Where to now for Hawthorn?

By Jarryd Barca / Roar Pro

Hawthorn’s bid for a fourth consecutive premiership was wiped away in the semi-final, where the Western Bulldogs mauled the Hawks to eliminate them from the 2016 finals series in straight sets.

It was the first time since 1977 the Hawks have been cut from the finals without registering a win.

Football is definitely a funny game, and it’s intriguing to think that if Isaac Smith had nailed his set shot after the siren against the Cats in week one of the finals, Hawthorn would have had the week off and would be cemented in the preliminary final. But that is not to be.

The 23-point triumph sent the energetic Dogs to the preliminary final, where they met an in-form GWS group very capable of going the whole way – only to have their dream cut short by a six-point Bulldog defeat.

But for the reigning premier of the past three seasons, their 2017 campaign begins in trade week.

The Hawthorn era may well and truly be seen as over, but the current list of players still have enough talent to knock off the big teams in the competition.

With Jarryd Roughead, Ben Stratton and Jonathon Ceglar all missing from the semi-final squad, there’s three inclusions which would without a doubt benefit the team.

But look one year on, the likes of Lewis, Mitchell, Hodge, Burgoyne and Gibson all get one year older, and with the fast changing evolution of the AFL, changes will need to be made if the Hawks are to be a threat in 2017 and beyond.

Could the Isaac Smith set shot be the reason the Hawks don’t win the flag?

Is this officially the end of an era that was?

Are Hawthorn really capable of bouncing back?

These are harsh questions, but they are true and it is the reality of where the Hawks sit right now.

The era should have been seen as over at the beginning of the season. They won six games by less than seven points during the home-and-away season and finished with a percentage of 118.56, which was only the sixth best in the top eight. You don’t win a flag like that.

Bottom line is the Hawks weren’t convincing in many of their wins, they were able to just get the job done due to experience, but they were shown up in the finals.

The Western Bulldogs finished the season as the fourth best contested possession side in the AFL, with an average of 149.3 per game. The Hawks, on the other hand, finished with an average of 130.5 contested possessions per game, which is the lowest in the competition.

In the semi-final loss to the Bulldogs, the Hawks had a huge 50 fewer contested possessions than the Dogs (111–161). That is where the game was lost, and that is how you get a difference between a good side and an uncompetitive side.

The other four teams which round out the top five in the contested possession stats are Sydney, Adelaide, GWS and Geelong – all of which were dominant sides this season and featured in the finals.

Hawthorn coach Alastair Clarkson touched on the significance of performing well during the finals series, which is something the Hawks – who have been masters of this for years – could not showcase in 2016.

“It’s a good habit to have, winning in September. Unfortunately, we couldn’t do that tonight. The Bulldogs were terrific,” Clarkson said in a post-match press conference.

“You need to play your best footy in September. We didn’t do that this year and we need to work out how to do that in 2017.

“We’re so proud of this group. They’ve delivered so much for this club and they deserve a break.

“We were brave but just not good enough against a good side tonight. I hope the Dogs can serve it up to GWS.”

The answer to the equation is simple, recruit players who could potentially be the next premiership stars for the Hawthorn Football Club, which is another point Clarkson alluded to in the press conference.

“We’ll do whatever we can to improve our squad,” Clarkson said.

“The draft and trade period will be looked at.”

The Hawks have had the ability to attract players from around the competition in recent times, with Ben McEvoy, Shaun Burgoyne, James Frawley and Josh Gibson all among some current premiership players on their list who were previously at a different club. Brian Lake is another one, who retired at the end of last year.

Hawthorn has so far been linked to midfielders Tom Mitchell (Sydney) and Jaeger O’Meara (Gold Coast), who are both looking for opportunity in Melbourne.

Both of these players are ready-made and have proven themselves at the top level, despite O’Meara not playing a single AFL game since the 2014 season due to a knee injury.

O’Meara would be a massive landing for Hawthorn and a major inclusion for the team. The 22-year-old indicated that the Hawks are his preferred destination, with their ability to revitalise a players career a looming factor in his decision.

“Jaeger has indicated he wants to be at Hawthorn in 2017 and we are keen to make this happen,” Hawthorn list manager Graham Wright said on the club’s website.

“We fully respect that Jaeger is a Gold Coast player and we will work closely with the Suns in the lead up to the trade period to ensure we can get an appropriate deal done.”

O’Meara had been linked to a host of Victorian clubs before announcing that Hawthorn are his club of choice.

Tom Mitchell and Ty Vickery are also likely to be in brown and gold colours in 2017, so it may not be doom and gloom after all for the reigning premier.

One issue which may arise with the inclusion of ready-made players is the potential lack of depth that Hawthorn may be facing next season. The Hawks played seven debutants this year which is great for exposure, but they are going to be suddenly pushed away once new players arrive at the club.

This could mean mature-age players come in, while young guns want out. Any club knows that is not ideal, and with the Hawks seemingly looking at building for another mini dynasty surge as opposed to building for the long term, drafting these players could mean an end of an era, officially.

There should be no doubts in anyone’s mind that if Hawthorn land a big fish or two (or three), then 2017 could see another Hawthorn-dominated season (just with a little less dominance).

But with more teams currently on the rise looking for a finals berth in 2017, finals for the Hawks is truly not a certainty.

