Past the post: Winx, Catchy and the Australia Cup

By Adam Page / Roar Guru

Mother Nature attempted to steal the show at Randwick yesterday, but the Queen of the Turf in Winx gave her and her Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) rivals the cold shoulder.

At Caulfield it was all about Lindsay Park and the world’s best rider in Joao Moreira. All that, and much more to be discussed.

Winx furthers her greatness
Chris Waller and connections had every right to scratch the great mare given how ordinary the track was due to the wet weather. But he felt an obligation to those who braved the horror conditions at Randwick and to the general public to showcase her to the world.

She didn’t let anyone down with another dominant win, and given the conditions and circumstances, it would rank highly in her sequence of 15, which now sees her pass Pharlap (14).

She was in complete control under Bowman, sitting on the back of key rival Hartnell. He took the great mare far enough as Bowman eased her wider and she just glided over the heavy Randwick surface to dispose of her rivals in comfortable fashion, and really, all things being equal, it’s game over for the Queen Elizabeth.

Hartnell was the disappointing runner. He was well backed late given his apparent love for soft ground, but he struggled.

Lasqueti Spirit stamped herself as one of the hardest to beat in the ATC Oaks (2400m), while Who Shot Thebarman produced a ripping fresh run. The unlucky runner was Magic Hurricane. He clearly should have run second but got badly held up by the wayward Endless Drama. He is ticking over beautifully.

Bart digs deep
Death, taxes, Winx and Black Heart Bart being genuine are the four sure things in life at the moment. He is just an absolute beauty for Darren Weir, and registered another Group 1 win in the Futurity Stakes (1400m).

He had to fight really hard for this one though because stablemate Tosen Stardom got the gap and dashed, seemingly looking home, but Black Heart Bart really found plenty under Rawiller and lifted hard to win in the last stride.

Tosen Stardom is still an entire and his breeding career would have been sealed with a win here. Still, he might get his chance when he ventures to Sydney despite Weir and his horror Sydney record. Ecuador walked them in front and rightfully kicked on strongly, as did the three year old Attention, who was outside him in the run.

Australia Cup preview
The winner of the Australia Cup will come through the Peter Young (1800m). Just have to find the right one. Stratum Star won the race and really, all credit to him given the frequent flyer points he has accumulated.

Iron horse indeed. But the horse I only have eyes on is Humidor. I will be stunned if anything from the Peter Young will beat him home at Flemington. He did a mighty job in defeat, but again wanted to lay in very badly. Give him a set of blinkers and it’s game over.

The United States was first up and did get held up slightly, but did finish off strongly to run third, while Jameka should be excused given she did a stack of work up the hill and really did a good job to finish as close as she did. The other eye catcher was Exospheric, but I think he will want further than 2000m. Wait for him when he gets to 2400m for the BMW.

Catchy Me If You Can
Only once-in-a-generation two year olds can do the Blue Diamond/Golden Slipper double…is Catchy that? Time will tell, but gee you had to be impressed by her unbelievable finale to get the win in the Blue Diamond Stakes (1200m).

She looked in a hopeless spot at the top of the straight, but like she did in the Prelude, she really flattened out and wanted the victory, surging late to nab Pariah right on the peg. They put a gap on the rest, headed by Formality and Tulip.

It was a big moment for the stable as it provided young Ben Hayes with his first major as a co-trainer with father David and Tom Dabernig. It also provided Ben Hayes and Dabernig with their first Blue Diamond, while for David it was his fifth. But the question is, can she back up and peak again for the Slipper? My gut feeling is yes, but as I said, it’s very, very hard to do.

Is the Golden Slipper picture clearer?
The answer is yes. Catchy can definitely measure up, Pariah is a maybe…but in terms of Sydney and the Sweet Embrace/Skyline, we didn’t see the Slipper winner there. Perhaps Sires Produce/Champagne horses, but nothing brilliant enough to win the Golden Slipper. Menari is the unknown. Would he have beaten them up in the Skyline? Perhaps, but we will never know.

The two year old that I had my eyes on was Single Bullet. He was the horse I thought could take the step up and be counted as a Slipper contender but even though he isn’t entirely happy on the heavy going, I didn’t see enough from him to fill me with confidence heading forward.

