The worth of Watson: He's better than you think

By Geoff Lemon / Expert

Smash a century off a hundred balls in an Ashes decider, then sit back and cop the criticism. Welcome to the life of Shane Watson.

Watson bulldozed 103 from 107 balls on the fourth morning of the WACA Test, including a targeted demolition of England’s belaboured spinner Graeme Swann.

His effort allowed George Bailey to tick over a 500-run lead, with time to send England back in before lunch and knock over their captain for a golden duck. It was a session of utter mental and physical dominance.

No wonder Australian fans weren’t happy.

It was probably a vocal minority on a day like this. On days when Watson falters the chorus is more densely populated.

Still, rather than enjoying Watson’s performance some chose to complain: that five sixes and eleven fours proved he was a limited-overs batsman; that it was easy coming in so far ahead; that this hadn’t the value of a big hundred with the Ashes on the line.

Others who haven’t scored hundreds with the Ashes on the line include Alistair Cook, Kevin Pietersen, Joe Root, Jonathan Trott, Michael Carberry, even – at least in this series – Ian Bell. In the last series, the list included every Australian bar Michael Clarke. Exactly when does a century count as an achievement?

There is a special level of criticism reserved for Shane Watson in Australia. I’ve written before on its psychology, so I won’t repeat that discussion. What I will say is that in terms of numbers and achievements, the criticsim doesn’t add up.

After Australia’s first innings in Perth, my esteemed colleague Glenn Mitchell wrote an article on The Roar titled ‘As a Test player, Shane Watson is a myth’. It pulled a lot of readers, as Glenn argued that Watson’s 176 at The Oval was a “false dawn”, citing some poor shots this summer.

Given Glenn enjoys a cricketing argument, he won’t mind me questioning the conclusion. Watson has played two Tests between The Oval and the WACA, and scored a half century in one. It’s an ungenerous sample from which to conclude he’s down on form, confused in his approach, and on his way out of the side. Factor in his second WACA innings and the record says two hundreds and a fifty in four Tests: squint differently and a dire record is red-hot.

It’s not that I don’t understand you, Watson sceptics. For many years I was one of you. More recently though, I’ve started to find faith. Just as with the Australian players, the simple wisdom and terrifying stare of Boof Lehmann have helped clear my mind.

The evidence most often tendered is Watson’s batting average. At a tick under 36, we’re constantly told it’s not good enough for a top six batsman. But Australia’s golden era gave its fans a distorted view, where we came to see 50 as a baseline average. The best modern batsmen do average over 50, but Australians find it difficult to accept that only one of them plays for us.

Of the current Test side, David Warner’s century spree lifted him to 43.2, but he was on 36.8 at the end of the last Ashes. Steve Smith is on 35.2, George Bailey 34, and Chris Rogers 31.88. Of those in recent Tests, Phil Hughes averaged 32.65, Usman Khawaja 25.13, Ed Cowan 31.28, Shaun Marsh 27.36, and Marcus North 35.48. Watson has a better record than all but Warner.

Hell, most batsmen across Australia are struggling to crack 40 in first-class cricket. Plenty have made the Test side regardless, plenty are argued as potential saviours. Alex Doolan: 37.92 in first-class cricket. Jordan Silk: 38.86. Nic Maddinson: oh, there he goes, 40.01, check back in a week. No one in the Sheffield Shield is politely requesting a spot in the Test side, let alone demanding it.

Then there’s the ongoing gripe about Watson not converting fifties into hundreds, with his record of four centuries and 21 halves. Firstly, too many half centuries is a luxurious complaint. But with seven dismissals in the 80s and 90s, Watson’s propensity to score high is pretty good. If you could magically scatter a handful of runs across those innings, making it 11 centuries and 14 halves, the criticism would be gone while the substance of Watson’s contribution remained the same. A few dozen runs is not the difference between a good player and a poor one.

It’s here that Lehmann’s take on Watson should be taken into account. At a press conference during the Ashes in England, Lehmann was presented with the arguments above: that Watson averaged too low and didn’t score enough tons. How could Lehmann justify playing him as a top six batsman?

“Well, he bowls a lot, and he’s a pretty good bowler, I would have thought. So as an all-rounder I’ve got no dramas,” Lehmann said with the kind of smile that suggested the questioner was a bit of a dunce.

We all know Watson is listed as an all-rounder, but it’s often disregarded. Lehmann went on to explain that he wanted an extra bowling option in the side to help rest for the frontline bowlers and be an option when first plans failed. On balance, trading even five or ten runs of batting average was considered worthwhile for what’s gained with the ball.

