Round 7 preview: Flip a coin in yet another unpredictable round

By Penrith Punter / Roar Guru

With an acceptable six from eight in last week’s tips, one would hope that upsets may cease in the near future of the 2015 Telstra Premiership. However, only few look certainties for the win this week.

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs versus Manly Sea Eagles
Friday Night’s opening clash sees two depleted sides battling it out for form following a string of losses. For the Bulldogs, they struggled to capitalise on good field possession (53%) and were only able to score a meagre 6 points.

This was not helped by the Dragons’ relentless defensive style in the past couple of weeks. The Sea Eagles showed great promise with an improved performance against an injury-plagued Panthers outfit, yet Daly Cherry-Evans and Kieran Foran lacked confidence in steering their side to victory.

When these sides met at Brookvale, the Dogs took out a tight one 16-12. However, their forward pack is severely weakened, likewise the Sea Eagles will be missing key playmakers in Jamie Lyon and Brett Stewart. It’s a flip of a coin. The inclusion of Lyon sways me towards a reversal of the thrilling 2014 semi.

Sea Eagles 17-16

St George Illawarra Dragons versus Brisbane Broncos
Two sides who are flying through the early rounds of the season meet in a bumper clash which deserves the 7.30 timeslot. However, for those who will brave the dark night, this is set to be a ripper. The Dragons have proved to be defensive machines so far in 2015. Despite only completing 68 per cent of their sets, the Dragons exhibited patience to achieve a 25-point victory last start.

They have only conceded 10 points in their past three matches, a stat in itself which suggests another victory. However, they face a stern test against a Broncos side looking for six straight wins. Ever since that 36-6 defeat to the Bunnies, Brisbane have been superb, average 25 points a game.

A grinding, low scoring contest looks likely. I believe the Broncos may have the attacking edge to claim victory.

Broncos 24-10

Gold Coast Titans versus Penrith Panthers
The Titans showed attacking prowess with a 22-point victory over the Eels, with former Panther James Roberts starring with a hat-trick. He is certainly one to watch this weekend and looks a good bet to cross again.

The Panthers have yet again been cruelled by injury, which is a severe blow to their chances of another top four finish. However, they showed courage last week with a comfortable victory over Manly.

As a Penrith fan, the one difference I noticed was a step-up in order to battle the loss of halves Jamie Soward and Peter Wallace.

With big Jamal out for the season, 19 year-old Robert Jennings will receive the call up in Dean Whare’s absence whilst tackling machine Elijah Taylor also looks set to spend time on the sideline. It’s a very young Penrith backline with an average age of just 21.

The Panthers look to have turned a corner and will be desperate to continue their winning ways. One thing is for sure, this game will not mirror that of the Bathurst demolition in Round 2.

Panthers 30-20

North Queensland Cowboys versus New Zealand Warriors
The Cowboys have found form following three straight victories against tough opponents. This week they return to Townsville to face a Warriors side who have justified their tag in this competition of being ‘hot and cold’.

1300Smiles Stadium in Townsville has not been a happy hunting ground for the Warriors side, who before their stunning four-point victory last year, had not won at the ground in their previous eight attempts. They will need to stop the Cowboys rampaging trio of forwards (James Tamou, Jason Tamoulolo and Matt Scott) in order to control the mastermind Johnathan Thurston. However, despite claiming victory last weekend, the Cowboys look destined to continue their scintillating form with a large victory.

Cowboys 42-18

Melbourne Storm versus Sydney Roosters
This match sees the Roosters attempt to avoid dropping three games straight, going up against arguably the most consistent side of the 2015 season. The Storm have been unlucky to drop matches against the Cowboys and Sea Eagles and seem a good chance of yet again figuring in this competition come September.

Kurt Mann will fill in for injured fullback Billy Slater. The Roosters were in command against the Broncos for the majority of the eighty minutes last week, before a Ben Hunt dummy sunk the Eastern Suburbs outfit. They will be out for revenge, but it is equally difficult to tip against Melbourne.

