The stage is set for a blockbuster final round

By Avatar / Roar Guru

Twenty-two rounds down, one to go. With seven teams confirmed to play finals this year, the battle for that last place in the eight is set to go down to the wire.

Richmond’s 26-point victory over St Kilda to end Round 22 has seen them enter the eight for the first time this season, this coming on the back of an eight-match winning streak bookended with wins over the Saints.

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The Tigers’ sudden rise into finals contention comes after the full-time siren appeared to have sounded on their season at 10:20pm on June 20, following an eleven-point loss to the Sydney Swans at the MCG on the Friday night stage.

Next week sees the Tigers face up to the premiership favourites, and likely minor premiers, in the rematch of that Round 14 match to be played in the unfamiliar surroundings of ANZ Stadium.

It’s only a short walk from where the Tigers posted their biggest win for the season, a 113-point mauling of the GWS Giants at Spotless Stadium.

But even so, Saturday’s trip to the larger Olympic venue will be uncharted territory for the current Richmond side, and despite their eight-match winning streak, they will enter the match against the Swans as underdogs.

The Tigers have played there once previously, way back in 2002 when Danny Frawley was the coach and the likes of Matthew Richardson and current Giants coach Leon Cameron were still playing.

The side lost by 40 points to a Swans side, then coached by caretaker coach Paul Roos, who were farewelling Captain Courageous Paul Kelly and Andrew Dunkley after both served the club for more than a decade.

Now, come this Saturday night and the Tigers will arrive in Sydney needing simply to win to complete a miraculous turnaround many thought impossible after they first lost to the Swans back in Round 14, placing them 16th on the ladder.

Not only that, they could also deny the Swans the minor premiership on percentage, given Hawthorn posts a huge win over Collingwood the previous evening.

The Hawks defeated Geelong by 23 points to keep their hopes of a third consecutive top-place finish alive, and all but end any hopes Chris Scott’s men have of finishing in the top two.

They must defeat the injury-ravaged Pies by at least five goals on Friday night, then hope that the Swans cop at least a ten-goal hiding from the Tigers 21 hours later, to snatch the minor premiership from John Longmire’s men.

However, the Swans’ impressive form since Round 4 means that the latter is unlikely to happen, meaning they have all but secured their first top-place finish since 1996, and their first two finals at home.

Just who they will host will be decided in a key match to be played between Fremantle and Port Adelaide at Paterson’s Stadium on Saturday.

In what shapes as the most intriguing of scenarios, the winner will very likely travel to Sydney to play the Swans in the first qualifying final to be played at ANZ Stadium, while the loser will host an elimination final, likely to be against the West Coast Eagles.

For Fremantle, a win would see them make another long trip across the country, while a loss could see them possibly face the Eagles in an elimination final, or a resurgent Richmond.

Port Adelaide’s 103-point thrashing of Carlton revived its chances of a first top-four finish since 2007, but their finals destiny will ultimately be shaped by the trip to Perth.

The West Coast Eagles, Adelaide Crows and Collingwood are the other three teams still in contention for the final place in the eight, but all three have opponents of contrasting difficulty to tackle in their respective final round ties.

The Crows will know by the time they take on certain wooden-spooners St Kilda whether they are still in with the faintest of chances of making the finals. To sneak into the eight, they must hope that both Collingwood and Richmond lose their respective matches against Hawthorn and the Sydney Swans.

However, they will be disadvantaged by the fact that the West Coast Eagles play their final round tie against the Gold Coast Suns earlier in the day, and with their own finals destiny also resting on the aforementioned matches involving the Pies and Tigers.

Therefore, the Crows will know by the end of the first quarter against the Saints whether they will be playing for a finals place, or for pride.

Should they snatch that last place in the eight, they could end up playing the Power in an elimination final with the reward for the winner being a trip to Sydney or Perth in the second round of the finals.

The Dees are only ahead of the Saints in 17th place on percentage, and must defy a seven-year hoodoo at Etihad Stadium, where they play the finals-bound Kangaroos on Saturday night, to all but hand the Saints their 27th wooden spoon.

Injury-ravaged Collingwood, who are a game ahead of the Eagles, Crows and Suns in ninth place on the ladder, must upset Hawthorn on Friday night, and then hope that Richmond loses to the Sydney Swans on Saturday, to sneak into the finals at the expense of Damien Hardwick’s men.

Otherwise, the Pies risk missing the finals for the first time since 2005, a scenario which appears likely given their horror injury toll which only got worse on the weekend with injuries to Dane Swan, Brent Macaffer and Clinton Young.

This leaves us with two virtual dead-rubbers, with Essendon guaranteed to play finals even if it loses to Carlton on Saturday afternoon, and with the final match of the regular season between the Western Bulldogs and GWS Giants being a meaningless affair as neither can make the finals.a

This will make for what should be an intriguing final round of the season, where almost every match will determine the final order of the ladder.

Can the Hawks snatch the minor premiership from the Sydney Swans? Will Fremantle travel to the Harbour City or host a sudden-death final in the first week? Will Richmond finish ninth? And who will snatch that last place in the eight up for grabs?

The Crowd Says:

2014-08-27T14:41:53+00:00

Gregor

Guest


Whoever makes 8th will be the best of an ordinary bunch and should have at least have some moderate form to tackle Freo or Port. Eagles probably have the best chance against Freo as Adelaide do against Port.No bets though

2014-08-27T03:47:27+00:00

Connor

Guest


i can tell you there were 3 of them against Geelong

2014-08-26T07:24:00+00:00

JC

Guest


I'm a west coast supporter and am far from convinced the game against the Suns is a sure thing. I'm even less convinced we should be playing finals. How many quarters this year have we gone goalless??? Seems like a lot...

