The Roar's NRL expert tips and predictions: Grand final

By Scott Pryde / Expert

You know when you find money and you have no idea where it came from, but you’re glad you have it? Well, that’s where the North Queensland Cowboys find themselves as they face the Melbourne Storm in the grand final. But, do The Roar‘s expert tipping panel rate them a chance of being crowned premiers?

Okay, so maybe that’s a bit harsh on our friends from Townsville – and yep, let’s call them friends because this is shaping up as the Storm versus the world. The Cowboys bandwagon is rolling and it’s the size of a jumbo jet.

But seriously, it’s hard to not get on. They are the story of the NRL season, but we have to be careful to not make it sound like they have played poorly and got lucky. It’s been anything but for Paul Green’s side.

They might have fallen into the finals with last round results going their way, but they have been brilliant ever since. They had no right to beat the Sharks, but took the lead for the first time in the 85th minute – during extra time – and didn’t relinquish it.

The Cowboys then cooked the Eels during the second half of the semi-final, before coming back from the dead twice against the Roosters to run away with a 13-point victory.

While North Queensland have a good news story to finish off, the Storm are still in the process of writing one of their own.

After finishing the 2016 season as runner-up, going down in the grand final to the Cronulla Sharks who won their first premiership, they have been utterly dominant in 2017. Finishing the regular season on 44 competition points with a for and

The Cowboys’ form will have them concerned though – as will their own. They have hit the skids in the finals, almost dropping to the Eels before being very slow out of the blocks against Brisbane.

Given they are now faced with their first road trip in six months as well, you can understand why there are elements of concern over a game they are expected to win.

Before I finish up my spiel, I need to give a massive shoutout to Roarers for voting each week, and my fellow panellists who have made these articles happen. We have had hundreds of votes each week – and hasn’t it worked?

Don’t forget that on the form below, you can put your own tips in on behalf of The Crowd. We will have the results at 5pm (AEST), so be sure to have them in before then. Who knows, The Crowd might prove themselves to be better than the experts.

Tim Gore

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys
Tip and margin:Cowboys by 8
Cowboys. Momentum is a hell of a thing. The Cowboys – having lost five of their last six home and away games – are now on a three-game winning streak none of us saw coming. The Storm have now won nine on the trot so that’s a fair bit of momentum.

North Queensland have played a great strategy well. Low errors, great field position, high possession – and they have gotten better and better at it.

However, they are going to have to nail it because the Storm can score. They can score pretty too. Slater, Munster, Addo-Carr and Vunivalu score pretty.

On paper the Storm should win and no side has ever won from eighth.

So why am I tipping the Cows then? Because I believe in fairy tales. That’s why. The stats don’t really support it but I don’t care.

First try-scorer: Suliasi Vunivalu
Clive Churchill: Jason Taumalolo

Mary Konstantopoulos

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys
Tip and margin: Cowboys by 6
Cowboys. Everyone loves a fairytale so I’m tipping one more this weekend with the Cowboys to beat the Storm.

It may be unlikely, but the Cowboys have proved that they deserve to be there and I imagine most of the Stadium will be behind them. They are used to the travel, having been back and forth to Sydney for the last 3 weeks and Michael Morgan is in the form of his career.

In the last few weeks we have seen that the Storm are not as perfect as we think. I’m dreaming about and tipping an upset, particularly if it’s close when Jason Taumololo comes on in the second half to do his late stint.

First try-scorer: Billy Slater
Clive Churchill: Jason Taumalolo

Greg Prichard

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys
Tip and margin: Storm by 16
Storm. What we have had here in the NRL this season is a competition where there was a clear benchmark in the Storm and the rest were fighting over second place.

The Cowboys have won that fight and good luck to them, but this is as far as they can go. The Storm are a great team, better than both last year’s version of themselves and the team that beat them in the grand final, the Sharks. They won’t beat themselves.

They’ve got more than enough champion players and finals experience to guard against that. So if the Cowboys are going to cause a massive upset they’re going to have to somehow out-play them.

I just don’t see how that can happen. The Cowboys will have a red-hot go, but at some stage of the 80 minutes the Storm will pull away and win comfortably.

First try-scorer: Suliasi Vunivalu
Clive Churchill: Billy Slater

Scott Pryde

Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys
Tip and margin: Storm by 10.
Storm. There’s no question the Storm are the best side in the competition, but questions have to be asked given what they have dished up at times during the finals.

They have been slow out of the gates in both games, and if they are again the Cowboys will find a way to take full advantage of that – as they have against the Sharks, Eels and Roosters. North Queensland have got this far because they play 80 minutes, work hard and wait for their opponents to go off the boil thanks to the constant pressure being applied from their end.

Despite that, I just can’t see the Storm having a third-straight poor start, and if they hit the front, it’ll be game over. They are way too good playing with a lead, no matter what the Cowboys have been able to do in the last couple of weeks.

I’m going Curtis Scott as first try-scorer as well. Despite the fact the wingers are the dangerous players for Melbourne, Scott has 12 tries from 12 games and he will go over first, while Billy Slater will take out the Clive Churchill.

Anyway, Melbourne are going to win the premiership.

First try-scorer: Curtis Scott
Clive Churchill: Billy Slater

Grand Final Tim Greg Mary Scott The Crowd
STO v COW COW STO COW STO ???
Margin 8 16 6 10 ???
First try-scorer Suliasi Vunivalu Suliasi Vunivalu Billy Slater Curtis Scott ???
Clive Churchill Jason Taumalolo Billy Slater Jason Taumalolo Billy Slater ???
Last week 1 1 2 2 2
Total 111 129 122 124 135

Now it’s your turn to try and beat the experts. Using the form below, select your tips for the weekend ahead and we will have the results at 5pm (AEST) this afternoon.

