Super Rugby Expert tipping: Round 7

By Brett McKay / Expert

Another decent round of tipping last week, with Biltongbek taking out Round 6 and establishing quite the handy lead.

Without us really noticing, Biltong first opened up a one-point gap two weeks ago, and then extended that again last week.

After a bit of a stumble last Friday, he then hoisted the wet sail, posted a lazy five-point finish, and now finds himself well clear and with a massive bullseye on his back.

This, of course, forces the hand of the chasing pack. Tipping strategies will be ripped up and hastily redrawn. Logic will become loose. Form will be ignored, as nervousness and extreme rationales take over.

Tips may even mysteriously disappear (hey, I’ve got seven points to make up!).

The big questions for Round 7
Is this the Hurricanes’ banana-skin game? How much confidence do we have in the Lions on the road now? Will the Chiefs suffer jet lag? Can you contain a Storm(er) under a roof? Are the Waratahs vulnerable to a bout of the Blues? Can the Sharks field a team? And can the revitalised Crusade survive a trip over the Indian Ocean?

Biltongbek
Tips: Hurricanes, Reds, Chiefs (powerplay), Highlanders, Waratahs, Sharks, Crusaders.

“As I am writing this the Proteas just lost their semi-final against the Black caps, so I am like a bear with a sore tooth, looking for someone to clobber.

“But well done to the Kiwis, I hope you take your maiden World Cup.”

(Brett’s note: Don’t poke the bear. Don’t poke the bear. Don’t poke the bear…)

Paddy Effeney
Tips: Hurricanes, Reds, Chiefs (PP), Highlanders, Waratahs, Sharks, Bulls.

“I’m going all home teams this week. As I watched myself tip, ticking all those little circles, it became harder and harder for me to break the pattern.

“Under normal circumstances I would have picked the Crusaders to beat the Bulls and the Stormers to beat the Highlanders, but I might as well stick to the funny tipping and good tipping principle.

“Also, my powerplay is on the Chiefs.

“Tally ho!”

Spiro Zavos
Tips: Hurricanes, Reds, Chiefs, Highlanders, Waratahs, Sharks (PP), Crusaders.

“I am going for form this week, even though it let me down last week when I picked the Brumbies to beat the Waratahs.

“After what happened to the Chiefs, I should pick the South African teams to beat New Zealand and Australian sides in South Africa. However, I can’t bring myself to pick the Bulls to defeat the Crusaders, a team with the best record of any overseas side in Australia.

“The effect of Quade Cooper on the Reds might be enough for them to defeat the Lions.”

Diggercane
Tips: Hurricanes, Lions, Chiefs (PP), Highlanders, Waratahs, Sharks, Bulls.

“Smells like a ‘home’ tipping round to me this week.

“The Hurricanes will continue their sheer magnificence over the Rebels, 6-0 it shall be, while the Chiefs and Highlanders will be anxious to atone for last week’s efforts at home.

“The Blues are on a hiding to nothing in Sydney, coming off the bye and the Waratahs rediscovering their mojo, and the Sharks and Bulls will keep South Africa safe from the invading Crusader forces.

“And for my sole away team, of which there must be one, I am going to back the Lions this week with the Reds in poor form but also coming off the bye.

“My powerplay is on the Black Caps, whoops, I mean the Chiefs.”

(Brett’s note: Don’t poke the bear. Don’t poke the bear. Don’t poke the bear…)

Elisha Pearce
Tips: Hurricanes (PP), Reds, Chiefs, Stormers, Waratahs, Sharks, Crusaders.

“So the Lions beat the Rebels by 20 points last week, can the Reds hold them to 20 and score more than that? They’ve scored 39 in total this year, but Cooper could back and James O’Connor? I’ll take the home side; don’t trust the Lions yet.

“Rebels to get punished by the Hurricanes – they’ll know last week was a bit of a lucky win in a low-skilled match for a New Zealand conference game. Put the powerplay on that. Chiefs to hold the fort – nothing more – upon their home return, unless the Cheetahs gift them a few tries last on.

“Stormers had a bye to prepare for this one, so they’ll pip the Highlanders at home. The Blues used to be a Waratahs’ bogey team, but the Tahs are on the rise for a month or so here and they will get it done.

“The Sharks aren’t going to be too bothered by the Force – even though their 145/140 for and against is still ridiculous. The Bulls to be pipped at home by the ‘Saders, given they only just beat the Force.”

Brett McKay
Tips: Hurricanes (PP) , Lions, Chiefs, Highlanders, Waratahs, Force, Crusaders.

Home teams, schmome teams! Even though this has been coming down in recent weeks, away teams still account for 55 per cent of all wins this year. And 55 per cent of seven is? Not quite four. Therefore, I need at least three away teams, and there’s only disappointment to be had by following my colleagues above.

So, given I have points to make up – and lots of them – it’s time for lateral thinking and desperation.

The cavalry’s returning, they’re coming off the bye, and they’re playing at home. Everything points to the Reds, right? Wrong. Lions.

The Sharks without Bismarck de Plessis? Ha! And SANZAR wouldn’t have appealed Francois Steyn’s quashed red card unless they were confident, so I’m expecting him to be rubbed out and for his teammates to be busy making ‘Justice for Frank Steyn’ armbands as you read this. Force.

