England win ugly again - and that should scare everyone

By Oliver Matthews / Expert

While some Super Rugby players were recovering from the Tens and continuing pre-season preparations, the Six Nations rolled through its second round of games this past weekend, with one game in particular catching my attention.

Early on Sunday morning, when many of us would have been stumbling home/enjoying a lie in/dealing with toddlers who don’t sleep (delete as appropriate) England beat Wales at the latter’s home ground.

The Welsh are a passionate and knowledgeable lot, who live and die by how their team perform. And against the English the crowd and team raise their game, making Cardiff a cauldron that has seen many teams drown among the intensity and return to London with their tail between their legs.

When it came to intensity, this game didn’t disappoint. From the kick off until the final whistle, passion was on display from both sides and every player must have woken up incredibly sore the next day.

The game was exciting on the scoreboard too, despite being a low-scoring affair – no team could really pull away and create a demanding lead.

To be clear, there were plenty of errors from both sides and key opportunities missed, and here’s where we get to the point of this article – England did not play that well but they won.

For the second week in a row, England did not live up to their potential and for the second week in a row they were celebrating another victory. They are learning how to win ugly – and that should scare us all.

England should always be near the top of the world rankings. They have more players at all levels, an incredibly well-funded governing body that has done well at creating pathways from the school field to Twickenham, and they can afford pretty much whatever resources they want.

That doesn’t mean success is inevitable, but the foundations are certainly there, and put other rugby unions around the world to shame.

But since 2003 England have never really threatened the top levels of the international game. Several second places in the Six Nations left many frustrated, and then their destruction at the hands of Australia and embarrassing exit from the 2015 Rugby World Cup shone a revealing light on the fragile nature of English rugby at the highest levels. All the gear, but no idea.

Jump forward to February 2017 and England are undefeated in 16 games, including wins over Australia, South Africa and Argentina, and are learning to win week after week – even when they are not playing well or are at full strength.

This should scare the Rugby Championship teams.

While Australia have demonstrated far too many times in the past 12 months that they have an incredible ability to play well but lose, England have been learning how to stay in the game and take opportunities when they present themselves. The game against the Welsh demonstrated this perfectly.

With just five minutes to go, Wales had the chance to clear their lines, smash the ball into touch, and put themselves in a strong position to defend their slender, two-point lead. But the kick went down the middle of the field and stayed in play.

George Ford took the catch, set off at pace, spun a long pass out to Owen Farrell, who himself threw a pinpoint pass into the hands of Elliot Daly, who beat the Welsh winger on the outside and scored in the corner.

Farrell slotted the conversion from the sideline, meaning the Welsh had four minutes to score a try and draw the game. England closed out the game with relative ease, adding another win to their streak.

Aussie fans watching this 60 seconds of play wouldn’t be blamed for being impressed. It was simple enough in many ways – a couple of passes and a sprint for the line. But as ever, the devil is in the detail.

All three English players had been on the field for 75 minutes of a brutal game. England were only two points behind and with a kicker like Farrell in good form, it would seem sensible to take the ball back into contact and see if tired Welsh forwards would give away a penalty.

But with Eddie Jones’ voice maybe ringing in their ears, the three spotted an opportunity, had the courage and confidence to go for it, and the skills to execute perfectly.

In many ways it was very Australian – confident backs having the conviction to go for the try and then making it look simple, despite the pressures of the moment. But sadly, this type of play has been missing from the Wallabies in 2016.

Teams can’t continually play badly and hope to snatch victory, but if you want to threaten the All Blacks, it is essential be able to hang on and trust that you will grab that all-important chance when it presents itself.

Many have written that Michael Cheika’s Wallabies are unable to switch when Plan A isn’t delivering the results, and that far too often Plan B seems to be ‘Plan A but quicker’.

As Jones pointed out post-match, his team were without five first-choice players, including their entire back row. This second point is just as scary as the first – not only are the English players developing the confidence and skill to win tight games, but they are increasing the squad of players who can be relied upon to deliver the victory.

Jones has spoken of a clear strategy to use players off the bench to finish games and in the first two matches of this Six Nations, they’ve done just that. The blokes on the pine are not just providing fresh legs, they come on to win a game that is in the balance.

Confidence, skill and depth. A scary trio indeed.

The Crowd Says:

2017-02-20T12:47:05+00:00

Daire Thornton

Guest


Stats like England failing to win more than once in Dublin in the six nations in the last 10 years? Above you said that the past (in other words stats) is irrelevant in predicting future outcomes. You appear to contradict yourself quite a lot.

2017-02-19T21:55:11+00:00

dullsdulls

Roar Rookie


You need to watch the England Wales/ France game again. He is superb and is like 2 players on the pitch. Both he and Farrell have an incredible work rate. I was with you, I remember him not passing and a bad kick but he made Englands first try against Wales and his defensive effort is phenomenal, he is like a third flanker and always crosses the game line. I know why Eddie Jones keeps picking him. His age is against him for the world Cup.

AUTHOR

2017-02-19T16:42:01+00:00

Oliver Matthews

Expert


Good points - well made

2017-02-18T22:35:54+00:00

Canadian Quin

Guest


Yes.

AUTHOR

2017-02-18T17:59:12+00:00

Oliver Matthews

Expert


I think there's some players for sure who are not performing well enough. I've been a big fan of Mike Brown but he really hasn't been good enough over the past 6 months I'd say. With Daly being able to move back to full back Brown might well be dropped soon. I also think the centres are an issue. Te'o is looking good and has arguably earned a start.

