Manly will win the NRL premiership this season

By Brin Paulsen / Roar Guru

Every year Wayne Bennett has left a club, Manly have gone on to win the NRL premiership: 1987 (Bennett leaves the Raiders), 2008 (Broncos) and 2011 (Dragons). It’s a statistical fact: Bennett leaves a club, Manly win the premiership.

At first I didn’t believe it. I checked Wikipedia to see if the dates were wrong. They weren’t. I checked the ladder to see if Manly couldn’t win this year. They’re top of the table.

I checked recent news articles to see if there was anything happening that could possibly stop Manly. A glimmer of hope. Internal strife. Players not happy. Daly Cherry-Evans unsigned.

But something didn’t seem right. All this recent unrest seemed a little too convenient for a team that had made nine consecutive finals appearances. I had questions.

Why had news of Steve Matai’s potential departure only come out since Wayne announced he was going back to Brisbane? Why were we talking about DCE’s contract midway through the season? Is Kieran Foran able to formulate his own opinions?

I pored over reports and club records, through media statements and team photos. Then I made a breakthrough. He’d been there all along, staring back at me with that cheeky grin and those twinkling blue eyes: Geoff Toovey, A.K.A The man who made a deal with the devil to deliver Manly-Warringah grand final glory whenever Bennett leaves someone else’s town.

It was so obvious. How could I have been blind to this truth for so long?

Prior to making his first-grade debut in 1998, it’s a little-known fact that during the 1987 season – the year the Bennett/Manly black magic pact was entered into – Toovey was the personal chauffeur, speechwriter and accountant for then Sea Eagles coach Bob Fulton.

In 2008 he performed the same duties for then head coach Des Hasler, also adding hair stylist, dog walker and assistant coach to his CV.

In 2011 he practically played halfback for the Silvertails again, spending three quarters of the season running water while organising the Manly forward pack.

And that brings us up to date. 2014. A week after Bennett announced his departure from the Newcastle Knights and two months away from the grand final, Geoff Toovey sits in the head coach’s chair at Manly, like Sauron in Mount Doom, biding his time.

I don’t know what young Geoff Toovey had to give up in his bargain with Satan. If I had to guess it seems like his golden, flowing locks were at least part of the agreement, possibly his mind, and almost certainly the ability to control his temper.

As for the smoke and mirror act that Toovey has put on recently to try and distract from Manly’s inevitable grand final victory, it won’t work. Players angry at the club, Matai going to the Warriors, Foran having an original thought. I just don’t buy it.

Do you really think Kieran Foran even knew what he was saying when he was talking about Matai? Look a little closer and you can see it was clearly Toovey pulling the strings. The following are excerpts from Foran’s statement:

“I guess there are issues to be sorted,” Foran said. You know who else has wanted to sort out issues in the past? Geoff Toovey.

“It is just about the boys getting on with things and having the best year we can possibly have,” Foran said. You know who else wanted Manly to have a good year? You guessed it, Toovey.

“I think so,” Foran said. Kieran Foran thought something? Impossible! There is no way that this occurred. This is clear evidence that the puppet master Toovey was behind all of this.

“Bye.” Ha, nice attempt to throw us off the scent Geoff!

The jig is up! You can stop with all the off-field shenanigans now Tooves. Your secret is out and Pommy Dave may as well start engraving the Provan and Summons with ‘Silvertails’ today.

I’m not a sports scientist or even a particularly good pundit, but given the evidence on the table, the theory I’ve come up with could withstand very, very light investigation before it falls apart. I’ve given you the evidence, you be the judge.

Also, I am aware that Manly somehow managed to pull a rabbit out of the hat without the Bennett black magic in 1996. However, it’s pretty obvious to me that every other club was just distracted by the upcoming formation of Super League.

You think somehow Manly won the comp all those times by being the best team? Ridiculous…

(I’d like to acknowledge @AndrewBryan321 for bringing this important information to everyone’s attention.)

The Crowd Says:

2014-07-30T02:05:55+00:00

Haz

Guest


Did we miss 1996? Geoff Toovey as Clive Churchill Medal winner and premiership-winning captain? Although, I guess, maybe you can argue Bennett signed to Super League, which was probably a change of employer...

