Complete AFL mock draft 2016 - first edition

By Tom Baulch / Roar Guru

Finally, it is here. A complete mock draft from pick 1-79.

Based on the academy bidding system and taking into account what each team needs, I have finally completed the first edition of my mock draft for 2016.

The academy system and the rules of the draft are complex, so I have written down a few tips that will help you to understand this mock draft.

There is a 20 per cent discount on academy kids and father-son picks in the first round.

Any club can bid on any academy player, the club that the academy player is with then has a choice to match the bid or leave it to the club that has bid on that player. If the academy club chooses to ‘match’ the bid, then they will need to use a certain amount of ‘points’ to match the clubs bid. The club that bid then gets the next pick in the draft.

When an academy club matches an offer they are obliged to use their next pick, and if needed, their next available pick after that. For instance, they cannot use their first and third picks together to match an offer.

Clubs won’t take their own academy or father-son selections usually, because of the 20 per cent discount on points. This is unless they are low on points the club doesn’t want to be in deficit for next year’s draft.

Teams with mid-range picks will bid on academy kids to get their mid-range picks to move up the order.

After the first round, there is a 197 point subtraction on points. There is no longer a 20 per cent discount.

Once again I must note you that this is done on what each team needs, not randomly.

Enjoy!

Mock AFL draft

Round 1
No. Team Player
1. ESS – Hugh McCluggage
2. GWS – Andrew McGrath
3. GCFC – Jack Bowes (academy player – bid from Brisbane Lions) matched with Pick 4
4. BL – Ben Ainsworth
5. CARL – Will Brodie
6. GCFC – Sam Petrevski-Seton
7. FREM – Tim English
8. GCFC – Jack Scrimshaw
9. SYD – Jarrod Berry
10. GCFC – Tim Taranto
11. GWS – Will Setterfield (academy player – bid from North Melbourne) Matched with pick 13
12. NMFC – Griffin Logue
13. WC – Jye Simpkin
14. GWS – Harry Perryman (academy player – bid from Adelaide) Matched with Picks 37, 38,45
15. ADEL – Daniel Venables
16. PORT – Will Hayward
GWS – Given up for Setterfield (48.8 points left over)
17. BL – Alex Witherden
18. PORT – Oliver Florent
19. WB – Todd Marshall
20. SYD – Cedric Cox

Round 2
21. ESS – Josh Battle
22. BL – Jordan Gallucci
23. BL – Shai Bolton
24. STK – Sam Powell-Pepper
25. GWS – Zachary Sproule (academy player – bid from Geelong) Matched with picks 53,56,58
26. GEEL – Jordan Ridley
27. CARL – Jack Maibaum
28. WB – Harrison Macreadie (bid not matched by GWS)
29. RICH – Patrick Kerr
30. COLL – Brennan Cox
31. COLL – Callum Brown (father-son selection) matched with picks 44, 51
32. ESS – Jonty Scharenberg
33. PORT – Alex Villis
34. PORT – Max Lynch (GWS don’t match bid)
35. NMFC – Dylan Clarke
36. NMFC – Luke Ryan
37. WC – Jake Waterman
38. FREM – Sam McLarty
39. STK – Isaac Cumming
GWS – Given up for Harry Perryman
40. GEEL – Sam Walker
GWS – Given up for Harry Perryman
41. GCFC – Brad Scheer (bid from Fremantle) matched with pick 52
42. FREM – Zac Fisher

Round 3
43. ESS – Brandon Parfitt
44. GEEL – Myles Poholke
45. ADEL – Jamie Hampton
COLL – Given up for Callum Brown
GWS – Given up for Harry Perryman (306.4 points left over)
46. SYD – Kym LeBois
47. MELB – Willem Drew
48. GWS – Kobe Mutch – 306.4 – Left over points from Harry Perryman bid
49. CARL – Taylin Duman
50. SYD – Joe Atley
51. WB – Ben Long
COLL – Given up for Callum Brown (165 points left over)
GCFC 246.8 – Left over points from Jack Bowes bid – used for Brad Scheer
GWS – Given up for Zach Sproule
54. ADEL – Ben Jarman
55. WC – Josh Rotham
GWS – Given up for Zach Sproule
56. RICH – Hamish Brayshaw
GWS – Given up for Zach Sproule (47 points left over)
GWS – PASS

