Who's winning the EPL transfer war?

By Steven McBain / Roar Guru

The EPL and the mundane old transfer season, remember that?

The transfer market is a fast-moving animal which provides a fix for us football fans struggling to cope with the end of the World Cup and the weeks until the new season starts.

As seems to be the way, clubs are immune to any kind of financial austerity and we are yet to see to the long term implications of FFP. Although Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City have certainly felt its teeth in the short term.

For the English clubs, a couple of factors are working in their favour. A few years ago Spain did away with the tax breaks that footballers enjoyed meaning only really Barcelona and Real Madrid could afford to pay the wages that the top players thirst for.

France also has issued an exorbitant tax rate for earners above one million Euros, meaning that while Britain, which also has a pretty high tax rate, is at least on a level playing field again.

Another factor is that the Pound Sterling has regained much of the losses it suffered against the Euro, meaning the English clubs have more buying power relative to their European neighbours.

Throw in a new EPL deal and some huge sponsorship numbers, such as the ones Manchester United have just posted with Adidas and General Motors, and there is plenty of loot for the clubs to spend. So who’s splashing the cash best?

My own club Chelsea, appear so far to have stolen the march. Cesc Fabregas and Diego Costa both look quality signings and two that were required by the club.

Fabregas is a proven player in the EPL, even if Barca (and apparently Spain at the World Cup) deem him surplus to requirements.

The balance in Chelsea’s midfield looked all wrong last season, with a disconnect between the holding and the attacking players leading to some very pedestrian football at times. Fabregas should bridge that gap and up the tempo of play.

Diego Costa is a slightly less clear-cut home-run, but nonetheless an important signing. His record up until last season was far from spectacular, although the same could be said when Mourinho signed Didier Drogba. The Portugeezer has again clearly seen something that he likes.

Costa scored a lot of goals last season but the vast majority came in the first half, and he appeared to fade badly as the months progressed. However, he is a physical and street-wise centre forward who should thrive in the Premiership. Chelsea will certainly hope so as they simply cannot afford another high profile striker who turns out a turkey.

The signing of Filipe Luis is possibly the highest risk of the signings given his fee and age. The days of Chelsea’s carefree spending appeared to be gone with the club sticking to signing younger players with potential or being on the cusp of their peak, i.e. with higher resale value and longevity in these times of FFP.

The Brazilian left back is a fine player, but he turns 29 next month and will have little resale value. Not all players who come late to the Premiership in their careers prosper, just ask Andriy Shevchenko.

It is, however, undoubtedly a further signal from Chelsea indicating a full scale assault on the Premiership title.

One wonders whether the 60,000-Euro-a-week deal that Ashley Cole just signed at Roma may have offered far better value. He is still a fine player.

Manchester United have spent big so far but one must ask whether they will see immediate returns.

Luke Shaw looks a fine prospect but United have spent a huge amount of money on a teenager with only one season’s Premiership experience. Whether he will prove an immediate improvement on Patrice Evra is up for debate.

Ander Herrera has again arrived for big money from Atletic Bilbao. He is undoubtedly a good player but he is moving to a far bigger club and an entirely different environment in the north-west of England.

United clearly believe he will work out given their investment and lengthy pursuit but it is not without risk. A central midfielder was however an absolute priority for the club.

Manchester City have FFP constraints to deal with but it has not stopped them from being quick out of the blocks securing the transfer of Fernando to bolster their central midfield. It looks a shrewd move as it will give them far more tactical flexibility and free up Yaya Toure if he indeed stays at the club.

Eliaquim Mangala is strongly tipped to join the club in the coming days for a big money move. A central defender was another priority, but it looks a lavish deal to say the least. Bakari Sagna will provide competition and back up at full back and looks a tidy free transfer.

Arsenal as ever have been slower than most, but the capture of Alexis Sanchez looks a fabulous one. He is undoubtedly a player that should flourish at the Emirates. He has pace, technical ability and is wonderfully flexible positionally. He is top class addition.

He should link up very well with the likes of Mesut Oezil and it is a transfer that has certainly caught my imagination.