Sobers and Kallis aside, the great all-rounders of history were bowlers first. Imran, Botham, Hadlee and Kapil all led attacks, and all at one point held the world record for most Test wickets. Watson bowls half as many overs or less per match than those big names, fewer than Sobers and Kallis, fewer than Keith Miller, Andrew Flintoff, Vinoo Mankad, Lance Klusener. He accordingly averages fewer wickets per match.

But no one is suggesting that Shane Watson is that kind of bowler, nor should he be expected to be. What he is, is reliable and accurate. Across the last eight Ashes Tests he’s bowled 50 maidens. Almost every second over has been scoreless, compared to every fourth or fifth for the frontline bowlers. His economy rate is 2.2, with the odd wicket to add to the mix.

Knowing Australia has a back-up, and that seeing off the key bowlers won’t win them a part-timer, affects the way opponents plan and play. A fifth bowler making this contribution is invaluable, and even the less tangible benefits are no less real.

If we then use the great all-rounders as benchmarks for batting, Watson more than holds his own. Sobers and Kallis are in a different league to everyone in cricketing history. But Watson averages about a run less than Imran and Keith Miller, two more than Botham, five more than Kapil and nine more than Hadlee. His batting and bowling averages are comfortably better than those like Klusener and Mankad, and way ahead of more modest like-for-like players such as Andrew McDonald, Craig White, or Andrew Hall.

Then there’s the really interesting stat: the ratio of scores over 50 per match played. Watson’s is the best of the lot. With 25 such innings from 49 Tests, he currently averages a milestone score better than every second Test. Miller and Botham were closer to every third match, Imran and Kapil closer to one in four, Hadlee more than one in five.

How Watson can best be used in the Test side is another matter, and there exists a great throng of humanity who will not rest easy in their beds until he bats at six. But whatever his role, there are a few things that should be clear.

One, Watson’s WACA century reiterates the danger he poses as a batsman, and the opportunities he can make for his team. Having a player who can ice an innings in such complete fashion is a great boon for a side. Surely there is room to build players around him who will better suit Test batting purists.

Two, regardless of his style, Watson remains one of the better batsmen in Australia, with no one pushing to take his place. This does speak of a broader ebb in batting stocks, but it’s not this bloke’s fault. Three, Darren Lehmann is right. Judging him only by his batting is telling half the story.

I just realised there’s a fourth. The absurdist comedy of his run out yesterday was classic Watson, but there was one key development. Old Watto would have run himself out three runs before his century.

New Watto did it three runs after. If that doesn’t inspire some faith, you’re a harsher judge than I.

Geoff Lemon is a writer and radio broadcaster. He joined The Roar as an expert columnist in 2010, writes the satirical blog Heathen Scripture, and tweets from @GeoffLemonSport. This article was first published by Wisden India, in a new-founded Ashes partnership.

The Crowd Says:

2013-12-19T04:47:04+00:00

Armchair Expert

Guest


Hasn't Jacques retired?

2013-12-19T04:36:18+00:00

Armchair Expert

Guest


Dave Hussey(51) should be at the top of the list, most have written him off because of his age and he's been dropped by Victoria recently but he's the same age as Rogers, has top scored in 3 of his last 4 shield innings and has the respectable average of 39 this season. You could also squeeze Stephen O'Keefe(27) above Mitchell Marsh, seeing he has the best current 1st class spin bowling average in Australia by a mile.

2013-12-18T12:56:13+00:00

Daniel Hackett

Roar Rookie


I'm saying there is no one outside the test team that is better than Watson - least no one has stated a better option. Some have stated Maddinson and Silk but their FC averages are both a bit below Watson's and if you take out Watson's Test performances (for a truly fair comparison) then their averages are significantly lower. The only alternative I can think of is Hughes, who will most likely come in for Rogers soon anyway.

2013-12-18T12:20:36+00:00

a punter

Guest


Nice list of stats and fair point, But some of these young players have only been around for a couple of years in which time, the pitches have favored the bowlers. I think Australia needs to blood some young batsmen.

2013-12-18T12:17:19+00:00

a punter

Guest


Yep forgot Cosgrove.

2013-12-18T12:11:21+00:00

a punter

Guest


No viable alternative? Are you saying that there are no other top order batsmen in the country?

