Who's on the plane to England for the 2019 World Cup?

By Will W QOS / Roar Pro

Australia are scheduled to play 31 one-day cricket matches between now and the first ball of the World Cup in England next year – 13 at home, ten on the subcontinent, three in Zimbabwe, and five in England.

We can only hope that’s enough games to answer some of the telling questions coming from the current ODI series, such as where should Steve Smith bat, who is our best-limited overs spinner, do we need a more adaptive bowling attack, and is there a spot for Glenn Maxwell?

Trevor Hohns has finally backed Smith’s comments about needing to reinvent themselves to halt the slide the Aussie team finds themselves in at the moment.

When the squad of 15 for the World Cup is finally announced, the Australian selectors will be looking for stability and momentum as they strive for sixth title.

Australia have taken a step towards England’s formula of power hitters batting around a Joe Root-like anchor at number four, with Smith dropping down a spot from three.

Smith’s strike rate so far has fluctuated between 68 and 127, perhaps highlighting the confusion about his role. If the team hierarchy can more clearly define Smith’s job, the team immediately becomes stronger. His ability to accelerate is matched by few players in the world, and if he can play a support role to the power hitters, then joins them in the last-ten-over slogfest, Australia can have the strong finish they have lacked recently.

There has been some criticism of Aaron Finch’s batting, but with more runs than anyone else in the series – 275 with a strike rate of 96.15 – he could argue this conjecture is unfair.

Finch featured in the highest partnerships in the first two games of this series, and the second-highest partnership in the third game.

In Game One, with Mitchell Marsh, the opener added 118 from 128 balls, before he was dismissed for 107 in the 36th over. In Game 2, the pair combined for 85 from 99 balls.

Finch’s contribution with Smith in Game 3 was 69 from 70 balls, with his dismissal coming in the 21st over as he began to accelerate.

The finger of blame should not be pointed at Finch, but instead at his teammates, who haven’t capitalised upon his foundation. This is where the road to World Cup 2019 gets interesting.

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If we can agree that the opening spots belong to Finch and David Warner, with Smith following at four, filling in the gaps creates great debate.

There are a number of contenders at three. I am excluding Cameron White and George Bailey, as they will be 35 and 36 respectively, and their form is waning.

Fresh faces Jake Weatherald and D’Arcy Short are in the mix, along with injury-prone BBL star Chris Lynn, as well as the in-again, out-again Usman Khawaja.

Weatherald has batted only 14 times in domestic one-dayers but has posted three centuries and is averaging 44.35. He is an excellent ground fielder (note his part in the catch of the new millennium with Ben Laughlin) and brings a good energy to the Adelaide Strikers in the BBL.

Short has only batted eight times in domestic one-dayers, but his form in the BBL has him in the Australian T20 squad and earmarked as a player of the future. His more-than-handy left-arm wrist spin could add another dimension to an attack sadly lacking variety.

Khawaja’s domestic numbers of 3377 runs at an average of 45.63 are hard to ignore, however his strike rate of 86 possibly has him falling outside what the selectors are looking for.

With that in mind, Lynn’s stocks are rising. His consistent striking in the BBL sees him as the front runner to build momentum around Smith. Lynn’s power hitting has the potential to take a game away against all bowling. The ensuing series in England is a must for Lynn to build confidence on grounds he may not be familiar with.

Chris Lynn (AAP Image/Darren England)

Numbers five and six are a three-horse race between Mitchell Marsh, Marcus Stoinis and Maxwell. Whoever is selected will be required to share the fifth bowler duties, with Finch and Smith unlikely to bowl too many overs across the tournament.

Stoinis is the form middle-order player. His 146 against New Zealand, which took Australia tantalisingly close to victory, was a showcase of power hitting. His bowling seems to be a work in progress, with some good variations but just lacking some consistency. Like a few of the Australian bowlers, it is the one bad ball an over that seems to be letting him down.

Blocking Maxwell’s path into the squad is Marsh, whose undeniable batting form has continued in the current ODI series. Whether his shoulder injury continues to be an issue or not, the fact is in three games Marsh has bowled only six overs. To hold his spot this will need to increase and some variety introduced.

Unless there is something else the public does not know, Maxwell is most likely being kept out of the current side on form alone. The statistic in his favour is his mammoth strike rate of 123. He can change a game and has the potential to fill a role similar to Andrew Symonds in the 2003 World Cup.

Surprisingly, Maxwell’s economy rate is slightly better than Marsh’s and that, coupled with his ability to get through his overs quickly, could work in his favour. There is no doubt he will be given further opportunities and if he finds consistent form, it will be a good headache for the selectors to have.

Glenn Maxwell (Photo: AAP image)

The wicketkeeper spot at number seven may be a bridge too far for Tim Paine, whose lack of firepower at the death has been noticeable.