Mathieu Debuchy is another fine player who must have been wondering how he ended up on Tyneside in the first place. Whether he is a level up from the departing Sagna we will have to wait and see.

Arsenal’s squad still lacks numbers and quality so expect to see more action and the rumoured transfer of Sami Khedira would be another major coup for the Gunners. While it baffles to a degree why Real would sell – his partnership with Toni Kroos looked a fabulous one at the World Cup – it would catapult Arsenal towards being genuine title contenders.

If Real do look to offload the wonderful German then it also sounds like Chelsea may have something to say, we will watch this space.

The most complicated story so far resides on Merseyside with Liverpool. They moved early in the market for both Rickie Lambert and Adam Lallana. But the biggest news was the departure of Luis Suarez.

There is little doubt that Liverpool wished to keep the player but given his World Cup ban – the English press would have savaged him relentlessly on returning – and a whopping 75 million Euro bid from Barcelona, they had little choice but to sell him.

The Lambert transfer on face value looked to raise the odd chortle but it may prove a shrewd signing for a team which had no Plan B last season and lacked numbers.

Lallana is a decent player but Liverpool have paid a huge premium for an English player. Given that Fabregas is only a year older and cost only 5 million pounds more does Lallana represent good value, and is he markedly better than the players Liverpool already have?

It is hard to really pin down Liverpool’s prospects next season. Both Emre Can and Lazar Markovic look exciting prospects but their success in the Premiership is not assured. Many people looked on and admired Spurs’ squad last Summer after they finally agreed to sell Gareth Bale and signed a host of fresh talent.

There is little reason to criticise Brendan Rodgers given he is coming off the back of an excellent season but one area where he has experienced mixed success is in the transfer market.

Without Suarez, and even with these new players, it is unlikely Liverpool can turn out a first eleven better than last season’s, whereas the same cannot be said of the clubs around them. Liverpool’s central defence was also considered their Achilles heel and that has not as yet been addressed.

Spurs have been incredibly quiet and this may be a good thing. Their squad was a complete mismatch last season and Mauricio Pochettino so far has kept his counsel as he assesses the squad other than a muted attempt to recruit Lallana.

The addition of one or maybe two quality players would not hurt but additional squad numbers are not the priority.

Further down the table there are a plethora of transfer ins and outs featuring an entire host of misfits for undisclosed or free transfers.

As always with Newcastle United, it appears to be feast or famine. The departure of Debuchy has been offset by the arrival of several continental players. Newcastle’s scouting has been relatively shrewd of late so there may be cause for optimism again on Tyneside after last season’s travails.

Both Southampton and QPR have lost many players and in Southampton’s case a couple of their very best ones. Both clubs need to invest wisely if they are to avoid a long, hard season.

Everton also have effectively gone backwards with only the permanent move of the ageing Gareth Barry being transacted so far and the loss of Romelu Lukaku.

Funds will be tight at Goodison and with a stronger challenge expected from Old Trafford and White Hart Lane, Everton face a tough season to challenge at the sharp end again.

Aston Villa’s transfers look rather scatter gun and uninspiring other than the capture of Kieran Richardson, which may prove a shrewd one. West Ham have added numbers but it is impossible to garner whether any of those signings are an improvement on what they already have.

Stoke have added some Premiership know how in the shape of Phil Bardsley and Steven Sidwell, and Mark Hughes is slowly moulding them into his own team.

I have to admit to not being a fan of Steve Bruce in any shape or form but they look to have bought well with the permanent signing of Jake Livermore and the additions of Robert Snodgrass and Tom Ince.

They may well have another season after this in the Premiership to look forward to, there are certainly worse teams than they.

We still have around six weeks until the transfer window slams shut, as Sky Sports love to remind us, so we can expect much more. Louis Van Gaal is now in place at Manchester United and after surveying his squad can surely not have liked much.

Therefore it’s impossible to pick a winner so far, other than the agents of course.

