The Barrett dilemma

By Adam Julian / Roar Guru

Beauden Barrett could shortly become the first player ever to be crowned World Rugby player of the year three times in a row.

Despite this global recognition of excellence, there remarkably exists in New Zealand at present a debate about his place in the team.

Barrett was at his absolute best against Australia in August when he scored a record four tries at Eden Park.

In the last three months, Barrett and the All Blacks’ form has dipped and Richie Mo’unga has surfaced as a compelling challenger for Barrett’s position.

How real is the Barrett/Mo’unga debate?

Is it merely a case of patriotic panic following some recent stumbles or do the All Blacks require a new pivot to successfully defend the William Webb Ellis Trophy in 2019?

Barrett and structure
The All Blacks have smashed Rugby Championship scoring records with Barrett running the cutter, so why is there doubt about his ability to direct a backline effectively?

The All Blacks’ game structure is formulated to use lateral ball movement and pass close to the defensive line to create half gaps initially before exploiting shorter sides when opponents are disorganised or outnumbered. Barrett is at his best playing close to the line, drawing in defenders or using his pace to slip through.

When Barrett isn’t doing this, does his distribution appear to be highly telegraphed and therefore create clutter?

Does Barrett become over-reliant on superior individual skill when things are going against the All Blacks? Does Barrett overplay his hand, allowing confusion to reign in the entire back division?

Should the forwards be exclusively blamed for Barrett’s sudden demise? Most flyhalfs struggle to take off when heading backwards.

Nobody has proven to be a more brilliant match-winner in the past three seasons than Barrett. Surely he must remain in the starting team. Why limit the minutes of your best player?

Barrett is intuitively the greatest talent in the game. By contrast, Mo’unga is certainly more textbook, but not absent of flair. A highly organised player with a growing confidence, Mo’unga best showcased his qualities with a strong bench display against the Springboks at Loftus Versfeld.

Would the All Blacks benefit from someone more conventional than Barrett?

Could Barrett switch to fullback, thus keeping Ben Smith on the wing or eliminating the veteran Highlander altogether?

Is Barrett a poor goal kicker?
Barrett undeniably had a shocker against the Springboks but has kicked 17/18 attempts since.

In 2017, Barrett undoubtedly suffered a form blip with his kicking accuracy. He only slotted 63% of his goal kicks in the Super Rugby season.

However, in the past three seasons of Super Rugby, Barrett has actually kicked at a marginally higher success rate than Mo’unga – enjoying a higher success rate this year.

Since 2016, Barrett has kicked at a 75% success rate (193 attempts) for the All Blacks.

In 2018 that has increased to 82% which is the same rate of accuracy as Mo’unga (19/23).

Barrett’s Super Rugby goal kicking record (2016-2018)
2018: 34/48

2017: 19/30

2016: 76/107

Overall: 129/185 = 70%

Mo’unga’s Super Rugby goal kicking record (2016-2018)
2018: 56/72

2017: 54/76

2016: 65/93

Overall: 165/241 = 68%

Does Barrett kick too much?

One of the most interesting developments in the All Blacks strategy is the increased kicking. In 2016, Barrett kicked the ball 108 times in 13 Tests. In the same number of Tests last year he kicked the ball 174 times.

This season Barrett averages 16 kicks per Test, basically double his average of two seasons ago.

The obvious conclusion to draw from this is Barrett is kicking too often and the present All Black strategy doesn’t suit.

However, Barrett has always kicked the ball a lot – 206 more times than Mo’unga in the last three seasons of Super Rugby.

Despite kicking the ball more often than the Crusaders, the Hurricanes have scored more tries in two of the last three seasons.

Mo’unga, though, has proven to be an effective field kicker. Mo’unga appears to kick with better selectively and greater benefit than Barrett who would be advised to take a less-is-more approach.

What’s the verdict?
Daniel Carter was retained in 2015 and the World Cup wasa won. Barrett isn’t as complete as Carter, but as far as champions go he’s not far off. Mo’unga has rightly won acclaim for his performances, and with another strong Super Rugby campaign, will keep the debate alive in 2019.

