Brumbies and Waratahs are still in the Super Rugby finals race. Great!

By Spiro Zavos / Expert

Ah, now where are we in the 2016 Super Rugby finals race after we were so rudely (especially for the Wallabies!) interrupted with the June Tests?

Well, for the Brumbies and the Waratahs it was a case of so far, so good as they powered their way to impressive bonus points victories over the Reds (43-24) and the Sunwolves (57-12), in the 13th round of the 2016 Super Rugby tournament.

The two Australian sides are on equal points on the table, 39. But the Brumbies are on top of the Australian Conference because they have won 9 matches to the 8 won by the Waratahs.

Bruce Stadium was icy cold on a Friday night that brought out the True Believers in the Brumbies cause.

For most of the first half, the young Reds side looked as if they were going to cause a boilover.

The youngish veteran Liam Gill was dynamic, as he has been all season, smashing into rucks, winning turnovers, knocking down runners, making barges through a tough Brumbies defensive line. In most other generations (aside from George Smith in his pomp) or with more sympathetic selectors Gill would have been a first-choice flanker and a probable Wallabies captain.

For most of the first half anyway, Gill inspired a terrific effort from his Reds teammates. But instead of killing the ball on half-time, the inexperienced Reds played on and a sweeping Brumbies movement saw Ben Alexander burst through a gap like a cannon-ball to score a try that took the score line to a handy 15-10 Brumbies lead.

The Brumbies piled on the pressure and the points towards the end of the match when Tomas Cubelli, the Pumas halfback, came on. Cubelli’s running carved up the tiring Reds and the six tries to three was enough for a handsome victory and, crucially a bonus point.

The Reds unveiled some young talent. It included ‘Tongan Thor’ – Taniela Tupou, a crashing-ball runner and, although young and inexperienced, a solid enough prop. There was also Lukhan Tui, a rangy, athletic lock in the mould of Maro Itoje. Finally Jack Tuttle, a cross-over from league, who made a neat debut at fullback.

The Reds co-interim coach, Nick Stiles, pointed to these youngsters as boding “well for the future” of the Reds. It is moot whether Stiles should be the Reds coach for that future, however.

The difference between the two teams essentially was that the Brumbies, admittedly a more experienced side all over the field, knew what they were doing or trying to do whereas the Reds, as they demonstrated with their mind explosion just before half-time seemed, to be playing without a script.

The Reds need a new head coach who has had experience as a head coach. Whether there is such a person in Australian rugby, here or coaching overseas, is a matter for discussion.

But with only five Super Rugby franchises and one of them already coached by a New Zealander with aspirations to coach the All Blacks (Daryl Gibson with the Waratahs), it is crucial for the future of Australian rugby that Richard Graham’s long-term successor be an Australian.

I throw one name into the ring – David Nucifora. He is one of the few Australian coaches to win a Super Rugby title as a coach, with the Brumbies. He is currently running Ireland’s successful High Performance unit. And he is a former Reds hooker.

Having said all this, I have nothing but praise for what Daryl Gibson has done with the Waratahs. He has changed the Cheika Game Plan that had run out of steam last year.

This was a brave call. The key shift of Israel Folau to the centres has worked brilliantly for the Waratahs and has been the main reason why they are playing their way into the finals so explosively.

Folau was sensational against the Sunwolves. So, too, was Andrew Kellaway, a talented youngster who Cheika ignored. Matt Lucas, having his first start at half-back since 2013, was also lively. His width of pass released Bernard Foley to set up attack after attack against the spirited Sunwolves.

Of the three franchises brought in this year to Suoer Rugby, the Sunwolves offer the most promise. Admittedly, they have only won one match, compared with the three won by the Jagueras and two by the Southern Kings. But their crowds at Prince Chichibu Stadium in Tokyo have been excellent and very appreciative of good play, on both sides. And the style of rugby that they are playing is entertaining and likely to give them success when their fitness and skills levels improve.

Like the Brumbies, the Waratahs are on a roll and their match on Saturday night at Sydney against the Hurricanes will be crucial for both teams.

The Waratahs (on 39 points) are playing for a top spot in the Australian Conference and, as a sort of consolation prize, for one of the three wild card places in the Australasian Group if the Brumbies beat them out of the top spot.

The Hurricanes (on 44 points) are playing for an unlikely top spot in the New Zealand and a more likely slot as one of the three wild cards in the Australasian Group.

The Hurricanes play the Crusaders at Christchurch in their last match. You would think, therefore, that they will have to defeat the Waratahs to ensure their wild card.

I am picking the Waratahs to beat the Hurricanes mainly because they are playing at home and the home ground advantage, as the Hurricanes showed in their match against an impressive Blues team at Wellington, can be a palpable asset in a tight match.

