Golden Slipper day: Group 1 preview and tips

By Cameron Rose / Expert

Golden Slipper day, still the jewel in the Sydney racing crown, is upon us.

The highlight will be the mad scamper for two-year-olds itself, complimented by four other Group 1s – the small but select fields in the Rosehill Guineas and Ranvet Stakes, a deep Galaxy for the sprinters, and the million dollar George Ryder Stakes.

Vancouver is the easing punters elect, thanks to drawing the second-widest barrier.

Undefeated in three starts going back to the Breeders’ Plate in October, he’s won his races with something in hand, yet despite the Gai Waterhouse spruik and polish, always jumps at backable odds. He’ll do so again, and may find bad luck, but is still the one to beat.

Exosphere, for Godolphin, is now vying for favouritism from a middle barrier, with punters remembering his dominant Skyline win. That James McDonald is on board doesn’t hurt the colt’s chances.

The unbeaten Haptic is the forgotton John O’Shea horse, and can make an impact on the speed from the cosiest draw. He goes in multiples.

Ready for Victory is in the market coming up from Victoria for Mick Price, but I need more convincing after his debut win.

Looking at the Melbourne form, Reemah is at crazy odds after running a slashing second in the Blue Diamond. She’ll appreciate a hot tempo, and the Diamond usually stands up for trifecta’s and first fours in the Slipper.

She’s the value, and we know how hot the David Hayes and Tom Dabernig yard has been in recent times. Hayes generally has an impact in the Slipper when he’s got a runner too.

Lake Geneva is in the race after a Blue Diamond placing too, and has the benefit of a run the Sydney way this prep. Her form ties in with the second tier Slipper form.

It’s a hectic race, we never quite know who’s trained off, and two year olds can be open to so much improvement and gains in maturity into their grand final.

Don’t forget to check out Adam Page’s horse by horse Golden Slipper preview here on The Roar.

Selections: 1.Vancouver 2.Exosphere 3.Haptic 4.Reemah

The George Ryder is a fascinating race with a mixture of our weight-for-age horses, three-year-olds and a couple of Japanese.

Shooting To Win has been slightly disappointing in his two runs this campaign, defeated as favourite both times, with Hallowed Crown and Sweynesse finding the better of him each time, but he’s drawn to be in the race up to his ears again.

Kermadec is the other three year old, and could easily be one coming off a Group 1 win last start, if Nash Rawiller had done a better steering job in the Australian Guineas.

Cosmic Endeavour is a dual Group 1 winner herself that is only getting better for Gai Waterhouse. We know how much the trainer loves this day.

World Ace and Real Impact from Japan won’t surprise, particularly the former given his solid Group 1 form over there, but we’ll need our international experts to give us a leg up on these in the comments below.

It’s Somewhat was yet another import to win first-up in Australia, doing so with something in hand, and he’s a genuine threat, although we must be wary of a second-up flat run.

Criterion mixed it with the world’s best in December, and returned in fine style two weeks ago. Of course, any of Chris Waller’s horses could pop up at odds we’re not used to seeing from his runners in these sort of races.

Selections: 1.Criterion 2.Cosmic Endeavour 3.Shooting To Win 4.World Ace

The Galaxy has attracted a quality field of even sprinters, reflected in the market for what is a fantastic betting race.

The Deep Field bubble has well and truly burst, looking pretty plain in his two runs this campaign. It would be a surprise to see him turn it around so quickly.

Kuro won well with a big weight first up, and now drops to the minimum in this race. His Coolmore Stud placing in the spring indicates his class, and we’ve seen what Brazen Beau has done since to add further credit.

Fast N Rocking is the only horse Group 1 placed at his last start, and brings the right form for this sort of race, even getting weight relief from his Oakleigh Plate third. A middle barrier in a big field is his go.

Avoid Lightning has had a funny prep for this sort of race, dropping back 200m second-up, but she’s too consistent to leave out, with form that has been franked at Group 1 level.

Sweet Idea and Miracles of Life have their share of weight for mares, but have more than earned it. Sweet Idea won at WFA against the boys first-up last prep, while Miracles of Life won arrogantly first-up in the Challenge Stakes.

