NRL Power Rankings: post pre-season

By Josh Wye / Roar Pro

A lot has happened since my last power rankings as the boring off-season wrapped up and the pre-season kicked off in style with the Auckland Nines.

The Charity Shield finished up with South Sydney embarrassing St George Illawarra while the World Club Challenge was hardly a challenge at all.

Before the first official ball is kicked off, let us again rank the teams from most powerful to least powerful.

Which teams have risen and have fallen over the pre-season?

1. Sydney Roosters
The Roosters remain atop of the rankings after an impressive World Club challenge performance. Their Auckland Nines campaign was far from ideal but their team was nowhere close to their strongest.

Watching Fred Fittler score a try and flatten Ben Barba was better than winning the Nines anyway, wasn’t it?

2. Manly Sea Eagles (+2)
Manly had an up and down Nines campaign but with Kieran Foran back into the side the Sea Eagles have so much more to offer. With only a few minor injuries the Sea Eagles look likely to make yet another finals appearance in 2014.

There is not much to say about Manly. They get the job done and always seem to fly under the radar.

3. South Sydney Rabbitohs (-1)
The Rabbitohs touched up the Dragons in the Charity Shield and still looked nowhere near their best. They have moved down the rankings due to the injury to Luke Keary and all the Sam Burgess drama.

Luke Keary alongside Adam Reynolds in the halves with John Sutton at lock (his best position) would have given Souths a very dangerous attack. That loss hurts them but they have enough firepower to still remain an elite side.

4. North Queensland Cowboys (+1)
The Cowboys find themselves in the top four after an outstanding Nines tournament in which they claimed their first ever trophy – and without Jonathan Thurston.

The bad news is they lost Lachlan Coote for the year with a torn ACL. The good news is the plethora of young talent they have in Kyle Feldt, Curtis Rona and Zac Santo.

5. Melbourne Storm (-2)
The Storm played exactly how we expected without the ‘Big Three’ in the Auckland Nines.

They move down in the rankings because of some injury concerns. Winger Matt Duffie tore his ACL and is likely out for the season, while Ryan Hinchcliffe, Justin O’Neill, Cooper Cronk and Billy Slater are all under an injury cloud for Round 1.

That means Ben Roberts might start. Yes, that Ben Roberts.

6. New Zealand Warriors (+2)
Here is what we learnt about the Warriors after the Nines: Shaun Johnson is a freak, Sam Tomkins is for real and the Warriors are the sleeping giant of the NRL.

The only concern is finding a viable No. 6 to go alongside Johnson in the halves. Maybe Kevin Locke?

7. Penrith Panthers (-1)
Penrith are only dropping down one because the Warriors were very impressive in Auckland. The Panthers had a mixed Nines campaign but with all their pieces in place they are a great chance to return to finals football.

Their fate is the hands of Jamie Soward and Peter Wallace though, which is enough to give most Panther fans a heart attack, but the presence of James Segeyaro, Josh Mansour, Matt Moylan and Jamal Idris will help ease the stress.

8. Cronulla Sharks (+7)
Cronulla Sharks are massive risers up the power rankings.

At the time of the last rankings all the mail was decimation and destruction at the hands of ASADA. We have now realised that ASADA are all talk and no action and should be ranked 17th in these rankings.

The Cronulla Sharks will be fine in 2014. The only reason they’re not higher in the rankings is the loss of Shane Flanagan.

9. Newcastle Knights
The injury to Jarrod Mullen should have moved the Knights down a few spots but the remaining teams are stumbling over each other to avoid the wooden spoon. After what was originally feared as a season-ending injury, Mullen looks to only miss 10-12 games.

Other than that injury the Knights looked very dangerous in the Nines, especially Mullen until he went down. Tyrone Roberts needs to make the leap this season to make the Knights elite.

10. Brisbane Broncos (+1)
The Broncos made the final of the Nines on the back of some great play by youngster Kodi Nikorima and Andrew McCullough. Both players were outstanding and may be the playmaking answers the Broncos are seeking.

Ben Barba showed glimpses of his former Dally M award winning self but still doesn’t look 100 percent. With question marks in the halves and fullback position I expect a very inconsistent year from the Broncos.

11. Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs (-4)

The doggies have slid down four spots since the last rankings due mostly to their horrible Auckland Nines jerseys. They were terrible.

The performance in the competition was just as appalling. The absence of a key playmaker in that side was shown and I fully expect that Josh Reynolds and Trent Hodkinson can revive a poor Bulldogs off-season.

