What to expect in the November rugby tours

By Sam Taulelei / Roar Guru

For southern hemisphere teams, there are two clear blocks of international rugby matches to be played before the World Cup champions are crowned next year: the November tour ahead and next year’s Tri Nations.

The traditional end of year tours have been a welcome bookend to the international rugby season for southern hemisphere fans. After a regular diet of Tri Nations rugby, the northern tours offer a welcome variety of venues, teams, fans and staying up into the early hours of Sunday morning to follow teams live. It’s like a prep school World Cup.

All the major rugby playing nations in the IRB top nine rankings will be on display in November. The path to World Cup glory begins in earnest next month for one of these sides in part one of this trilogy – The Fellowship of the Cup.

The southern hemisphere sides have had a full domestic season of playing under the new interpretations and are expected to have an edge over their counterparts still coming up to speed. Is that necessarily correct and true?

Forgetting New Zealand for the moment, who are ahead of every team at present, reviewing performances of the Springboks and Wallabies this season shows the Boks as a team stuck between playing two contrasting styles and doing neither one justice for themselves and their fans.

There are rumours of friction between the coaches and the body language of players during matches, clearly speak of an unhappy team. There are fears that senior players are in desperate need of a break and are struggling to maintain their normal levels of form. However the pressure of recording wins on the board after a disastrous Tri Nations campaign is forcing Peter de Villiers hand in selecting them to tour.

Until the Boks decide exactly how they want to play the game, select the correct personnel to implement it they are vulnerable to being upset by either of Ireland, Wales and England.

Australia is a dynamic team with enough skill, speed and talent to score points heavily against the opposition. However their defensive lapses, means they also leak points heavily to their opposition. There are still concerns about their mental fortitude and ruthlessness in closing out a game when in the lead. Their tight five will always be seen as a vulnerable area to be directly attacked from bigger packs and the Wallabies won’t want to get bogged down in a game with little continuity and frequent setpieces.

The selection of debutant Van Humphries may well be as inspired a choice as Tom Donnelly was for NZ last year and allow Nathan Sharpe to focus on his own game and not others. In a forward pack that is light on experience, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Van Humphries established in the Wallaby second row and a member of the leadership group Wallaby fans hear about so often but see little evidence of during a match.

Accuracy and concentration for the full 80 minutes is the key to their success on this tour, anything less will see them vulnerable to second half comebacks that have been their Achilles heel all season.

NZ, England and France pose the biggest threats to their aspirations for shaking off the chokers tag with Wales another potential banana peel.

Argentina is for the most part a relatively unknown quantity. There is little information about current player form apart from their top players contracted to European clubs. They did lose at home to Scotland earlier in the year which was a great surprise.

Their match against France will be a bruising encounter as usual and the French will hope they suffer no serious injuries with their match against the Wallabies the following week. From the heady days of 2007 when they enjoyed their highest ever world ranking and first time World Cup semi-finalists, they’ve dropped down the world rankings and will want to prove that 2007 was no fluke.

New Zealand will want to continue their hot streak of form and prove to themselves and doubters they still have improvements left in their game and can remain ahead of the field. The selection of Sonny Bill Williams will no doubt act as a lightning rod for the Fleet St press when they arrive in the UK and a third Grand Slam tour is in the offering again.

Although much interest is focused on the new boy, it will be the two old heads Carter and McCaw who will more likely attract the headlines if the All Blacks cut another swathe through the home unions. Finding answers to the eternal question of who will replace either of them if injured will hopefully be resolved or at the very least confirmed from within the squad, otherwise the search continues.

Other questions about the development and improvement of some of the less experienced tight five forwards, eg the Franks brothers, John Afoa, Anthony Boric, Sam Whitelock and Hika Elliott against their northern opponents will provide a good yardstick for next year.

With the likes of Ali Williams, Neemia Tialata, Corey Flynn and Jason Eaton still in the frame for selection, they can’t afford to ease off. New Zealand’s coaches need only look at the Springboks to see how fortunes can change very quickly in the space of twelve months, when you’re king of the hill.

