Where have all the good horses gone?

By Diggerbill / Roar Rookie

The horse racing industry is currently in a rut. There is an unfortunate irony playing out as a result of irresistible amounts of money being offered for breeding rights and young racing prospects.

The unfortunate irony is that the breeding of the racing elite is being more and more refined.

The best half dozen out of every season of thoroughbreds stand at stud to pass on their winning attributes. But the racing is suffering.

Our best horses are being retired too early, often after less than 10 starts. We don’t get to enjoy what one could be forgiven for thinking is their purpose for being bred, their racing ability.

Our racing is lacking a tremendous amount of top quality depth as a result. If there are 4-6 of the best horses of each crop retired after their three-year-old season then we are missing 15-25 of our very best horses in the realm of the open age.

Think of Pierro, All Too Hard, Zoustar, Shamus Award, Hallowed Crown, Shooting To Win, Capitalist and now Flying Artie and Extreme Choice, to name but a few.

The problems as I see them are multiple. We are breeding for early runners. This could be due to the prestige of the early classics, more likely though I think it is the pursuit of the quick return.

Purchase prices and training fees are high and a quick return is hard to resist. With this in mind, when a breeding proposition wins a two-year-old or three-year-old classic they often can only diminish their stallion prospects by racing on.

Criterion was a strong two-year-old and was one of the top three-year-olds of his crop winning the Rosehill Guineas, the AJC Derby, as well as a second in the Australian Guineas. Criterion is by Sebring, a Triple Crown winning two-year-old, so he’s bred for speed and displayed stamina.

He was, given the millions at stud, ‘boldly’ raced on beyond his three-year-old.

In his subsequent racing seasons he won the $4 million Queen Elizabeth, ran second in the Cox Plate, third in a Melbourne Cup and took on the world’s best in Europe, running admirably.

Despite all of these wonderful performances did he improve his stud value? I doubt it. He won a lot of prizemoney but he also missed out on two breeding seasons. The move did probably pay off financially but it also carried significant risk.

More importantly though, Criterion took his owners on the ride of a lifetime as well as significantly increasing the interest of many of the calendar’s best races for millions of racing fans.

Another curious phenomena that I’ve observed is one without an obvious cause.

Horses are being raced more and more sparingly, especially as two-year-olds. The two-year-old racing season revolves around the Golden Slipper. Every early racing two-year-old have connections dreaming of Slipper glory.

In years gone by, many horses had had seven or eight starts heading into the Golden Slipper. These days most runners have had three or four starts heading into the main event.

What this means is that in all of those lead-up races most horses are having their second or third run, meaning most of them are far less interesting than they used to be as we don’t know the horses. Getting to know the horses is one of the great joys of following horse racing, which is why I see this as a significant problem.

So, we are breeding to produce early runners, we are barely racing them when they are young, and we are retiring the best of them before they reach their peak age. This ironic little conundrum doesn’t just make me wonder if we are missing the point; it makes me certain we are.

People’s interest is being sustained by an innate love of horse racing, as well as the fact that backing a winner pays the same whether they are the fastest horse in a crack field or one of the slowest in a maiden handicap. The industry must not take this loyalty for granted because it won’t last forever.

The breeding industry cannot keep growing at the expense of the racing industry. Breeding is there to serve racing, not the other way around.

On a side yet related note, what has been fantastic for the industry has been the arrival of the European imports. I was at first cynical about their involvement, partly because of that unknown factor that I touched on earlier. Not only have these imported gallopers increased the overall standard, they also come here to race. A lot of them are geldings, and expensive ones at that, and so are committed to racing.

Horse racing at its best is about getting to know the horses and watching them run their hearts out. It’s about knowing different horses in different contexts and having them meet each other to race. Without a booming breeding industry, the racing will do fine. Without a successful racing industry, the breeding industry dies.

The Crowd Says:

2017-04-05T17:21:48+00:00

jeff dustby

Guest


maybe she just makes them look average

2017-03-26T12:07:08+00:00

Raimond

Roar Guru


Field sizes are going to be the big issue in the next five years.