Horses to follow
Omei Sword: Serious, serious Doncaster hope if they head that way. That was a huge return.

Magic Hurricane: if we continue to have a wet Autumn, he’ll go close in whatever he contests.

Danish Twist: Pretty poor ride, trying to restrain while the horse is pulling her head off. Give her another chance.

Goldstream: Mornington Cup is at his mercy

Smart As You Think: SA Oaks is hers for the taking. That was a brilliant return for a staying filly.

Palentino: Blamey Stakes? If so, take any price.

Humidor: Australia Cup winner if the blinkers go on.

Written Era: She’s low flying this prep. Just having no luck.

Horses to forget
Most Exalted/Kings Officer: Struggling on heavy tracks and not racing well enough.

Chetwood: Two costly defeats now this prep, and it will only get harder now. That, and he is overdoing it badly.

Hartnell: Given he is a wet tracker, no excuses for mine. That was poor.

Peacock: Just can’t fire at the moment. Disappointing.

Jennifer Lynn: No excuses after a sweet trip with cover. Just didn’t ping like she normally does.

Tom Melbourne: Why do people keep backing this horse?

The Crowd Says:

2017-02-26T21:30:39+00:00

Razzar

Guest


Ecuador if runs in the OZ Cup would be very competitive. His form this campaign has been excellent and he's ready for the stepup now. It's going to be very a competitive event with Awesome Rock heading to his fav track. Humidor tracking well. Looks about a 5s the field job. Abbie Marie wouldve lost no admirers in the Mares race Saturday. That was Silient Sedition's race to lose. But out in distance her serious opponent is Abbie.

2017-02-26T03:51:38+00:00

Johnybulldog

Guest


Can't wait to load up on Humidor next start if the blinkers go on mate.

AUTHOR

2017-02-26T00:00:42+00:00

Adam Page

Roar Guru


Omei Sword should have won. Simple as that. The ride from Bowman was poor IMHO. The outside was not the place to be. Yes McCreery won, but that was set up by a brutal tempo via Chetwood. Nothing was making ground out wide. Hard Promise was enormous in defeat. I think it was no disadvantage being on speed at Caulfield, but the pressure he copped and to still fight on, off a freshen up, was excellent. Can't blame Lane though. The horse was an absolute nutter in the run and he had no control. Not sure what to make of Farson. He has beaten bugger all, but he makes his own luck and is just tough. Can he win the Guineas? I'd say no, but he'll give an almighty sight.

AUTHOR

2017-02-25T23:57:34+00:00

Adam Page

Roar Guru


Yeah. He'll be popular in the Australian Cup, but off that run yesterday, I just don't think the extra furlong will be enough to turn the tables on a few of those, namely Humidor and Jameka. And given how Hartnell went yesterday, the BMW looks cherry ripe for a horse with upside.

AUTHOR

2017-02-25T23:55:48+00:00

Adam Page

Roar Guru


Easy to be impressed by Dixie Blossoms mate. Yes, she got through the going smoothly and whatnot, but that was pretty much a barrier trial for prizemoney. Just put the pen through it. Not dropping off Danish Twist, but she needs cover and a tempo. If Moriera couldn't get Tom Melbourne home yesterday, then nobody will. He is a milk drinker who just does too much wrong.

2017-02-25T23:29:24+00:00

Davico

Roar Pro


Great wrap. Had a mate tell me yesterday morning that they thought Tom Melbourne might be a chance and literally laughed in his face. He still backed it but anyway. Omei Sword's run was tremendous and agree with you on Humidor. Blinkers = Oz Cup Hard Promise would have streeted them if not Lanes crazy ride on Yulong Yongxing Farson looks a quality horse and look out for Thames Court next up was a great run without luck.

2017-02-25T21:59:48+00:00

Bill

Guest


Good tip to wait for 2400m on exsopheric

2017-02-25T21:24:43+00:00

Monday QB

Guest


Good wrap up as always Adam. Couldn't agree more re Tom Melbourne. I just can't work out why he's always jumping so 'in the market'. I was also really impressed by Dixie Blossoms. Granted, it wasn't the strongest race on the card but gee it was an effortless win, particularly given the track.

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