Intrigue as north and south prepare to do battle

By Cam Avery / Roar Guru

Much like at a corporate dinner party, where one has to pass through the hors d’oeuvres filled with all the small talk, awkward laughter and general niceties while doing their best to pretend their eyes aren’t on the main course, the World Cup has served up the first dish.

Now it’s time for the second and main one to begin.

And yet no matter how surprisingly nice the first course was with the minnows managing not to be chewed up and spat out for the first time in tournament history, who goes to a dinner party for the hors d’oeuvres?

It’s time for the serious business to begin, it’s knock-out time, and come Sunday night only four teams will be left at the table.

And for only the second time in the tournament’s history (after 1999) we will see a quarter-final line-up featuring all trans-hemispheric clashes. This adds further to the intrigue surrounding the weekend’s action as make no mistake, the northern hemisphere, and by that I mean the Six Nations sides, will all be desperately seeking to see some form of representation in the last four.

As much as they would hate to admit it, pride is on the line and those north of the equator, if their own team goes out, would much rather one of their close neighbours win the tournament than one of the southern hemisphere ‘super powers’.

So what chance do they have?

Well, without trying to take up too much column space, let’s rule out Scotland straight away. Sorry to the Scots but making the quarter-finals is as good as they are going to get this time around.

You can’t discount Wales entirely, especially after their heroic effort against England and impressive effort against Australia, but you just sense that they are a battered team. Getting past the Springboks and another two big games after that could be a stretch too far.

That leaves Ireland and France.

Let’s start with Ireland, who on the basis of Sunday’s game you would have to say, and we already knew this, are genuine title contenders. They are a side that play with the renowned Irish passion mixed in with real game intelligence. They are also a side filled with a large number of high-class players, including several world-class players, an ingredient that every champion side needs.

Ireland will need to navigate a quarter-final against Argentina first and that is one mired in risks. This Pumas side is the real deal and finally we are seeing Rugby Championship inclusion bearing fruit. The Pumas, for the first time, certainly in my lifetime, are showing the true ability to play a 15-man game. They are a dangerous proposition and that quarter-final is wide open.

And that leaves us with France. It sounds a little like a regurgitated cliché these days to say it but the French are the French and it really does depend on which side turns up on the day. As we all know they have been a side that has been relatively poor for the past four years and certainly in the game against Ireland they didn’t look like a side capable of winning the tournament.

That is where they stand, they are not good enough to win the tournament but they are certainly capable enough to make the final again, like they did in 1999 and 2011. Again, as we all know, their past form is a complete irrelevance, and as the All Blacks will know the French rise to the occasion when they play New Zealand in a World Cup game – it is the absolute ultimate for a French player.

They will be hurting after their loss to Ireland, and led by the great Thierry Dusautoir they will not fear the All Blacks. Isn’t it incredible that eight years on, in the same location at the same stage of the tournament, the two teams will be led out by the two great warriors Richie McCaw and Dusautoir?

We have touched on the Pumas but where does that leave the rest of the southern hemisphere sides? After the shocking and rather humiliating loss to Japan the Boks have bounced back strongly and look like a side playing with that South African intent, hunger and passion that South African opponents are all too familiar with and wary of. It’s a scary prospect indeed.

The Boks are made for this type of rugby and if they get it right on the day they are a side that are more than capable of winning their third title in three weeks’ time.

A lot of noise is coming out of Australia about this being their time and to be fair a lot of it is warranted. They look like a team on the rise and with their scrum now being a genuine weapon they have almost been transformed into the team to beat in the space of the past month.

With David Pocock and Michael Hooper dominating the battle on the ground, they are going to be immensely hard to stop, however that doesn’t mean they can’t be. This following statement will be controversial, as he has been one of the revelations of the tournament, but I believe Bernard Foley can be a weak link for Australia.

Don’t get me wrong, he is a great player but under immense pressure and with a gameplan worked perfectly to target him I believe there is the potential to upset him and therefore upset the Australian game. However with Matt Giteau now playing outside him and offering a second voice, that is not going to be an easy thing for any side to execute.

And that leaves us with the All Blacks. The team that has dominated the past four years yet now doesn’t quite look as dominant as it has, in fact doesn’t look nearly as dominant.

It all comes down to winning three games now, and the All Blacks certainly have the ability to do that. That does not mean they will though, and firstly they have to get past what will be a fired up bogey team of theirs at the scene of their most horrific of memories. With the great McCaw leading the way, they will have every chance but no more than a number of the other teams.

Finally, I sense that a side’s strength and impact from the bench, as well as their overall ability to raise the game in the final 20 minutes, will be what sets the winning team apart. That and a bit of luck of course.

Time for the main meal, buon appetito.

The Crowd Says:

2015-10-15T19:18:55+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


4 NH sides 4 SH sides 4 NZ coaches, 3 trying to spoil the party for the other 3 SH sides. Interesting.

2015-10-15T04:28:10+00:00

Mark Watson

Guest


Cam what are your thoughts on James O'Connor, the Justin Bieber of World Rugby?

