Can Georgia beat Australia at the 2019 Rugby World Cup?

By Jacobus Lemmer / Roar Rookie

Undoubtedly one of the most memorable moments of the 2015 World Cup, South Africa’s shock loss to Japan will forever live on in the memories of many as the greatest upset victory in the history of rugby – or at least until it happens again.

The pure enthusiasm of an up-and-coming rugby nation overcoming the proud heritage of a rugby juggernaut was impossible to comprehend a couple of years ago.

Given the poor performances of Australia’s five Super Rugby teams this season, a similar feat could be repeated at the 2019 World Cup in Japan.

Australia is set to clash with Wales and Georgia in pool D in 2019, and some sceptics are posing this question: can Georgia beat Australia?

While it may be too early to treat the Wallabies with such contempt, early returns from the 2017 Super Rugby season are concerning, even for the staunchest Australian rugby fans.

Opinions are subject to bias but statistics never lie, no matter how much you might want them to.

At the conclusion of Round 15, the Australian sides will have a lacklustre combined record of 18 wins from 65 games. In comparison, the Crusaders of New Zealand are still undefeated with an impressive 14 wins from 14 games played. Incomprehensible really.

The Australian conference leading Brumbies have not been awful, losing a few close games and being the only Australian side with a positive points differential (thanks, in part, to a huge win against weaker Australian opposition). Yet even they have lost more games than they have won so far.

The possibility of seeing a side with a winning percentage below 50 percent partake in the finals of a respected competition only to see much better sides (any of the New Zealand teams) miss out is downright embarrassing for everyone. The undeserving Australian qualifier, their fans, and certainly SANZAAR.

Perhaps it is unfair to draw comparisons with the planet’s rugby powerhouse, but even New Zealand’s last placed team, the Blues, has more wins than the Brumbies.

For Australian rugby these statistics are horrendous. Horrible. Horrific.

Where is the passion, the determination and the heart that is expected and demanded of Australian sporting teams?

The Melbourne Rebels are allegedly fighting for their chance to stay alive as a franchise. One win and one draw; that’s all that the youngest Australian franchise has been able to salvage up to this point. That’s simply not good enough.

(AAP Image/Julian Smith)

Putting Super Rugby aside – since it would be foolish to make predictions purely based on these results – the upcoming internationals should provide a clearer and more accurate picture of what the next World Cup may look like for the Wallabies. Hopefully, the forecast will be a brighter than the doom and gloom being foreshadowed in Super Rugby.

If the Australians are to avoid being beaten by a rugby minnow like Georgia they must gather inspiration before the start of the Tests this month by looking at the country that caused the huge uproar in 2015. Arguably, there is no team that better embodies the spirit of rugby than the Japanese Sunwolves.

Admittedly, their form has not been great in terms of winning this season, but anyone who has watched them play even ten minutes can attest to their heart and never-say-die attitude. Often, the Sunwolves are faced by much bigger and stronger opponents yet week after week they show themselves to be no push-over as their opportunistic counter-attacks and creative set-piece plays surprise the ‘favourites’ and the crowd.

When is the last time you heard an Australian crowd as loud as the Japanese fans? The roars of the Japanese fans serves as a shocking reminder for a lot of Australians that the game of rugby is to be enjoyed and loved. A reminder that has not been provided by their teams.

This love is what the Rebels need to learn from. This commitment is what the Reds and the Force need to apply more consistently to leave their mediocrity in the dust. This invigorating enthusiasm is what the Australians will need to harness to ensure that they avoid being beaten by the small nation of Georgia.

Perhaps some might argue that it would be better for the sport of rugby if a revolution, of sorts, can be continued in the small little island from which it may have been born.

The Crowd Says:

2017-06-08T01:18:52+00:00

Justin

Guest


yes

2017-06-07T00:59:42+00:00

The Battered Slav

Guest


Yeah OK. So tier one is NZ, tier two the rest of the RWC contenders, and everyone else third tier?

2017-06-06T09:34:18+00:00

The Neutral View From Sweden

Roar Guru


Off topic, but have to share this with you Chooka; on June 17 USA Eagles will play a home test against Georgia in Kennesaw Georgia.

2017-06-06T09:05:13+00:00

Sam Starr

Guest


As bad as things are I can't see Georgia beating he wallabies any time soon. However the QF stages could have the wallabies ripe for the picking if they don't improve big time by then.

2017-06-06T07:24:31+00:00

Mike Julz

Guest


Anything could happen. No one gave Japan a chance before that match against the Boks. But then again, Japan had a lot of foreign players in that team, mainly from NZ, which contributed to the win and that famous last try. Georgia's team would be 100% Georgian. They wont need foreign players, they play with a lot of heart and passion. But just like the Japan vs Boks match, Im not giving Georgia any chance on causing the upset...But will definitely keep a close eye on it, hoping for another famous upset.

2017-06-06T07:03:15+00:00

woodart

Guest


correct. who would have predicted five years ago that japan would beat sth africa. I could see georgia giving wales or aus a tough game.

2017-06-06T07:02:05+00:00

Howie

Roar Pro


The Georgia team has big hearts and a huge scrum and will still lose to Australia by +40 - they will probably play their 2nd team and rest their first team for the Wales game.

2017-06-06T02:35:57+00:00

Machooka

Roar Guru


Thanks for the read Jacobus... and congrats on your first published piece. When the RWC pools were recently selected I was one that said beware of Georgia as on their day anything is possible. I still stand by that comment. And that's what's fantastic about where the RWC is heading... gone are the days of the 50 to 70 pt thrashings over the so-called 'minnows'. Now whether we'll ever see a similar result as when Japan beat SA in the last RWC who knows. But I can guarantee you one thing no one team will ever be taken for granted again. Hello Georgia!

2017-06-06T02:30:17+00:00

Hugo

Guest


Georgia's ascending, the Wallabies are descending.

2017-06-06T02:07:47+00:00

HardcorePrawn

Roar Guru


Australian rugby was in far better health in 2011, when the Reds were Super Rugby champions , but the Wallabies were beaten by Samoa in Sydney.

2017-06-06T02:01:44+00:00

peeeko

Guest


maybe the home nations are more in trouble if a combined side can bareky beat kiwi amateurs

2017-06-05T23:44:45+00:00

Celtic334

Guest


No

2017-06-05T22:48:15+00:00

Republican

Guest


.....yes they can since Australia are more a second tier Union nation akin to Georgia than ever before.......

2017-06-05T22:24:46+00:00

Bakkies

Guest


BB did you watch the match the Wallabies played against Samoa?

2017-06-05T20:15:41+00:00

Rebellion

Guest


You do realise Georgia appointed Richard Graham as their assistant coach right ?

2017-06-05T19:06:19+00:00

Shop

Roar Guru


I'm not so sure BB. The tier two nations have gradually crept closer to the traditional powers and the nature of RWC is unique because it gives these teams a solid window of preparation which is not so common in regular years. Will Georgia beat Australia? Unlikely in 2019, but upsets like Japan v SA (probably not the same magnitude though) will be more frequent as the world game continues to grow.

2017-06-05T17:13:23+00:00


No matter how bad things get in Australian rugby, I don't see them fall that low to a tier two nation.

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