The futility of looking for logic where there is none

By Brett McKay / Expert

Many, many angry words have been thumped through keyboards and touchscreens about the Australian cricket team selectors over the last few days. When it comes to the career of Shaun Marsh, there typically are no other words to use.

But fear not, this is not going to add to that eternally growing pile of angry words. Well, not in the typical way, at least.

You see, I’ve just about given up being annoyed by the deeds of Marsh. Much like the career of Shane Watson, expecting the best only leads to an inevitable extension of a constant state of frustration.

Marsh could bat superbly in Adelaide next week. Excellent, I genuinely hope he does. However, I genuinely hope to win Lotto, too. Success in either endeavour will come as a pleasant surprise.

I wouldn’t have picked Marsh, and I’ve been saying who I think would be better options all week. But I’m hardly Robinson Crusoe there, am I. And I do hope he does well next week, I really do.

Experience, and 16 first-class centuries in 16 seasons tells me not to hold my breath, though.

And experience is also telling me that trying to find logic in the announcements of the Australian selectors is something that you shouldn’t spend too much time on these days, either.

On news of Marsh’s inclusion, I went back to a column I wrote in January 2014, when Marsh and Alex Doolan were named in the squad to tour South Africa ahead of Phillip Hughes and incumbent number six George Bailey two summers ago.

I even wrote the words, “I wouldn’t have gone that way myself” back then, too, before adding, “but I can see why they’ve gone the way they did”.

At the time, the inclusion of Doolan and Marsh did actually make some sense. I could see the reasoning.

This time around, though, I’ve got nothing.

So many more arguments can be made why not to pick Marsh, or who would be a better option than Marsh, that there’s just no point in trying to find any sense.

And the selectors aren’t providing any, anyway.

In the statement announcing the team on Wednesday, chairman of selectors Rod Marsh said the following:

“Shaun was unlucky to miss out on the squad for the first two Tests and since then has scored consistently in Sheffield Shield, so we believe he deserves this opportunity.”

There are numerous parts of that statement that deserve to be pulled apart and disproven, but I’m not going to get into that today. Indeed, if you happen to follow me on Twitter, you’ll have seen my thoughts on the “unlucky to miss out on the squad for the first two Tests” part of the statement anyway.

Australian coach Darren Lehmann initially echoed this train of thought, confirming “it was touch and go between ‘Uzzy’ [Khawaja] and Shaun for the first two Tests”, before going to onto cite a completely different line of justification again.

“…And he played really well last summer for us. He got 99 in Melbourne, and he got a couple of fifties in Sydney. And we thought he played quite well in the West Indies when he got his chance as well.

“He got some runs in Melbourne [last week versus Victoria], which is really pleasing to see, so he gets first crack.”

Lehmann later mentioned Marsh’s decent Matador Cup form, which was indeed quite solid, but it was quite clear that his Sheffield Shield returns weren’t the deciding factor in the decision.

And that’s a good thing, because there are probably half a dozen batsmen around the country who might have had good reason to be aggrieved.

This, of course, is the frustrating thing for those of us nowhere near the selection table. All kinds of logical and subjective reasoning can be found for any player to be selected, but in recent times it seems a rare event to actually see any of that reasoning applied.

The confusing and even contradictory statements from selectors really don’t help things either.

Will Marsh bat at three or down at five with Steven Smith and Adam Voges shuffling up or down accordingly? Marsh has batted at three for Western Australia for most if not all summer, yet Smith said immediately after play in Perth, “I think there’s a good chance I’ll be batting three in Adelaide.”

Who knows?

Who knows if Peter Siddle will play in Adelaide, or if James Pattinson gets the nod?

Siddle bowled very well in the last Ashes Test in England, has been in reasonable form for Victoria, and even has a bit of recent success with the pink Kookaburra. He was able to get a bit of movement with the older ball late in the afternoon session of the Prime Minister’s XI clash with New Zealand in October, and took three Queensland wickets amidst their second inning collapse on the evening of Day 3 in Melbourne a week later.

Pattinson took three top order wickets in that same innings, and has had his workload managed by Cricket Australia since his return this season. It’s hard to imagine him being brought into the squad and not playing.

Is Stephen O’Keefe any chance of playing? Despite having quite a good record with the pink ball at the Adelaide Oval – 18 wickets at 18.2 – the reasoning around O’Keefe was that he was named in the squad that didn’t go to Bangladesh in October.

Stats and form? Meh, details. Recent would be tourist is good enough.

Heck, if reasonable form last summer is good enough – despite moderate returns since – then being a recent tourist is as good and as logical a reason as any.

