if there was a hyphen or not, grammatically there should be but who cares.) I laughed when I read this early this morning but had no intention of pointing it out - until you had a shot at Daniel for his slip. I see that your words have now been conveniently corrected to "gilt edged" which allows you to take a ping at me. Either you or The Roar editor (or both) are playing games - a bit childish I think.

AUTHOR

2016-09-30T12:45:57+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


Not me that called myself an 'expert' and branded myself as such I can assure you. That choice was made by the editors of the site. You would have to ask them why they chose to add me that list. And, BTW, I don't see being mistaken for a Victorian as an insult.

2016-09-30T12:04:02+00:00

Hardnut

Guest


Fair point. Didn't mean to insult. Yet, while you also deny that you are a journalist, you have "expert" emblazoned under your name. Doesn't that demand an even higher standard in terms of setting out facts?

2016-09-30T09:34:56+00:00

Jrod

Guest


The investment is effectively from the clubs that make the big profits. To suggest gws invests implies they have the money to invest. They don't. They invest money generated by the southern states.

2016-09-30T09:17:13+00:00

Liam D

Roar Rookie


Acadamies run by the AFL will not work, NSW kids identify with the Swans not the AFL

AUTHOR

2016-09-30T08:53:30+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


Hey Hardnut, I am a non-Victorian - born and lived my entire life in Western Australia.

2016-09-30T08:48:03+00:00

me too

Guest


How much for a white swan?

2016-09-30T08:09:56+00:00

Liam D

Roar Rookie


The half of NSW that the Swans consider there academy is the Northern half of the state and hardly a goldmine- hard work to uncover the next Heeney

2016-09-30T08:02:43+00:00

Hyena

Guest


Doesn't seem to have stopped you jumping on a bandwagon... This idiotic rhetoric against Sydney makes me think of the republican conventions supporting Donald Trump. Fact 1: Sydney is at least 20% more expensive to live in than any other city in Australia. Melbourne is #2. Fact 2: the COLA was <10% Accordingly on a cost of living basis, Swans players take a paycut compared to their peers in other states as they earn less compared with the cost of living in the city they are based in. Re: Acadamies, as has been previously stated happy for the AFL to take over but that will cost them millions each year. If they don't want to develop the players surely those that do deserve some compensation for putting in the effort. That compensation has been determined by the AFL, so take it up with them. Swans, GWS, Lions and Suns all play within the rules applied to them by the AFL. 2 are at the top of the ladder, the other 2 at the bottom. Same rules! So it comes down to more than COLA or Acadamies, it's list management, coaching and setting the culture right. COLA and Acadamies are a pathetic excuse for those wanting to bleat against the Swans.

AUTHOR

2016-09-30T07:43:37+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


First Kurt you wrongly suggest I am a journalist and now you accuse me of being a "parochial Victorian" even though I was born and have lived my entire life in Western Australia. And you accuse me of "pathetic bleating and dishonesty". May be worth you checking your facts before you launch into people.

AUTHOR

2016-09-30T07:38:19+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


Thanks for your analysis and kind comments Kurt. As always, greatly appreciated.

2016-09-30T07:31:02+00:00

Chancho

Roar Rookie


Isn't Glenn from Perth?

2016-09-30T07:08:21+00:00

Kurt

Guest


I'm with you Angela. In the space of a few short days the Dogs have gone from sentimental favourites to a team I desperately want to see lose due to the pathetic bleating and dishonesty of parochial Victoriana like Glenn. And this is coming from a life long Hawthorn supporter! Go Swans, buddy to kick 6.

2016-09-30T07:04:40+00:00

Kurt

Guest


You're right, my mistake. You've certainly never shown any evidence of the professionalism and well crafted insights we should at least in theory expect from an actual professional.

AUTHOR

2016-09-30T07:04:32+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


Sorry Maggie, I wasn't aware there needed to be a hyphen. Thank you.

2016-09-30T06:52:15+00:00

Maggie

Guest


And by the way Glenn, it's 'gilt-edged'. People in glasshouses ........

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