Round 4
57. COLL – Josh Daicos – 165 points left over from Callum Brown bid
58. STK – Josh Begley
COLL – PASS
CARL – PASS
59. GEEL – Jack Graham
ADEL – PASS
60. ESS – Lachlan Tiziani (GWS don’t match bid)
71. MELB – Patrick Lipinski
GWS 48.8 – Left over from Will Setterfield bid
GWS 47 – Left over from Zach Sproule bid
72. FREM – Matt Guelfi
GEEL – PASS
GCFC – PASS
73. GEEL – Ryan Garthwaite (GWS don’t match bid)
WB – PASS
74. BL – Jacob Allison

Round 5
BL – PASS
FREM – PASS
WB – PASS
75. RICH – Brodie Romensky
COLL – PASS
76. MELB – Jake Pitman
PORT – PASS
STK – PASS
NMFC – PASS
77. HAW – Esava Ratugolea
ADEL – PASS
78. HAW – Mitchell Hinge
GEEL – PASS
NMFC – PASS
SYD – PASS

Round 6
ESS – PASS
GCFC – PASS
RICH – PASS
MELB – PASS
STK – PASS
WC – PASS
79. HAW – Corey Lyons

Draft groups by team
ADEL – Daniel Venables, Jamie Hampton, Ben Jarman
BL – Ben Ainsworth, Alex Witherden, Jordan Gallucci, Shai Bolton, Jacob Allison
CARL – Will Brodie, Jack Maibaum, Taylor Duman
COLL – Brennan Cox, Callum Brown, Josh Daicos
ESS – Hugh McCluggage, Josh Battle, Jonty Scharenberg, Brandon Parfitt, Lachlan Tiziani
FREM – Tim English, Zac Fisher, Sam McLarty, Matt Guelfi
GEEL – Jordan Ridley, Sam Walker, Myles Poholke, Ryan Garthwaite
GWS – Andrew McGrath, Will Setterfield, Harry Perryman, Zachary Sproule, Kobe Mutch
GCFC – Jack Bowes, Sam Petrevski-Seton, Jack Scrimshaw, Tim Taranto, Brad Scheer
HAW – Esava Ratugolea, Mitchell Hinge, Corey Lyons
MELB – Willem Drew, Patrick Lipinski, Jake Pitman
NMFC – Griffin Logue, Luke Ryan, Dylan Clarke
PORT – Will Hayward, Oliver Florent, Alex Villis, Max Lynch
RICH – Patrick Kerr, Hamish Brayshaw, Brodie Romensky
STK – Sam Powell-Pepper, Isaac Cumming, Josh Begley
SYD – Jarrod Berry, Cedric Cox, Kym LeBois, Joe Atley
WC – Jye Simpkin, Jake Waterman, Josh Rotham
WB – Todd Marshall, Harrison Macreadie, Ben Long

The Crowd Says:

2016-11-19T13:17:12+00:00

mdp

Guest


crows will need to take at least 4 at the draft, + a rookie upgrade

2016-11-16T02:27:26+00:00

Macca

Guest


Buzz - From what I have read Brodie seems the least likely for the blues. Not having seen any of these kids it is hard to get a handle on but from what I have read Taranto seems a very good selection for the blues - midfielder who can go forward and be dangerous in the air. That said the talent at 5 seems strong enough that whoever we get should be a high quality player. Agree the blues are likely to take at least 5 picks - they have delisted 13 and only picked up 4, they won't want to be taking too many more rookies or delisted free agents than they have to.

2016-11-16T01:46:42+00:00

The Original Buzz

Guest


I read an article on Sam P-S and he wants to move to Victoria to play AFL. The Blues have talked to him and visited his family in WA and sound fairly sure they will take him.

2016-11-16T01:40:49+00:00

The Original Buzz

Guest


I would add that the Blues could likely pick up Taranto instead of Brodie f Sam Petrevski-Seton wasn't available at pick 5. I would be happy with any of those three though. I can see the Blues trying to pick up 5 players to boost its list. It looks like they are going on a numbers game at this stage, pick up heaps and drop those that don't work out.

2016-11-12T14:12:42+00:00

Ryan

Guest


Couple changes from a crows perspective deeper in the draft. Firstly; we actually have 6 free list spots, and so will take around 5 picks in. Secondly; It looks like the Jamie Hampton at 45 is a bit of a wild guess based purely on the fact Curtly's on the list. Really don't think he'll go that early. IMO much, much more likely to look at players like Drew, Lipinski (reportedly we are keen on), Graham, Begley (also heard reports we are keen on) before Hampton gets a look in. Graham has his knockers but as an SA boy, Larke medallist at the championships in a midfield spot (where we aren't exactly rolling in depth) I can't see him lasting past at the very least pick 53 (Jarman more of a 67 type operator), if not 43. Also for Port, IMO surely need to take Marshall if he's still there, especially at their second given the lack of key forwards they've got. Oliver Florent sounds like a great kid but can see him being viewed as a bit of a flight risk given some personal things at home. Solid effort though, cheers!

