Can Valtteri Bottas save the 2019 F1 season?

By Michael Lamonato / Expert

Even in their ultra-dominant 2014–16 championship run, Mercedes didn’t have as strong a start to a season as this.

Four consecutive one-two finishes in the first four rounds — a new F1 record — has already earnt it a healthy 74-point buffer to Ferrari in second place, while Valtteri Bottas leads Lewis Hamilton 87-86 by virtue of his point for fastest lap at the Australian Grand Prix.

Sebastian Vettel already trails by 35 points, more than a clear race win, with Charles Leclerc a further five in arrears.

“It takes 100 per cent to deliver throughout the weekend,” Hamilton said. “They’re going to have to pick it up if they want to fight us.”

Indeed the SF90 looks quick enough to contend for wins, but difficult setup and poor operation have let Ferrari down, and though the season is still relatively young, we’re rapidly approaching the quarter-way mark.

And the increasing risk of a Ferrari flop means Bottas may be the only roadblock to Hamilton winning a fourth championship in five years.

That might be a concerning prospect for those who lost hope in the Finn during his demoralising 2018 campaign, but 2019 promises to be different.

For one, he’s beaten Hamilton at two of the four races to date, including scoring two pole positions to his teammate’s one, but perhaps more important is that he hasn’t been far behind Lewis on those weekends he didn’t claim maximum points. A driver’s off weekends decide their championship fate, and so far Bottas has ensured his lows aren’t anything like the chasms of yesteryear.

However, it’s also fair to say that none of his victories has been the sort of dynamite that really makes you sit up and pay attention.

While he was strong at the Australian Grand Prix, he still missed pole by a tenth to Hamilton, and in Azerbaijan, he was pushed by Lewis all the way to the chequered flag. Neither result will have rattled his decorated teammate.

Further, though it’s unfair to colour his wins with Hamilton’s relative performance, there’s no doubting Lewis hasn’t been at his sizzling best. He’s by no means off the mark, but Bottas has, for the most part, needed to be only good enough to triumph — but will this cut it over the course of a season?

(Photo by Marco Canoniero/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Azerbaijan illustrates the point precisely. The Mercedes teammates lined up on the front row of the grid with Bottas on pole, but the Finn, cautious not to suffer wheelspin, was tardy off the line, and the pair went side by side through the first two corners.

Bottas, absolutely to his credit, managed to hang on around the outside of both turns and fought hard to hold what proved to be a race-winning lead. But Hamilton was generous to a fault in allowing space for his teammate despite his superior getaway — uncharacteristic of a driver renowned for his uncompromising racecraft.

“Selfishly, I could have pushed a lot harder and Valtteri would have lost positions and I would have gained positions,” he said afterwards.

“We have to work together.

“That’s a sacrifice you have to make in order for the team to win. I think if it were a Ferrari there, it would have been a lot different.”

It makes fine sense for now, with Mercedes still working to cover a theoretically fast Ferrari, but if we were to arrive at the halfway mark of the season with the German marque still in control of the championship, Hamilton could hardly be expected to maintain his altruistic outlook.

This is when the test will really start, because as Nico Rosberg learnt during his three seasons sparring with the Briton, an unshackled Hamilton isn’t afraid to push the boundaries of intra-team racing.

Had Hamilton been racing for the championship rather than his team in Azerbaijan, there’s no doubt Bottas would’ve been forced to decide between surrendering the lead or walloping the barriers rather than being allowed to cling to the wide line.

This will be the real test. If the season boils down to a straight fight between teammates, will he be able to rise to the challenge of a win-at-all-costs Hamilton in the other car, or will he crumble under the pressure exerted by the seasoned title-winner as he vies for his first crown?

Rosberg managed to do it by getting under Hamilton’s skin, beating him at times and in places he didn’t expect and refusing to lie down when Lewis felt he’d regained the ascendancy. The toll was severe — the team almost imploded for the toxicity of the relationship — but it paid off.

“It reminds me a little bit of the situation,” Mercedes boss Toto Wolff admitted.

“I think we are lucky that they have a very good relationship.

“But as a matter of fact, you have to be conscious. We have seen a relationship deteriorate.

“Both of the drivers have an ambition to win the championship. We want them to be feisty … but equally the respect needs to stay in there.”