The Bulls have done the best to blow this silver-platter draw of theirs this season, so the Crusaders can easily knock them off and really get the Blou Bulle types panicking.

Powerplay? Well, I’ve been getting the first game wrong every second week. This week I’m due to be right again, plus I want Digger feeling nervous about his team of under-the-radar flyers being rated again. ‘Canes.

The summary

Round 7 Biltongbek Diggercane Patrick Effeney Brett McKay Elisha Pearce Spiro Zavos
Overall 32 28 30 25 28 29
Last week 5 4 5 3 4 4
HUR v REB Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes Hurricanes
RED v LIO Reds Lions Reds Lions Reds Reds
CHI v CHE Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
HIG v STO Highlanders Highlanders Highlanders Highlanders Stormers Highlanders
WAR v BLU Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs Waratahs
SHA v FOR Sharks Sharks Sharks Force Sharks Sharks
BUL v CRU Crusaders Bulls Bulls Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders
POWERPLAY Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Hurricanes Hurricanes Sharks

Bye: Brumbies

The Crowd Says:

2015-03-29T12:46:14+00:00

Mister Football

Roar Guru


Are there any Super rugby fans out there who can help me please. Of late, I have struggled to track down attendance figures for some games hosted in Australia. From Rd 5 I'm missing: Force vs Rebels Reds vs Brumbies From Rd 6 I'm missing: Rebels vs Lions If you can help me plug any of these gaps, it would be much appreciated.

2015-03-29T11:39:37+00:00

Harry Jones

Expert


Aggregate Super Rugby wins by each country's teams, thus far: NZ 18 SA 17 OZ 13 Reds, Blues dragging their country totals down; Lions boosting SA's.

2015-03-28T03:40:40+00:00

Akari

Roar Rookie


or just better plain luck (no insult intended, DK)?

2015-03-28T01:54:15+00:00

Akari

Roar Rookie


I guess you are still smiling with that Lions win, Brett. I took a punt on QC and Serevi to my regret. I guess you now on your way to own this week.

2015-03-27T15:13:10+00:00

BrumbyJack

Guest


Brett and Digger, well done on backing the Lions! I for one couldn't believe the bookies posted them as a $3 outsider against a team as poor and with such a shambolic coach as the Reds. The lions were coming off a last start grafting win in Australia, and have proven their fight and attitude is top class. The Reds meanwhile, have proven that their coach has to go, and perhaps review their playing roster as well....

2015-03-27T08:25:01+00:00

Digby

Roar Guru


Wife 'you can come out now, Canes won, again, and stop whistling the tune to hunger games!' 6-0 :cool: Now, can start stressing about the cricket!! (Walks back into room....)

2015-03-27T06:54:09+00:00

Sam Taulelei

Roar Guru


Yep you need to update your Roar profile photo Brett, the one on scrum.com is much better Oops sorry I tipped Blues, completely nonsensical and illogical but if it comes off you'll separate yourself from the crowd

AUTHOR

2015-03-27T05:38:36+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


Ha, my infrequent gambling sojourns go even worse than my tipping, so there's sod-all chance of that happening!!

2015-03-27T05:35:25+00:00

Dopplerman

Guest


Im agreeing larry .I think the blues have on paper a side that can beat anyone if they have their day...and that is due !

2015-03-27T05:10:17+00:00

Pinetree

Guest


Yeah, but cricket does involve Power play, so if you go down to your local and make a bet on Aus, us Kiwis would much appreciate that :)

2015-03-27T05:02:23+00:00

Sean Turner

Roar Guru


Ah, touche.

AUTHOR

2015-03-27T04:58:00+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


I almost certainly have, Akari...

AUTHOR

2015-03-27T04:56:58+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


no PP to put on the Aussies though, Pine ;-)

2015-03-27T04:46:39+00:00

Akari

Roar Rookie


Now that Brett has tipped the Tahs, I've gone the other way and I either come up trumps or end up with Donald Trump's hair. Lets hope he hasn't jinxed the Canes, Chiefs, Highlanders and Sharks as well.

2015-03-27T04:25:13+00:00

Pinetree

Guest


Haha I'm obviously not Sherlock to not realise that they were last weeks tipping. I am a bit worried you have tipped our canes for PP, but maybe you could equal it out and tip Aus for the cricket final, we might then just have a shot....

2015-03-27T03:44:57+00:00

Elisha Pearce

Expert


yay! Send the jersey to my PO Box

AUTHOR

2015-03-27T03:42:39+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


So has any got any massive differences in their tips this week? Anyone making a case for the Cheetahs and/or Blues?

AUTHOR

2015-03-27T03:41:33+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


So, HUR-LIO-CHI-HIG-WAR-SHA-BUL Sam?

2015-03-27T03:38:42+00:00

Larry_Parallelogram

Guest


I have a funny feeling the blues may put it together tomorrow and play one of their 1 out of 20 games. On current form they have no chance, but they have so many talented individual players. They are the type of team that when things aren't going well like this year (and a number of other years before come to think of it) they may only win one game for the season but that win can be against one of the top placed teams.

2015-03-27T03:04:17+00:00

mudieam

Guest


Write off the Blues at our peril...

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