The Crowd Says:

2014-07-21T02:41:56+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


I always considered Newcastle, both the club and its fans, to have a lot of empathy and strong links with Liverpool (they've certainly a shared history of managers and players). I'm aware that Ashley has banned quite a few newspapers, both national and local, from SJP, but if he has done a deal with the Sun then that speaks volumes about how little he knows of that paper's unpopularity amongst English football fans, especially those from Liverpool.

AUTHOR

2014-07-21T02:10:38+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Brisvegas will know better than me but there was a piece on the BBC radio I heard last week which effectively reported that there was an unofficial deal. The Sun has (again reportedly but I honestly don't know) had exclusives on every single player they've signed for the past few months as well as the local rags being booted out. The reporters that were interviewed were from the Mirror and the Telegraph, reckoned Ashley was looking at it purely as a way to make more money (no idea what that kind of exclusive coverage is worth) and were questioning the journalistic integrity (obviously) of the Sun going forwards.

2014-07-21T01:45:21+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


Newcastle have made a deal with the Sun? As if Mike Ashley needs yet another reason for fans to dislike him... Although, personally speaking, this Sunderland supporter reckons Ashley is doing a marvellous job. ;)

AUTHOR

2014-07-20T09:54:39+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Harrison, I agree with you that they need a big name signing (although you could argue Mata is still relatively fresh) but I'm not 100% sure if Vidal would have been or is the answer. He's a fine player but I'm not sure how he'd go in England to be honest although I'm sure he'd do very well in a Real or a Barca shirt. From what I understood, United were keen on him and then the interest died so not sure if he's maybe not the type of player Van Gaal likes, I honestly don't know though. I'm sure a Red will know far better than I. There's been plenty of talk about Khedira in the press and I would have thought he was the most obvious candidate and surely United can outbid Arsenal both on the fee and wages. He'd be a fine signing. I do agree with you that waiting may well be folly but I'm sure VG knows what he's doing and wants to make a full assessment first. I still think they need the minimum of a central midfielder and a central defender. Cheers for reading the piece Harrison.

2014-07-20T03:53:54+00:00

harrison Langsford

Roar Rookie


United still have big work to do on the transfer market, with Herrera and Shaw both not offering the solution to United's dwindling squad. At least not at the moment, Just on the squad for the America tour alone, it is easy to see the deficiencies in midfield and defense, and Van Gaal's recent commitment to waiting a couple of weeks to assess the squad, might mean united miss out on the best available players to fill the vacancies. Also, United NEED a marque signing, and Vidal would be the perfect player. Not only can he provide United's midfield with more potency, but he seems to be one of the rare case of players there days who will go relatively cheap if rumors are to be believed.

2014-07-20T01:22:06+00:00

nickoldschool

Roar Guru


Someone just messed with the wrong candidate ;). Brilliant!

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T09:07:19+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


That they can't mate. I think the problem now is that you can spend a lot of money in the EPL and not really get anywhere. What you have to do is essentially spend a HUGE amount either by having the revenue or having taken the previous short cuts that Chelsea and City took. I think this was something that Liverpool's previous owners Gillette and Hicks found out to their chagrin. I think Villa (and would include the likes of Newcastle and Spurs in this conundrum) are caught in a situation where do you stick or twist? Spurs have tried spending a lot of money (offset by Bale obviously) relative to their income to try and break into that CL group only to come up short. Had they not spent that money, would they still have come 5th, 6th or 7th each season? If you look at Everton then the answer is possibly. The problem is if you get it slightly wrong you can find yourself in the lower half of the table pretty quickly. The league unfortunately now is almost a series of mini leagues and it's pretty hard to break from one group to the next other than in the wrong direction. Tough to call.............

2014-07-19T09:01:28+00:00

EPLextra

Roar Rookie


As things stand, Villa will end up in lower mid-table mediocrity. A new manager might help things but it all depends on the new owner. These days you have got an equal shot of ending up with a rich sheik or venky's situation. Under Lerner we spent a lot of money but haven't seen the results. It would be okay if we playing a good brand of football but some of the matches last season weren't pretty. At least no one can call me a glory hunter. Marko

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T09:01:00+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Adam, I think the jury is very much 'out' on Costa although I live in hope. As you say, I don't think genuine 'no9s' in the old fashioned sense which I think Costa kinda is really thrive in the Spanish system. Conversely, not sure how Fabregas will go necessarily in a Mourinho type system but I'm hoping he's simply good enough to adapt to pretty much anything. Have a feeling Mourinho is going to play him far deeper anyhow alongside Matic.