The Crowd Says:

2015-11-22T04:03:27+00:00

13th Man

Guest


Wagner is my tip if he plays.

2015-11-21T04:40:09+00:00

JohnD

Guest


Yep. Border underrated. Context is everything.

2015-11-21T03:42:09+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Ah Burgs! Now that someone has finally made that point... It still makes no sense. Did you know Peter Nevill got no Test runs at all last year? James Pattinson did very little in last season's Shield comp and Steve Smith really struggled to get a test score in 2012? Marsh is picked for this Test because he is currently in very strong form.

2015-11-21T03:18:53+00:00

Burgs

Guest


Hopefully Smarsh scores some runs; however I have to agree with most posts on here, there are numerous players more deserving of the baggy green in regards to both form and ability. The positive is Pattinson, I can see him really rattling the black caps and taking a swag of wickets.

2015-11-21T02:32:52+00:00

TheCunningLinguistic

Guest


Haha, very good!

2015-11-21T00:53:31+00:00

Burgs

Guest


People are annoyed by Smarsh's selection because there are so many other batsmen scoring so many more runs! 11 single figure scores from 15 tests including 7(!) ducks, and a first class average in the mid-thirties is simply not good enough to wear the baggy green.

2015-11-20T13:48:46+00:00

Broken-hearted Toy

Guest


He's the ideal fall guy for the pink ball crapshoot. Poor bugger, what a chalice to be handed.

2015-11-20T12:02:36+00:00

michael steel

Guest


Thanks for defining "Elite"..

2015-11-20T10:29:26+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Cricket doesn't need to "plan for the future". That's what footy clubs do. Cricket operates by picking the most in form of the elite. Marsh is currently in that collective.

2015-11-20T10:24:22+00:00

michael steel

Guest


This summer Australia are playing to of the lower rated team in New Zealand and West Indies. So from a selection point of view this is not the time to give any player who has not performed well enough against better performed sides another chance especially aged 32. Whether Australia win or lose this match or whether Marsh hits a score or not is irrelevant. This is a test series which in 5 years time can be talked about for making the right decisions for the future or in this case, the wrong decision.

2015-11-20T09:18:35+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Did ok last 2 SS games.

2015-11-20T08:57:19+00:00

Matth

Guest


That is a most ironic comment coming from you Don

2015-11-20T08:54:37+00:00

Matth

Guest


Yep I think it's impossible to overstate how great AB was

2015-11-20T06:32:47+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


Cheers tock.

2015-11-20T06:32:11+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


No different to the affirmative comments I have made about Peter Nevill, Glenn Maxwell, Travis Head, Billy Stanlake, Ussy... I just don't accept this penchant of so many to just put down someone because they disagree with their selection. Why not, "I'd have preferred Alex Ross because..."?

2015-11-20T06:16:09+00:00

Existentialist

Guest


touche

2015-11-20T06:15:19+00:00

Jack

Guest


Go Shaun!!

2015-11-20T06:05:44+00:00

The Bush

Roar Guru


Don't get me wrong Chris, the guy was a limited player, but it's just a great example of how averages should always be viewed in context and averages as a general rule dropped through the 80s and into the early 90s. Some of our best batsman, guys like Mark Waugh and David Boon, have surprisingly low averages compared to modern players or guys that played in the 60s and 70s. That's what made Border such a freak...

2015-11-20T05:38:00+00:00

Andrew

Guest


N

2015-11-20T05:31:15+00:00

Gaz

Guest


Haven't seen anyone cop as much as Marsh has over the last year but more so this last week, IS would be more popular. Not sure people coming out and saying he's the next Watto with the chances. Watto played 59 tests. Marsh has played 15 tests and lucky to have strung 3 together, sometimes his own doing, most of the time cause he's filling in anywhere in the top 6. Like to see him get a decent crack. Up to him this time to score runs and force someone else out but even if he does well will make was for Ussie as everyone in the top 5 is scoring runs. He had three tests last year and averaged 42. Opened in the Windies and did ok filling in for Buck and had to deal with a seamer in TB (didn't play it well either but wasn't the only one). He was in the last 3 touring squads so was always in the picture to be picked again. Had a very good matador, has scored quite a number of FC & Li st A hundreds in the last few years (some punters mentioned not against strong attacks - so what, you get out for a duck instead?). A quiet start to SS but last game was ok, hardly not going to pick a guy because of a few quiet SS games, considering the above. He has done it before (in SL ans SA), did well last summer, has had a reasonable start to the summer here. I could understand if they picked someone else but I'll be cheering him on, I know I'm in the minority but don't really care. Go SOS.

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