However if the Steve Hansen era has taught us anything about success in the All Blacks, it’s that loyalty counts. The onus is on Barrett to keep Mo’unga at bay.

The Crowd Says:

2018-11-25T21:15:32+00:00

Jacko

Guest


Oh No!!!!! but sir he is calling me names....Did mummy give you the phone to play with while she mashed up your food? Stats say I am right and you are wrong....BB does not give away excessive penalties....And the 3 officials on the field...1 off the field...All the Citing people...etc etc etc dont see all your fabricated illegalities that BB does but supposedly gets away with.....

2018-11-24T13:53:15+00:00

SolidGold

Roar Rookie


So a kleptomaniac is not kleptomaniac because he hasn’t been caught. Interesting logic. He has been yellow carded in the past and will be again. I hope it costs you a RWC semi-final. I will accept your apology then. As for the play on your name lighten up dude, you played the man when you accused me of bias and a lack of rugby smarts, as you always do with anyone who disagrees with your opinion. If you can’t take it don’t try to dish it out. Cheers Jackoff - oh whoops...

2018-11-24T04:42:16+00:00

Jacko

Guest


Well its not...Look at his stats...look at the amount of penalties he gives away...Dont try to fabricate stuff you think is not legal but everybody including the refs think and rule as legal.....Oh and really is personal name calling something you practice every time someone has a different opinion to you? So shallow...Actually rather pathetic...Childish...

2018-11-24T04:19:01+00:00

Jacko

Guest


If Beaver can then Mounga can....What do you want Tman? Play Mounga so BB gets no game time? There is 5 tests left at most and its clearly coming down to BB v Mounga for the 10 spot...I will give it to BB as you cant possibably give every back-up player a start or your no 1 guys get sub time play only...Its a "cant have it both ways" scenario

2018-11-23T16:04:05+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Really? So on the basis of a few minutes as sub hes ready to start in a world cup semi and final should both bb and dmac get injured, something common in AB finals history. Err, i dont think so.