Alex Carey, while raw, is a good fit. His aggressive play this season at the top of the order in the Big Bash has showcased his ability, as did his cameo in the Brisbane ODI. Further opportunities will build his confidence – he has the potential to be a longterm player across all formats.

Then there’s Peter Handscomb, who is a competent gloveman, who can score at a run a ball, and can hit in the latter overs. Handscomb also offers a solution if Australia loses early wickets, particularly Smith, to bat higher and take over the ‘anchor’ role.

Unfortunately, the number eight position is where Australia seems to be feeling the pinch, and Pat Cummins has to come under scrutiny.

In the pecking order of Mitch Starc, Josh Hazlewood and Cummins, the firebrand is marginally behind in value, meaning his position depends on the spinner.

Should Nathan Lyon be picked, Cummins should make way for a better batting option. If Ashton Agar were to come into the side, he could be utilised in the eight spot, pushing Cummins down to nine.

Pat Cummins (AAP Image/Tracey Nearmy)

It seems like selectors are conceding that the Adam Zampa experiment will be trumped by the dependability of Lyon, Australia’s premier spinner. If this eventuates, the door may reopen for James Faulkner.

Another player who could come into play is Ben Cutting. With some time in the IPL, his pressure bowling has greatly improved with a comparable strike rate to that of Faulkner. If the selectors do indeed go with Lyon, Cutting becomes my smokey – he can turn a game with his baseball-like striking.

Failing a brave selection of the NSW (next Shane Warne), Lloyd Pope, time is running out to settle on a leg spinner to fill the slow bowling slot, but Lyon is the safe choice for the World Cup.

Ten and 11 will be rightfully filled by Starc and Hazlewood, respectively.

My squad
1. David Warner
2. Aaron Finch
3. Chirs Lynn
4. Steve Smith (c)
5. Glenn Maxwell
6. Marcus Stoinis
7. Alex Carey
8. Ben Cutting
9. Nathan Lyon
10. Mitchell Starc
11. Josh Hazlewood

12. Mitchell Marsh
13. Pat Cummins
14. Peter Handscomb
15. Ashton Agar

It is a coin toss between Marsh and Maxwell, however a team with Maxwell provides more headaches to opposition attacks.

What do you think Roarers?

The Crowd Says:

2018-01-25T17:28:53+00:00

El Loco

Roar Rookie


I was just musing over this after reading another article and settled on very close to that lineup, only difference was Khawaja in place of Finch in the starting team. I've turned a bit on previous thoughts and the idea of Maxwell and Lynn with free licence in the early overs is very appealing, with a really solid middle order of Smith and Warner if the blazing guns don't pay off. If they do come good we're looking at scores of 400. Hard to fit both M Marsh and Stoinis as you've flagged, Mitch seems a bit short on mojo at the moment and both need to improve their bowling, but they're both capable match winners. And I reckon Cummins and Agar share a spot dependent on conditions. It's clear that we have to get our slower bowlers more involved though. Long way to go yet of course, incredible how many ODIs to play before the WC even starts!

2018-01-25T09:50:45+00:00

Paul

Guest


Will, I wonder why you and others who have written similar articles have not made any mention about the conditions the sides will face in England; 1. The pitches will be low and slow and will clearly favour the batsmen 2. The grounds are small so out and out pace will not be rewarded as much as it will be punished with snicks going a long way over there. 3. They will be using the Duke ball which will move around in the early overs The sides you and others have chosen don't take these factors into account, whereas the English side has pretty average bowlers but a heap of good batsmen for this style of cricket. I'd be tempted to follow suit and leave out Cummins, for example and include Maxwell and Stoinis because of their batting. Warner also seems to have reached a used by date in terms of his ODI form. The guy badly needs a decent score soon. I'd also not discount Sam Whiteman from calculations. He was going to be the keeper for all formats of the game except for his finger injury. If he comes good, he would be a much better option than Carey, for sure and would be a great choice to open with Finch if Warner doesn't get his act together.

2018-01-25T03:36:29+00:00

Celtic334

Guest


Finch (bat) Khawaja (bat) Warner (bat) Smith (bat) Maxwell/Stoinis (bat/part time bowl) Carey (keeper/bat) M Marsh (allrounder) Cummins (bowl) Starc (bowl) Lyon (bowl) Hazelwood (bowl) This team is explosive enough to catch any target, bats long enough to recover any collapse, bowling is as good as it would get in int cricket, 2 x steadying player (Smith/Khawaja) to bat around and a 6th bowling option if its needed and an accumulator in the Bevan mould in Maxwell/Smith. I wish we'd go back to the 5 batsmen, 1 keeper/batsman, 1 allrounder, 4 bowler model. With one of the batsman more than capable of throwing the arm over in the case of injuries or a change up (Maxwell/Stoinis) Similar model to the successful Aus teams in the past which had Gilchrist (Keeper/bat) M Waugh (Bat) Ponting (Bat) Bevan (Bat) S Waugh (Bat) Symonds (Bat/part time bowler) Harvey (allrounder) Lee (Bowl) Warner (Bowl) Gilespie (Bowl) McGrath (Bowl) or Gilchrist (Keeper/bat) Hayden (bat) Ponting (bat) Lehmann (bat/part time bowl) Bevan (bat) Martyn (bat) Watson (allrounder) Warne (bowl) Lee (bowl) Bracken (bowl) McGrath (bowl)

AUTHOR

2018-01-25T03:04:23+00:00

Will W QOS

Roar Pro


I like that side!