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T08:58:18+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Hopefully my answer will have placated him AZ but I'm not sure................!

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T08:57:45+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


I live in Singapore now Ian but I'm still a season ticket holder and I try to get over as often as I can for games. I usually manage 3-4 home games a season and the odd cup match etc depending on how much time I have and what leverage I can gain with the missus! I used to go to every home game when I lived in London from '90 to '02. Trust that qualifies in you book.

2014-07-19T07:54:45+00:00

AZ_RBB

Guest


oooo ooo my favourite type of person. the "you don't live in the town your club is based therefore you're not a real fan" type. great entertainment and comedic value.

2014-07-19T07:24:49+00:00

Adam

Guest


I'm interested in seeing whether Costa will show that last seasons goal scoring exploits weren't a one season wonder. He did look lost at the World Cup in a system not suited for strikers. Recent injury troubles certainly didn't help his cause

2014-07-19T07:06:30+00:00

ian

Guest


Your own club? Get down to the bridge much do you?

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T06:16:39+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Thanks for the insight on the Sun, much appreciated.

2014-07-19T05:58:47+00:00

brisvegas

Guest


It's the back-handed comments and subtle snobbery that get my gander. Always from those whose team play in the mini Champions League division of the EPL. "Mathieu Debuchy is another fine player who must have been wondering how he ended up on Tyneside in the first place." No doubt Ba, Remy and Cabaye did the same, eh? Subtext: he's far too good to be playing for a crap side like Newcastle; how could any decent player think of joining anybody but one of us elite clubs? Then there's the "continental players" remark, as if they were nonentities. Subtext: No decent player would sign for Newcastle; if a player doesn't sign for one of us elite clubs he can't be much good. Two fairly contradictory stances if you ask me. So the bit about scouting just sounds like a token way to cover a confused message without having to understand any background detail. If not for Abramovich you'd understand. The Sun: apparently some deal was done with them. An attempt by the club to control media gossip. A few papers have been banned from St James' Park for a while now, but it hasn't stopped them from making things up. Some key journos have been banned for a couple of years, yet they still write as if they have the ear of the chairman. It means that Toon stories in The Sun probably carry more weight than they would normally have done - but I still wouldn't believe anything I read there.

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T04:45:28+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


NickOS, cheers mate. It's interesting you mention the effect of having a good or bad world cup. I'm particularly concerned about Oscar next season as he seems to be a bit of a fragile chap at the best of times and I really don't know the effect of that hammering the Germans handed out will have on him. At least Ramires only came on at half time and Will-I-an didn't really feature and still has lots of record royalties to look forward to (I really hope I don't need to point out that's a joke.......).

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T04:41:49+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


I really think Bony would be a cracking buy for you guys I really do. Everytime I've seen him I think he looks pretty tasty.

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T04:41:10+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Brisvegas, I'm not quite sure why you're taking such issue with me but yes, I think most of us would have a better knowledge of the top six other than the team we support. I think the reference to quality signings is of course about money, typically (but not always) if you spend more on players, it follows that they should (again not always) better. The reason I was making reference to Newcastle's 'continental' signings is because I also made reference to their scouting network which has unearthed some genuine talent. I assure you my 'cock-eyed' view point is not gleaned from daily rags and if you'd like to enlighten me further on the Toon I'd be more than happy to learn about them mate. I also understand from what I heard on the BBC this week that if anyone wants to hear about Newcastle now you have to read it in the Sun basically as all the other papers have been kicked out, is that true!?

AUTHOR

2014-07-19T04:36:53+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


It is sad Stratty because they have such a great history (they've won the European Cup and I even remember watching on TV that night!), a great fan base and a good stadium. Optimistic that a new owner might turn things around?

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