2018-11-23T11:25:01+00:00

thebleedingobvious

Roar Rookie


To see Aaron Smith throw the pass behind Savea v England and Kieran knock on v Ireland, suggests AB’s arnt handling the pressure of reduced opportunities very well. They are used to being flat track bullies with healthy score board margin or at least feeling they are cracking their opponents. NH teams are better conditioned and fitter than they were and able to defend for the 80, stifling the AB bench factor and ability to run away in the last 15-10 minutes. It’s a pity Ben Smith has to play wing when he’s better and more influential at 15 just to accommodate Dmac and maybe BB going forward but Naholo is a non starter IMO, unreliable under high ball and not confident enough. It hasn’t helped Crotty having to play 13 so often, to accommodate the overrated SBW, who has never had a rugby brain. Hansen has a blind spot there, which he will try and get the old mule up for WC based on Ritchie and DC doing it last WC but those guys had rugby nous. SBW reverts to league style under pressure, that’s what he grew up on and knows. BB, for the sake of proving a point, made a mistake in kicking the drop goal v Ireland, when we could have spread it wide with impunity, since the penalty was in front on the 22. His decision making/ game management has not been all that good, needing to prove he had it in him, perhaps to stave off the challenge of Mounga, who is more structured and may well be a better director of play but looks like he’s not gonna get the opportunities before WC. The tactical kicking from 10 is not great and the box kicks from our 9’s a weakness and as we saw in the last WC, contestable kicks are gonna be big next year. I have no doubt we can defend the kick chase but doubt our ability to consistently hoist our own, as contestable as these NH teams do and that matters. But the NH teams won’t be playing in front of their big stadium crowds in Japan, nor meeting AB’s at end of SH season. Just look at how hard Ireland had to struggle to get over a below average Wallabies at the end of NH season. Ireland deserved that win v AB’s but some of those Ireland saves like the Omahoney snaffle of the grubber behind were miraculous, good luck to them finding that stuff again in WC pressure and being an expected favourite. AB’s may hate the rock under the beach towel but it seems to have always been good for them in retrospect come WC. It knocks performance, the end of season travelling and accumulated weariness, starting from the beat up local derbies in NZ super rugby. Likes of Aaron smith with the massive amount of running game after game, just looked tired come Europe, that won’t be the case for he and team at WC. By accounts, BB has a great work ethic, seems to have largely fixed his goalkicking, I want him to be much better tactically kicking next year. They’ll be fresher and more accurate next November. Little disappointed with Squires lack of consistency and injury proneness, I expected him to be a physical dominator like a Kaino or Collins, they might go Cane at 6 next year. IMO Savea brings much more to 7 than Cane whose big defensive work ethic is 6 anyway. I’m not sure what is this new style they are trying to bed in? And no one is saying what it is or defining it? 2 play makers sure, that’s it? I don’t think they have to change much, tight five is outstanding, we have a platform against anyone. I guess they are thinking they just need a bit more composure and accuracy and acceptance that there are less opportunities these days, where defences rule over attack to a much larger extent And to improve their kicking game. I don’t see too much wrong but would like BB to grow his tactical reading and option taking, he has to steer us around the park like DC was outstanding doing for last WC. That direction at 10 maybe matters most at WC, when games tend to be tighter with what’s on the line. For me, it’s at 10 I have doubts and would like to see Mounga there more, see how he goes plus BB is outstanding, almost as good or maybe on par with Folau in the air, more space at 15 for him also, a better 15 than Dmac, so would Mounga be a more effective 10 than BB? I don’t see command and control at 10 from BB. Easy to be blinded by a players spectacularness like BB’s running game or SBWs athlete physique and offloading Given the Mounga style of playing more straight, challenging the defensive line and that BB is being stifled in his running at 10 and pushed wider against high quality defence plus the AB’s will need to play it up the middle more in high pressure tight WC games, I wish they would be more open to change at 10 than it looks like they are gonna be. But BB is a great, great runner, can’t really criticise them for sticking with him at 10 and asking him to grow his game.

2018-11-23T08:25:07+00:00

SolidGold

Roar Rookie


No Jerko, Barrett just isn’t penalised as often as he should be. Check out his actions at the 51st minute mark in Bledisloe 3 this year for instance. He is one of Rugby’s most talented players and doesn’t need to resort to these cheap illegal tactics. This article was about his strengths and weaknesses and I see his discipline as a potential weaknesss.

2018-11-23T05:26:21+00:00

Jacko

Guest


So I guess his many tests this year without a yellow testifys to his unwillingness to deliberatly cheat no matter when the opportunity presents itself eh? You seem more anti BB than rugby smart

2018-11-23T02:23:40+00:00

SolidGold

Roar Rookie


Barrett can also be a yellow card liability. He has an innate inability to resist illegal knockdowns and offside play, particularly in the red zone. His back to back yellow cards last year testifies to his willingness to deliberately cheat if the opportunity presents itself.

2018-11-22T10:48:09+00:00

Sylvester

Guest


The key point was BB was great in those two years (actually not WPOTY great last year in my view, but the esteemed judges say so..). However, things have changed. There is a clear defensive strategy to shutting him that's mostly effective, and he himself might also be down on confidence/form. He wasn't great for the Canes this year, as people noted at the time. I personally didn't see that as overly concerning but it might actually have been a warning sign.

2018-11-21T23:46:58+00:00

Jacko

Guest


So the NON 10 has been best player in the world from 10.....He's not the best 10 but he is the best player? load of BS...And his backup has won the SR player of the year 3 years running from playing 15 for 2 years then playing 10 for a year.....Something no other player has done....All while Mounga was playing SR in the same comp in the same country ........I think you have some biases towards Canterbury and their players....