For fans with little exposure to the northern rugby competitions, it’s a chance to see again the talent we know too little about, playing on their home turf and hopefully injury free and in form. It’s one thing to read newspaper reports and another thing altogether to watch with your own eyes.

The new law interpretations from most reports have been embraced by the clubs and reflected in an increase of tries scored and scorelines more commonly found in Super rugby matches. The challenge is to transfer the game played domestically into the international arena but at least the intent is there as well as the talent.

I am looking forward to watching the likes of Brad Davies, Jamie Roberts, Lee Byrne, Ben Youngs, Ben Foden, Chris Ashton and Dan Cole play again.

Who knows what other faces will become household names for Roarers to discuss in four weeks time.

The Crowd Says:

2010-11-02T01:23:39+00:00

Derm

Roar Guru


There goes that prediction. :)

2010-10-28T14:55:45+00:00

scarlet

Guest


Thanks mate, will do

2010-10-28T09:00:15+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


'Lievremont wasn’t talking about then. Perhaps I didn’t make that clear.' I see. Yes, you didn't make that clear. Given the reference to a year old Test and a NZ quote I assumed you meant that Lievremont had said that post-loss, and not recently. 'You make the mistake of extrapolating club rugby to national approach. A disinterested observer could point to obvious difference between any of the New Zealand franchises and the All Blacks manner of play.' It's not a mistake because I understand the French context. I have been watching French rugby for years and read variousFrench rugby books. I understand the French philosophy, and the philosophy is based on the pack, hence Lievremont's gleeful 'No scrum, no win.' comments. That resonates throughout the Top 14 which is why basically every French side plays the same way. Every side has a big kicker and a big pack. There's little running rugby, and that philosophy has spilled out to the national side, and it was a philosophy that Laporte absorbed and Lievremont has too. By and large we have seen a very conservative France side over the past 10 years. That validates my point. 'France, during the 6N played to the application of the law and were better than the limited efforts of their opposition.' And when the side attempted to play with the ball they struggled, and put together some inane pieces of play, which suggests that France are not the side most likely to profit from the current law interpretations. 'Your observations of the players is faulty as well. Ball handling is not the change – it’s the momentum of possession and speed of the breakdown that has changed the game. Speed, size and aggression are necessary to gain dominance. And half the players you nominate are donkeys in my humble opinion. Then again, I’d say the same to Deans…' Then my point remains because none of the players you mentioned are big, apart from Jauzion, or fast. Also, I think ball-handling is the charge. If the game is quicker and there are more phases then more players will carry the ball. More significantly, of the players you list only two are regular starters. Half the players I listed are donkeys? Well which ones, Jason?

2010-10-28T08:48:19+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


Checked out the adaptation,scarlet, and it's on 4od if you're interested. I googled it and that came up. I work from home so I think I'll have it on in the background today.

2010-10-28T02:08:05+00:00

Jason

Guest


No I am not "saying is that France ‘are certainly looking to divest themselves of the South African habit of looking to kick as a first option.’ based on the Test versus New Zealand last season". The first problem I have is that that Test match was played under the former law interpretations and therefore Lievremont’s desire to play how New Zealand played then is irrelevant to the game that is currently being played out now. a) Lievremont wasn't talking about then. Perhaps I didn't make that clear. b) New Zealand have merely benefited from the adjustment in the application of the law as the method in which they were attempting to play then and how they're playing now is more closely aligned than any other team, except South Africa... France, during the 6N played to the application of the law and were better than the limited efforts of their opposition. That their approach was demonstrated to be inadequate against SH opposition, combined with the law application change means they have to change their method of play. Hence Lievremont's statement. You make the mistake of extrapolating club rugby to national approach. A disinterested observer could point to obvious difference between any of the New Zealand franchises and the All Blacks manner of play. Your observations of the players is faulty as well. Ball handling is not the change - it's the momentum of possession and speed of the breakdown that has changed the game. Speed, size and aggression are necessary to gain dominance. And half the players you nominate are donkeys in my humble opinion. Then again, I'd say the same to Deans...

