For those are spending another AFL finals campaign reading their teams Mad Monday stories rather than match reports, it can be hard to choose a bandwagon to jump on for the run to that last Saturday.
The AFL home and away season is done and dusted, and a whole new competition is about to begin. The next four weeks will be an emotional rollercoaster for any AFL fan, with heartbreak and jubilation aplenty.
So, for the rest of the September neutrals out there, I’ve created a guide to help you decide which top-eight team to adopt this year.
Hawthorn
Why: The Hawks were the premiership favourites at the start of the year, and they have finished on top.
Coming off an emphatic victory over West Coast, Hawthorn is seemingly doing a Geelong of recent years and timing their run to perfection. With Buddy Franklin in great touch and Cyril Rioli on the comeback trail, the Hawks also offer up some of the most excitement potential of the eight.
They are the obvious side to get on if you’re looking to back a likely winner.
Why Not: High expectations could also spell high disappointment.
If you are a Carlton fan chances are the last thing you want is another side with one hand on the cup only to let it slip. If the Hawks win this weekend’s Qualifying Final against Collingwood, they are on track for a potential prelim against the Cats, their ultimate hoodoo team.
It could be one of the greatest mental triumphs in recent memory, or you could be left ruing the fact you took the easy route and backed the favourite that lost.
Adelaide
Why: You know they’ll be there in the second week, purely because they made top four.
Brenton Sanderson is one of the most interesting coaches going around, and has done a sensational job in his first year.
Why not: I doubt they’ll avoid a straight sets exit, with no friendly fixtures to fall back on at the pointy end.
If you pick the Crows, your South Australian September sojourn will probably end in tears. It’s also hard to support a side with a mullet like Taylor Walker’s.
Sydney
Why: Sam Reid, Josh Kennedy and Kieren Jack have shown their superstar potential and the old firm of Adam Goodes, Jarrad McVeigh and numerous others are reliable, big game players.
They have managed to stay under the radar, despite the fact that they have held a top spot for most of the year. In fact, for most Melbourne-centric (the city, not the side) footy fans, the Swans’ excellent year has gone unnoticed.
For those of us outside Victoria, we all know how good they are. They are the best of the interstate sides, and there is nothing more satisfying than seeing Melburnians swallow a non-Victorian premiership winner.
Why Not: They have narrow losses to fellow top four sides Collingwood, Geelong and Hawthorn, in the closing rounds of the season.
The talent is there, but a trip to Adelaide beckons in the first week, and home ground advantage in the finals is crucial.
Collingwood
Why: The Pies are the powerhouse of the AFL competition, financially and in terms of supporter base.
Joining Jeff “Joffa” Corfe and the black and white army could give fans of, say, Gold Coast and GWS, a chance to be a part of a side brimming with history and passion.
If Travis Cloke proves last weekend’s showing against the Bombers was more than a fluke, then the Pies are a shot of going deep into the finals too.
Why not: You would have to barrack for Collingwood.
West Coast
Why: Nic Nat and Dean Cox. Who doesn’t want to see those guys for as many weeks as possible? Just imagine what the season highlights reel will look like if the two big men get four more games.
West Coast have surely proven their mental toughness this season and John Worsfold, who has been to the summit before, knows what it requires to hold the cup aloft as a player and a coach.
Why Not: The way West Coast’s season has gone, Cox will likely go down with an ACL in the first quarter next weekend, just as Daniel Kerr grabs at an excruciatingly torn hamstring and Adam Selwood knocks himself out running off the ground.
They have had ridiculously bad luck this year, despite the high finish, and even as a finals-only fan, you’ll be haunted by what-ifs all through summer.
Also, travel will be an Achilles heel (most probably a ruptured one) for the Eagles after week one. Three cross-country trips are required to win.
Geelong
Why: Geelong are arguably the first bottom-four side with a realistic chance of glory since the McIntyre System was implemented in 2000.
They are the major dark horse of the year, and have beaten Sydney, Hawthorn and Adelaide in the countdown to finals. Everyone loves to get on a fairytale and this year, the Cats might be that. You don’t want to miss your chance to jump on that bandwagon.
Why Not: Three flags in five years – pretty sure the Cats have had enough.
It might not be scientific, but I reckon it’s time to give someone else a turn – if for no other reason than to give their silverware polisher his first day off since 2007.
Fremantle
Why: The Dockers are on a hot streak, but have really only done a Steven Bradbury to get into the eight (thanks to Carlton and Essendon).
If they are able to get past Geelong, you can be the ‘told you so’ person. You know that person; the one that tips the Suns against Carlton for no reason and takes it as some sign of their superior footy intelligence. If you thought it was annoying then, imagine six months of gloating if the Dockers take the cup! Moral of the story: It’s always better to be that person than to be around that person.