I am also picking the Brumbies to beat the Blues at Auckland on Friday night, even though it is an away match in this case. I just think that the Brumbies solid grinding game, based on driving mauls and a strong scrum, is too organised and well-constructed for the more spontaneous Blues to cope with.

We learnt over the weekend with the startling Australian Election results that predictions often are not worth the voting paper they are written on.

You don’t have to be Nostradamus, though, to predict that the Lions, winners already of Africa 2 Conference, will be the top South African Group side. They have, in fact, virtually clinched that position.

They are on 47 points and the Stormers, the leaders in Africa 1 Conference, are on 41 points after their seven-try, 57-31 victory over the Melbourne Rebels at Melbourne.

The Stormers play the Force at Perth and the Kings at home. You would expect them to pick up 10 points from two bonus points wins in these matches.

But the Lions play the Kings at home which is an obvious bonus point win for them and then the Jagueras at Buenos Aires, a match the Lions should win.

For me, the Lions have been the great story of the 2016 Super Rugby tournament. They are playing rugby in the best South African way, with tremendous physicality in the backs and the forwards and with a willingness to run and pass their way out of trouble and into the wide spaces.

This is the sort of rugby that entranced old timers like myself many decades ago before isolation from world rugby forced South African rugby into its laager of the kicking game and the disdain for skills over brutal and often brutish play.

Watching the Lions play is a delight. The high energy they bring to their play is allowing players to burst, almost literally, into greatness. Is there, for instance, a better winger (Ben Smith perhaps) in world rugby than the big finisher Ruan Combrinck?

The point here is that Combrinck is 25 and only this year won his first cap for the Springboks.

The likelihood, then, is that the Lions will top the South African Group. If this happens, it means that they will play all their finals matches in Johannesburg in front of a fiercely partisan crowd.

There were 55,000 spectators to see the Lions blast the Sharks away with a 27-0 lead before half-time. The final result, 37-10, sends out an ominous warning to the rest of the finals-bound sides.

We come now to the New Zealand sides. There are four of them (the Chiefs, Crusaders, Hurricanes and Highlanders) still in contention.

Dan Coles was quoted during the week as saying that it was unfair that the New Zealand teams play each other twice: “Moving forward, if we want to see New Zealand teams with the competition, then playing the Kiwi teams once will be enough.”

He has a point but this is what it is. With the Blues now playing well – Tana Umaga has worked wonders as their head coach – there are now five New Zealand teams out of five capable of beating any team in the tournament.

Because of this overall strength, the New Zealand teams are getting to that stage in the tournament where they cannibalise each.

The Chiefs (23) knocked the Crusaders (13) off their top spot in the New Zealand Conference in a splendid match at Suva. The match was played in driving rain in front of a packed stadium and was of the highest quality. The Crusaders, in fact, tried to play too much rugby in the conditions, and this undid them in the end.

Both teams, though, were strong in the set pieces. This is not a surprise for the Crusaders but it is an indication that the Chiefs have improved their scrumming, for instance, since the early days in this year’s tournament when the Lions scrummed them out of the game at Hamilton.

The Chiefs backs were clever, fast, elusive and strong in their defensive attitudes and skills.

New Zealand pundits are anticipating that the Crusaders will be the top NZ side. But, to my mind, the Chiefs are the more likely side to go on and win the tournament, in a final perhaps against the Lions.

The Chiefs have more threats over the field than the Crusaders and, dare one say it, a much better coaching staff.

The cannibalisation effect will be important in how the NZ table finally works itself out. The Crusaders last game is at home against the Hurricanes.

The Chiefs last game is away against the Highlanders.

I will finish on this note. We all thought that the break in Super Rugby hostilities would somehow take the edge off the tournament. Exactly the opposite has happened.

This 13th round was just sensational from its opening match at Suva in the driving rain and heat to the last match at Buenos Aires, in the rain and cold this time, between a Jagueras team that outplayed the Bulls at their traditional driving, abrasive forward play.

One driving maul by the Jaguares rolled on for over 30 metres before they scored.

And at Suva we saw ensemble play from both sides that belied the conditions with brilliant running, skilful passing and fearsome tackling that would have done credit to the ebullient Fijian Sevens side itself.

Rugby like this played in different conditions and in different but effective ways reflects the greatness of a game that caters for players of all sizes and all weathers. Super Rugby, indeed!