2016-11-08T04:40:15+00:00

Aransan

Guest


Tom, I don't think the draft serves the bigger players well. Clubs are relying too much on such players developing themselves outside the AFL. We must lose some talent with this lack of encouragement and I think this will be an increasing trend. The effect will be to bid up the value of established KPPs and ruckmen as there won't be enough to go around. Essendon has already been a victim of this after developing their own big players.

AUTHOR

2016-11-08T03:22:43+00:00

Tom Baulch

Roar Guru


Don't worry Don, year 11 exams are still 2 weeks away, I have plenty of time to prepare for them! Ahaha. Tim English I think has to go to Freo, seems most likely so far.

AUTHOR

2016-11-08T03:20:33+00:00

Tom Baulch

Roar Guru


Sure Drew, this is only the first edition, changes will be made in the second edition for sure.

AUTHOR

2016-11-08T03:19:36+00:00

Tom Baulch

Roar Guru


Battle and Marshall seem to be long term projects I think. Patrick Kerr could be the best KPP in this draft, who knows?

2016-11-07T23:36:10+00:00

Aransan

Guest


Don, you have a much better chance with a player rated 7 than 17, although 17 will probably still be pretty good in this draft. It is often difficult to assess big players at 18, look to rookie list 19-21y.o such players who have been showing good development in the secondary competitions. Your 18y.o. big draftee is going to take years of development.

2016-11-07T14:41:30+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


Actually, having just watched SPS speak on afl.com, I want him now. Looks like a solid citizen.

2016-11-07T10:39:05+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


I know all that...I've been following it all forever. What's your point here? There is no telling if #7 or #17 will be the better player. Pick the one your planning requires.

2016-11-07T10:19:06+00:00

Aransan

Guest


Don, KPPs and especially ruckmen will commonly be developed through secondary competitions and the rookie draft and I believe this will be even more true in the future. It can be very difficult to identify their talent at 18 and the game is increasingly requiring stronger bodies which takes more time for bigger players. The talent and performance shown at 18 is the best guide as to their likely future success but there is a much greater range of uncertainty for bigger players. The form of some draftees is better known to some than others and there will always be late developers.

2016-11-07T10:06:09+00:00

Aransan

Guest


Tom, I am not sure he belongs in the first two rounds of the draft but it is difficult to identify KPPs in this draft. Having said that i wouldn't have a problem with Essendon selecting him at the beginning of the second round as needs can be addressed at that point. I do expect him to be selected in the first round but picks in the first 10 are gems not to be given away lightly. He is the best known KPP in this draft but I would be surprised if he turns out to be the best. We may even find that the best KPP will be an 18y.o. developed through a secondary competition or the rookie draft.

AUTHOR

2016-11-07T07:14:26+00:00

Tom Baulch

Roar Guru


I disagree Aransan, he's the best KPP in the draft, I would take him, I think GCFC will take him though now I think of it, and they will get him with their 8th pick I think which would make you right as he wouldn't be a first pick.

2016-11-07T06:52:46+00:00

Don Freo

Guest


When you think of so many stars like Dean Kemp, James Hird, Lachie Neale, Sandi, Dean Cox... They were picked way down the draft or even later as rookies, who is to say who "the best available player" actually is. It is an imperfect science and a needs basis might be a more sensible criterion.

2016-11-07T06:31:46+00:00

Aransan

Guest


DC, the best available player should be taken with any first 10 pick and some would argue that should extend to the first round. Needs could come into it if English was rated to be close to the best 7th player but don't let needs blind your assessments.

2016-11-07T06:02:32+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Roar Guru


Yep, why let someone have a free hit when you don't have to. Plus they'd then be leaving it to Carlton to put in a bid and if they didn't for whatever reason it would compound the benefits GCS get and have one less top 20 player available as a consequence.

2016-11-07T05:52:29+00:00

Dalgety Carrington

Roar Guru


Although possibly the reason English has gone so far up the order is because Freo has pick 7 and people see them as needing more tall stocks along with the fact he's from WA. If Freo had say pick 11 I wonder if he would all of a sudden be a pick 11.

2016-11-07T05:30:09+00:00

Col from Brissie

Roar Guru


Yeah fair point Jest, I confused myself, but there is no logical reason for GC to bid on Bowes until another team nominates him.

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