2015-10-15T04:26:58+00:00

Mark Watson

Guest


Good article, especially loved the intro!! Irish looking really good although worried about their injuries/suspensions now. ABs just simmering the background but expecting big games from Aaron Smith and Nehe to get them to the final (with Ireland) and ultimately bring them home. BOOM!

2015-10-15T02:24:44+00:00

cs

Roar Guru


You can’t discount Wales entirely, especially after their heroic effort against England and impressive effort against Australia, but you just sense that they are a battered team. Getting past the Springboks and another two big games after that could be a stretch too far. Sure, going all the way looks too far, but can Wales save the North's face by taking the next step? Depends on whether it is, as you say, 'a battered team' --- or a battle-hardened team. The meeting of two pools adds an unknown variable standard-wise. I wouldn't put my house on it by any stretch, but a team that can knock off the Poms at Twickers and then take Australia to within an inch of its tournament life might have a better chance than you allow of emulating the result that the Brave Blossoms achieved against the Boks.

2015-10-14T13:08:38+00:00

AndyS

Guest


You'd hope Giteau won't have any trouble focusing, especially if he is taking the penalties at the death... ;)

2015-10-14T12:36:13+00:00

Gunner

Guest


The match against the Scots will be the most difficult thus far for Cheika to get his men up for. I'm sure he knows it and will plan accordingly. Go Wallabies!

2015-10-14T08:46:26+00:00

Smallfrog

Guest


I reckon lots of teams would hate playing the ABs - the Wallabies for example. I'm a Wallas fan and quite dislike watching them play the All Blacks. Why? Predictable I s'pose.

2015-10-14T07:52:19+00:00

Taylorman

Guest


Amazing we are now 8 straight versus France, goes back to 2009. Prior to 2007 I think we were ten straight. They can sure pick em alright!

AUTHOR

2015-10-14T07:30:47+00:00

Cam Avery

Roar Guru


Hi Peter, perhaps more importantly lets watch how the French react to the haka! Remember 2007?!

AUTHOR

2015-10-14T07:29:55+00:00

Cam Avery

Roar Guru


Hi John, I completely agree that the hardest thing for small nations is being able to match the bigger nations in attack. And this is what I meant when I said their inclusion is now bearing fruit, for the first time since their inclusion in the RC it looks like they have the real ability to mix their renowned forward power with attacking ability in the backs and across the park.

AUTHOR

2015-10-14T07:26:16+00:00

Cam Avery

Roar Guru


Thanks Sheek!

2015-10-14T05:42:41+00:00

Charl

Guest


Mr Vic, sir (I hear that's how one addresses Mr Matfield) - ask not what your country can do for you - ask what you can do for your country. For the price of resting your hamstring for a few weeks longer, you can achieve the impossible. You will gain, Mr Vic, the same gratitude and fame which Nelson Mandela achieved by stepping up for the team. Take one for the team sir, and don't play. The country will owe you for ever. Groot asseblief. The consequences of not doing so could be too ghastly to contemplate

2015-10-14T04:12:01+00:00

CA3ZAR

Roar Pro


I'm a kiwi and so I obviously want the rugby championship teams to win! But obviously nothings guaranteed, especially at a World Cup. I'm looking forward to the QTs and I am intrigued to what the possibilities are for the semis. Great article.

2015-10-14T03:38:58+00:00

Pete

Guest


Of course they didn't care. 1. It wasn't a do or die match. The French have always been poor in the pool stages. They're the big side that has close results against the minnows & losses a few to stronger sides. But when they're actually up for it & focused, they're a match for anyone. 2. It's not the AB's. The French have always had an obsession with the AB's & I'm not just talking about world cups, or beating them. There's always been a romantic notion with the AB's in France & they see it as the 'test'. I'm still backing the AB's to win, but this is exactly the trap past AB's teams have fell into. Everyone writes off the French & they thrive off it. One thing is for certain, the French won't die wondering.

2015-10-14T03:30:19+00:00

Pete

Guest


I don't think the Ireland & Wales games will feel like a neutral venue, their support is massive.

2015-10-14T02:57:23+00:00

Ralph

Roar Guru


"at the scene of their most horrific of memories" To be fair there are only three guys left in the All Blacks that played in that match me thinks. Great work Cam!

2015-10-14T02:48:41+00:00

JohnB

Guest


Drak, I might be a bit skeptical because I woke up the day after Japan beat SA and found myself watching Argentina v NZ just before half time, with Argentina ahead and a second NZ-er just carded off - and started to wonder if the whole world rugby order was being turned on its head. It wasn't. The Argies couldn't do anything with that advantage and didn't show much in the second half at all I thought. But it is certainly true that not beating NZ does not necessarily equate to not being a good and improving team.

2015-10-14T01:15:12+00:00

superba

Guest


Only string left now. No ham .

2015-10-14T01:14:31+00:00

superba

Guest


Only string . No ham .

2015-10-14T01:03:18+00:00

TheCelt

Guest


Well written Cam!

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