12. Gold Coast Titans
The Titans remain in 12th position after an average Nines campaign and a trial win over the Warriors. If exciting young halves Albert Kelly and Aidan Sezer can make the leap this year the Titans have the pack to compete with most sides and rise up these rankings.

They remain the hardest team to scope and in the next rankings it wouldn’t surprise me to see them ranked eighth or 16th.

13. Parramatta Eels (+3)
It was only the Nines but already you can see the positive impacts from Brad Arthur’s return as head coach to Parramatta.

The Nathan Peats signing may be the signing of the year as he offers so much more at hooker than Matt Keating ever did. I tweeted that during day one of the Nines and judging by the reply of Mrs Matt Keating, she was not impressed by this “hater”.

With a healthy Jarryd Hayne, William Hopoate and plenty of promising young forwards, it looks like the Eels are heading in the right direction.

14. Wests Tigers
James Tedesco is going to be a star, if he isn’t already. The Nines showed us that Tedesco is fast, very fast.

I said in the first power rankings of the year that the young playmakers at the Tigers will be better off without Benji Marshall and the first week of the Super Rugby proved that. He starts week two of that tournament from the bench.

These young playmakers will need some time to get things together but by the end of the year the direction of the Tigers will be clear.

15. St George Illawarra Dragons (-5)
When the Dragons learn how to tackle they may move up these rankings but by the time they do it will be too late.

The Dragons were awful in the Charity Shield and the loss of Dugan is adding salt to the deep wounds.

EXCLUSIVE: Steve Price will be sacked by Round 6. It’s going to be a long year for the red V.

16.Canberra Raiders (-3)
The Auckland Nines was a far from successful campaign for the Raiders. They finished with two bad losses, including a shutout and only one victory.

The only positive from the Nines was the play of young Mitch Cornish, who showed great playmaking ability and could be a great replacement for Sam Williams.

Ricky Stuart will continue his ‘impressive’ coaching performance with yet another wooden spoon unless Anthony Milford can be Ben Barba 2.0.

The next power rankings will be a far more accurate as the season has kicked off and Round 1 will be done and dusted.

But in the meantime, have I been too generous or too tough on some teams?

Twitter: @joshwye

The Crowd Says:

2014-03-03T22:15:40+00:00

Zaccaaa

Guest


You probably said that about the bulldogs last year and they proved you wrong and they will again

2014-03-01T14:18:44+00:00

Knight Vision

Guest


Peter should know why the Roosters are likely to go back to back , wasnt he the Storm recruitment manager ?

2014-02-28T10:06:47+00:00

Glenn Innes

Guest


Why on earth do you keep rambling on about the Auckland nines..it is just a bit of preseason kick and giggle and has no more relevance than trial form which means nothing. There used to be an old saying that premeirships are not won in May ie most seasons there is an suprise early season bolter (last year think Cronulla) and most seasons as the year grinds on they retreat back to the field.Taking form from a pre season mickey mouse weekend tournament and using that as a serious formline for what will happen in September - good luck. Your "power ratings" look more or less based on the assuption that 2013 will repeat in 2014 well here are a few warnings for naive gamblers. In recent years NRL losing Grand Finalsts have an absolutely woeful record...just because you finished second last year doesn't mean you we be back again.Lets think of some recent casualties Parramatta, Easts . The Warriors and of course last year Canterbury.Check out were all these teams finished the season after their grand final loss. Indeed any one who has taken the time to study NRL tables over the last ten years (as I have only recently done )will see there is a very large degree of movement from season to season (I am not going into details do your own work) but if you are working on the assumption that what happened last year will probably largely replicate itself this season you are going against recent history because other than Melbourne it usually doesn't.Where did Easts finish in 2012 or Penrith in 2002 for that matter?

2014-02-28T09:14:31+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Cowboys are ripe.

2014-02-28T08:04:11+00:00

Muzz

Guest


Corey Norman will be more influential than Peats,that said i like Peats too.What the 9's showed us in regard to the Eels is they have responded well to their new coach.They looked balanced,they had rhythm and they played with set structures.All this and more was amiss in 2013.

