Woulda, shoulda, coulda. To quote Rowan Atkinson’s Blackadder, looking at a draft retrospectively is the most pointless exercise “since ‘Hhw to learn French’ was translated into French”.
Nonetheless, it’s always interesting to reflect on the AFL’s ultimate sliding doors moments. Why not, just for a second, fantasise about Patrick Dangerfield strutting to a centre bounce alongside Marc Murphy and Bryce Gibbs?
This year marks ten years since the 2007 AFL draft. According to the AFL Players Association the average career length is about six years, making this ten-year sample size ample. Additionally, it enables a fairer comparison when marking key position players, who typically take longer to develop, against midfielders and flankers.
For this exercise I have included players taken in the rookie and pre-season drafts but not those who were previously at an AFL club. Here’s the top five:
Dangerfield requires no justification – he’s a generational player who would just about be first picked in the playground in the current AFL landscape.
Rance (+16 spots) incidentally still gets to Richmond, where he has made a name as one of the great defenders, while teammate Cotchin (-2) falls to four behind Rioli (+9).
Walker, a preselection from New South Wales, is clearly the best key forward from this draft and is an appropriate choice at five.
Some may argue Rioli’s position, but his resume is incredible: four premierships, a Norm Smith Medal, three All-Australian selections and nearly 300 goals. Overrated or not, his ability to impact games is undeniable.
Kreuzer (-5) remains the best ruckman in what was a strong draft class for talls but slips slightly due to the quality of his peers. It was a close call between Kreuzer and Walker, but the Adelaide spearhead shaded the ruckman due to his leadership qualities, which were recognised last year when he won the AFLPA’s best captain award.
Next up is Taylor (+10), Ward (+11), Steven (+33) and Ebert (+3), who stays in South Australia, as was strongly tipped at the time. The three midfielders are all guns and it was hard to split them – you could almost throw a blanket over them.
Mumford (rookie draft) is the second ruck off the rank, surpassing Ben McEvoy and Stef Martin. Mumford has been a revelation at AFL level, instantly elevating Sydney and GWS to new levels.
Hooker (+42) is an All-Australian defender, while Wood (+30) oozes leadership in addition to his tremendous intercept marking. Thompson (+23) is likewise an All-Australian defender and has ably led North for many years, while Hanley (rookie draft) is an elite player at his best, racking up big metres gained tallies and using the ball with precision.
Rounding out the top 20 are Tarrant (-1), Martin (pre-season draft), McEvoy (-9), Henderson (-11) and Selwood (+2). Tarrant and Martin are both best and fairest winners at their respective clubs, while McEvoy helped Hawthorn to two flags. Henderson, while a quality player at both ends of the ground, hasn’t reached the heights of Tarrant, Thompson or Hooker as a key defender, hence his ranking.
Selwood completes this list, narrowly edging out Levi Greenwood. Like Tarrant and Martin, Selwood is a club champion who was a pivotal part of West Coast’s engine room before crossing over to Geelong.
Overall this list comprises two Brownlow medals, ten premierships and 15 All-Australian selections, illustrating the immense quality of the 2007 class. Further evidence of this crop’s value is the calibre of players who missed out on this list, including Chris Masten, Brendan Whitecross, Andy Otten, Jarrad Grant, David Myers, Rhys Palmer, Matthew Lobbe, Dennis Armfield, Chris Mayne and Greenwood.
Don Freo
Guest
Oh, we all know he was injured...but he has also been uninjured early when they needed him to stand up... and ineffective. That's Rioli. I'm talking about Rioli for his whole career. He needs good players around him to cover for his laziness. That allows him to shine in moments. You needn't be defensive. That's just how some players are.
New York Hawk
Guest
He has a had a few injuries over the journey but has delivered in spades when on the field. That you did t even know he was injured this year shows you have only watched Hawks play when they play Freo. Which if I recall correctly means you would have seen Rioli ice that prelim in Perth in 2015 when your boy fumbled that cheat mark. I get why you don't like him, it's ok.
Don Freo
Guest
Nah.. that's been Rioli's career pattern.
New York Hawk
Guest
Jeez Don, Rioli has basically been out all season. Maybe he makes it back in the next six weeks. Maybe. Hard to shoulder the load when you aren't on the park. Or maybe we should blame Fyfe for not picking up the load last year after Pav retired.
Macca
Guest
"They are ruckmen. Kreuzer is not very good at that." Do you watch any football?
Don Freo
Guest
Rioli is the soft choice here. Without the old vets to do his work for him, he needed to step up and show he is better than Mitchell and Lewis. He has been unable to shoulder that responsibility and has gone backwards. When you only perform for 5 minutes a quarter, you get found out when your cover leaves the club. Ward and Stevens are both better.
Don Freo
Guest
They are ruckmen. Kreuzer is not very good at that. You seem to want Mumford to play a rover's role. Probably why you celebrate mediocrity at Carlton.
Cat
Roar Guru
Would come down to what position a team has greater need at the time.
Macca
Guest
Interestingly over their careers Kreuzer has Averaged more disposals, more marks & more goals, He has played just 12 less games (which is interesting considering he has had significant injuries) and is almost 3 years younger (Born May 89 compare to July 86). In the current season Kreuzer is ahead in nearly every key stat except for hit outs (39 to 30). Even if Mumford is ahead right now, if you did the list again in another 10 years I think Kreuzer will end up ahead.
Slane
Guest
As much as Rance is a superstar and a ridiculously good looking football player, surely a team would pick Tex first. The general adage being that it is easier to be a defender than a forward.
Keagan Ryan
Roar Guru
Now that I think about it you guys are probably right. I was too worried about Kreuzer falling too far, but in hindsight when you compare the two rucks you'd take Mumford first... well spotted guys.
Gecko
Guest
In fact Kreuzer at 6 is a laugh. Should have been moved at least half a dozen places down. But an interesting exercise and overall very convincing. Thx Keagan.
spruce moose
Guest
Matt Kreuzer still above Shane Mumford? That's a laugh.
Mattician6x6
Guest
Salt in the wounds for West coast supporters, at least we got JK that trade/draft period.
GJ
Guest
Ah, the irony of Brad Ebert going to Adelaide