AUTHOR

2017-02-18T17:57:02+00:00

Oliver Matthews

Expert


Yeah Nick, as usual, makes some insightful comments. I think one of the foundations of his observations was that the absence of both Vunipolas and Haskell from the starting 15 has caused the English go forward problems which have then in turn blunted their attack. And of course he's right. England cannot hope to keep getting out of jail in games until these 3 key players return, but at the same time the fact that they have managed to win while missing these players is impressive. Italy's lack of resistance in the next game might provide the second choice starters a chance to get their attacking flow going.

2017-02-18T15:07:24+00:00

Hello Everybody.

Guest


Well thats wrong. Stats do help you predict outcomes. If a team has scored lots of points recently and are in good form it indicates a better chance of winning. So using the right stats is the only way of helping to predict outcomes. Thats why betting agencies use them to set their odds. Im not sure you thought that through. And yes Eng scored 9 against Fiji. The most scored against Fiji for 11 years as far as I know so why is that a mark against their attacking play? Not sure why people keep trying to find ways of putting Eng down. "Eng scored the most of any nation for over a decade against Fiji so there you go...Engs attack isnt good". OK, my mistake. Those stats can be misleading ?

2017-02-18T13:41:55+00:00

adastra32

Guest


Clearly, you are a 'yes' man.

2017-02-18T13:25:19+00:00

Neil Back

Roar Rookie


Well, you don't have to dig too deep into those stats to understand they're, well, stats. Just take the first one Australia. It ignores they don't have the fortrune to face Fiji (nine tries ) in them for example. However, a point well made. None of this really matters; on the day that England and the AB's face off, the stats mean nothing. Stats will not help you understand the outcome or predict it. If it did, we'd all be betting millionaires.

2017-02-18T07:38:58+00:00

Hello Everybody.

Guest


They average over 3 per match under Jones with 49 in 15 games. Thats 10 more than Aus in their last 15. 27 more than SA in their last 15. 20 more than Arg. 20 more than France. So again, Eng are ahead of the entire pack except NZ and again people are trying to claim they have a problem. The only problem Eng have is being better than NZ and to be better than NZ you dont have to score more 5 pointers you just have to score more points.

2017-02-18T03:35:15+00:00

taylorman

Roar Guru


I think you need to take note of Nicks analysis rather than building a philosophy based purely on 'winning ugly'. The lack of a good attacking game is certainly an issue with the tries drying up considerably with three in two matches. They're not going to keep winning matches with that sort of try rate so although there is certainly some level of depth, it's not quality depth, in that the replacements are not creating the same pressure in the first sixty, having to rely on the bench more. After the initial onslaught Wales did well to come back and keep England quiet. Sure they got there but they won't keep winning that way, and the certainly won't beat the ABs on 1.5 tries a match.

2017-02-17T22:24:54+00:00

RedandBlack

Guest


I'm torn on this one - I am unconvinced by both their personnel and performances - but they are winning and thats what its all about. It becomes a self fulfilling prophecy eventually and style points don't count. The Ireland game could tell us a bit more but I think generally the North has made an advance on the South since the World Cup and thats a good thing for us all.

2017-02-17T16:54:18+00:00

Hello Everybody.

Guest


Let me put it this way. If I go to a hill and I try and roll down a cube and it doesnt work. However every year I do the same, I try and roll down all sorts of flat sided shapes and it wont work but this year Ive got a sphere. Will it roll down the hill or will the past stop it from rolling?

2017-02-17T16:05:33+00:00

Hello Everybody.

Guest


The past has nothing to do with it. Did the past stop Engs clean sweep of Aus in Aus? Did the past stop Italy or Japan beating SA? Yes, in the past things have happened. This isnt the past. Do you seriously think thst the fact that Eng havnt gone back to back but France have means anything? Eng may not win this year but I will tell you this, the past wont have made that happen. The teams and circumstance of 2017 will make it happen.

2017-02-17T13:53:54+00:00

Daire Thornton

Guest


England's win at home v France was not particularly impressive. However, their win v Wales in Cardiff was impressive. I think if England get in a win in Dublin on Patrick's weekend then they really will be a team to be feared. Only have one win in Dublin in the 6 nations in the last 10 years and havent won back to back championships in the last 15 years whereas Wales, France and Ireland have. The game in Dublin will be a very big, season defining game for them.

AUTHOR

2017-02-17T13:21:49+00:00

Oliver Matthews

Expert


You mention two good points there: - if England continue to sneak wins then that's impressive but not as much a threat to the rest of the top 10. For them to be scary the norm has to be them winning well with the odd game here and there where they show their ability to win ugly. - can this England team maintain this til 2019?

2017-02-17T13:01:42+00:00

Derm

Roar Guru


Yes. Yes. Yes.

2017-02-17T11:27:37+00:00

ebop

Guest


England have won 16 in a row and good on them but they scrape by teams like Wales and France. Are people actually scared, like really scared? People should actually be scared that England don't burn themselves out to a frazzle.

2017-02-17T10:52:20+00:00

adastra32

Guest


Buy the tin hat while you're at it. You'll need it.

AUTHOR

2017-02-17T09:23:56+00:00

Oliver Matthews

Expert


And what about the other 15 games where they beat all the teams in the Top 10 apart from 1? Did the opposition lose them too? Did the Aussies give England 4 wins in 2016?

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