2010-10-27T19:43:19+00:00

grandpabhaile

Guest


South Africa can breathe a little easier with the news that they'll be facing what could amount to an Ireland B team when they line out for the promotional inauguration match in Lansdowne Road on Nov 6. First-teamers such as Paul O'Connell, Jerry Flannery, Marcus Horan and Tomas O'Leary are already out of contention and could be joined by Brian O'Driscoll, Keith Earls, Gordon D'Arcy and Rory Best cheering from the sidelines. That leaves Ireland without two of their first-choice hookers, their key line-out jumper, first-choice scrum-half, along with the long-time centre partnership of O'Driscoll and Darcy. O'Driscoll's main back-up is meant to be Keith Earls, but the Irish Lions utility back is still nursing a niggling injury. Ireland have drafted in 6 Academy players as emergency cover into the squad for the money-spinner contest, which is looking less like a test match and more like a pom-pom affair for both teams with the Springboks pocketing a chunk of money for making the promotional appearance outside of the normal November test window. Maybe Peter de Villiers might even be persuaded to try on one of the cheerleader's tutus and dance an Irish jig to commemorate the occasion. However, questions are starting to be asked about the ability and quality of the Irish medical team over the last 18 months and the trailing list of injuries from their treatment rooms that are 'not quite fixed' leading to further breakdowns on the the training pitches and in matches. Are the latest set of "injuries" just a bad run of luck, or is Kidney holding something in reserve for some of the bigger battles on the horizon in the shape of indomitable New Zealand and the arch-enemy Argentina later in the month?

2010-10-27T17:02:09+00:00

Derm

Roar Guru


Jason - I was including Fiji as one of the 6 SH teams playing in the series. Hadn't realised you were being politically selective in answering the question I posed. On your obvious typo on Ireland, are you saying that you meant Ireland "maybe gets one win out of four" then? As in they mightn't beat beat Samoa? Or did you mean to say maybe two wins out of four? Australia's matches are the hardest to call given their matches against England and France and those teams ambitions to beat them in particular. Roll on the 6th.

2010-10-27T15:28:53+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


Sad as this sounds, RF, I sat down and worked out tries conceded some time last year, and England did very well out of it. And if I recall correctly there were no law interpretation changes at that point. Anyhow, let's see how the defence holds this Autumn. I though Flood's kicking was good, but to be fair I was working and watching when the second half was on. I'm more worried about the passing of Youngs. He throws some real wobblies out. Agree about Hartley and Armitage. They're simply too spiteful/immature, and it often comes back to haunt them. In my ideal team both would be bench players anyway. Agree about the kicking too, although Cueto, if he starts, has a big left boot.

2010-10-27T14:21:32+00:00

Rugby Fan

Guest


Mike Ford says in an interview that England have conceded the second-lowest number of tries over the last 18 months, with only New Zealand doing better. Given that the new interpretations were introduced at different times in the North and South, I'm not sure how valuable that statistic is. One concern for England in these upcoming Tests might be their kicking game. Youngs and Flood didn't handle that challenge very well against Bath last weekend when the rain came down, and very nearly let the visitors back in. Youngs has a decent box kick but Flood's kicking out of hand still looks rusty. With Flutey doubtful, we won't have a lot of kicking skill in the centres either. The back three of Foden, Ashton + 1 ought to be safe enough but they won't get a lot of distance. England did manage to get their penalty count down after that bad 2009 6N campaign when they picked up yellow cards regularly. However, Hartley is attracting the whistle a lot right now and even Delon Armitage - perhaps not a likely starter although he's been mentioned as a possible winger - has been sin-binned twice so far this season. The comeback NZ staged against Australia was based on poor kicking by the Wallabies and a high penalty count late in the match so they aren't the opponents you want if those are weak parts of your game.

2010-10-27T12:52:16+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


Since 2003 whenever he has played he has always been one of England's best players, and playing Tindall at 12 wouldn't necessarily mean that he has to set up any great movements. Give him the ball, let him lay a quick ball platform and let the others like Armitage, Foden, Ashton, Cueto and potentially Waldouck do the rest. Tindall offers balance, Rowdy. Jamie Roberts wasn't throwing out 30 yard miss passes on the Lions tour, and look how he dominated the midfield.