The Crowd Says:

2016-09-30T13:34:51+00:00

Tricky

Guest


Not bagging your coach df, just sayin it looked like he changed tac from his defensive game style to keep up with the shift of the game - especially early when the list was still strong! Not denying the list losses either ........ just sayin is all

2016-09-30T00:01:33+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


It only looks that way externally to those who won't see truth. Read that list of outs this year. That is the only issue. Remember it was only last year that they were top. Same coach.. but with 8 to10 first 22 players less each game. You may just as well criticize Alistair Clarkson for losing his mojo. Straight sets exit suggests he has "lost his team" and he is no longer able to get them up for the finals. It's a thoughtless argument but one "bandaid critics" make about Ross. Such shallow critics number 1 in 200 but few of them ever make incisive comments about footy.

2016-09-29T16:27:37+00:00

Tricky

Guest


Yeah nah!

2016-09-29T16:20:55+00:00

Tricky

Guest


He tried this year to "adapt" to the ever evolving game and competition and obviously it did not work out. He needs to get the best out of the individuals 1st for the team then build a game to combat the evolving competition - this year he did a Buckley and said "righto you lot this year we all play this way". It at least looks that way externally

2016-09-29T16:15:12+00:00

Tricky

Guest


Dees certainly but not convinced on the unconvincing pies

2016-09-29T16:03:23+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


You needn't be concerned about Ross. When he had these players available, they finished on top. He lost 6 of them for the finals. The magnitude if injured guns is the only issue. The return of fitness sees the departure of any issue.

2016-09-29T15:24:37+00:00

Mark

Guest


Stratton played in the semi.

2016-09-29T15:00:13+00:00

dave

Guest


Biggest thing for me was watching the young Bont beat Hodge in 2 critical contests. Next year Hodge is a year closer to retirement and the young guns are a year closer to reaching their peak. Now i'm no hodge or Hawks fan(very far from It) but I kinda wouldn't have minded If Hawks got the 4 and Hodge retired. Purely because I'm getting old myself and don't like watching proud champions getting smoked by the young up and comers. Who knows?Its possible he will win another flag for the Hawks next year,or he may have gone on 1 year too many. Yes I know the Hawks have Cyril,Mitchell,Burgouyne,etc but anyone thinking the Hawks would have won 3 flags without Hodge is kidding themselves. He's the kind of player you need in big moments in finals and lifts his team like few players Ive seen,so them 2 losses to the Bont may have affected the team belief. OK I think he'l do alright next year but his and the Hawks aura is definitely not the same.

2016-09-29T13:59:38+00:00

anon

Guest


Going for 4 in a row with everything at stake they were the softest team in the league. The core 4 will be just going through the motions next year at the Hawks. The opposition's fear of the Hawks has gone. Teams know how to beat the Hawks.

2016-09-29T13:05:07+00:00

Chancho

Roar Rookie


I normally agree with a lot of what you say Tim, but I'm not so sure on your Carlisle comment; his attitude at the back end of 2015 was beyond poor, and while I certainly understand why that may have been the case, it's still a team sport and he was certainly NOT a team player. You don't want that attitude at the club. Then to have been busted shortly after the move to the Saints was even more ridiculous. My view is that he's a bit too much of a cry-baby.

2016-09-29T12:55:14+00:00

Chancho

Roar Rookie


I think that's the underlying point Don, get all those guys back and Freo is a totally transformed side. My only contention for Freo in 2017 is Ross, to see if he can adapt his systems and coaching. Personally I think it's this that has been letting Freo down and perhaps was even papering over cracks in 2015 maybe? This is where I am more of an optimist for the Hawks (biased, but still optimistic) with Clarkson at the helm.

2016-09-29T11:38:25+00:00

Nev

Guest


The form of all the vets says they go around again. This is an iconic era for the HFC , and you shouldn't retire the icons against their wishes while they are still worthy of a spot. Particularly now that their wages have come down. O'Brien will come good net year: great hands (the best at the club supposedly), great kick for goal, had taste this year. Once he feels he belongs, and another preseason he will cover Carlisle, on a third of the wages. We will go top 4 again next year.

2016-09-29T11:38:15+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


Anyone who thinks that the Hawks will be anything other than the competition's punching bag over the next couple of seasons is delusional. Whether they can build another powerhouse team after that is something only time will tell.

2016-09-29T11:31:11+00:00

AR

Guest


Roughie's not coming back. Best wishes to that man.

2016-09-29T11:29:29+00:00

AR

Guest


"Their 2016 has finished with a baptism of promise..." Goodness me. Glass half full is one thing, but the Minor Premiers finishing at the ass end of the ladder, and calling it "promise"...well, you can't fault the desperates.

2016-09-29T11:25:38+00:00

AR

Guest


Morabito. I forgot about that one. Aside from Hawthorn missing the 8 in 2016, Don is still arguing that Freo beat Hawthorn in the 2015 prelim.

2016-09-29T10:30:25+00:00

Bruce

Guest


I agree mate.....they will slide right out of the top 8.

2016-09-29T10:12:04+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Do you think Mora is a key forward? You've made a poor debut with your comments.

2016-09-29T10:10:09+00:00

Tim Holt

Roar Guru


I think we made an error with the handling of the vets We should have pushed both Gibbo out who has been found out when he is made to be accountable in defence. Also, I think Hodge should have gone. The trade period will define us and who we get in and at what cost. I have no issue losing an incumbent like Bruest if it means we get O'Meara. Vickery, I think will be a Hale like recruit in a facilitating enviroment away from the eat their own confines of Punt Road. As for Mitchell, I think he will re-commit and if he does they will have another target said it before, but they will regret not going harder at Jake Carlilse last year.....

2016-09-29T07:41:11+00:00

DeanM

Guest


Not required to know, at a guess around 24-25. General rule on the roar is that if you talk up a player from Freo as been a gun player he actually is more likely to be a spud.

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