Why not: Ross Lyon. You know he would just be insanely smug if his move across the Nullarbor paid dividends so soon.
St Kilda’s era, and the Swans before that, was painful enough – let some easy on the eye footy get your backing this year.
North Melbourne
Why: The Kangaroos, under Brad Scott, have re-built themselves into a side that embodies their renowned Shinboner spirit. This deserted them in the absence of Glenn Archer.
Not the most talented team (but they never are, that’s not the North way), their September success lays entirely on their grit, of which they have plenty. A side for those who want a genuine underdog, stacked with good blokes.
Also, Scott has been a refreshing asset to the news cycle this year and would provide some interest as team numbers dwindle.
Why not: Travelling to Perth in the first week of the finals is pretty much a death sentence.
Even if they make it past the Eagles, a cross-country trip followed by an MCG blockbuster against the Pies or Hawthorn means the Kangaroos are living on borrowed time. Not one for those who want to make a long-term September investment.
Johno
Guest
How's that Steve Bradbury analogy working for u now?
johno
Guest
Spleen vented,happier now ..... However my diatribe still rings true. Comparing Freo to Steve Bradbury is an ignorant comment
Redb
Roar Guru
Gee someone's lunch money was stolen, settle :)
Redb
Roar Guru
Actually Matt your right, the Swans record against Adelaide has been ordinary of late. Just had it my head the Swans usually played well at AAMI.
johno
Guest
Cue indignant rage about Freo comments ...... Fremantle did a Steven Bradbury? What a load of dross. Freo won 14 games, which is 2.5 more than Essendon did in making the finals in previous years. They beat all three of them teams in the bottom half of the 4 this year. They finished 7th not 8th. Yet you save comments about grit, spirit and passion for the Roos who have tanked at the end of the season. Freo would look at losses to Carlton and Essendon and think they could have easily made the top 4 if they had their game plan together when they met those two bottom 10 teams. The Saints deserved more of a mention in this article that they do. Essendon and Carlton were rubbish which is why Essendon and Carlton aren't playing finals, not why Freo is. Essendons average losing margin in their last 10 games was 10 goals - that is not falling over at the finishing line, that is breaking a leg and being put down in the third last lap. They lost to Melbourne as well ..... hence they are undeserving of being mentioned in the same breath as the final 8. Why don't you check Freo's last 10 weeks of footy and Pav almost snatching the Coleman. Fyfe, Hill, Mundy, Sandi, Pav, Mayne, Ballantyne, SonSon etc etc - theres some pretty good footy to be seen amongst just those few. Stop reading atricles by Kevin Bartlett from 3 months ago and actually watch a Dockers game.
Andrew A
Guest
Any of the top 12 sides are capable of beating each other on their day. Adelaide got 8 free premiership points and additional percentage by playing the Suns and GWS twice each. Without the freebies, it's unlikely they finish in the top 4 with 2 guaranteed home finals. Their favourable draw has put them in a position to contend for a flag. Collingwood's terrific wins away to Sydney and Adelaide count for little as the Crows and Swans made up for those losses with free points against the minnows. A Hawthorn v Collingwood Grand Final would represent the two best teams this year, however it's unlikely to happen.
Timmuh
Roar Guru
They did beat Hawthorn this year though, importantly that was on the large surface of York Park, and both games between the teams could have gone either way. Whole the Hawks would definitely start favourites in a game agaiunst Sydney in melbourne, it would not be a big surprise for the Swans to win it.
Matt
Guest
Actually, Adelaide have beaten Sydney in 12 of the past 14 games with 6 -1 records at both AAMI Stadium and the SCG over the past 10 years. The Adelaide v Sydney match will be a tough and hard contest, but in the past Adelaide have a history of getting over the line against Sydney.
Dan
Guest
I quite enjoy seeing everyone write off the crows, soft draw or not, they finished top 2. The Crows will win this weekend, put it in the bank.
Nathan of Perth
Guest
Fair guide! Eagles need to make sure we don't conceded any more early starts against teams. We've done it a couple times this year and this time it came back to bite us.
Redb
Roar Guru
I think the Sydney under the radar commentary is dead. Sydney are not premiersship materail. They have not beaten Collingwood or Hawthorn in their own backyard and were smashed by Geelong. Sydney actually play well against Adelaide, it wouldnt suprise me if they won, but the other contenders have their measure.
Vic
Guest
Will this be the season AFL football comes of age in Australia like NFL did in America in the late 1950s? The Swans need a good run and tv ratings in Sydney metro need to be strong to get the buzz going and hopefully maintain it into the future. The beginning of the AFL golden age in other words with the Giants set to become a power in 4 or 5 seasons. The ducks are all in line for it to happen, the tv deal, the media coverage, the teams and stadiums. All we need now is the eyeballs and the bums on seats.