Va Pensiero meets Miracles of Life 4kg’s better from the Challenge, and can figure at odds. Chloe in Paris is going places for Ciaron Maher, but it might be too soon for her.

Flamberge is always somewhere there about, and won’t know himself with this weight. He’s a huge value hope, and Peter Moody knows how to spring a surprise up in Sydney.

Selections: 1.Fast N Rocking 2.Kuro 3.Flamberge 4.Sweet Idea

Hallowed Crown and Sweynesse square off again after providing that exacta in both the Hobartville Stakes and Randwick Guineas.

Sweynesse will eat up 2000m, but needs to find that winning feeling again. Hallowed Crown certainly has that feeling down pat, and why can’t he do it again?

Mongolian Khan brings a long winning streak with him across the Tasman, including the Group 1 New Zealand Derby. Murray Baker only brings them over to win, so we can be confident that he’ll measure up.

Volkstok’n’barrell has chased Mongolian Khan home at his last two, and has a couple of lengths to make up.

Selections: 1.Sweynesse 2.Hallowed Crown 3.Mongolian Khan 4.Volkstok’n’barrell

The fifth Group 1 on the day, although actually the first in race order, is the Ranvet Stakes.

Contributor is the horse to beat after his Apollo Stakes and Chipping Norton victories so far this prep.

He’s Your Man might be the horse than can upset the favourite, he’s building nicely to a win at some point this campaign. Silent Achiever will be somewhere around the mark, and we know Lucia Valentina can bounce back from a flat second-up run, as she did in the spring when taking out the Turnbull Stakes.

Dominant, from Hong Kong, deserves respect, but will likely want it a touch further. Tosen Stardom from Japan is right in the market, and will obviously take some beating.

Selections: 1.He’s Your Man 2.Contributor 3.Tosen Stardom 4.Silent Achiever

The Crowd Says:

2015-03-20T09:27:28+00:00

Bradman

Roar Rookie


I feel it says alot about VSB that he has been part bought by Rosemont stud despite being a gelding. That surely means they have him pegged as a big race runner for the future? it sure as hell ain't for breeding. I agree with scuba re khan vs VSB over the distances. khan looks a more traditional stayer, he'll be better suited to the derby, although he certainly isn't out of this. I'm so very interested to see how they line up against this aussie crop of three year olds. They're trained by Murry Baker and Donna Logan, neither of whom are new to australian success, so they should have a good chance!

2015-03-20T05:59:15+00:00

Scuba

Guest


Hampton Court was the beneficiary of the sizzling pace set by Panzer Division in the Spring Champion. There's no speed at all tomorrow (on paper anyway).

2015-03-20T04:58:47+00:00

Casper

Guest


Va Pensiero's still living off the reputation of knocking over Dissident in the Run to the Roses when he led with no pressure. With 3 wins from 14 starts, always finds a few better and is no betting prospect. If the logic says the barrier can't stop Vancouver, why will the same draw stop Deep Field. Forgive the second up run, still a good effort, and remember he wasn't far from Brazen beau in the Lightning. Tiger Tees at 66-1 is a big price for last years winner. I reckon we've all forgotten how Hampton Court kicked the butts of First Seal and Sweynesse at 2000m in the Spring Champion Stakes and started short in the Victorian Derby but had been up too long by then. Pounamu was close to Sweynesse in 2 runs last preparation and he's 100-1? Hallowed Crown is a risk if the race is truly run because most Street Sense (USA) progeny are sprinters. I like It's Somewhat in the Ryder & anything japanese on the day.

2015-03-20T04:20:43+00:00

andrew

Guest


i dont really follow syd racing with the intricate level of detail like i do vic and nsw racing. i mean - i still watch the syd races each sat year round, but operate more at just a 'communal' level in terms of NSW racing knowledge. i dont know all the mid-week form, which meetings had biased tracks on a sunday, section times, etc.. best to follow fewer jurisdictions and do it properly is my view. sth aust racing is very straightforward. they really only race on the 1 track each sat, the variation in horses is minimal. its the same horses going round weeek afer week on the same track. its a great place to punt for a genuine form student. you only have try and line up the odd vic raider (typically weir, but sometimes price or moody) or the odd import from mcevoy.

