With Federer out and Djokovic struggling, can anyone beat Rafa in France?

By Ritesh Misra / Roar Guru

Novak Djokovic defeated Andy Murray in the final at Roland Garros in 2016, becoming the first person since Jim Courier, in 1992, to win the Australian and French Opens in the same year.

The Serb also completed a career Grand Slam and a non-calendar Grand Slam, emulating the great Aussie Rod Laver’s 1969 efforts.

It seemed Novak could no wrong. He was playing at superman level.

Then things suddenly went downhill and he is, at best, an outsider in 2017.

Here are my top five to cliam the title.

Rafael Nadal
The Spaniard has 72 ATP Titles, including 52 on clay, surpassing Guillermo Vilas’ record of 49.

Rafa began 2017 with two finals in a row, losing the Australian Open to Roger Federer and the Mexican Open to Sam Querrey. Thereafter, he lost again to Federer at both Indian Wells and Miami. When the clay-court season started, there was hope for further clashes, however Federer has opted out of the entire clay season.

Thus, Rafa has gone from strength to strength, winning three titles in a row, winning his his tenth Monte Carlo Masters, tenth Barcelona Open, and his fifth Madrid Open.

A shock defeat to an inspired Dominic Thiem does not take away from the fact that, with a 17-1 clay court record this year, Rafa is an overwhelming favourite to claim his tenth French Open title.

AAP Image/Lukas Coch

Novak Djokovic
Djokovic had an awful start to 2017, with a second round loss to 117 ranked Dennis Istomin at the Australian Open. Then Nick Kyrgios defeated him at both the Mexican Open and Indian Wells, while David Goffin beat him at the Monte Carlo Masters.

At Madrid, Novak lost to Rafa in straight sets. This is significant, as this win ended Rafa’s run of seven straight losses to Novak.

Yet Novak was showing signs of regaining form. At the Italian Open he had consecutive wins over difficult opponents, before probably playing his best match in a year by brushing aside Dominic Thiem 6-2, 6-1 in the semi-finals.

His loss to Alexander Zverev does not diminish his chances of successfully defending his French Open Title in 2017. Maybe his new tie-up with Andre Agassi will help him. Time will tell.

Alexander Zverev
‘Sascha’ showed glimpses of his potential in a tough, five-set match against Nadal at the 2017 Australian Open, when the 20-year-old youngster suffered cramps in the final set, and Rafa dubbed the youngster the future world No.1.

By winning the 2017 Italian Open, Sascha became the youngest winner of any Masters 1000 tournament since 2007. With his all-court game, Zverev is a definite contender.

Dominic Thiem
Reached the semi-finals of the 2016 edition, before losing to Novak in straight sets.

His win over Nadal in the 2017 Italian Open, and his fighting performance in a losing cause to Nadal in the Madrid final, makes him a contender for his first Grand Slam title.

AAP Image/Tracey Nearmy

Stan Wawrinka
Won the 2015 French Open and was a semi-finalist in 2016. On his day he is unstoppable, as his three Grand Slam titles attest.

No discusson is complete without discussing dangerous and unpredictable floaters who make a tournament most interesting.

Heading my list will be Albert Ramos-Vinolas, who reached the 2017 Monte Carlo Masters, losing to the great Nadal. He has an immaculate defence and a cool, unflappable temperament.

Next is Kyrgios and Allessandro Del Potro, who are dangerous opponents capable of causing any upset.

My final floater is last year’s finalist Andy Murray. It may be strange to keep the World Number 1 in the floater category, but after a terrific second half of 2016, this year he has inexplicably gone downhill, necessitating an SOS call to Ivan Lendl.

Still, he has won clay court tournaments defeating both Novak and Rafa, hence it would not be prudent to rule him out.

Though not a contender, he is my most dangerous floater of the year.

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2017-05-30T18:24:54+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Super. you certainly have all reasons to be happy definitely

AUTHOR

2017-05-30T18:24:26+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Thanks a lot. One of my contenders Sascha crashes out in the 1st round itself. A new winneri feel is unlikely. My gut feeling now is a Rafa-Wawrinka final, with rafa winning his 10th

2017-05-26T03:00:26+00:00

JGK

Roar Guru


Pretty happy with the 5.50 I got on Rafa to win the French Open back in January.

2017-05-25T03:05:42+00:00

Giri Subramanian

Roar Guru


It was interesting when Federer decided to skip French Open. That too just after winning a Grand Slam. Anyways, Nadal and Djokovic will always start as the favourites. Good summary of all the contenders, it will be interesting to see if we will have a new winner this time.

AUTHOR

2017-05-24T07:43:16+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Thanks for the appreciation. It certainly will be an interesting event even if Rafa is the overwhelmimg favorite

AUTHOR

2017-05-24T07:41:42+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Well summarised

AUTHOR

2017-05-24T07:41:14+00:00

Ritesh Misra

Roar Guru


Goffin is a good one. Also Bautista-Agut. Thiem was a semi-finalist last year too, and 2 good matches vs Rafa will i feel give him the confidence to go upto semi-final once again, yes, Rafa is like Rafa of old, and while there is certain amount of reduced power, he has made his serve a lot more wicked. He is certainly the overwhelming favorite

2017-05-24T03:35:05+00:00

Remo Shankar

Roar Pro


A very good summation of the lie of the land heading into the French Open. In the past Nadal in a best of five set match on clay wold have to be the toughest assignment in tennis. At age 31 and with a lot more wear and tear on his body and some signs of uncharacteristic nerves at various points in matches, he's no doubt more vulnerable than in the past. Having said that, this is still Nadal's tournament to lose. If there is an upset, it would be hard to imagine it being in an early round.

2017-05-23T22:35:17+00:00

Shobhit

Guest


Excellent take on all contenders!!! Given the form Rafa is in, I doubt any will stand a chance. Sacsha and Thiem have shown superb potential and are definitely the future of Tennis and our ol' Oz friend Nick has a lot to learn from them in terms of attitude and if that happens they are the future top trio of tennis. This FO, however, is Rafa's to lose!!!

2017-05-23T21:58:54+00:00

Anindya Dutta

Roar Guru


Nice on Ritesh. I would be surprised and disappointed if Nadal does not win. To the most part he looks like the Nadal of old other than the reduced power, which is what is allowing the youngsters from time to time to make some impact. Thiem that night played the match of his lifetime. I took a lot of flak on social media for that one comment. But having seen a lot of Thiem so far, that match was not his normal game at this stage. Like everyone, you have these wonderful days at the office and this was one. So yes he is a contender. But I don't see him as a semi finalist at FO. Sascha Zverev I think will get to the semis at least with the confidence Rome has given him. Maybe the finals. Andy Murray needs more time. He is completely out of sorts. Djokovic is obviously a contender. Nick still doesn't have the consistency or mental strength to go all the way. Maybe in a year or so if he continues the mental progress he has recently shown. Vinolas, at best a quarter finalist. I think however one cannot underestimate Goffin. He had a bad tournament at Rome, but looks like a semi finalist to me.

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