Biggest finals upsets of modern AFL era

By Ronan O'Connell / Expert

If North Melbourne defeat Sydney in tonight’s preliminary final it will be a massive upset.

The Swans have been a wrecking ball this season following the recruitment of former Hawthorn dynamo Lance Franklin, who has been remarkably influential.

North were highly unpredictable for most of the season but have now won their last six matches on the trot, including a boilover against Geelong last week.

Although they have proven to be giant killers this season, few are predicting they can get past Sydney at ANZ Stadium.

More AFL Finals:
» Expert tips and predictions
» PREVIEW: Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
» PREVIEW: Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power

But, if they do, where would that sit among the most unexpected AFL finals results of the past 15 years?

Below I have listed some of the largest finals upsets in modern AFL history. What matches would you pick Roarers?

1999: Carlton defeat Essendon at the MCG in the preliminary final
The Essendon side of this era was one of the most terrifying line-ups in history. Wonderfully skilful and willfully aggressive, they steamrolled most opponents.

In 1999 they finished a game clear on top of the ladder, registering six more wins than Carlton, who ended in sixth place.

The Blues snuck into the preliminary final but were never expected to go any further, with the Bombers in imperious form.

But Carlton proved that anything can happen in a knockout final, surging to a four-goal lead at half time. When Essendon piled on 7.7 in the third quarter to move ahead by 11 points it looked like they had broken the underdogs.

Then Blues legend Anthony Koutoufides produced what was later described by Stephen Kernahan as the “greatest quarter of football every played”.

Koutoufides roamed the wide expanses of the MCG, winning clearances, hauling in contested grabs and kicking two pivotal goals.

While Carlton lost the grand final to the Wayne-Carey led North Melbourne, it was a huge surprise they even made it that far.

2003: Sydney defeat Port Adelaide at AAMI Stadium in the first qualifying final
Port Adelaide looked on target to make their first appearance in an AFL grand final after finishing an incredible three games clear on top of the ladder in 2003.

Sydney, meanwhile, were coming off an up-and-down regular season and were very fortunate to scrape into fourth position, winning just 14 games.

Port came into this final on an eight-game winning streak, whereas Sydney had a 4-4 record during that same period.

Port were overwhelming favourites with the bookies, pundits and fans. That mattered little as the famous Bloods’ spirit overwhelmed their more gifted opponents.

Intimidating Swans spearhead Barry Hall booted six goals as Sydney held off a fast-finishing Power to nab a 12-point win.

Port never recovered from that loss and missed the grand final in 2003 as Brisbane completed their famed premiership three-peat. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Oro4_a0zYo

2012: Fremantle defeat Geelong at the MCG in the second elimination final
The Cats finished the 2012 season in sixth, just one spot above Fremantle, yet this final shaped as a mismatch.

Geelong were the reigning premiers and had won three flags in the previous five seasons to cement themselves as one of the greatest teams in AFL history.

Fremantle were a talented outfit but had an underwhelming record at the MCG and had never won a final outside of Perth.

But the Dockers torched their fancied opponents in startling fashion early in the game, opening up a 44-point lead in the second quarter. To that point they had scored 6.9 to just 0.1 for Geelong.

Superstar key forward Matthew Pavlich turned in the most valuable performance of his career, slotting six goals to help earn the Dockers a shock 16-point win.

The shock loss led to claims that Geelong were at the end of an era. But they bounced back to finish second in 2013, with an 18-4 record, before losing a tight preliminary final against eventual premiers Hawthorn.

The Crowd Says:

2014-09-20T11:51:37+00:00

Aransan

Guest


chris, the term "bloods" goes back to the beginning of the South Melbourne Football Club: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sydney_Swans I don't think you will need any luck against the Hawks, another day for the showman Franklin to shine on the big stage? Watch out for his former partner in Roughead.

2014-09-20T10:35:59+00:00

chris

Guest


No it was at etihad... this swans team is the stuff of legends.. they will have underachieved if they don't win the next 3 premierships 2014-2016... c'mon the swannies ... or to anyone on here that remembers the 26 game losing streak "hmmpfffhhh".... The familar sarcastic cry that originated back in those dark years and to Paul Kelly... The man or created the spirit we all call the "bloods"... Thank you... You epitomized and produced an enduring legacy that has led to this... the toughest team that is also the most talented.. i for 1 will be chanting your name each time we win the premiership in the next three years.. c'mon the swannies..

2014-09-19T23:25:58+00:00

Teo

Guest


Pyke won the ruck battle last night in a fantastic effort. He played very well.

2014-09-19T15:12:28+00:00

Peter Baudinette

Roar Guru


Pyke 30 hit outs Goldstein 29.....interesting

2014-09-19T14:31:18+00:00

Griffo

Guest


and North, who finished the H&A 2nd, beat Brisbane, who finished the H&A 3rd, in the Preliminary final before going on to be premiers

2014-09-19T14:25:14+00:00

Griffo

Guest


i was at that preliminary final. I caught the train from Bendigo to meet my brother in the City. North were not underdogs, they finished the H&A second, were playing in Melbourne and had Carey and Corey. North ended up winning comfortably. I remember an incident early in the match where a North trainer put on a brilliant shepherd in the middle of the ground

2014-09-19T12:50:28+00:00

Thomas

Guest


North? Underdogs? Turn it up. That match was in Melbourne, Chris Scott had been suspended for belting a Bulldogs player the previous week (probably Tony "Stigmata" Liberatore) and Michael Voss was out injured. MIck Martyn tagged Simon Black out of the game early three times in the face with right hooks and Jason McCartney elbowed Clarke Keating later in the game as the Lions rallied.