AUTHOR

2015-03-20T00:13:12+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


Always a great cross-section of tips from you Andrew, searching far and wide rather than the big races. Might have a go at a couple of those. Particularly Zabisco, that's crazy odds.

AUTHOR

2015-03-19T22:48:21+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


Excellent synopsis Scuba, thanks for the input on the Kiwi horses. I'm with you on the geldings thing. That's the beauty of Lankan Rupee, Terravista and Chautauqua!

AUTHOR

2015-03-19T22:47:03+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


I was definitely looking for a spot for Va Pensiero in my top four, but just couldn't quite squeeze him in! Silent Achiever a solid each-way bet for sure.

2015-03-19T22:45:53+00:00

Scuba

Guest


Not generally greatly interested in 2yo racing so I'll limit my comment to the Guineas - I reckon you may have the kiwis the wrong way around for tomorrow Cam. Mongolian Khan proved to be the better stayer in their Derby (after Volkstok'n'barrell looked to have him cold at the 300), but VSB has looked a star between 1600 and 2000 metres. There's no pace in tomorrow's race (even Shooting To Win, the "accidental" leader of the Randwick Guineas, has shifted paths to the Ryder) so I see it being a jog and trot to about the 600-700 and then a sprint home. That type of race will favour VSB over Mongolian Khan, who will be winding up at the very end. None of that answers the question of how the two of them will aim up against Hallowed Crown and Sweynesse of course! I would like to see VSB measure up, if only because he's a gelding and it would be nice to have a top drawer 3yo who is unlikely to be retired by halfway through his 4yo season at the latest.

2015-03-19T22:39:25+00:00

andrew

Guest


defiant angel wins again in adelaide. hopefully the weir runners go around and we get a better price. tipped her strongly last time and she did it easy and nice price and was 2nd up that day, 3rd up and out a bit more in trip in not a stronger race, ideally placed. the ultra-tune horses that go to the stokes stable just keep on winning in those black and green v's. also in adl in the 7th, who you know doesn’t have a genius as a trainer, but is going better than form suggest. Moronic to run him over 1200m first up when he is a 1000m horse for mine. 2nd up boss gave it no hope out 4 and 5 wide the trip (accept it did draw wide). 3rd up now and fully fit, down on limit weight, price rides from good draw, this looks a good race for him and will be backable odds. tonight at the valley gold force tackles a modest bunch and this progressive horse can win again. seems a decent price of 4.20 in a field of 7. tomorrow very tough meeting at bendigo, but i think four carat in the stayers race looks a good bet at around 4.50. written up has all the right form and can win the last. earlier in the day grane will give a sight ew now finally on a bigger track and up in trip - good training getting him fit in the 955m where strong tempo means he relaxes but expect diff tactics tomorrow. zabisco seems over the odds in the mile at $21 given his 1st up run in the spring was cracker and he then knocked off jacquinot bay, extra zero and pheidon in the eclipse stks.

2015-03-19T22:06:48+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


I'm all over Va Pensiero. I saw the massive weight swing and couldn't help myself, I've gone Mongolian Khan to beat all others in the guineas. Just seems to be tried over the distance compared to the Aussies. Slipper I'm still scratching my head but reckon English can get it done. Silent Achiever at great odds in the Ranvet.

AUTHOR

2015-03-19T21:25:11+00:00

Cameron Rose

Expert


Thanks Jack. It's probably my favourite race day, and even though the BMW has been lost, it's sharpened by the addition of the Guineas.

2015-03-19T14:17:16+00:00

Jack

Guest


Nice preview. I'm looking forward to the Guineas and Slipper, but the other races should be interesting too. Tactics in the Ranvet and Guineas will be especially important in the small fields, not sure who will lead and what the pace will be. Vancouver's barrier makes it harder for him, I expect Berry will ride him like he's the best horse in the race and we'll see if that's the case. Great day's racing.

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