AUTHOR

2017-03-24T04:32:35+00:00

Diggerbill

Roar Rookie


The Kiwi Warrior Sir Slick I remember well. An interesting side note is that Puccini the NZ Derby winner is a half brother to Sir Slick. Being now long past his glory days Puccini finds himself in the stable of Wayne Walters at Mount Gambier and can barely beat a horse home in Adelaide. What is amazing though is that he isn't gelded! He's a group 1 winning entire with impeccable breeding. Clearly no one told the owners of this bloodline that there's money to be made in the breeding paddock.

AUTHOR

2017-03-24T04:14:28+00:00

Diggerbill

Roar Rookie


Thanks Johny I appreciate it mate

2017-03-24T03:53:48+00:00

Sean Blaylock

Roar Rookie


Excellent article. I will add a related fact to your ideas. When I grew up it was very common to see 2yo geldings. The owners of these horses did not cling to a relatively forlorn idea that they might be able to make a fortune from the horse's testicles. They bought the horse to race - their dream probably revolved around the horse winning a dozen or more races. And just what kind of racing fan doesn't love a horse that has been around for 6 or more seasons and a century of starts? They are the warriors of the turf and in my eyes are held in high esteem. A horse like Sir Slick had 151 starts including 84 starts in Group 1 races for 22 wins in total including 6 Group 1s. How good is that!

2017-03-23T04:48:55+00:00

Matt

Guest


As Blake mentioned above. The mares race on a bit longer. If they miss two breeding seasons they might miss out 2 - 3 million from the progeny that they don't produce not getting sold. Which in Winx and Black Caviar's case has been recouped by their winnings. A stallion on the other hand has to win the big races to increase his value. If he is racing and not winning his value goes down. The other thing that can keep them racing on is the lure of an overseas victory to make him a stud proposition in both hemispheres. If he can win a Group 1 in Europe, England, Japan or Hong Kong as well as in Australia he has global appeal. He can now cover 100 mares here in Australia and then shuttle up to the Northern hemisphere and serve another 100. He is now earning twice as much for his owners.

2017-03-23T00:16:01+00:00

JOHNY BULLDOG

Roar Rookie


Great article mate,totally agree.

2017-03-22T22:16:39+00:00

no one in particular

Roar Guru


Some people buy horses to race, others buy horses to breed

2017-03-22T22:07:36+00:00

Blake

Guest


This is why Winx has no competition.

AUTHOR

2017-03-22T21:05:20+00:00

Diggerbill

Roar Rookie


We are losing horses to Hong Kong but at least they are going there to race. Hong Kong, being such a small Island doesn't have a breeding industry so it's something of a separate issue in my mind.

2017-03-22T20:36:13+00:00

Tim

Guest


Anther factor is the Hong Kong market, look at Werther, Notlistentome, rapper dragon etc... they all started their careers here and then were shipped off to hong kong either due to being Owned there or the previous owners receiving ridiculous offers they can't refuse.

2017-03-22T20:32:09+00:00

Ian Brown

Roar Pro


I would argue the main issue with the early exit of male horses is that there are far too many group races which allow stallion prospects to pick and choose races so they don't have to clash against each other and thus potentially reduce their stud value. Nevertheless this has being going on for the best part of 50 years in that it started with AUS horses going to HK and then NZ horses going to HK and now investors purchasing expensive colts at the sales with the hope they can either off load the whole horse to overseas syndicates or at least part of them. Interestingly off course this years version of the so called stallion making race the Slipper the first three placings were all fillies. No doubt this version of the race will be consigned to the dust bin by the breeding industry and it will quickly look to the Golden Rose and the Caulfield Guineas. The issue with these races is that they are restricted races ie 3YR and the breeding industry doesn't like devaluing their asset by taking on all comers. The best example of what the author is talking about is that arguably 4 of the best horse in the last 20 years have all been mares. What a contest it would have been So You Think against Winx in a Cox Plate. Unfortunately the prize money on offer in races doesn't match the stud value of these horses, so I can't see this changing anytime soon.

2017-03-22T19:43:10+00:00

Jeff dustby

Guest


Good points, not much depth in middle distance at the moment

Read more at The Roar