2018-11-21T23:31:07+00:00

Jacko

Guest


I would love to know what you base that on as Ireland controlled the match...not just the first 58mins...ABs never gained control at all and Mounga's contribution was to take the ball into contact and recycle on 4 occasions....He gave very little that could enthuse anyone. BB does very well at 10 and has not started at FB for any team that I can remember for a very long time and I very much remember Spopunga absolutely killing it against SA in his first start and I remember Dmac twice being fantastic against SA last year when we won 57-0 so it is about doing it more than once and whilst Mounga has a great future from the looks of it he is yet to prove a thing...And being part of a ABs team to beat Italy wont prove anything either. Against England Dmac made 2 linebreaks when neither BB or Mounga made any so it therefore must be Dmac to 10 must it? BB is the man to take NZ to the WC at 10 (world player 2y running)...Dmac his backup...( SR player 3y running)...Mounga to get his best shot after the WC but great to have as backup in case of injury

2018-11-21T15:49:08+00:00

Shooter McGavin

Guest


BB has been useless whenever opposition have had parity in the forwards. Re Mounga, the game against SA was for the Rugby championship. SA and Ireland were the two toughest opposition up front. Better 1 good performance against these opponents than none. The All Blacks regained composure against Ireland when Mounga came on, BB created perhaps the best opportunity of the game at that point but not from 1st five - when he has space BB is amongst the best in the game.

2018-11-21T15:34:00+00:00

Shooter McGavin

Guest


Exactly. I'd go as far as saying if the AB forwards face an evenly matched opposition BB becomes ineffective. More chances were generated against Ireland when Mounga came on. Mounga needs to start and BB to 15, I hope that without Smith in the brains trust Hanson and co make the right call.

2018-11-21T12:19:11+00:00

Robbie

Guest


Barrett is the best player in the game, but he's not a 10. He does a decent job there because of his natural ability, but he's a 15 playing at 10 which you can see in his lack of organization... and why there are a number of other 10s in the world game who outshine him in their playmaking. Imagine how good the could be if they put in a real 10 and gave BB free reign?!

2018-11-21T10:07:26+00:00

Sylvester

Guest


Barrett's play lacks variation and, in my view, he's not an instinctive ball-in-hand playmaker beyond his running game. At the moment, he's shuffling sideways, shovelling the ball to the midfield and suffocating space for the outside backs. There's no plan B to rush defence, other than the kick - which in itself has not been well executed enough. Critics like Jacko say RM didn't impress when he came on against Ireland but the attack immediately straightened, he took on the line to create doubt with the inside defenders, and his wider passing opened up space for the likes of Ioane.

2018-11-21T08:37:15+00:00

Kiwi in East Perth

Guest


The Crusaders showed how to shut down Barrett and the Hurricanes attack. Then it was Ireland, followed by the Lions, The Boks and England. Once you shut down his space he becomes very ineffective and this will be the case at the next WC unless the AB's can think of another way to combat this. Whether they have the idea and are not showing their hand until the WC is the big unknown. It makes for an interesting WC thats for sure. The AB's have been riding the Barrett Horse since the last WC and ignored the traditional model of Cruden and Sopoanga. And i suspect they won't have confidence in RM before the next WC so its either going to work or the AB's and win the WC or they will be knocked out in the 1/4 finals.

2018-11-21T07:49:45+00:00

Jacko

Guest


The big problem is that the game is against italy...There is 10 no 10s in NZ who could play well against italy with a bunch of ABs around them....Mounga having a blinder against italy proves zero...Put Dmac there and they thrash Italy...Put BB there same result...The game proves nothing and shows us nothing about Mounga

2018-11-21T07:08:28+00:00

HodgePodge

Guest


I'm sure Shag and Fozzie will select a 10 based on the style they want to play but I personally think Mounga offers more variation and can run, pass and kick equally well. Barrett is an out and out runner who is still at this age trying master distribution and a kicking game.

2018-11-21T03:38:45+00:00

Jacko

Guest


Mounga has had 1 good game against teir 1 and that was off the bench against SA....He was very average against England and ireland ( good opposition) and very average against Argentina earlier in the season. All his proving of his ability has been at lower than test level so far or against teir 2 Japan...He should end up being good but lets not rush that one...

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