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But push will have to come to shove if this championship is to go down to the wire, and whether intentionally or unintentionally, Valtteri will have to rattle Lewis if he wants a shot at beating him, be that by breaking him in his qualifying domain or psychologically breaking him off the track. No-one expects the poison of the Rosberg-Hamilton years, but drivers rarely remain friends in the heat of a title fight.

It’s early days yet, but there could be trouble brewing at Mercedes — and if Ferrari can’t pull itself together, you’d better hope there is.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2019-05-06T08:33:48+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


I agree things must be scrutinised closely, which is why I think it's too difficult to decide these things during a career — it's really for post-retirement. Similar goes for Bottas. He mightn't have impressed you thus far, and fair enough, but drivers improve over time, some more slowly than others. This doesn't mean they have to be in greatest-ever territory, but better not to write these things off ahead of time. As for last season, even if Mercedes's car was comprehensively the quickest out there (it wasn't bar perhaps a quarter of the races), it wasn't dominant to the degree of his hold over the field. You do not have to believe he's the greatest of all time to admit he was in superb form last year.

2019-05-05T03:56:57+00:00

anon

Roar Pro


He didn't wipe the floor with the competition last season. He had the best car in 2018 and Bottas was his only real competition (hysterical British fans are still convinced the Ferrari was fastest in 2017, 2018 and 2019). The same Bottas who was never really that much better than a Felipe Massa about 8 years past his best and never the same since Hungary 2009. Rosberg is world champion on account of Hamilton failing with the best car on the grid. Button became world champion on account of Ross Brawn's loose interpretation of the rules for 2009. By my count, Hamilton's had the best car on the grid 2007 and 2014-18. I'm being very generous here because 2012 the McLaren was quickest but lacked reliability. I think Ferrari had a slight edge in 2008, but Massa was Ferrari's quickest driver (he's wasn't particularly good). Let's not forget that in 2010 Button was neck and neck with his teammate Hamilton until late in the year and McLaren came second in the constructors championship. He's always had great cars. So that's 6 seasons the best machinery and only 5 championships to show for it. Schumacher never had the best car on the grid until 2001. He had the best car 2001, 2002, 2003 (only slight edge though), 2004 and I'll be generous to the Hamilton lovers and say a slight edge in 2006. That's 5 seasons he had the best car and has 7 championships to show for it. I'm being very, very generous saying 2006 Schumacher had the best car and very generous saying Ferrari had the best car in 2008. Let's not forget that Schumacher also took the championship to the last race in 1997 and 1998 with far inferior machinery to the Williams and McLaren. When we're talking GOATs, then you need to scutinise these things closely. 7 championships when having the best car 5 times is far better than 5 championship when you had the best car 6 times. And let's look at this year. He's been beaten by his teammate in a straight fight in 2/4 races this season (while Vettel gets all the scrutiny).

AUTHOR

2019-05-05T02:12:23+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


I think it will be a very interesting discussion once he's retired. Sure, he was beaten by Button (world champion) on points over several seasons and Rosberg (world champion) in a single year, but he also matched Fernando Alonso on debut and wiped the floor with the entire competition last season, when he was performing at an incredibly high level. I think he's certainly in the discussion — the number of poles, titles and wins alone mandate it — but it's so hard to declare it, especially when a driver is still competing.

AUTHOR

2019-05-05T02:04:19+00:00

Michael Lamonato

Expert


You may be right, which would be a disappointing anticlimax to what was supposed to be a big Ferrari year. Spain will be the real test, though. If Ferrari can look as good in Barcelona as they did at the same track in preseason testing, then there's hope at least the team might learn how to unlock that pace consistently for the rest of the season to launch a fightback. Either way, I can't wait to watch Leclerc vs Vettel unfold.

2019-05-03T12:50:47+00:00

anon

Roar Pro


This is why Hamilton will never be in the GOAT discussion. He's a step below the Schumachers or Sennas. Outdriven by Button from 2010-12 (at worst matched), outdriven by Rosberg 2016, now letting Bottas win 2 out of 4 with one of Hamilton's wins not being on merit (Leclerc car failure).

2019-05-02T00:32:57+00:00

Gitos

Roar Rookie


Looks like Ferrari has already blown the season, as they aren’t showing any signs of improvement. Therefore the best battles will be Bottas/Hamilton and Leclerc/Vettel. I’d love to see the underdogs get up in both cases.

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