The Crowd Says:

2016-07-06T02:51:07+00:00

Buzzard

Guest


But peter it is not designed as an equal 2 full rounds.. So move on

2016-07-05T22:37:25+00:00

Peter Hughes

Roar Rookie


hehe -well if the comp was designed as an equal 2 full rounds the result now imo would be 4 Kiwi teams sitting in the top 4 spots by a large points margin. And maybe Blues taking 5th or 6th place too. No I'm not a Kiwi either :)

2016-07-05T22:33:02+00:00

Peter Hughes

Roar Rookie


Yes Spiro - good to see 2 are still in race but it won't last long. Tahs will be knocked out by Hurricanes this week imo. That will leave the Brumbies who'll lose against the first Kiwi team they play in the finals. No ............I'm not a Kiwi either :)

2016-07-05T08:18:42+00:00

Squirrel

Guest


There's hope . Pulver and john ONeil were at the easts vs uni game

2016-07-05T04:27:59+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


So the none of the individual nations problems are World Rugby's problems? I guess the franchises problems here aren't the ARU's problems either... Football is bigger but the markets it competes in are bigger also. Minor codes can still get a significant market share.

2016-07-05T04:25:23+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


They were left out because Lancaster wasn't willing to take the risk on them Jones was and it paid dividends. The only relevance is players that were not available to Lancaster.

2016-07-05T04:23:56+00:00

AndyS

Guest


Have to say I really enjoyed seeing a game in Tokyo. Felt like a lot more buzz around the ground pretty and post match than just about anywhere I've been in Australia, and was impressed to see the local clubs in on the deal and promoting both themselves and the game alongside the SR team. Frankly, there are probably some lessons could be learnt...

2016-07-05T04:15:38+00:00

Shane D

Roar Rookie


Hi Bakkies, from what I have read its those issues that may bring Schmidt back to NZ. He has 2 older children that are living in NZ now. Melbourne also has a world class epilepsy centre which I believe has been doing some work with his son & being in NZ will make continuing that much easier.

2016-07-05T02:24:38+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


Tman, Lancaster was hired on an interim basis that ended up being extended he went out and coached a victory against the All Blacks so it became permanent. The other coaching staff were already there so he couldn't really bring in his own assistants. Assistant and unit coaching had been a problem with England for a while. They had a reluctant head coach in Johnson who didn't really want to coach but was talked in to it so having the right assistants to work under him to do the bulk of the coaching was crucial. The RFU at the time couldn't get the high profile coach they wanted as those names turned down the role. The RFU structure and having teflon Rob Andrew look over your shoulder probably was the main turn off. Even Jake White turned it down. Lancaster was already working within the organisation with the development sides and was already blooding younger players that are now producing for Eddie. Despite the constraints of the EPS squad system deal with the clubs dictating how many players can get dropped per announcement the dead wood was getting cut out. A young England team was being developed with a lot of players then in their early 20s and the number of caps in the squad had dropped drastically. He didn't do enough wrong in their eyes to go out and advertise for another head coach. It isn't essentially the same group. Parling, Tom Wood, Tom Youngs, Wigglesworth, Twelvetrees are gone or virtually out the gap. Ashton might not see the test shirt again either. The core is there but there are players that have blooded and made a difference that weren't at the RWC. Some were left out mainly due to it being too early and it was too risky a pool for that. George was unlucky. Eddie has changed the balance of the backrow that has made England stronger in contact for the series. I say long term he will be looking at his options at 7. Playing Farrell at 12 has taken the weight off Ford. Not having his Dad around the coaching staff looks like it has given him a new lease on life on the pitch. Eddie is also the first England coach in a long while who has been able to pick his own support staff. At the moment he is pretty much in charge of attack you could see some glimpses of what his sides could produce with the ball in the 6 Nations and the Welsh warm up game. Next season he will probably look for a full time assistant there and Saxons matches at home to look at new options. He won't hesitate in blooding some of the under 20s in those games.

2016-07-05T01:36:22+00:00

Jerry

Guest


Oh wait, as compared with Ireland. My mistake. Never mind.

2016-07-05T01:25:55+00:00

Jerry

Guest


Not so sure he'd spend less time at home. I mean, sure there's more travel in Super Rugby but Leinster's season goes for 10 months as compared with 5 and a bit (with a month's break in the middle) for Super Rugby.

2016-07-05T01:12:25+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


Nucifora coached the Blues in 2004 so we opened the door a long time ago so what was that bet worth? NZ leaves nothing to chance when it comes to winning so no way it would rule out a foreign coach were it to come to require that. Allegiance to the flag in professional sport is for dinosaurs Antoni. Look around, that's obvious everywhere. To think Ozzie's only understand ozzies is naive. It's far more important to understand coaching the sport, the current issue at hand. Long term or short term. Doesn't matter. Wins are needed now, not in four years, ten years.

