Who are the top 20 horses in Australian racing?

By Justin Cinque / Expert

This Saturday’s Kingston Town Classic (1800m, Group 1, weight-for-age) is the last Group 1 of the calendar year.

Having put another great Spring Carnival behind us now is a fantastic time to take stock and rank the best 20 horses in training in Australia.

After the 2013 retirements of Black Caviar, Atlantic Jewel, Pierro, All Too Hard, Ocean Park and five-time Group 1 winner Shoot Out there are plenty of new faces at the top of Australian racing.

Here are my top 20 Australian racehorses in active training. For the purposes of this exercise I’ve included New Zealand-trained thoroughbreds on the basis of their Australian performances.

And it is a Kiwi that kicks us off.

1. It’s A Dundeel (Country/State: New Zealand, Age: four-year-old, Group 1 wins: five, favourite distance range: middle distance)
It’s A Dundeel’s five victories at Group 1 level mean he has more top-level victories than any other horse in active training in Australia.

He is just one of five horses in history to have won the Australian three-year-old Triple Crown and was the only horse to beat the wonder-mare Atlantic Jewel.

Still, I don’t think It’s A Dundeel can be called a champion yet. Even though he is a six-length winner of an Australian Derby (2400m, Group 1, three-year-olds) I’ve got a little distance query about him in a mile and a quarter race against the best company.

Even so, his record means he is deserving of his mantle as the nation’s best. But I’d go as far as saying that he will need to win a Championship race in the autumn to retain this title at the end of the season.

2. Happy Trails (South Australia, six-year-old, two, middle-distance)
Happy Trails is now trained in Victoria but he won this ranking of two on the back of performances for South Australian trainer Paul Beshara so I’ve classified him as a South Aussie.

It’s hard to believe how far this horse has come in 18 months but he is now one of the stars of Australian racing.

He beat Fiorente home in the Turnbull (2000m, Group 1, set weights and penalties) and Cox Plate (2040m, Group 1, weight-for-age) and it was a fantastic fourth in It’s A Dundeel’s Underwood (1800m, Group 1, weight-for-age) that made me believe in his middle distance credentials.

Almost black-marked as a miler, a more seasoned Happy Trails is probably the best 2000m horse in Australia right now.

If Happy Trails continues to improve over summer he could exit the autumn as the best horse in the country. You could argue he already is.

3. Fiorente (New South Wales, six-year-old, one, middle-distance/staying)
I’ve got the Melbourne Cup (3200m, Group 1, handicap) winner as the third-best horse in Australia on the basis of his fantastic performances throughout the year. He was arguably the best run when third in the Cox Plate and his Cup victory came in what was widely regarded as the deepest ever Melbourne Cup.

On those performances in the majors, Fiorente is one of Australian racing’s biggest drawcards and is the pin-up horse among the nation’s imported gallopers.

4. Zoustar (New South Wales, three-year-old, two, sprint-mile)
A serious lack of depth at the top of Australian racing means that Zoustar, a three-year-old, slots into number four on the back of a trio of thrilling victories over the Spring Carnival against his own age.

It’s hard to justify having Zoustar ranked so high because his Group 1 victories have been by relatively narrow margins against an untapped three-year-old sprinting brigade.

But my eye tells me this is a freakishly-talented horse whose acceleration can take him to Group 1 victories at international level. By the end of the season he may be the obvious choice for Australia’s best horse.

5. Guelph (New South Wales, three-year-old, four, mile)
Guelph gets a ranking of five after dominating the fillies’ races in the Spring Carnival. A professional filly, Guelph has disposed of her Group 1 opposition by using a brilliant turn of foot (in the Sires Produce), coming from last (Champagne), leading (Thousand Guineas) or sitting wide (Flight). She is practically bombproof.

The only question is whether she can graduate to weight-for-age racing. And that’s why she’s not ranked higher.

6. Boban (New South Wales, four-year-old, two, sprint-mile)
Boban came from nowhere to be one of the stars of the Spring Carnival. A pair of 1600m Group 1 handicap victories takes him to this ranking of six.

Boban’s outstanding turn of foot should see him make light work of the transition to weight-for-age racing.

If Chris Waller wants to win another Doncaster (1600m, Group 1, handicap) he can do it with Boban. Equally, if he’d rather win the $4m Queen Elizabeth (2000m, Group 1, weight-for-age) Boban is good enough to be set for the autumn’s big race.

7. Buffering (Queensland, six-year-old, three, sprint)
Buffering’s three Spring Carnival Group 1s makes him the obvious choice for Australia’s best sprinter. And as a genuine weight-for-age star so far this season, he deserves a ranking in the top ten.

But because I don’t think our sprinting ranks are very strong I can’t have him any higher than seventh.