AUTHOR

2018-01-25T03:03:19+00:00

Will W QOS

Roar Pro


Coulter Nile is also a player that does come well and truly into the reckoning - you would imagine once he comes back from injury he will be presented more opportunities. Ashton Turner probably hasnt had the chances to showcase his ability yet as you stated - every chance he will be in the mix, though Agar is probably ahead of him in the selectors eyes.

2018-01-25T01:48:51+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


I like that, although I'd switch Lynn and Warner (and potentially Stoinis and Maxwell too) in the batting order. I'd also be inclined to play Marsh ahead of Smith on current form but I realise that's probably not a popular opinion.

2018-01-25T01:41:52+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


I'm not as sold on Uzzie as some. However, if the selectors want to give him a crack, he should open the batting and be given a clear licence to go hard in the powerplay. I'd be curious to see if he can replicate what he does for QLD and the Thunder at international level.

2018-01-25T01:35:07+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


I don't think Faulkner ever quite recovered from being belted around by India a couple of summers ago. His batting and death bowling have both taken a massive nosedive. I'd love to see him return but he'd have to significantly improve his domestic performances first.

AUTHOR

2018-01-25T01:29:19+00:00

Will W QOS

Roar Pro


Agree on Bailey - Ive always liked him, likewise Cameron White - it's probably more their stocks in the selectors eyes are waning. Id like to see Jimmy Faulkner given anther opportunity, he too seems to have fallen by the wayside and way down the pecking order.

AUTHOR

2018-01-25T01:26:48+00:00

Will W QOS

Roar Pro


Thanks James, I think we will see a bit of shuffling across the next 12 months, will be interesting to see how it settles. It doesnt seem outside the realms of possibility Warner dropping down order and utilising a Carey or dare I say a Maxwell in those positions. Selectors could painting themselves into a corner by resting a top line player to give opportunities, that player performs better than the resting player... would be a nice problem to have however. I feel like Khawaja is one that if given an opportunity would most definitely give the selectors some headaches.

2018-01-25T01:16:04+00:00

matth

Guest


Finch Maxwell Lynn Warner Smith Stoinis/Marsh Carey Agar Starc Hazlewood Lyon Bench - Marsh/Stoinis, Cummins, Turner, Khawaja

2018-01-25T00:54:23+00:00

Bucks

Guest


Finch Carey (wk) Warner Smith Lynn Maxwell Stoinis Agar Starc Hazlewood Lyon Bench - Turner, M Marsh, Cummins, Coulter-Nile

2018-01-24T22:52:27+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


As a side note: Bailey's form isn't waning in this format. He scored 373 runs @62 with a strike rate of 106 in the JLT Cup. His age definitely counts against him though.

2018-01-24T22:49:15+00:00

JamesH

Roar Guru


Your squad is fair enough (although you were a little harsh on Cummins' batting at 8 - I think he's fine there). I'm not game to pick a squad yet though because the side is so unsettled. Instead, this is the squad I'd like to see in the short term; essentially a bit of an experiment to try to find some solutions for Australia's batting and bowling issues: Finch (C) Carey (WK) M Marsh D Warner (VC) Handscomb Stoinis Maxwell Agar Starc Richardson/Lyon (depending on the conditions) Hazlewood Reserves (selected from): Maddinson Khawaja Short Turner Lynn Cummins Stanlake There are a few eyebrow-raisers in there but I'm in support of a more radical overhaul of the ODI side after an ordinary 12 months trying the same old formula. Smith is the most notable absence but I just think his ODI form over that period doesn't warrant his selection. Plus I don't think he is enough of a tactician to captain the short formats. Warner at 4? As I said under another article, he is no longer batting like an ODI opener. He has developed a pattern of accumulating early and accelerating later, which is exactly what our middle order needs. I feel like he and Handscomb are worth a try in that role at the moment. If it doesn't work then we can always go back to Smith. Most of the potential backup bats are top order players, so Carey or Marsh would probably have to drop down the order if the lineup was changed. Turner had an ordinary JLT Cup but his opportunities were relatively limited, given how dominant WA's top 4 were. I've left Cummins out initially because he doesn't move the new ball and his death bowling needs work, although I think he is capable of improving that part of his game. Zampa misses out at the moment because he simply doesn't take enough wickets for a leggie. I'll back him to improve in time. Right now Agar and Lyon seem like better bets to me, both in terms of wicket-taking ability and economy rate.

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