The Crowd Says:

2017-09-29T03:41:23+00:00

matth

Guest


I think the fairytale CC will be Cooper Cronk, and he will announce his retirement when he accepts it.

2017-09-29T03:40:26+00:00

matth

Guest


But never bet with it.

2017-09-28T14:44:20+00:00

RM

Guest


not sure you know what droll means, unless you're saying that a lot of the population finds it quite amusing

2017-09-28T10:22:26+00:00

Peter

Guest


Oingo, having read all your posts on this thread, I would have preferred you to be up-front honest and just say you don't like gay people. An opinion to which you are entitled. In honour of Ian Roberts' bravery, get stuffed, Oingo! Caaarrna Cowboooyys!

2017-09-28T10:14:00+00:00

Peter

Guest


For Bill Larkin: No, it's supposed to be a site where people enjoy themselves. I guess you never wished upon a star. In that case I feel really really sorry for you.

2017-09-28T08:51:57+00:00

Rob

Guest


Greg is the kiss of death. Tim and Mary are cool they have much the same luck as me picking the winners. You have jumped off the Cowboys Scott? You need to stick with us brother, because you're on a role.

2017-09-28T08:34:25+00:00

R N

Roar Rookie


My last few predictions have been pretty good... here's hoping!

2017-09-28T03:56:52+00:00

Sharkattack

Guest


End of the road here. The Storm don't beat themselves. The Cowboys can't win this with their "hang in there" style. If they do that, they will be punished.

2017-09-28T03:29:03+00:00

Ross

Guest


Gav Cooper doesn't need to touch the ball on Sunday, but if he marshals that left edge defence and keeps Storm to one try, he should be MOM. Has to protect and backup Martin against Kaufusi

2017-09-28T03:07:42+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


Good to see you don't mind a bit of the Oils OB - almost grounds for deportation if you didn't. I'm off to see them at the AIS in Canberra in October and expectations are huge. Just hope they play some of their early stuff. Can't say I've ever heard of this Macklemore dude but then again my rap collection is pretty well non existent. I could probably stomach Eminem live or the Beastie Boys. Would have been great if the Oils turned up or Hunters or Collectors, Aussie Crawl, Paul Kelly or Chisel. Guess I'm showing my age. Looks like I'll have to find something else to do at half time. We can always hope for another power failure.

2017-09-28T02:55:28+00:00

Penrith Punter

Roar Guru


Unfortunately, it will all end this week for the Cows. I feel like this game will be relatively close for the first 50-odd minutes but the Storm will run away with it. Storm 26-6 First Try Scorer: Felise Kaufusi Clive Churchill Medal: Tohu Harris as the roughie at $21

2017-09-28T02:23:18+00:00

Albo

Guest


You have got me there, Jimmy ? Of course, O'Neill has been on the left side for the Cowboys ! But not sure that will matter here. And I know Morgan is a great defender, but he does generally operate on the right hand side in defence. He just can't be everywhere. I just think the Storm are virtually unstoppable with their right hand attack, as they have so many well practised options to explore from the Kaufusi short balls, to Slater chiming in constantly as extra man, to Chambers one on one power, to a long ball or kick to Vunivalu. Cronk will need to completely blotted out, to limit this main Storm attacking corridor. I would love your boys to pull off the fairytale result, but I reckon they are pretty wounded right now, and they are up against a fully fit and one of the best Club sides I can ever remember. With a lot of Storm defensive attention going on Morgan, I think Te Mare Martin & Coote will have to have massive games for the Cowboys to have any chance of breaking down the Storm defence.

2017-09-28T01:59:20+00:00

Oingo Boingo

Guest


Geoff ,I don't mind the odd BB tune , or the Oils , but I'm not a big fan of either . But I'm certainly not a fan of Macklemore or any rapper for that matter . Rap is of course spelled with a silent C.

2017-09-28T01:54:12+00:00

Darren from NQ

Guest


Correct.

2017-09-28T01:43:46+00:00

Fish

Guest


Cowboys by 1 in extra time. Because that is what they do. Addo for first try Morgs a run away CCM. Happy punters and proof that good prevails over evil... Mwaa haha!

2017-09-28T01:40:54+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Guest


Hard to argue with stats Tim given how consistent the Storm have been this season - but you wonder if after 9 in a row they are due to play a wobbly one - plus the Cowboys form over the past three weeks has been arguably better than the Storm. The Cowboys are paying $3.85. Could be tempting to put a small wager on. Who are going for between the Crows and the Tigers? Being from Adelaide I'm a Crows man but this one is really hard to tip as both teams are in good form. Both GFs should be absolute rippers.

AUTHOR

2017-09-28T01:36:42+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


Hey hey Geoff - that's over the mark. How can anyone not like Midnight Oil?

AUTHOR

2017-09-28T01:35:22+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


Now that, my friend, is confidence.

AUTHOR

2017-09-28T01:34:55+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


Always tip with the heart... Always Jimmy.

AUTHOR

2017-09-28T01:34:02+00:00

Scott Pryde

Expert


"Scott Pryde what are you doing?" How did I get dragged into this. One minute you're talking about Tim and Mary, then you're talking about Greg, then you finish with that. I've only got one game wrong in the finals Rob!

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