2016-07-05T01:07:26+00:00

Train Without A Station

Roar Guru


And that has always suited Europe because their domestic competitions were completed. Super Rugby wasn't intended to go longer because of the situation where everything already stood. As a result it couldn't. It was then determined that the partners needed to increase the revenue of it, as a result the only option was to create more product. Extend it. If you are saying that the ARU and NZRU should not complain about the test window and impacts on Super Rugby, but they need to product, then extend it is the only option. It can't go later, so where does that leave? Earlier. January/December. Which is not an option due to weather constraints. Extending Super Rugby has prevented the ARU from going broke. A few million dollars less income would have sent them broke. It doesn't matter where the extra money has come from. Less games (Shorter season) means less extra money. You seem to say that the SH should ignore everything around them and nothing should every change. But it does. And they can't. They start a season in February. That's the absolute earliest they possibly can. They have inbound Tours in June. This is based on what suits Europe - the end of the domestic season. They then tour in November. This is apparently suited to Europe - otherwise they would not have it. They do everything else around Europe. They are now saying that due to the commercial need for the broadcast revenue, they need more domestic product and this to be expanded. Their complaint is that the inbound tours in June impact them due to the fact it breaks their competition up for a month with then one month remaining. They essentially would prefer these were in July so they could have a continuous competition, like their local competitors do - the ones they have to compete with regardless of what European sports do. Is this a massively unreasonable proposal? Nobody is saying Europe should bend over to accommodate them. But if this is just a minor inconvenience to Europe simply because it changes what they are used to, and has no real commercial or performance implications, but offers a significant commercial benefit for the Southern Hemisphere, then surely this is in the best interests of the world game.

2016-07-05T01:04:14+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


He will probably spend more time away from his family coaching Super Rugby. He has a younger son with severe epilepsy who would be in secondary school now and he stated when he was coaching Leinster he didn't spend much time at home. He would be at home far less coaching Super Rugby due to the travel and potentially have a job away from where his extended family already is based. The lack of time at home all changed when he took the Ireland job and he said he is at home more now. Can't have the test coaching role forever though.

2016-07-05T00:55:37+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


'All NH to SH and SH to NH tours are when they suit Europe. So what was originally scheduled.' Wrong as I said before. The IRB have always had the June test window. It wasn't set up in '96 to suit just Europe. Prior to the IRB tours program invitations to tour came out from the host country. When Super Rugby first went professional it was never intended to be a 7 month competition. It was a short competition that finished in May. Sanzar didn't chose that end date due to Europe. NZ and SA had their own domestic competitions they wanted to preserve. SA didn't want an extended Super Rugby season. Before you jump to conclusions about blaming it on Europe. Had nothing to do with that. It was to protect their domestic competition, the Currie Cup. John O'Neill was fishing for Super Rugby to go in to August and September. SA wouldn't have a bar of it. Weather constraints is utter nonsense. The domestic season in NZ and SA finishes in October and occasionally in November. Nobody suggested playing in December and January. You need to get out of your head the clap trap that comes out of Pulver and Tew's mouths when it comes to blaming Europe. Extending Super Rugby was never going to prevent the ARU from going broke and never has the NZRU been in financial difficulty so you need to get that out of your head as well. Super Rugby has not be a money spinner in its own right for Sanzar since its inception as a governing body, the internationals are. That's still the case and it's still seen as a preparation comp for the tests. Just more bloated. You can point all your want to the tv contract but the extra money hasn't come from the key broadcasters in Super Sport, Sky NZ and Foxsports. It has come from Europe where there is extra competition in tv rights markets in England and France.

2016-07-05T00:30:51+00:00

pete and paul

Roar Rookie


Its a pity the Sunwolves didn't beat the Tahs....I was kind of hoping they would...

2016-07-05T00:09:21+00:00

Browny

Roar Rookie


...but unless the rest of the world can catch up to them they will always be a focus, cruising ahead the front of the peloton while wearing the yellow jacket... And rightly so.

2016-07-05T00:08:19+00:00

Shane D

Roar Rookie


Lot of talk at the moment the Schimdt is likely to comeback to NZ to coach a super team in 2017.

2016-07-05T00:00:08+00:00

Richard

Guest


Rugby does not revolve round NZ .The global rugby game is bigger than that tiny south pacific island off the coast of Australia. . Move on

2016-07-04T22:43:30+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


I think the last 12 months has proven exactly the opposite. He gets the cream of the NH resource and can't do anything with it, for four years. Eddie gets them with next to no time to prepare and wins everything he touches with the same group. Lancaster can't coach professionally. That is obvious. To suggest so reflects your low standards of what a good coach requires.

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