8. Fawkner (Victoria, six-year-old, one, middle-distance)
Like Happy Trails, Fawkner is one of the big improvers in Australian racing. He gets into the top ten on the back of a strong third in the Turnbull, his victory in the Caulfield Cup (2400m, Group 1, handicap) and a good sixth in the Melbourne Cup.

For Fawkner’s progression to continue he’s going to need to make the step-up to weight-for –age racing in 2014. How successful he is in that endeavour will determine if he holds his top-ten ranking.

9. Shamus Award (Victoria, three-year-old, one, middle-distance)
Shamus Award’s Cox Plate victory wins him a ranking in the top ten. This horse has been racing against the best horses of his age group since debuting on Cox Plate Day last year.

This spring he went to a new level by producing, in defeat, the best runs in both the Stutt (1600m, Group 2, three-year-olds) and Caulfield Guineas (1600m, Group 1, three-year-olds).

Natural improvement means he can continue to be a force at weight-for-age in the autumn.

10. Foreteller (New South Wales, seven-year-old, two, middle-distance)
Foreteller is no superstar, but a string of very good performances in important races take him to tenth in my rankings. He is a dual Group 1 weight-for-age winner and was a strong fourth in the Cox Plate.

I’d go as far as saying Foreteller is the best benchmark horse in Australia. By that I mean if a middle-distance horse proves their superiority to Foreteller then they are an outstanding galloper but if the Waller runner holds firm then that horse is just below the truly elite level.

11. Samaready (Victoria, four-year-old, two, sprint)
Samaready has been plagued by injury but when fit she has proven herself to be an outstanding sprinter.

Her demolition of the 2012 Blue Diamond (1200m, Group 1, two-year-olds) was one of the better wins in that race’s history, while her victory in September’s Moir (1200m, Group 1, weight-for-age), when she made an off-colour Buffering look average, was dominant.

She’s the sleeper in the top 20. Only poor health stands between Samaready and a big 2014.

12. Fiveandahalfstar (New South Wales, four-year-old, two, middle-distance/staying)
Fiveandahalfstar missed the Spring Carnival through injury but remains a key player in Australian racing on the back of a three-year-old season that netted Group 1 victories in the Victoria Derby (2500m, Group 1, three-year-olds) when he beat home Super Cool and It’s A Dundeel, and the BMW (2400m, Group 1, weight-for-age) when he had Foreteller finish in his wake.

He’ll need to have an impressive autumn campaign to justify his position in the top 15 of Australian racing.

13. Hawkspur (New South Wales, four-year-old, one, middle-distance/staying)
Hawkspur’s Spring Carnival ended in disappointment after luckless but creditable performances in both the Turnbull and Caulfield Cup before a dismal failure in the Melbourne Cup.

At his best, when fifth in the Turnbull, Hawkspur proved himself to be at a comparable level to Fiorente. That means a big autumn would not shock.

14. Puissance De Lune (Victoria, six-year-old, none, middle-distance/staying)
Puissance De Lune had an incredibly disappointing Spring Carnival but providing he makes it back to the races, there’s still a very big win in this horse.

He actually beat Fawkner, Fiorente and Hawkspur home in the Turnbull and was second to Foreteller in the Makybe Diva (1600m, Group 1, weight-for-age).

15. Sea Moon (Victoria, six-year-old, none, staying)
Sea Moon is a hard horse to rank. On his European form he could easily be entrenched in the middle of the top ten but on his Australian form, where he has performed well in handicaps, he may be ranked too high at 15.

On the back of his Herbert Power (2400m, Group 2, handicap) victory with 59.5kgs, when history said he should not have won, I’ve got him at 15. Had he run in the Caulfield Cup, I suggest he would have run in the top three and thus would’ve been an obvious pick for the top 15.

16. Shamexpress (Victoria, four-year-old, one, sprint)
Shamexpress is a safe pick at 16 on the back of a couple of outstanding performances at Flemington this year.

He won the Newmarket (1200m, Group 1, handicap) with a featherweight before putting in a career-best effort when finishing a closing second to Buffering in the VRC Sprint Classic (1200m, Group 1, weight-for-age).

Shamexpress is the third best sprinter in Australia behind Buffering and Samaready.

17. Moment Of Change (Victoria, five-year-old, one, sprint)
At his best Moment Of Change is a fantastic sprinter. He ran Black Caviar to respectable margin in the Black Caviar Lightning (1000m, Group 1, weight-for-age) in February.

His close-up second to Buffering in the Winterbottom (1200m, Group 1, weight-for-age) last month was perhaps the best performance of his career. It followed solid efforts in the Manikato (1200m, Group 1, weight-for-age) when he was fourth after missing the start and VRC Sprint Classic when he was third.