I am backing Roger Tuivasa-Sheck to be the difference and give the away side a much needed win. But, I am not confident.

Roosters 14-12

Wests Tigers versus Canberra Raiders
Great news for Raiders fans with Shaun Fensom and Josh Hodgson cleared of serious injuries. Both remain a good chance of playing this week and are pivotal noticing the difference in attitude from the home side following their absence. The Tigers were valiant in defeat and look the better bet here. Note, this may be one of the Tigers’ last games at Leichhardt for the short term, with their game against the Panthers being considered to be relocated.

Such rumours should spark the home side. Youthful sides meet in what should be an entertaining clash. It is the Tigers for me, but look out for revenge from former Tiger Blake Austin who is in great form in the nation’s capital.

Tigers 34-18

Newcastle Knights versus Parramatta Eels
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The Knights have crashed back down to earth following two embarrassing defeats at the hands of the Dragons and Sharks, only scoring a mere 6 points.

The Knights attack has suffered and looks to be in jeopardy with five-eighth Jarrod Mullen in doubt for this clash. The Eels have been no better, capitulating at the hands of the Tigers and Titans. Luckily for them, flashy winger Semi Radradra is rated a chance of return and it would be a timely boost to their attacking issues.

In the first four rounds of the competition, the Knights had averaged 22 points per game. However, they have lost their enthusiasm and youthful intent for victory. One would suggest this could change in front of what should be a strong crowd at the Hunter.

Knights 28-12

Cronulla Sharks versus South Sydney Rabbitohs
The Rabbitohs produced an uninspiring second half against the Cowboys as they fell 30 points to 12, emphasising the loss of halfback Adam Reynolds. Isaac Luke looked to have stepped up in order to steer his side around the park, yet they now lack that attacking flair.

Souths fans will hope that will be countered by the timely return of Dylan Walker and John Sutton from injury. They scored 36 and 34 points against the Broncos and Roosters respectively, with Walker in the team and will be hoping he is fit for Monday night’s clash.

The Sharks, on the other hand, have gained momentum, with courageous victories over the Roosters and Knights. Cronulla have a horrible record at home, after breaking a ten-game losing streak last week. However, the influence of youngsters Jack Bird and Valentine Holmes will give them hope of another upset.

Sharks 18-16

For me, it’s the Sea Eagles, Broncos, Panthers, Cowboys, Roosters, Tigers, Knights and Sharkies. The only certainty however is the Cowboys, as the rest of the results could go either way.

The flip of the coin chose the Dogs, Broncos, Panthers, Warriors, Storm, Raiders, Knights and Sharks.

My best bet is the Manly versus Bulldogs game to go to Golden Point at $26.00

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2015-04-18T06:50:55+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


Penrith played absolutely woefully. Probably not 26 points worse but we need soward back asap

2015-04-17T04:16:59+00:00

Ken

Guest


It wouldn't have been the NRL's choice. Channel 9 decided it would rate better that way so they changed it.

AUTHOR

2015-04-15T05:27:03+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


Exactly never going to tip against Penrith. Good luck too man should be a good game as long as our halves do step up.

2015-04-15T04:52:50+00:00

Callum Murphy

Roar Rookie


Reasons why the Titans will win 1. Home Ground Advantage 2. Confidence is high after flogging Parra in Parra 3. Revenge for Round 2 Hiding 4. Penrith offer nothing in attack without Sowie and Wallace 5. LG is still halfback (Mortimer still not fit! Yesssss) 6. As seen in many games this season stats do not always determine the winner.... As you said before you cant go against your Panthers, and i cant go against my Titans either! Should be an interesting game to watch though. BTW I love Penrith (My second team), and Matty Moylan is my Favourite Player. Good luck this week mate.

