ANDERSON: Don't give up on Cadel on the Tour

By Phil Anderson / Expert

The lead up to this year’s Tour de France has not disappointed, with its drama, gossip, and politics. These days, this is the rule rather than the exception.

I have had to deal with my own share of the same: personal scandals, team scandals, everything other than the race.

Really, there should be a cycling glossy at the supermarket aisle checkouts.

>> Tim Renowden: Sky is all over this Tour

In Europe, particularly Belgium, where the fanaticism is strong, this is actually the case.

The pre-Tour preamble built to an unprecedented level this year, the focus not on the Tour itself but on Lance Armstrong.

Any rider or official associated with him and his teams has become tainted by the association. This is an appalling state of affairs.

The wheels of due process will slowly reveal the truth but we must be patient and pay attention to le Tour.

The 2012 Tour is well underway now and my hope is that Cadel will remain strong and pull back the time he has lost.

My fear is not that Wiggins is better, but that Froome and Porte are better than Cadel. They are, in their own right, general classification contenders.

Sky is dominating the race.

Pre-tour, it always looked to be the case: the strength of their support team is formidable.

As the Tour changes, the style of rider and team must change to satisfy the demands of this modern epic. We rarely see the teams and riders perform together until the Tour.

Cadel took an enormous risk with limited racing and there have been many changes to his team.

Wiggins, too, has raced little but his lieutenants have been doing the work, early season results revealing great strength and a cohesive approach.

I have wondered in previous articles if Sky were ambitious enough to put up a team that would pursue yellow and green.

The team to beat has always been Sky.

Ryder Hesjedal is now out of the tour; Nibali is showing strong form; Peter Sagan is quite simply an astonishing talent; and Cavendish has had bad luck.

Both green and yellow jerseys are being heavily contested.

Cadel is not out of this race by any means, but the question in my mind, from an Australian perspective, is: “why has Richie Porte not been selected for our Olympic team?”

For that matter, where is Renshaw? He remains one of the best lead out men/sprinters in the world.

There are some real and apparent problems in the Australian selection process. This is becoming almost as scandalous as the continuing Lance saga.

Token efforts have been made in appeasing an appalled cycling public after the last World championship selection process, but in my opinion, the team put forward to represent Australia in this year’s Olympics is second rate.

Richie and many others have arrived on the cycling circuit without the assistance of the AIS.

Is this the reason they are overlooked?

Orica-GreenEDGE have been riding with confidence in their first Tour, taking responsibility in some of the chases and fully committing to Matt Goss in the sprints.

He has been consistent with his top five results and the team have reappeared now that we are leaving the Alps. However, it is going to be difficult to get that win.

None of the breakaways have been successful, because the peloton has been controlling the race for their sprinters while Sky have controlled the race overall.

Cadel has been sitting pretty with his team and has been avoiding the carnage that litters the roads of the first week and I am still prepared to hope he can ride to victory.

The tour has a long way to go with the Pyrenees to come, he needs some luck but if there is a chance he will take it.

The Crowd Says:

2012-07-25T10:43:45+00:00

Maria Szczerba

Guest


Hi Phil, Great article! I watched every bit of the tour and thought it was fantastic and all the stages and commentary that was done by everyone! The only thing that was a real shame was when those idiots whoever they were threw those tacks onto the road! A rider got injured because of the senseless act of others! I hope the french police get those people that could have injured a lot more and the carnage could have been a lot worse! I think that the french organisers need to be wary of duty of care and next year have more police on the routes through France and the tour de france routes! I also think that the roads are kept clear when the riders enter those narrow, very narrow roads in which they ride or climb and some of the spectators got awfully close to the riders when climbing and could have caused them to come off! Thankyou to everyone for a great tour! See you all next year!

2012-07-17T09:42:24+00:00

Herbie

Guest


Just great to have a balanced and informed article on the Roar for a change! Thanks Phil

2012-07-17T06:32:08+00:00

Lancey5times

Guest


It will be an extremely long apprenticeship for Richie Porte at Sky. Particularly with Froome there. Seems like an ideal GC contender for Greenedge. They should whip out a blank cheque -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download The Roar's iPhone App in the App Store here.

2012-07-17T06:22:36+00:00

SamClench

Roar Pro


I struggle to see Cadel winning unless Wiggins falls off his bike and breaks something. There aren't many stages left, and one of them is a time trial for which Bradley will be more favoured.

2012-07-17T04:02:30+00:00

sheek

Guest


Phil, I'm also happy for the Aussie team Orica-GreenEDGE. They seem to be laying down a solid platform for the future. It might be a few years before they become a mover & shaker in TDF, but the early portents are promising.

2012-07-17T04:00:31+00:00

sheek

Guest


Phil, I'm delighted such an eminent ex-cyclist like yourself thinks Cadel is still in the hunt. But realistically, it's drawing a long bow. So many things need to go right for Cadel, & wrong for Sky, for Cadel to triumph. And while it's possible Wiggins might implode, or suffer some unfortunate injury, there's still Froome, who some believe might be the real key to this years TDF. It's bad luck for Cadel. He came in under-done, & his revamped team is taking time to gel. It's apparently a stronger team than the one Cadel had last year, but all the same, there's a lot to be said for teamwork. And BMC haven't got it together at all. In 2013, the 100th running of the TDF, BMC might be in a better position to help Cadel. But he will be what , 36, which is getting on in cycling years. This might well have been his last opportunity. I'm hoping Cadel might turn things around in 2012, but it's definitely more in hope than expectation.....

2012-07-17T01:19:06+00:00

kid

Guest


I'm just going to put it out there that cadel can not win. Don't get me wrong I have cheered him on past midnight for the last decade, but he doesn't look to have the form of last year. Remember watching the galibier climb? Cadel was clearly the strongest and even on the alp d'Huez stage he had the mechanical and was able to chase the break away down. This year cadel is strong enough to stay with the group but he hasn't cracked anyone of note with his accelerations. If sky were fair dinkum in the next couple of stages they'd send froome off the front and see how BMC or liqigas make the pace. I've a feeling he'd blitz them and Sky would be assured of victory. But they will just protect wiggo and we will see boring tempo riding, shame really.

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