18. Polanski (Victoria, three-year-old, one, middle-distance/staying)
Polanski’s demolition of the Victoria Derby field may be remembered as the first shot fired in the career of a super stayer.

This year’s Derby was so truly run and Polanski so strong at the finish that a Melbourne Cup campaign in 2015, if not next year, will be irresistible for the Robbie Laing team.

The Polanski camp is in possession of the most exciting stayer, outside of Fiorente, in the country.

19. Luckygray (Western Australia, six-year-old, three, mile/middle-distance)
I like to assess Group 1 horses on their performances in big Group 1s, usually in Sydney or Melbourne, so on that basis Luckygray is fortunate to make the top 20. His eastern state form is only average for a top-liner.

But in Western Australia he is a completely different horse. As a dual Railway winner (including in this year’s edition with the top weight), he is clearly the best horse in that state and is worthy of his spot in the top 20.

He is favoured to add a fourth Group 1 to his resume in Saturday’s Kingston Town.

20. Complacent (New South Wales, three-year-old, one, middle-distance)
Complacent scrapes into the top 20 on Spring Carnival performances in three-year-old staying races. He won the Spring Champion (2000m, Group 1, three-year-olds) at Randwick and was second in the Victoria Derby.

Perhaps not everyone will agree with his inclusion but I like Complacent’s style. He has a good turn of foot and can run a strong 2000m. He may be a Queen Elizabeth horse in the autumn and if you listen to trainer Peter Snowden speak about Complacent you’ll quickly understand the outgoing Darley conditioner has an incredible opinion of this horse.

Unlucky horses to miss out on my top 20: Long John, Red Tracer, Dear Demi, Royal Descent, Super Cool, Overreach and Silent Achiever

The Crowd Says:

2013-12-24T17:51:48+00:00

balanced

Guest


Justin, a good read. These lists are opinion only, and I didn't have any major objections in looking at your top 10. I personally would have had Fiorente above Happy Trails, because I think he would have won both the Turnbull and Cox with the same runs that Happy Trails had, and HT doesn't have the versatility of a Fiorente who has shown he can be competitive at G1 from 1400m to 3200m. But that's a minor quibble only, and I agree with you and others that HT is underrated and is slowly winning people over with his honesty. Outside of the top 10, I personally think you fell away a bit. Sea Moon? Moment of Change? I agree with Cameron that Red Tracer is the biggest omission. To say that she has run almost exclusively against mares might have been a criticism at some points in time, but in an era that has produced Sunline, Makybe Diva, More Joyous and Black Caviar, there is no basis for suggesting that being the top of the mare tree is anything other than a compliment. And Red Tracer has in fact, won an open WFA at G2, and been placed at open G1, to back up her dual G1s in mares grade in Qld and Melbourne. (And her near 50% strike rate.) Others I thought might have been considered were Super Cool and Green Moon, who would be competitive if aimed at the right races, Toydini and Streama who you've already mentioned. One thing I find interesting from the list is that the Victorian horses you've included, being Fawkner, Shamus Award, Samaready, Sea Moon, Puissance De Lune, Shamexpress, Polanski and Moment of Change have won, from memory, only one race of any type in Sydney. In fact most of them have only the one career highlight even in Melbourne. By contrast, the top rated Sydney horses have won G1s in Sydney and Melbourne (Zoustar, Boban, Guelph, Foreteller and Fiveandahalfstar.) This is reflected in your rankings. There can be no doubt that the deeper pool of talent is in Sydney, and good wins there are harder to come by. The idiosyncratic nature of Moonee Valley and the straight six at Flemington flatters the form of some horses who perform there at a level they don't match anywhere else.

2013-12-07T09:36:51+00:00

Andrew

Guest


great article. interested in how you rate injured horses. i note you included 5.5 star. does this mean you could have included norzita or reliable man. i am yet to any official word either of these are retired. im convinced norzita would have been in for a bumper spring if she did not get injured based on her first up run when flying home against rebel dane giving it 3kgs (effectively 5kgs when factor i mares allowance). i think toydini is one who could have made this list. a whisker between it and boban in the epsom, huge win in waterford mile, and then ridden way too close to the speed in emirates, when still just under 1 length away. i think people are getting a bit carried with boban. he is progressing well, but has a way to go before he can put up in top bracket. bit of a bunched finished in epsom and had the gun run. one horse will be on this list in 12 months time is notlisteningtome, his first prep was phenomenal and i'd be happy to back (at appropriate odds) to improve 1-2 lengths (physically and through racing experience) and knock off zoustar in autumn if they were to clash.