2010-10-27T12:39:23+00:00

Rowdy

Guest


Ben, putting Trundle at 12 would mean it wouldn't matter who played 13 as they'd never see the ball.

2010-10-27T12:25:10+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


I'm not sure that's particularly accurate, Jason.

2010-10-27T11:31:43+00:00

GavinH

Guest


Injuries to toeava, nonu, kahui, mcalister and sonny with regan king pulled into the WC squad.

2010-10-27T11:20:11+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


I wasn't being obtuse, Jason, but I have a habit of naming Tests by the teams involved, and not where they took place. So, what you're saying is that France 'are certainly looking to divest themselves of the South African habit of looking to kick as a first option.’ based on the Test versus New Zealand last season? The first problem I have is that that Test match was played under the former law interpretations and therefore Lievremont's desire to play how New Zealand played then is irrelevant to the game that is currently being played out now. The second problem I have is that in the multiple matches following that game France played rugby exactly in the manner of South Africa, and not New Zealand. If you have taken in the French Tests since that game then there can be no debate. France aped South Africa during the 6N and made no real attempt to play with width. Not only that, but when they did try to play with width they were awful to the extent that we saw Trinh-Duc putting up Garryowens just outside of the opposition 22. Conversely, England, Ireland, Wales and Scotland attempted to play a wider brand of rugby during the 6N. Put simply, France were by far the most conservative side in last season's 6N. It probably isn't a coincidence therefore that France had some unfortunate results on the end of the season tour, whereas England and Scotland didn't. Further, if you watch European rugby, then surely you would have to concede that the Top 14 is inherently conservative, which is a cosy parallel to the national side. I completely disagree with the list of your players too. Szarzewski is no more of a ball-handling hooker than Thompson, Hartley, Ford, Rees or Flannery. Dusautoir has very poor ball skills for a flanker, Fritz is an aggressive and committed but limited centre, Jauzion is positively pedestrian, Poitrenaud is skilled, but flaky and erratic, and Trinh-Duc carries well but hasn't really improved over the past few seasons. In short, I don't think any of the above players are on the same level as players like O'Driscoll, Bowe, Kearney, Flood, Ashton, Foden, Roberts, Hook, Armitage, Williams, Byrne, Halfpenny, Croft, Ferris, Thomas, Wallace, M Williams etc, and that has been played out in the Heineken Cup and on the national stage.

2010-10-27T10:59:57+00:00

Jason

Guest


I'm not in the habit of repeating myself for the benefit of people being deliberately obtuse. Clearly the reference to Marseille last year was the November fixture with the All Blacks. Some specific players: Trinh-Duc Fritz Jauzion Dusautoir Szarzewski Poitrenaud Yes, I watch European rugby.

2010-10-27T10:33:03+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


I think you know what I am getting at, Jason. Your rudeness is most unnecessary. What game are you referring to in Marseille? Which players does France have, of all teams in the NH, that are equipped to take advantage of the new law interpretations? I'm presuming you're not European, so do you watch European rugby, specifically Top 14 or Heineken Cup?

2010-10-27T10:30:15+00:00

Jason

Guest


Answer my question? No it doesn't. At no stage was your first choice tight five unavailable.l

2010-10-27T10:23:19+00:00

Jason

Guest


When? I've already told you. Do pay attention, it would be important. France has, of all the NH teams, the players to take advantage of the law interpretations.

2010-10-27T09:19:47+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


TPN benched for something like 80% of his caps. Moore started in the 3N, It was Deans' choice to drop him for Faingaa. Robinson came back, and Mumm and Sharpe locked. That isn't 2nd or 3rd string. You're only referring to the pre-3N Tests by the sound of it, Craig, and even then you could only be referring to the front row.

2010-10-27T09:16:51+00:00

Ben S

Roar Guru


'Granted it’s not helter skelter like Wales can be, but they are certainly looking to divest themselves of the South African habit of looking to kick as a first option.' When? Not in the 6N they didn't. On what basis is France best placed to take advantage of the new law interpretations? Do you watch Top 14 or have you watched France play recently Jason?

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