2014-07-29T17:19:46+00:00

eagle

Guest


This stat appeared on the 'Silvertails' - Manly fan website before this article was written. Seems like Wikipedia isn't the only thing that got "checked" for this article, but seems like it's the only one to get acknowledged!

2014-07-29T07:16:41+00:00

MAX

Guest


The pictorial presentation was well done but disappointing that Brin did not get the credit.

2014-07-29T06:12:07+00:00

Albo

Guest


They have been winning because they have the best backline in the competition with all of them very experienced cool heads ! They are so good that they can score enough points to compensate for possibly the worst pack of forwards in the comp ! They are an ordinary bunch without Glenn Stewart and Matt Balin holding them together for average performances. But their great halves and centres and fullback get them home in most games ! A couple of key injuries in the tough 6 weeks ahead to this great backline might change the whole season for these high fliers !

2014-07-29T04:01:34+00:00

TriangleFlatDog

Guest


Lara Pitt, on The Matty Johns Show last night mentioned this too....just wondering if she read your piece first???

2014-07-28T13:19:29+00:00

Meesta Cool

Guest


Hey Chui -- Is a Queenslaannnddddaaaahhhhh comfortable being called NSWelshmen>, is the Pope a catholic. Are the Kennedys Gun Shy?... all answerable easily with a bit of thought!

2014-07-28T11:40:00+00:00

Gaz

Guest


Manly will win the premiership because they are the toughest team. Other than that this article has nothing to do with nothing.

2014-07-28T11:14:55+00:00

Kevin dustby

Guest


I agree, I don't think there are many standout teams this year.

2014-07-28T08:57:28+00:00

Muzz

Guest


JB, King came off the the bench on the weekend.Do you mean Horo? The guy that always stops in the line when running the block.

2014-07-28T08:19:35+00:00

Nordburg

Guest


Someone commented that Manly have been scratchy of late.Im a Manly fan and id say they've been scratchy all season,which begs the question"is the standard of League this season that high?"As for G.Stewarts return,im not too sure he'll add much.In the last few yrs after the 2011 GF,he has been injured quite a bit and upon his return it has taken him a fair while to get going again.Although some players are looking tired,id bring him back off the bench.Big chance some players maybe rested in coming weeks -- Comment from The Roar's iPhone app.

2014-07-28T07:09:08+00:00

Champ

Guest


Intriguing how rumours of discontent occur in a club just about to play the Warriors in NZ. It happens a lot...

2014-07-28T06:48:59+00:00

buster

Guest


Im glad someone else has said this. I cant believe we have been winning some of our performances have been very scratchy by previous years standards

2014-07-28T05:56:07+00:00

sheek

Roar Guru


Enjoyable article. However, if Manly wins the premiership this year, it won't be because Bennett is leaving another club. It'll be because Manly are the best team. Amazing coincidence. Then again, all coincidences break eventually.

2014-07-28T05:41:55+00:00

Cowboys

Guest


followed by two close upset loses to the Dragons & then Titans, to all but confirm favoritism come finals.

2014-07-28T05:36:30+00:00

JB

Guest


still got stewart and king to come back into the lineup with watmough not quite fit yet, they have a bit of room for improvement yet.

2014-07-28T03:58:19+00:00

BlakeM

Roar Rookie


I think Gift will slot straight back in, he'll be right I think, and it will be even better for Manly when he does come back in a few weeks.

2014-07-28T02:59:37+00:00

Tim Gore

Expert


Genius piece of work here Brin! You'll be pleased to know that many other stats back up Manly's claims: top four going into origin, lots of recent grand final experience, excellent attack, excellent defence. As for their internal strife, amazing how it is taking attention away from their irresistible form. A conspiracy theorist might think it contrived for that effect... Not me though, I'm sure they're ripping themselves apart...

2014-07-28T02:14:02+00:00

bilbo

Guest


Spot on,as a Manly fan I hopeBen (when in doubt kick it) Roberts keeps getting picked

2014-07-28T01:58:06+00:00

P.Marlowe

Guest


Agreed on the Ben Roberts thing. As a Broncos fan, he was close to our man of the match on Friday.

2014-07-28T01:45:37+00:00

mick

Guest


We've played better without horo as well. Sene-lafao much better option.

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