2013-12-05T21:45:52+00:00

Casper

Guest


you can't use woulda's & shoulda's in assessments or Buffering would be a lot higher. has won $4M + did all the work in the Brisbane sprints with fluke winners over the top of him after soft runs (you song, linton, epaulette - have they aimed up since?) Happy Trails might be up there, but performance says you've overrated him. If we start to leave out wet tracks, bad rides etc. the whole thing gets turned on its head. although his performance says IAD should be number 1, I still have a sneaky feeling he's had a lot of things go his way & might need everything his own way. looking back, he beat Phillipi in the derby & couldn't beat Reliable Man in the Queen Elizabeth, where are they now? Also couldn't beat Super Cool, Fiveandahalfstar or Pierro as a 3yo. Reckon you're unfair about sprinters being at a low ebb, i'm just disappointed that the opportunity to make a quick $20M has owners selling top 3yo's to studs & retiring them early to protect the unbeaten records, Your song is a good example, had he really done enough to earn the wrap & price put on him.

2013-12-05T10:54:06+00:00

Peter Swanell

Guest


Winning the Turnbull in beautiful fashion and coming 2nd in the Cox Plate by the skin of your #%^*€ not good enough for you rosso? And a close up 3rd in The Queen Elizabeth in Sydney. Disregard his other 3 Sydney runs on Heavy 10 tracks

2013-12-05T10:48:57+00:00

Peter Swanell

Guest


Disregard 3 of Happy Trails 4 starts in Sydney. They were on Heavy 10 tracks. As soon as he got a good track he was just behind IAD in the Queen Elizabeth. Then first up in Adelaide he woulda won the Spring Stakes by a mile if Stubby Holder didn't slaughter the ride. Then all his Melbourne runs were good, another metre he wins the Cox Plate. He is a champion

2013-12-05T05:52:51+00:00

Will Sinclair

Roar Guru


I believe Anadjuwan had a win recently...

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T05:23:44+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Lucky Nine's runs cause a headache. He was super in the Manikato in defeat to Buffering and then poor when the speed (or lack of) suited down the straight. I guess, as a measuring stick, he makes Buffering's ranking of 7 look too conservative. But did we see his best or anywhere near it at Flemington? I say definitely not so I don't know how to assess that form on a global scale.

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T05:21:05+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Lots of people agree with you about PDL. I actually think he could be higher. Forget Bossy for a sec. He was second in the Makybe Diva at WFA, a great sixth in the Underwood and second in a strong Turnbull. Definite top 20 material. I agree about Boban. Re Buffering, I think I'm in the minority here. Fair enough although I stand by my ranking at 7. Just a bit more dominance in victory and he could easily have been #4 for me.

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T05:18:00+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Very good Haradasun! Yeah fair call on Streama especially. Secret Admirer was retired so she wasn't considered.

2013-12-05T05:15:49+00:00

Haradasun

Guest


No Sertorius Justin? :) Others I would consider should include Rebel Dane, Kirramosa, Royal Descent, Dear Demi, Streama definitely, maybe the Solz, Secret Admirer and Long John -- Comment from The Roar's iPhone app.

2013-12-05T05:03:42+00:00

Morgan Popham

Roar Pro


Boban will be the big mover after next prep-it is a dead set superstar

2013-12-05T04:59:49+00:00

Morgan Popham

Roar Pro


Unsure how Pruissance de Lune made the list seems to be alot of talk from Bossy with not alot of substance in the ones that matter. Buffering should be a bit higher in my opinion. 3 group 1s on the trot means it should be at least in the top 5. Good list though and good to see the kiwi Dundeel on top!

2013-12-05T04:56:01+00:00

sheek

Roar Guru


hi Justin, Wonderful reading. I haven't followed all the racing closely enough to contribute, but thoroughly enjoyed reading this.

2013-12-05T04:01:51+00:00

Sammy

Guest


I'd agree Its a Dundeel is #1. Being the only horse to lower Atlantic Jewels colours probably justifies that. but I don't know if i'd agree that the sprinting ranks are weak?! Lucky Nine was considered in top 3 sprinters in world and had 2 good cracks at down here it but didn't win.

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T02:59:49+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


And not for the first time ;)

2013-12-05T02:45:09+00:00

Will Sinclair

Roar Guru


Great list! How long until the Autumn kicks off...

2013-12-05T02:29:38+00:00

KiwiDave

Roar Guru


Australia's best horse is a kiwi......I love it :D

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T01:44:50+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Apperance who has been retired.

2013-12-05T01:35:56+00:00

peeeko

Roar Guru


Justin who is the other mare that has won about 3 G1 races in the last year for mares?

AUTHOR

2013-12-05T01:04:22+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


I think Buff is rated too high by TimeForm. But, maybe I'm being harsh on him.

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