2014-02-28T06:44:09+00:00

The eye

Guest


As far as the cowboys are concerned I'm with Josh,Lachlan Coote isn't that good..off the top of your head can you recall him even putting 2 good games together? Expect huge improvement in forward momentum,both young back rowers haven't even begun to show us how good they can be carrying the football whilst the front row trod water for most of last year,then were excellent on tour.But it's Robert Lui who will get this side deeper than last year,if coach Green can mould some structure and controlled play into his game he can take a bow..and then there are the gun wingers..Ray Thompson balances himself out with his strengths and weaknesses..I think they can make the GF,from there anything can happen

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T04:53:39+00:00

Josh Wye

Roar Pro


If I remember I will tune in for sure Obviously once the games start I will adjust my rankings accordingly. On my podcast with a colleague of mine (here: http://wootandwye.podbean.com/ ) we both think Roosters will go back to back. Cheers for the discussion today!

2014-02-28T04:13:34+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Josh I agree with BA parra still have no genuine organiser and the Tigers have finally got one, even if he is a kid, he is a special kid.

2014-02-28T04:09:26+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Josh Tune in next Mon night to the webinar NRL 2014 that I am doing with the Roosters GM of player recruitment Peter O'Sullivan. You can reg here https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/437199218 We will discuss our top 4 and obviously Peter will discuss why he thinks the Roosters will go back to back. But at the moment and not knowing who will be the 1 or 9, I have the Cows 6th, but that is very rubbery until I see who are playing and how they go.

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T03:12:38+00:00

Josh Wye

Roar Pro


I have watched a lot of Parramatta from last year and moving the ball forward they were very stagnant with Keating. Peats will get the forwards making more ground and hitting their strides. As for moving them up, it was more that the Dragons and Wests Tigers moved down. The dragons, especially now with news about an investigation into a brawl/assault, are moving down fast. Good point about the nines, but remember Jarryd Hayne and William Hopoate didn't play either.

2014-02-28T02:25:33+00:00

BA Sports

Guest


Parramatta probably exceeded expectations at the 9's, but as pointed out, given teams only had to take 12 of their top 25, its hardly a barometer for success in the premiership this year. And with that said, i don't know how you bump up Parramatta by 3 places because of Nathan Peats?! Yes he is better than Matt Keating. Everyone is. But he is still bench player, boarder line starter so not sure how that improves their ranking from your last rankings?

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T01:42:11+00:00

Josh Wye

Roar Pro


I agree with the Warriors, it is rocks or diamonds out of them but I think they will have a solid year. I am big fan of Matt Elliot, I always thought he was hard done by at Penrith so I pray that he can have success at the Warriors. One thing about the warriors that we know is they are exciting to watch!

AUTHOR

2014-02-28T01:36:59+00:00

Josh Wye

Roar Pro


I agree with you that I have weighted the nines heavily but I would rather do that then merely speculate on how teams will go. Although it was nine on nine it was an indicator of the fitness and form of some players. Loosing Coote is huge but look at those three young studs the Cowboys unveiled. The Cowboys were five in my previous rankings and only jumped up one spot in the rankings. Any team with Thurston and two Australian test prop forwards are going to start the year in the top third of the rankings. I am curious where you would rank them?

2014-02-28T01:23:26+00:00

ScottWoodward.me

Roar Guru


Josh, You have weighted the Nines too heavily...this is the NRL and a whole new world. I am not privy to how you do your ratings but I am scratching my head wondering how you promote the Cowboys into the top 4 when they lose their key spine player in Coote.

2014-02-28T00:36:53+00:00

Dave

Guest


I think the Warriors could be anywhere between 3 and 12 depending on their attitude. Chad Townsend did a pretty good Job at 6 against the Broncos and he looks pretty good to me. The Warriors have always had the talent, but have rarely been onside with their coach. They don't like disclipine and play that way. Some days diamonds somedays coal. Matt Elliott seems, that is seems, to have the key at the moment and if he can maintain that for the 26 rounds, then they will be finals bound. As fo the rest, time will tell. They seem to be in pretty good order from the top down. As for the 12-16 it's a raffle. They will all finish in that range but the oorder will be interesting. I like the Dragons for the spoon, fighting off the Titans and Eels for the trophy. I'll put my hand up here and declare that I am a Tigers supporter, but I think that wityh so much talent in their youth, they will finish closer to 10 than 16. Look out when we get experience, in 2015.

2014-02-27T22:32:00+00:00

Benedict Arnold

Guest


The rabbitohs I'm unsure of; without their halves they beat a pathetic dragons side, I think they may struggle early in the season against better teams.

2014-02-27T18:38:41+00:00

Walter Penninger

Roar Guru


Your rankings look about right. But I would not be surprised if the Eels were not greater improvers.

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