2013-12-18T11:54:18+00:00

Daniel Hackett

Roar Rookie


2 things... 1. As ppl have quite rightly pointed out there is no other viable alternative. It's all well and good to say his average is good enough but if there is no better option then you are simply being critical for the sake of it. Personally I cannot stand when people criticise anything for that matter yet don't offer a solution - this form of criticism is destructive rather than constructive. 2. People constantly point to his 4 hundreds / 25 fifties as a major detractor although I ask you what's better... a player who averages 36 and usually makes around 36 an innings or a player that averages 36 that usually makes scores of say 0, 5, 100, 0, 5, 100 for instance? The answer is the former! The latter will have an excellent conversion of 50's to 100's but from a team perspective you'd much rather the player who makes the consistent mediocre score as they don't put immediate pressure on the players after them by tiring the bowlers somewhat and seeing the shine off the ball. It was not long ago that Warner was only averaging high 30's yet he never attracted any criticism because he is a "oh he's a match winner" meanwhile making a string of low scores punctuated by a massive one... again from a overall perspective you'd much rather the Watson type

2013-12-18T03:45:11+00:00

Daniel Hackett

Guest


Also Phil Jacques, who averages 48 and is still only 34 yrs old

2013-12-18T03:37:03+00:00

Daniel Hackett

Guest


You forgot Mark Cosgrove who has an average of 43.35

2013-12-18T00:43:30+00:00

Little Bob

Guest


So what's the solution? Who comes in for Watson? No-one outside of the team bar Phil Hughes has a better first-class average and he contributes with the ball. I'm all for getting rid of someone if they're not performing and someone else is, but who is?

2013-12-18T00:28:14+00:00

jonty23

Guest


As for his century at the WACA its pretty easy knocking out an opponent who is already knocked out! Like India early this year,Ashes mid year and his 5 innings of this series where were the runs when it mattered?? A hundred in a dead rubber with 2 below par debutants and 2 bowlers who`.ve bowled a long series in England,and now a wilted and demolised attack to feast on when your 350 ahead hardly constitutes the job description of a top order player!

2013-12-17T23:48:24+00:00

Little Bob

Guest


Great article Geoff. I haven't ever been one of Watson's biggest critics, although I do think he should be batting down the order - the issue is: There. Is. No. One. Else. We are short an opener and a number 3. Do people honestly think Maddison, Silk or Doolan would just slide in against Steyn, Morkel and co. and make the number 3 spot their own? Maddison's the only one who's averaging a tick over 40 in first class cricket which is hardly knocking the door down.... Hughes is probably the only guy putting his hand up for one of these spots. He's also the only other cricketer who cops almost the same amount of flak as Watson. For me the big question is, do Clarke and Smith need to slide up the order and bat 3 & 4 to give a young guy a chance to ease their way in or do we try and dump one of the younger guys in at 3 (Hughes & Khawaja style) and hope for the best (then critcise them as much as possible when they fail)? Personally I like Warner, Rogers, Clarke, Hughes, Smith & Watson as my top 6 with a view to promoting Hughes to opener once Rogers leaves the team (and bringing the next young guy in at 5 rather than 3....).

2013-12-17T22:45:37+00:00

Bayman

Guest


I take your point, Geoff, and on balance I'm inclined to agree - but we both know he's capable of even more and that's the frustration.

2013-12-17T22:12:33+00:00

Wasim Ranamadroota

Roar Pro


At least I can count, Geoff.

2013-12-17T17:21:25+00:00

Dexter The Hamster

Guest


Yep fair point, gone off half cocked on that one. Think my point is still valid though. None of the guys you compare Watto with batted at 3/4, the only one who does is Kallis, who you excluded from the analysis for some reason.

2013-12-17T17:07:58+00:00

Luke Smyke

Roar Pro


Great article Geoff. Completely agree. There is no questioning that Watson has not reached the potential that he once displayed as an up and comer however all things considered, he is one of the 6 best batsmen in Australia. Who is screaming for a spot in our top 6? Phil hughes? Do we need to see his technique exploited yet again on the international stage? Apart from being our 2nd best batsman, he is as you pointed out arguably the most reliable change bowler in the world at present let alone Australia and he may not be suited to number 3 but he bats there because the only other suitable candidate would be clarke and you never fix things that aren't broken. The vitriol that is hoisted in his direction is unjust. Let him play.

2013-12-17T15:48:32+00:00

ak

Roar Guru


No one is questioning his talent. But it still remains to be seen how consistent he can be. His hundred here is a good performance. A century is always a good performance. But here he had the license to go for his shots. The field set was for curbing runs and not saving wickets. A T-0 style situation in a test match. Better to wait than go gaga immediately.

2013-12-17T12:14:44+00:00

pope paul v11

Guest


Good points actually. Agree with all but the 97 vs Pakistan. That match and indeed anything that happened in that series was highly suspect.

2013-12-17T11:43:21+00:00

Jeremy Shrubb

Roar Rookie


Well that's not true. Hughes has the far superior first class average with a better conversion rate. Watson has also received a much longer run in the team to settle.

2013-12-17T11:21:59+00:00

Glenn Mitchell

Expert


How many if those batsmen had played over 40 Test matches Thommo. You say I have been selective in my analysis of Watson over the past three years. How many of the top-6 batsmen at the Gabba had played 20 Tests in the previous three years?

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