AUTHOR

2015-04-15T04:14:12+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


I definitely give the titans a decent chance. But I can't go against my panthers. Yes it is partly based on my only personal concerns but I also would back them to win but yeah the titans are a good chance.

2015-04-15T03:55:46+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


I'm backing the Titans. I thought they were terrific against the Eels last week winning convincingly away from home. Thought I'd watch to see how Sezer went and he didn't disappoint. Their record this year despite all the pre season turmoil has been pretty good. Only just lost to the Broncos who have been pretty solid, only just lost to the Tigers in the first round and beat the Sharks away. The only bad performance was against the Panthers and I don't think that will happen this week given the Panthers' injury concerns. Titans by plenty.

AUTHOR

2015-04-15T02:36:38+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


And that doesn't seem BIASED at all. I think Penrith are specials at $1.95 to win. Just look at average completion rates this season. Penrith have averaged 75% compared to the Titans 66%. I am definitely not over confident of victory. But the stats swing Penrith's way. The Titans average conceding 24 points a game compared to Panthers 18. Penrith score 20 compared to Titans 19. Come back when you think of some decent reasons why the Titans will win.

2015-04-15T02:24:47+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


This round will be a proper test of Cameron Munsters fullback credentials. Roosters have a deadly backline with a fullback who has the most run metres of anyone in the comp. I expect more than a few bombs from the Roosters halves to test him out early. The Storm forward pack has been very consistent and will be a good matchup with the physical Roosters pack. The difference will be the backs and with Billy out this leans towards the Roosters. Picking this to be the game of the round.

2015-04-15T02:21:09+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


Fully agree with you here...Titans have been on the up and they're raring to get their first home win of the season against a injury ravaged Panther outfit who beat another injury ravaged Manly after losing 3 in a row. I thought this was the easiest pick of the round.

2015-04-15T02:14:50+00:00

Joe

Roar Rookie


Munster at fullback. Article got it wrong.

2015-04-15T01:50:38+00:00

Callum Murphy

Roar Rookie


How can you honestly justify Penrith beating the Titans. Panthers (Although Under strength) beat a low on confidence Manly side. Titans (given no chance by everyone) traveled to Pirtek Stadium (Where Parra have won their last 10, Including beating the Rabbits by a big score) and flogged the Eels. This is a VERY biased opinion. Titans WILL get their first Home win of the season. Titans 32-10 (No flip of the Coin here) Sincerely, A Titans fan

2015-04-15T01:15:07+00:00

Kirk

Guest


i cant see the warriors losing 42-18. I think it will be a close high scoring game though.

AUTHOR

2015-04-15T00:31:43+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


The Broncos vs Dragons match has also been televised live at 7:30 so good on the NRL. With the draw having the Doggies vs Manly match first I assumed they would therefore be the 7:30 game but it works out better with the other game live, it should be much better.

AUTHOR

2015-04-15T00:26:26+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


Yeah. My mistake, got the two mixed up. Mann is at centre, Munster is at fullback. And, sorry for the confusion, Lyon does return for Manly. Sea Eagles by 1 discounting extra time at $51 is also good odds.

2015-04-14T23:37:58+00:00

JOHNY BULLDOG

Roar Rookie


Yeah probably mate,what a difference a few weeks can make in this game-good luck.

2015-04-14T23:32:55+00:00

Jason Hosken

Roar Guru


Eagles after help too, JB. Will probably end up the match of the season...

2015-04-14T23:26:15+00:00

up in the north

Roar Rookie


The team list has Lyon as a starter.

2015-04-14T23:25:39+00:00

JOHNY BULLDOG

Roar Rookie


You beat me to that Jason,for my sake I hope he's out,we need all the help we can get at the moment.

2015-04-14T23:22:55+00:00

Benedict Arnold

Guest


You obviously didn't even read the team sheets. Kurt Mann is playing in the centres for the Storm.

2015-04-14T23:19:20+00:00

Bronco Juggernaut

Guest


The team lists said Munster at fb, and Mann at centre.

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