2014-08-26T04:51:17+00:00

Mark Soong

Guest


How about the scenario of sydney loss n setup QF at home to the cats..rather than freo coming from their 110points of thrashing the cats..richmond will sneak in..what makes us think the eagles game at the gold coast is a sure 4 ptr.my gut feeling richmond will still be the 8th team for this year finals series

2014-08-25T08:08:22+00:00

Jack Smith

Roar Guru


Arguable...both sides will get plenty there. I look forward to finals regardless. Swans should get over the line. Longmire has been firm in giving other teams absolutely nothing this year as a perfectionist. He wouldn't be saying to not give it your all. I sincerely doubt any coach does this. It may be for the Swans benefit that Richmond are playing well because they are aware that Richmond could trump them, therefore, playing better. Unless Hawks rest a host of players, I can't see Collingwood get up. Power v Freo is easily the match of the round and probably could have been said at the start of the season barring Carlton v Essendon's potential positions on the ladder. It could easily go either way with both with some strong form behind them now.

2014-08-25T07:40:07+00:00

Michael huston

Guest


Rounds one, two and four this year. Weren't playing to win by half time in all three of those games. Longmire has been extremely cautious this year, more so than anyone else. Wouldn't surprise me if he told the boys to come out of the gates firing, but after quarter time, hit cruise control and hope Richmond struggle.

2014-08-25T06:55:11+00:00

JKost

Guest


I think you would find any freo supporter would rather have a double chance then a derby final.

2014-08-25T05:29:43+00:00

Slane

Guest


It's more likely they'll finish 8th or 10th.

2014-08-25T05:13:20+00:00

SCC

Guest


The other reasonably believable sequence that will see a derby final: eagles make the 8. Freo win in r23 to get 4th Sydney beat dockers in the qualifying Eagles beat port in their elim . Much more likely than a GF derby =D Anyway... an derby in the elims or semis would see Coxy play in Perth again... Although perhaps not in front of such a favourable crowd... ;)

2014-08-25T04:59:09+00:00

Matthew

Guest


As a Richmond support I can easily say that we will end up 9th again this year. We cannot lose all the games at the start and expect to be worthy to be in the finals.

2014-08-25T04:23:34+00:00

Davico

Guest


HAHAHA. Would like some of what your smoking. When was the last time you saw Sydney in a "Throw in te Towel" game?? Or maybe has wrecked the culture so much as predicted that your right?! I am all for supporting your team but a bit of reality would not go astray!!

2014-08-25T04:01:36+00:00

jax

Guest


WC would welcome it. Freo have beaten them by a combined 26 points in their two previous meetings this year and WC outscored them in the first meeting but didn't kick straight. I'm not saying they will win but anything can happen in a final, especially a derby. I'm hoping that it eventuates but I think Freo will beat Port so if WC do scrape in they'll be off to Adelaide in week 1.

2014-08-25T02:51:16+00:00

Winston

Guest


Surely you are overestimating the influence of dusty. There are at least 10 Swans players better than him.

2014-08-25T02:18:37+00:00

David Ward

Roar Guru


It's premature to be speculating on who the Swans will or won't play in the first or third week of the finals, and where. They've got a tooled-up juggernaut from Tigerland to get past first. In my view the shape of the 2014 finals hinges on two words: Dusty's hammy.

2014-08-25T02:02:04+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Guest


I'm not sure it would be a gift WC would enjoy all that much after opening it.

2014-08-25T01:47:14+00:00

Full Purple Jacket

Guest


Im from W.A, yes a derby final would be awesome, but not this year. It would be a shame to have the eagles just barely scrape into the finals, and then be gifted a home Final. West Coast supporters are already talking it up. Great for west coast supporters, horrible for Freo supporters. I would love to see a qualifier or a prelim over what could happen in two weeks time any day of the week. Hopefully in 2018 when the new stadium is ready, now that would be something

2014-08-25T01:45:01+00:00

Michael huston

Guest


Hawthorn will demolish Collingwood. With all their outs, and their inability to match up on Hawthorn, and the fact the Hawks are basically full-strength, a 100 point win would not surprise me at all. Also it's very likely Sydney may lose to Richmond. Has all the makings of a "throw in the towel" game.

2014-08-25T01:40:36+00:00

michael steel

Guest


This is what appears obvious. Sydney will beat Richmond (even though they've won 8 straight) Hawthorn will beat Collingwood West Coast will beat Gold Coast West Coast will have the greater percentage and finish 8th.

2014-08-24T18:00:58+00:00

Michael huston

Guest


Personally, I hope the following happens: - Sydney defeat Richmond to secure the minor premiership, and allow West Coast to make the eight. - Freo lose to Port by a decent amount, setting up a qualifying final in Sydney between the Swans and Port. - Freo come fifth and play West Coast in an elimination final derby. - Sydney beat Port Adelaide in the QF to get the home prelim. Very wishful thinking, but ask anyone from WA, and they'll tell you how badly a derby final needs to happen, even if the result were predictable. This season is a glorious mess. Pretty much every team in the top 10-11 is reliant on the result of at least one other game. I'll be glued to the TV this weekend.

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