AUTHOR

2014-09-19T08:45:14+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


I wouldn't go that far, Sandilands is a superstar. But Goldstein is as good as any other ruckman in the comp.

2014-09-19T07:49:07+00:00

Me Too

Guest


that must have been a different day. 12-13 to 8-8.

2014-09-19T07:08:12+00:00

Macca

Guest


Milz - How the F..k is it my fault Bill asked if I went to the game with Hunt?

2014-09-19T07:05:49+00:00

Michael Steel

Roar Pro


I'm pretty sure that in the 2005 preliminary final between St Kilda and Sydney played in Sydney, it was expected that all the Saints had to do was turn up on that night to win. Am I mistaken?

2014-09-19T06:55:30+00:00

Milz

Guest


Macca you muppet. Every post you have written on this site has involved Hunt. Kinda creepy. Just thought you would try to squeeze it into a completely irrelevant article.

2014-09-19T06:41:52+00:00

Pope Paul vii

Guest


yep, better than Sandi

AUTHOR

2014-09-19T05:25:14+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


Goldstein is terribly under rated, I reckon he is arguably North's most important player.

2014-09-19T05:23:05+00:00

Winston

Guest


With the Swans Port 2003 game, Goodes was also instrumental. He was up against Brogan and Lade and he not only jumped over them in the ruck but also ran them rugged all day.

2014-09-19T04:57:29+00:00

Pope Paul vii

Guest


This is true Ronan but Pyke has a habit of hanging in there doing enough and sometime more. Usually I don't mind him, unless he is playing North. Goldy probably does need to flog him.

2014-09-19T04:56:48+00:00

Ryan Ranger

Guest


That is true, Essendon fans didn't complain that year! You are right though - just like Carlton in 1999, Essendon didn't deserve to be in the PF that year, and it was only fitting that Plugger's point ensured they wouldn't advance to the GF. In fact, that night I very quietly hoped Plugger did register a score with THAT kick, as the Bombers didn't deserve to go all the way to the Granny. Actually I don't think too many Bombers fans complained about the result that year. The 1999 Final Series mirrored that of the 1996 series in a lot of ways. Essendon ('96) and Carlton ('99) both lost in Week 1 to Brisbane at the Gabba. West Coast were denied home finals in Week 2 due to an iron-clad agreement signed off by the-then VFL and MCC in the 80's, and ultimately lost both times. Essendon lost their PF's by a point. And North Melbourne took out the flag!

2014-09-19T04:35:53+00:00

Brian

Guest


Everything you say is true except that I didn't hear any Essendon fans complain in 1996 when they SHOULD have travelled to Perth to play West Coast but instead unfairly got a home semi-final. They then lost to Plugger's point in the Prelim and some to this day feel were robbed of a GF even though Essendon shouldn't have been in that Preliminary to begin with.

2014-09-19T03:53:38+00:00

Ryan Ranger

Guest


I remember that Essendon-Carlton came well too - not very fondly though! In fact I seem to recall that game better than just about any other (1993 and 2000 included). If we're honest (Blue fans included), Carlton didn't even deserve to be in the Preliminary Final that year. They finished the H&A season in 6th, and then got THUMPED by the Lions at the Gabba in the 1st week of the finals. But due to the old finals system in place 1v8, 2v7, 3v6, 4v5), because teams 7 and 8 also lost, the Blues got another chance in week 2 against West Coast. That game SHOULD have been held in Perth, but because of the agreement the VFL signed with the MCC back in the 80's that at least 1 game would be played at the MCG in each week of the finals - the game was played at the 'G. History tells us Carlton bounced back from their week 1 shellacking, and beat the Eagles in the semi final. As a passionate Bombers fan at the time it was hard to admit it, but Carlton deserved to win that PF. I do feel Koutoufides was a little over-rated and NOT amongst the elite category of Hird, Voss, Carey and Buckley at the time, but It's true: that day he did play (arguably) the greatest quarter of football ever seen. It was certainly his best ever quarter - and one of the finest games of his career. The other things that stood out that clearly that day include Peter Somerville's poor ruck work in the last quarter - he was more interested in watching what his opponent was doing than ACTUALLY CONTESTING the ruck knocks, and allowed Matthew Allan to run rampant. Lance "Captain Death-Threat" Whitnall - their inconsistent, overweight underachiever - actually stood up in that game. Those extra few steps Dean Wallis took. The Fraser Brown tackle. The scenes of a jubilant Justin Murphy and his teammates celebrating a win in a game they didn't deserve to be playing in. Deep down though, even though the Bombers were in very hot form, even if they had beat the Blues that day, I still felt that their run would have come to an end against North Melbourne in the GF. I think a few Bombers - including James Hird in one of his books - admitted this in the years after, too. It was Carlton's finals run that year - and West Coast's bad luck in being denied a rightful home final for the 2nd time in 4 years - that prompted the AFL to change the Finals system to the one currently in place today. It also forced them to negotiate harder with the MCC/MCG and come up with a solution that would suit all parties so that a non-Victorian team did not miss out on a home final.

AUTHOR

2014-09-19T03:25:52+00:00

Ronan O'Connell

Expert


North really need Petrie not to have an off night or I can't see them winning. He's had a poor season but he can still be a matchwinner on his day.

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